Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View The market is characterized by a structural trend. On January 19, the four major index futures contracts for the current month showed mixed performance. On the trading day, the total trading volume of index futures declined, indicating a decrease in investors' trading enthusiasm. The positions of the four major index futures also changed, with some increasing and some decreasing [1][2][3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Index Futures Data Tracking - **Closing Price and Fluctuation**: The closing prices of various index futures showed different degrees of increase or decrease. For example, the CSI 300 index closed at 4734.5, up 0.05%; the SSE 50 index closed at 3075.9, down 0.12%; the CSI 500 index closed at 8288, up 0.67%; and the CSI 1000 index closed at 8265.7, up 0.40% [1]. - **Basis**: The basis of different index futures and their contracts also varied. For instance, the basis of IF2602 was -1.66, and that of IH2602 was 0.46 [1]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volume and open interest of each index futures contract changed. For example, the trading volume of IF2602 decreased by 5290 lots, and the open interest decreased by 1168 lots [1]. 3.2 Market Activity - **Trading Volume**: The total trading volume of index futures decreased. Specifically, the total trading volume of IF decreased by 34310 lots, IH by 18564 lots, IC by 21181 lots, and IM by 35971 lots [2]. - **Open Interest**: The total open interest of index futures also changed. The total open interest of IF decreased by 4289 lots, IH by 1610 lots, IC increased by 6196 lots, and IM increased by 1234 lots [3]. 3.3 Top 20 Member Positions The positions of the top 20 members in different index futures contracts changed. For example, in the IF2601 contract, the long - position decreased by 1007 lots, and the short - position decreased by 724 lots [5]. 3.4 Trend Intensity The trend intensity of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is also 1. The trend intensity ranges from - 2 to 2, with - 2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [6]. 3.5 Important Drivers - **A - share Market**: A - shares were in a shrinking and volatile state. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.29% to 4114 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.09%, the ChiNext Index fell 0.7%, and the total trading volume of A - shares was 2.73 trillion yuan, down from 3.06 trillion yuan the previous day [7]. - **Hong Kong Stock Market**: Hong Kong stocks opened lower and closed lower. The Hang Seng Index fell 1.05% to 26563.9 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 1.24%, and the total trading volume was 2256.9 billion Hong Kong dollars, down from 2550.79 billion Hong Kong dollars the previous day [7]. - **Macroeconomic Data**: In 2025, China's GDP was 1401879 billion yuan, a 5% increase compared to the previous year. The national population at the end of 2025 was 1404890000, a decrease of 3390000 from the previous year, with a natural population growth rate of - 2.41‰ [7][8].

Market Overview - The three major indices showed mixed results on January 19, 2026, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.29% to close at 4114.00 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.09% to 14294.05 points, and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.70% to 3337.61 points [1][2] - The total trading volume in the two markets was 27,081 billion yuan, a decrease of approximately 3,179 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Market Performance - The market experienced fluctuations with core broad-based indices showing mixed results. The Micro-cap Index and CSI 2000 led the gains, while the Sci-Tech 100 and ChiNext 50 faced declines [2][3] - Over 3,500 stocks in the market rose, indicating a general trend of more stocks increasing than decreasing [2] Industry Analysis - The basic chemical, petroleum and petrochemical, and electric equipment sectors saw increases, while the computer, communication, and banking sectors experienced declines [5] - The basic chemical industry rose by 2.7%, with a 5-day increase of 3.3% and a 30-day increase of 13.3% [6] Concept Themes - The flexible DC transmission, ultra-high voltage, and glyphosate sectors showed significant gains, while WiFi 6, Xiaohongshu concept, and F5G concept sectors faced declines [7] - The flexible DC transmission sector increased by 5.1%, with a 5-day increase of 9.2% and a 30-day increase of 22.2% [7] Economic Indicators - In 2025, China's GDP reached 140,187.9 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.0% [9] - The total population at the end of 2025 was 1,404.89 million, a decrease of 3.39 million from the previous year [9] - The per capita disposable income for residents increased by 5.0% to 43,377 yuan [9]

