先锋期货期权日报 2025-6-12 风险揭示 本报告中的信息或所表述的意见并不构成对任何人的投资建议。本报告所载 的资料、工具、意见及推测只提供给客户作参考之用。过去的表现并不代表未来 的表现，未来的回报也无法保证，投资者可能会损失本金。 在任何情况下,我们不对任何人因使用本报告中的任何内容所引致的任何损 失负任何责任,投资者需自行承担风险。此报告中所指的投资及服务可能不适合 阁下,我们建议阁下如有任何疑问应咨询独立投资顾问。 | 标的 | 平值期权隐 | 排名 | 标的30天厅 | 排名 | 标的当 = | 排名 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 含液动率 | | F YF ZT Z | | 真实液幅 | | | ad2511 | 32.0% | 1 | 0.0% | ર્ણ | 0.0% | ર્ણ | | sc2508 | 2.0% | 2 | 2.0% | 3 | 4.2% | 1 | | br2507 | 1.9% | 3 | 1.9% | 5 | 2.9% | 2 | | ao2507 | 1.9% | 4 | 2.4% | l ...

先锋期货期权日报 2025-6-9 风险揭示 本报告中的信息或所表述的意见并不构成对任何人的投资建议。本报告所载 的资料、工具、意见及推测只提供给客户作参考之用。过去的表现并不代表未来 的表现，未来的回报也无法保证，投资者可能会损失本金。 在任何情况下,我们不对任何人因使用本报告中的任何内容所引致的任何损 失负任何责任,投资者需自行承担风险。此报告中所指的投资及服务可能不适合 阁下,我们建议阁下如有任何疑问应咨询独立投资顾问。 | 标的 | 平值期权隐 | 排名 | 标的30天历 | 排名 | 标的当日 | 排名 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 含波动率 | | 中波动画 | | 真实波幅 | | | sc2507 | 2.5% | 1 | 2.1% | 3 | 2.3% | 10 | | fg507 | 2.1% | 2 | 1.6% | 12 | 2.1% | 14 | | ag2507 | 2.1% | 3 | 1.4% | 14 | 1.4% | 24 | | ao2507 | 2.1% | 4 | 2.6% | 1 | 2.7% | ...

先锋期货期权日报 2025-6-5 风险揭示 本报告中的信息或所表述的意见并不构成对任何人的投资建议。本报告所载 的资料、工具、意见及推测只提供给客户作参考之用。过去的表现并不代表未来 的表现，未来的回报也无法保证，投资者可能会损失本金。 在任何情况下,我们不对任何人因使用本报告中的任何内容所引致的任何损 失负任何责任,投资者需自行承担风险。此报告中所指的投资及服务可能不适合 阁下,我们建议阁下如有任何疑问应咨询独立投资顾问。 | 标的 | 平值期权隐 | 排名 | 标的30天历 | 排名 | 标的当日 | 排名 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 含波动率 | | 史波动率 | | 真实波幅 | | | sc2507 | 2.3% | 1 | 2.3% | 2 | 2.0% | 10 | | sn2507 | 2.1% | 2 | 1.3% | 17 | 0.8% | 42 | | ps2507 | 2.1% | 3 | 1.9% | 4 | 2.0% | 11 | | si2507 | 2.1% | 4 | 1.8% | 8 | 2.6% | ...

