Core Viewpoint - TMC The Metals Company has experienced a significant increase in stock price, driven by positive market momentum and favorable analyst coverage, despite some sell-offs in the latter half of the trading week [1][2][4]. Group 1: Stock Performance - TMC's stock closed the week up 3.8%, outperforming the S&P 500 index, which rallied by 3.4% [1]. - The stock has risen 44% over the last month, largely due to bullish market sentiment and a major investment from Korea Zinc [2]. - Following Wedbush's upgrade of TMC's rating from neutral to outperform, the stock saw a significant increase in trading activity [5]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - Positive macroeconomic indicators, including potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, have contributed to a bullish market outlook [4]. - A ceasefire between Israel and Iran has also provided a favorable geopolitical backdrop, enhancing investor sentiment [4]. Group 3: Analyst Coverage - Wedbush raised its one-year price target for TMC from $6 to $11 per share, indicating a potential upside of approximately 61.5% [5]. - The positive analyst coverage has played a crucial role in boosting TMC's stock performance [5]. Group 4: Regulatory Environment - The U.S. is increasing its domestic mineral production capabilities amid geopolitical tensions with China, which may benefit TMC [6]. - TMC still faces regulatory hurdles but the overall conditions appear to be improving for the company [6].

Market Overview - The market has recovered most of its losses from earlier in the quarter, finishing strong despite initial turbulence caused by President Trump's trade policies [1][2] - The upcoming week is expected to be shortened, following a quarter that started poorly but ended on a high note, emphasizing the importance of maintaining a steady investment approach [2] Company Insights - Constellation Brands is expected to report disappointing earnings, reflecting broader challenges in the consumer packaged goods sector [4] - The company faces headwinds from the rise of GLP-1 weight loss drugs and increasing consumer preference for cannabis, which are negatively impacting alcohol sales [4] - Constellation Brands' sales are particularly affected by Trump's immigration policies, as approximately half of its beer sales come from Hispanic consumers who are now spending less due to concerns over employment [4] Economic Indicators - The Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index will be released, serving as a key indicator of the industrial economy's health, with potential implications for Federal Reserve interest rate decisions [3] - Mortgage application figures are anticipated, which have been described as a significant burden on the economy [5] - The labor report set to be released on Thursday is critical; weak data could lead to renewed criticism of Fed Chair Jerome Powell and raise the possibility of a rate cut in July [5]

Company Performance - Nike reported fiscal Q4 earnings of $0.14 per share, exceeding expectations by $0.02, marking the eighth consecutive quarter of beating estimates [5] - Revenues for Nike in Q4 were $11.1 billion, although this represents a decline from $12.61 billion in the same quarter last year [5] - Full-year revenues for Nike totaled $46.3 billion, which was above the Zacks consensus but still down 10% year over year [6] - North America revenues for Nike decreased by 11% year over year, a trend that was consistent across all global regions [6] - Despite a strong trading day with a gain of 2.8%, Nike shares fell by 1.6% following the earnings announcement [6] Market Overview - The stock market is showing resilience, with all markets except the small-cap Russell 2000 up for the year, and the S&P 500 nearing all-time highs [2] - The AI sector is experiencing a resurgence, with companies like NVIDIA and Palantir reaching new record highs [2] - The White House indicated that the July 9th deadline on reciprocal tariffs is "not critical," which has alleviated concerns among investors [3] - Continuing Jobless Claims have worsened, suggesting a weakening labor market, which may prompt the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates [4] Economic Indicators - Upcoming Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data is anticipated, with year-over-year projections of 2.3% growth and 2.6% on core PCE, close to the Fed's inflation target of 2.0% [7]

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS 9.27%) posted big gains Monday in a session of strong trading for space stocks. The company's share price ended the daily session up 9.3%. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 (^GSPC 0.96%) and the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC 0.94%) both gained 1% on the day.AST SpaceMobile's valuation surged higher today amid excitement for the space industry, geopolitical developments, and comments from a Federal Reserve official that could point to a more favorable backdrop for the stock. The company's share price wa ...