Economic Overview - In 2025, China's GDP reached 1401879 billion yuan, growing by 5% year-on-year, with quarterly growth rates of 5.4%, 5.2%, 4.8%, and 4.5% respectively [2] - The industrial added value increased by 5.9%, while the service sector grew by 5.4%. Retail sales totaled 501202 billion yuan, up by 3.7% [2] - Fixed asset investment decreased by 3.8%, with a notable decline in real estate investment [3] Trade and Investment - Canada has reduced the import tax on Chinese electric vehicles to 6.1%, allowing an annual quota of 49,000 vehicles, which is a significant policy shift aimed at filling market gaps [4][5] - The adjustment in tariffs is expected to enhance the competitiveness of Chinese electric vehicles in the Canadian market, which has seen a decline in sales due to high costs and tariffs [5] Real Estate Market - In December 2025, new home prices in first-tier cities fell by 0.3%, with a notable increase in Shanghai, while overall new home sales area decreased by 8.7% year-on-year [6] - The real estate market is still in a bottoming phase, with a significant reduction in new supply and ongoing inventory pressure [7] Mobile Phone Industry - Several smartphone manufacturers, including Xiaomi and OPPO, have lowered their annual shipment forecasts due to rising storage costs, with reductions exceeding 20% for some brands [8] - The impact of rising storage prices is uneven across manufacturers, with larger firms like Apple and Samsung less affected [9] Solar Industry - Nine leading solar companies, including LONGi Green Energy and Tongwei Co., have announced expected losses for 2025, with Tongwei projecting a loss of 90 to 100 billion yuan [10] - The solar industry is facing significant challenges, including high inventory levels and price competition, leading to a prolonged period of losses [11] Wealth Disparity - The global wealth of billionaires reached a record 18.3 trillion USD in 2025, with a 16% increase in total wealth, highlighting a growing wealth gap amid stagnant poverty reduction efforts [12][13] - The AI sector's growth has significantly contributed to the increase in billionaire wealth, while ordinary residents face declining purchasing power due to inflation [13] Space Tourism - A startup has announced the opening of reservations for the world's first lunar hotel, aiming to begin operations by 2032, although the feasibility of such a project remains uncertain [14][15]

Group 1 - IMF raised China's economic growth forecast for 2025 by 0.2 percentage points to 5% and also increased the 2026 growth expectations [1] - The People's Bank of China lowered the re-lending and rediscount rates by 0.25 percentage points, which is expected to enhance credit supply to key sectors [1] - In December 2025, the monthly active users of securities apps reached 175 million, marking a 1.75% month-on-month increase and a 2.26% year-on-year increase, setting a new monthly record for that year [1] Group 2 - The number of private equity firms with over 10 billion yuan in assets has reached 114, with the addition of one firm and two exits from this category [2] - Michael Burry warned about the AI bubble, predicting a prolonged downturn in the tech industry due to overspending on data centers and microchips [2] Group 3 - The gold price in Shenzhen's Shui Bei market reached 1200 yuan per gram, up from approximately 1126 yuan at the beginning of January [3] - Global DRAM supply is expected to be revised upward by 2027 due to Micron's acquisition plans, which will enhance advanced DRAM production capacity [3] Group 4 - Porsche's global sales in 2025 were 279,400 units, a 10% decline year-on-year, with a significant drop of 26.28% in the Chinese market [4] - Three squirrels confirmed a price adjustment for some products due to rising logistics and labor costs as the Spring Festival approaches [4] Group 5 - West Securities Research Director Mu Qiguo is set to resign from his position [5] - Greenland Holdings has had 3.71 billion yuan worth of shares frozen for three years by a court [5] Group 6 - Vanke has been listed as an execution target for over 1.08 billion yuan by a court [6] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission imposed a three-year market ban on Jin Yongrong for manipulating the securities market [7] Group 7 - Shenzhen Pengcheng New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. has initiated IPO counseling for A-shares [8] - Jiangxi Copper signed a cooperation framework agreement with China Ordnance Material Group for the purchase and sale of copper and nickel products [9] Group 8 - Huazhong Cable terminated its acquisition of Hunan Xingxin Aerospace New Materials Co., Ltd. due to disagreements on specific terms [10] - Zhonghe Technology won a 141 million yuan project for the Chongqing Rail Transit signal system [11] Group 9 - New Fengming plans to acquire a 35% stake in a port development company for 259 million yuan [12] - Chongqing Construction won a construction project worth approximately 1.023 billion yuan [13] Group 10 - Nanjing Commercial Travel expects a net profit decline of 75.90% to 83.57% for 2025 [14] - Ruimai Te anticipates a net profit increase of 22.28% to 51.24% for 2025 [15] Group 11 - Fulai Ente expects a net profit growth of 81.67% to 127.08% for 2025 [16] - Libang Instruments forecasts a net profit increase of 75% to 105% for 2025 [17] Group 12 - Ding Tong Technology expects a net profit increase of approximately 120% for 2025 [19] - E-Dian Tianxia's stock will resume trading on January 20 after a suspension for price volatility [20] Group 13 - The three major indices showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.29% and the ChiNext Index falling by 0.7% [21]

