Workflow
震荡慢牛
icon
Search documents
英大证券:策略晨报:震荡慢牛仍是主基调,3400点附近压力需化解,高抛低吸或是占优策略-20250313
British Securities· 2025-03-13 06:20
Core Views - The main trend in the market remains a slow bull market, with the need to resolve pressure around the 3400-point level, suggesting a strategy of buying low and selling high [2][8][9] A-Share Market Analysis - On Wednesday, despite the decline in US markets, A-shares demonstrated resilience, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a new high for the year, although it could not maintain the upward momentum and closed slightly lower, indicating a divergence between bulls and bears [4][8] - The market is currently facing pressure around the 3400-point level, which is a previous area of concentrated trading, and this needs to be addressed [2][8] - The upcoming earnings season, particularly from mid-March to April, will be critical for assessing corporate profitability, which could lead to performance differentiation among stocks [2][8] - The market has already priced in expectations for AI and tech stocks, but there is uncertainty regarding whether some stocks can meet these high valuations [2][8] Sector Performance - The computing power sector saw a collective surge, driven by news of an AI and cloud computing industry conference in Hangzhou, indicating a potential acceleration in the digital economy [6] - The cultural media sector experienced significant gains, particularly in gaming and media, with a noted 42.75% increase in the first half of 2023, validating previous investment recommendations [7] - Despite a strong performance, the cultural media sector faced setbacks due to regulatory changes affecting gaming stocks, highlighting the volatility in this space [7] Market Sentiment - Overall, the market sentiment remains moderate, with a general trend of more stocks rising than falling, but the profitability effect is average, as indicated by a total trading volume of 16,838 billion [5]
英大证券策略晨报-2025-03-12
British Securities· 2025-03-12 02:25
Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Strongly Outperforming the Market," indicating a positive fundamental outlook with expectations that the industry index will outperform the CSI 300 index over the next six months [18]. Core Views - The A-share market demonstrates resilience, with a "slow bull" trend remaining the main theme despite external pressures such as U.S. tariffs and economic recession fears. The market's stability is supported by robust fiscal policies, including a projected budget deficit rate of around 4% and an increase in local government special bonds to 4.4 trillion yuan [2][10]. - Investors are advised to adopt a "buy low, sell high" strategy in the short term, focusing on stocks with strong earnings support, particularly in sectors like pharmaceuticals and food and beverage, which are expected to benefit from policy boosts and domestic consumption trends [3][10]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The A-share market showed resilience amid global market volatility, with major indices closing in the green despite initial declines. Key sectors such as aerospace and agriculture performed well, indicating structural opportunities within the market [2][9]. - The overall market sentiment was moderate, with a total trading volume of 1.48 trillion yuan across the exchanges, and the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,379.83 points, up 0.41% [6]. Sector Analysis - Aerospace and military stocks were notably active, with expectations of increased defense budgets and ongoing geopolitical tensions serving as potential catalysts for growth. However, high valuations may lead to volatility in individual stocks [7]. - Consumer sectors, particularly liquor and poultry, showed resilience against external uncertainties, with domestic consumption expected to drive economic recovery in 2025. The report highlights opportunities in the "silver economy" and affordable retail segments [7][8]. - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing significant growth, supported by government policies aimed at fostering new industries. The report anticipates a trillion-yuan market for general aviation by 2030, with opportunities in low-altitude infrastructure and aircraft manufacturing [8].