墨尔本市场全面复苏 Domain报道称，悉尼房价中位数有望在下一财年突破180万澳元大关，而 墨尔本房价或将达到111.2万澳元。 此外，布里斯班的房价中位数预计将接近110万澳元，珀斯也有望进入房价百万俱乐部。 "即便按照今天的价格，大多次首次购房者也无法负担悉尼的独栋屋，公寓可能是他们唯一的选择。" | Capital City | FY25 | FY26 | FY25 | FY26 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Sydney | 3% | 6% | $835,819 | $888,822 | | Melbourne | -3% | 5% | $555,522 | $584,400 | | Brisbane | 12% | 5% | $670,798 | $701,490 | | Adelaide | 10% | 3% | $568,000 | $586,366 | | Canberra | -13% | 3% | $531,784 | $546,265 | | Perth | 12% | 6% | $519,551 | $552,487 | | Combined ...

Market Overview - The broader market has experienced a strong rally, with the S&P 500 delivering a total return of 10.5% over the last 12 months, driven by indications of moderating inflation and hopes for lower interest rates [1] Financial Sector Outlook - The outlook for financial companies is heavily influenced by macroeconomic conditions and the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy [2] PayPal Analysis - PayPal's stock is down approximately 17% year to date and 77% from its all-time high in 2021, despite solid gains in the broader financial sector [4] - The company maintains a strong position in the payments and financial services industry, with few competitors matching its financial foundations and operational track record [5] - PayPal's total revenue increased by 1% year over year to $7.8 billion, while total payment volume rose by 3% annually to $417.2 billion [6] - Non-GAAP earnings per share increased by 23% year over year to $1.33, with the company holding $15.8 billion in cash against $12.6 billion in debt after returning $1.5 billion to shareholders through stock buybacks [7] - PayPal stock is currently trading at 13.5 times this year's expected earnings, with potential for a more favorable operating environment if the Fed cuts interest rates [8] - The stock is viewed as an attractive investment opportunity in the financial sector due to its solid business foundations and encouraging performance [9] Prudential Financial Analysis - Prudential Financial is positioned to benefit from a potential increase in long-term interest rates, which could lead to higher yields on future bond purchases [13] - The stock is currently down 19% from its lifetime high, and higher interest rates may lower the value of its current bonds but increase the discount rate on its liabilities [13] - Prudential Financial offers a 5.1% dividend yield, making it a useful addition for portfolio insurance [14]

Group 1: Auction Market Performance - The auction clearance rates in major Australian cities are showing strong performance, with Sydney at 69% and Melbourne at 70% [1][12][14] - The auction market has reached its highest clearance rate since mid-2024, indicating a potential upward trend in property prices [12][13] - The number of properties auctioned has significantly increased compared to last year, particularly in Melbourne, which may attract more sellers [14][15] Group 2: Housing Market Trends - The housing price index for Australia's five major capital cities rose by 0.5% in May, reflecting steady growth across all major markets [3] - In the May quarter, housing prices increased by 1.2%, with Brisbane leading at 1.6%, followed by Perth (1.4%) and Adelaide (1.3%) [5] - Lower interest rates and rising consumer confidence are expected to sustain the momentum seen in the typically quieter winter months [10][18] Group 3: Economic Factors Influencing Housing - Anticipation of a 0.25% interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia has contributed to significant price increases in May [7][16] - Consumer confidence, which had declined in April, is now on the rise, encouraging larger purchases such as homes [9] - The government's 5% deposit scheme for first-time homebuyers, effective from January 1, 2026, is expected to further boost demand and property prices [18]