Market Overview - The market experienced a pullback after an initial rise, with the Shenzhen Composite Index and the ChiNext Index turning negative. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.79 trillion yuan, a decrease of 198.5 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.13%, while the Shenzhen Composite Index fell by 0.01%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.64% [1] Sector Performance - The electric grid equipment sector saw significant gains, with companies like China Xidian, Dalian Electric Porcelain, and Guodian Electric reaching their daily price limits [1] - The commercial aerospace sector rebounded, with stocks such as Jinding New Materials and Yuexiu Capital also hitting their daily limits [3] - The tourism and hotel sector strengthened, with Dalian Shengya and Jiuhua Tourism achieving price limits [7] - The robotics sector experienced fluctuations, with stocks like Riying Electronics and Zhejiang Xiantong reaching their daily limits [5] Notable Stocks - A total of 44 stocks hit their daily limits in the morning session, with a limit rate of 67%. Notable stocks included Fenglong Co., which continued its streak with 14 consecutive price limits, and Xinhua Department Store with 4 consecutive limits [1] - In the electric grid equipment sector, stocks such as Shuangjie Electric and Yinen Electric saw significant increases of 17.65% and 13.89%, respectively [2] Investment Insights - The State Grid Corporation of China announced that its fixed asset investment is expected to reach 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, a 40% increase compared to the previous plan, which is anticipated to drive high-quality development in the new power system supply chain [2][3] - The commercial aerospace sector is gaining momentum, with companies like Zhongke Aerospace completing their IPO guidance work, marking it as one of the fastest in the sector [4][13] Economic Indicators - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that the per capita disposable income for residents in 2025 is projected to be 43,377 yuan, with a nominal growth of 5.0% [29] - The GDP for 2025 is expected to exceed 140 trillion yuan, with a growth rate of 5.0% [30]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance of the A-share market, highlighting the fluctuations in major indices and the significant activity in specific sectors such as electric grid equipment and precious metals [2][4][11]. Market Performance - On January 19, the A-share market experienced a slight increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.29% and the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.09%, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.7%. The total market turnover exceeded 27 trillion yuan [2]. Sector Highlights - The electric grid equipment sector saw a surge, with companies like Baobian Electric, China West Electric, and Guangdian Electric hitting the daily limit. The sector's positive outlook is attributed to favorable news and increasing industry prosperity [4]. - Sanbian Technology, a key player in the electric grid equipment sector, experienced a dramatic trading day, initially hitting the daily limit down before closing at the limit up, with a total transaction volume of 2.592 billion yuan. The company's stock has risen by 65.69% year-to-date [4][6]. Company Insights - Sanbian Technology specializes in oil-immersed transformers and modular substations, with over 1,600 specifications of power transmission and transformation equipment used in various sectors including national grid and photovoltaic [6]. - The company announced plans to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary in Europe with an investment of 500,000 euros to expand its cross-border trade and overseas market presence [6]. Precious Metals Sector - The precious metals sector showed strong performance, with companies like Sichuan Gold and Zhaojin Gold reaching their daily limits. The rise in gold and silver prices is linked to geopolitical tensions and increased demand for safe-haven assets [8][11]. - Spot gold prices reached a historical high of over $4,690 per ounce, while silver prices also hit a record high of over $94 per ounce due to tariff announcements from the U.S. government [10][11]. Commercial Aerospace Sector - The commercial aerospace sector became active, with stocks like AVIC Aircraft and Aero Engine Corporation of China hitting their daily limits. The sector is experiencing a phase of strong growth driven by advancements in rocket manufacturing and satellite technology [12][16]. - Recent successful tests of the "Chuan Yue Zhe 1" manned spacecraft by Beijing Chuan Yue Zhe Manned Space Technology Co. mark significant progress in China's commercial aerospace capabilities [15][16].

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a slight fluctuation with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.29% to 4114.00, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.09% to 14294.05, and the ChiNext Index declining by 0.7% to 3337.61, with a total market turnover exceeding 2.7 trillion yuan [1][12]. Sector Performance - The electric grid equipment sector saw significant gains, with companies like Baobian Electric, China West Electric, and Guangdian Electric hitting the daily limit [14]. - Sanbian Technology, which specializes in oil-immersed power transformers and modular substations, experienced a dramatic trading session, initially hitting the daily limit down before closing at the limit up, with a total transaction volume of 2.592 billion yuan. The company's stock has surged by 65.69% year-to-date [15][17]. Precious Metals - The precious metals sector showed strong performance, with Sichuan Gold and Zhaojin Gold both reaching the daily limit [19]. - Gold and silver prices reached historical highs, with spot gold exceeding $4690 per ounce and spot silver surpassing $94 per ounce, driven by geopolitical tensions and market dynamics [21]. Commercial Aerospace - The commercial aerospace sector was active, with stocks like AVIC Aircraft and Aero Engine Control hitting the daily limit [18]. - Beijing Chuanxuan Space Technology Co. announced the successful completion of a key test for its manned spacecraft, marking a significant milestone in China's commercial space sector [23]. - The commercial aerospace market is expected to evolve in two phases: the initial focus on rocket manufacturing followed by satellite platforms and payloads, with a growing emphasis on satellite applications and services [24].