Core Viewpoint - Japan is facing a severe trust crisis regarding its national debt, with long-term bond rates reaching historical highs and a significant drop in its status as the world's largest creditor nation [4][5][6]. Group 1: Japan's Debt Crisis - Japan's 30-year and 40-year bond rates have surged to 2.999% and 3.336%, respectively, marking a historical high and indicating a lack of bidders [3]. - The country has lost its position as the world's largest creditor for the first time since 1991, with its net external assets reaching 533.05 trillion yen, a 12.9% year-on-year increase, but still surpassed by Germany's $3.95 trillion [5][6]. - Japan's finance minister stated that the growth in net external assets should not be seen as a significant change in Japan's international status [9]. Group 2: Historical Context of Japan's Creditor Status - Japan maintained its status as the world's largest creditor for 33 years due to its strong manufacturing and export economy, which generated substantial foreign exchange [16]. - The post-Korean War era saw Japan become a supply base for the U.S. military, leading to a surge in industrial demand and foreign exchange [20][21]. - Japan's automotive industry rapidly expanded from virtually zero in 1955 to becoming the world's largest by 1980, significantly contributing to its foreign investment capabilities [24]. Group 3: Currency and Economic Dynamics - Japan has maintained ultra-low interest rates and minimal inflation over the past two decades, contrasting with global trends of rising prices [34][36]. - The lack of inflation suggests that the money supply in Japan has not significantly increased, leading to speculation that much of the printed yen has been used for foreign investments [42]. - The Japanese foreign exchange market accounts for 35%-40% of global retail forex trading, with many investors borrowing yen to invest abroad [46]. Group 4: Future Implications of Debt and Currency Policy - Japan's public debt is projected to reach 234.9% of GDP in 2024, with a significant portion of debt held domestically [65]. - The country has been caught in a cycle of borrowing to pay off existing debt, with over 60% of new debt issued since 2012 being used to refinance old debt [68]. - The potential for rising interest rates could lead to a significant depreciation of the yen, impacting both domestic and international investment strategies [90][94]. Group 5: Economic Measures and Public Response - The Japanese government has initiated measures to counteract the effects of yen depreciation, including energy subsidies and calls for wage increases [109]. - Average wage increases are projected to reach 5.08% in 2024, reflecting a concerted effort to mitigate the impact of inflation on citizens [110][111]. - These strategies aim to balance the need for economic growth and debt management while addressing the potential negative effects on the populace [113].

先锋期货期权日报 2025-5-29 风险揭示 本报告中的信息或所表述的意见并不构成对任何人的投资建议。本报告所载 的资料、工具、意见及推测只提供给客户作参考之用。过去的表现并不代表未来 的表现，未来的回报也无法保证，投资者可能会损失本金。 在任何情况下，我们不对任何人因使用本报告中的任何内容所引致的任何损 失负任何责任，投资者需自行承担风险。此报告中所指的投资及服务可能不适合 阁下，我们建议阁下如有任何疑问应咨询独立投资顾问。 | 标 的 | 平值期权隐 | 排 名 | 标的30天历 | 排 名 | 标的当日 | 排 名 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 含波动率 | | 史波动率 | | 真实波幅 | | | sc2507 | 2.3% | 1 | 2.2% | 2 | 3.2% | 4 | | ps2507 | 2.2% | 2 | 1.8% | 8 | 2.1% | 17 | | si2507 | 2.1% | 3 | 1.7% | 9 | 2.6% | 11 | | sn2507 | 2.1% | 4 | 0.9% | 33 | 1. ...

Report Summary 1. Report Information - Report Name: Pioneer Futures Options Daily Report - Date: May 23, 2025 [1] 2. Option Volatility Ranking - The report provides a ranking of options based on at-the-money option implied volatility, 30-day historical volatility, and daily true range for various underlying assets. For example, ao2506 ranks first in at-the-money option implied volatility with 2.4%, and sm507 ranks first in daily true range with 5.1% [3][5]. 3. Core Views - At-the-money option implied volatility reflects the market's expectation of future price fluctuations of the underlying asset. Higher values indicate a greater likelihood of significant price movements, which can be of interest to trend traders. - The 30-day historical volatility reflects the actual price movements of the underlying asset in the past. If this value is smaller than the implied volatility, it may suggest that option prices are relatively expensive, which can be of interest to option sellers. - The daily true range reflects the intraday price movements of the underlying asset, which can be of interest to intraday traders [6]. 4. Exchange Option Analysis 4.1 Shanghai Stock Exchange Options - **上证50ETF (SSE 50 ETF)**: - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main options is 836,591 contracts, the open interest is 745,131 contracts, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.05, and the weighted average implied volatility is 14.36%. - **Volatility Trading**: Suggestions include selling options in months with higher implied volatility curves and buying options in months with lower curves. For options in the same month, sell options with higher points on the curve and buy those with lower points. - **Risk-Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized yield of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 44.6% when trading at the settlement price and 9.17% when trading at the counterparty price [19][22][24][28][30]. - **华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF (Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF)**: - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main options is 674,867 contracts, the open interest is 529,907 contracts, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 0.89, and the weighted average implied volatility is 14.92%. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions as for the SSE 50 ETF. - **Risk-Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized yield of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 58.7% when trading at the settlement price and 11.1% when trading at the counterparty price [31][33][37][41][43]. - **南方中证500ETF (Southern CSI 500 ETF)**: - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main options is 1,105,783 contracts, the open interest is 578,593 contracts, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.04, and the weighted average implied volatility is 19.3%. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions as above. - **Risk-Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized yield of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 92.4% when trading at the settlement price and 23.2% when trading at the counterparty price [44][47][50][54][56]. - **华夏上证科创板50ETF (Huaxia SSE STAR Market 50 ETF)**: - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main options is 402,764 contracts, the open interest is 753,563 contracts, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.34, and the weighted average implied volatility is 28.18%. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions as above. - **Risk-Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized yield of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 91.5% when trading at the settlement price and 13.3% when trading at the counterparty price [57][59][63][66][67]. - **易方达上证科创板50ETF (E Fund SSE STAR Market 50 ETF)**: - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main options is 94,593 contracts, the open interest is 212,957 contracts, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.18, and the weighted average implied volatility is 31.7%. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions as above. - **Risk-Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized yield of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 145% when trading at the settlement price and 19.4% when trading at the counterparty price [68][70][72][76][78]. 4.2 Shenzhen Stock Exchange Options - **嘉实沪深300ETF (Harvest CSI 300 ETF)**: - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main options is 124,797 contracts, the open interest is 142,389 contracts, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.06, and the weighted average implied volatility is 15.38%. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions as above. - **Risk-Free Arbitrage**: No specific arbitrage yield data is provided in the current text [79][82].