Core Viewpoint - The bond market continues to experience narrow fluctuations, with recent adjustments in LPR and deposit rates not significantly impacting market sentiment [1][2] Market Performance - As of May 21, the interbank bond market showed slight fluctuations in yield rates, with the 3-month government bond yield stable at 1.43%, the 2-year yield down 1 basis point to 1.48%, and the 10-year yield up 1 basis point to 1.71% [2] - The recent adjustments in LPR and deposit rates were anticipated and did not lead to significant market changes, as the market had already priced in the current easing measures [2][3] Institutional Perspectives - Some institutions maintain a bullish outlook on the bond market, suggesting that the current environment allows for active bond allocation and potential capital gains through extending duration [5] - The consensus among institutions is that the broad trend of declining interest rates remains intact, although the current sentiment is somewhat weak due to limitations on the downward movement of long-term rates [4][5] Future Expectations - The expectation is that the decline in deposit rates will lead to a decrease in other cash-like rates, which is crucial for managing banks' funding costs and stabilizing the financial system [4] - The market anticipates that as currency constraints ease, there will be continued downward adjustments in short-term rates, which could subsequently lead to declines in medium to long-term bond yields [4] Investment Strategies - The prevailing strategy among investors is to engage in wave trading, with 83% of surveyed investors favoring this approach, while others are considering duration adjustments and selective exposure to equity [6] - Institutions recommend focusing on medium to short-term bonds with positive carry, while also exploring opportunities in municipal private placement bonds and stable ABS valuations [6]

据国家统计局5月19日发布的数据，2025年1月至4月，新建商品房销售面积28262万平方米，同比下降 2.8％，降幅比1至3月收窄0.2个百分点。房地产开发企业到位资金32596亿元，同比下降4.1％，其中个 人按揭贷款4518亿元，同比下降8.5％。 21世纪经济报道记者 林秋彤 北京报道 5月20日，人民银行授权全国银行间同业拆借中心公布了新一期贷款市场报价利率（LPR）。1年期LPR 为3％，5年期以上LPR为3.5％，两个品种的报价均较上个月下降了10个基点。 同日，六大国有银行和招商银行、光大银行等股份行集体下调存款利率，其中活期存款利率下调了5个 基点，定期存款整存整取三个月期、半年期、一年期、二年期均下调了15个基点，三年期和五年期均下 调了25个基点。 民生银行首席经济学家温彬指出，今日（5月20日）大行和股份行牵头开启第七轮存款挂牌利率下调， 且本次存款利率下调幅度大于LPR降幅，有助于降低商业银行的负债成本。东方金诚宏观团队研究指 出，下调政策利率并引导LPR下行，将带动企业和居民贷款利率更大幅度下调，降低实体经济融资成 本，这是现阶段扩投资、促消费的一个重要发力点。 随着提振消费政策齐 ...

Core Viewpoint - Domestic precious metal futures show mixed performance, while international precious metals are experiencing a decline [1][2] Group 1: Domestic Market Performance - As of May 20, the main contract for Shanghai gold is priced at 754.38 CNY per gram, with an increase of 0.48% [1] - The main contract for Shanghai silver is priced at 8074.00 CNY per kilogram, with a decrease of 0.21% [1] - The opening price for Shanghai gold was 757.00 CNY per gram, reaching a high of 759.56 CNY and a low of 753.12 CNY [2] - The opening price for Shanghai silver was 8125.00 CNY per kilogram, with a high of 8137.00 CNY and a low of 8073.00 CNY [2] Group 2: International Market Performance - COMEX gold is priced at 3213.30 USD per ounce, reflecting a decline of 0.58% [1] - COMEX silver is priced at 32.26 USD per ounce, showing a decrease of 0.74% [1] - The opening price for COMEX gold was 3233.00 USD per ounce, with a high of 3235.80 USD and a low of 3207.40 USD [2] - The opening price for COMEX silver was 32.50 USD per ounce, reaching a high of 32.54 USD and a low of 32.24 USD [2] Group 3: Market Influences - The market anticipates a 25 basis point rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia, marking the first cut since February [3] - The RBA is expected to acknowledge that inflation has returned to target levels, but may refrain from indicating a series of rate cuts due to global economic uncertainties [3] - Recent developments include Moody's withdrawal of the last AAA credit rating for the U.S. due to significant fiscal deficits and rising interest costs [4] - The approval of a tax and spending bill by the House Budget Committee is expected to increase the deficit by trillions, raising investor concerns about U.S. debt [4]