Market Performance - The three major stock indices closed mixed, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.29% and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.09%, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.7% [1] - The Science and Technology Innovation Index decreased by 0.21% [1] Sector Performance - The sectors leading the gains included ultra-high voltage, smart grid, and general aviation [1] - Conversely, the sectors with the largest declines were CPO, OCS, semiconductor silicon wafers, and consumer electronics [1] Trading Volume - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.71 trillion yuan, which represents a decrease of 317.9 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.29% to 4114.0 points, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.7% to 3337.61 points, indicating a narrow fluctuation in trading activity on January 19 [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 12.09 points, or 0.29%, closing at 4114.0 points [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index rose by 12.97 points, or 0.09%, to 14294.05 points [1] - The CSI 300 Index gained 2.58 points, or 0.05%, ending at 4734.46 points [1] - The total trading volume in the two markets reached 2.71 trillion yuan, with over 3500 stocks rising [1] Group 2: Sector Highlights - The electric grid equipment sector saw a significant surge, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit, driven by a report from Huatai Securities predicting a 4 trillion yuan investment from the State Grid [2] - The precious metals sector strengthened, with both Zhaojin Mining and Sichuan Gold hitting the daily limit, as international gold and silver prices reached historical highs [3] - The tourism sector also performed well, with stocks like Jiuhua Tourism and Dalian Shengya hitting the daily limit, supported by increasing travel bookings ahead of the upcoming holidays [4] Group 3: Institutional Insights - CITIC Securities stated that adjustments in financing margins do not affect the overall upward trend of the market but will influence market structure [5] - Guotai Junan highlighted the acceleration of thematic rotation, focusing on domestic semiconductor and electric power sectors, as regulatory measures aim to stabilize market fluctuations [6] - Dongfang Securities projected that the Shanghai Composite Index would oscillate between 4000 and 4200 points before the Spring Festival, while still favoring sectors with strong demand and performance potential [7]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a morning surge followed by a pullback, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking through 4100 points. By the morning close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.13%, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.64%, with 3381 stocks in the market rising [1][2]. Electric Grid Equipment Sector - The electric grid equipment sector saw a surge, with stocks like Double杰电气 hitting the daily limit and 亿能电力 rising over 20%. The State Grid announced a fixed asset investment of 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan, focusing on technological innovation and new power system construction. This investment is expected to create a full industry chain effect, benefiting five major sectors including ultra-high voltage and distribution network upgrades [3][4]. Commercial Aerospace and Photovoltaic Sectors - The commercial aerospace concept showed active performance, with stocks like 九鼎新材 and 越秀资本 hitting the daily limit. The photovoltaic sector also saw significant gains, particularly in the space photovoltaic direction, with 赛伍技术 reaching the daily limit. However, warnings about potential bubbles in this sector were noted, as several leading photovoltaic companies announced expected losses exceeding 28.9 billion yuan for 2025 [4]. Precious Metals Sector - The precious metals sector was active, with 四川黄金 rising over 9% and other gold stocks like 招金黄金 and 西部黄金 also performing well. International gold and silver prices reached historical highs, with gold prices exceeding $4690 per ounce and silver prices surpassing $94 per ounce. Domestic gold jewelry prices also saw significant increases, with some brands raising prices by 24 yuan per gram in a single day [4]. Declining Stocks - The CPO concept experienced a downturn, with AI applications, semiconductors, and cultivated diamonds showing significant declines. 包钢股份 opened with a drop of 5.6% following a tragic explosion incident at its plant, resulting in casualties and injuries. 容百科技 faced a 20% limit down due to an investigation by the securities regulatory authority for misleading statements [5]. Doubling Stocks - Several stocks in the A-share market have doubled in value, including 易点天下 and 志特新材, which saw increases of over 100% and 138%, respectively. The semiconductor stock 珂玛科技, despite a drop of over 3% recently, had a cumulative increase of over 159% in the past 26 trading days [6][8]. Cryptocurrency Market - The cryptocurrency market faced a downturn, with major cryptocurrencies experiencing significant declines, leading to over 240,000 liquidations and a total liquidation amount of $864 million [9].