Report Information - Report Name: Pioneer Futures Options Daily Report - Date: May 21, 2025 [1] Core Data Options Volatility Ranking - The table shows the implied volatility, historical volatility, and true range of various option targets, along with their rankings [3][5] Shanghai Stock Exchange Options Shanghai 50ETF - The trading volume of the main options is 648,739 lots, the open interest is 795,306 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.42, and the weighted average implied volatility is 13% [22] Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300ETF - The trading volume of the main options is 473,954 lots, the open interest is 613,367 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.1, and the weighted average implied volatility is 13.51% [33] Southern CSI 500ETF - The trading volume of the main options is 683,791 lots, the open interest is 644,131 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.14, and the weighted average implied volatility is 17.11% [45] Huaxia SSE STAR Market 50ETF - The trading volume of the main options is 220,040 lots, the open interest is 821,906 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.57, and the weighted average implied volatility is 25.02% [57] E Fund SSE STAR Market 50ETF - The trading volume of the main options is 34,798 lots, the open interest is 220,760 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.54, and the weighted average implied volatility is 25.82% [69] Shenzhen Stock Exchange Options Harvest CSI 300ETF - The trading volume of the main options is 88,831 lots, the open interest is 141,426 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 0.71, and the weighted average implied volatility is 17.47% [81] E Fund ChiNext ETF - The basic information table shows the call and put option prices at different strike prices [89] Volatility Trading Recommendations - Different months: Sell the month with the curve on top, buy the month with the curve below - Same month: Sell the option with the point on the curve above, buy the option with the point on the curve below [24][37][50] Risk-Free Arbitrage Returns Shanghai Stock Exchange Options Shanghai 50ETF - Settled at the settlement price: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held until maturity is 14.7% - Settled at the counterparty price: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held until maturity is 1.67% [28][30] Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300ETF - Settled at the settlement price: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held until maturity is 10.9% - Settled at the counterparty price: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held until maturity is 1.39% [40][41] Southern CSI 500ETF - Settled at the settlement price: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held until maturity is 52.1% - Settled at the counterparty price: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held until maturity is 11.0% [52][54] Huaxia SSE STAR Market 50ETF - Settled at the settlement price: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held until maturity is 35.3% - Settled at the counterparty price: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held until maturity is 3.12% [64][66] E Fund SSE STAR Market 50ETF - Settled at the settlement price: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held until maturity is 34.0% - Settled at the counterparty price: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held until maturity is 6.79% [75][77] Shenzhen Stock Exchange Options Harvest CSI 300ETF - Settled at the settlement price: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held until maturity is 19.0% - Settled at the counterparty price: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held until maturity is 0.11% [87][88]

Group 1: Report Summary - The report is the Pioneer Futures Options Daily Report dated May 20, 2025, presenting option data and analysis for various underlying assets [1] Group 2: Option Volatility Ranking - The table shows the implied volatility, 30 - day historical volatility, and daily true volatility of multiple option underlying assets, along with their rankings. For example, ao2506 has an implied volatility of 3.1% (ranked 1st), a 30 - day historical volatility of 2.3% (ranked 1st), and a daily true volatility of 3.8% (ranked 1st) [3] - Implied volatility reflects market expectations of future price fluctuations, historical volatility shows past price movements, and daily true volatility represents intraday price changes [6] Group 3: Shanghai Stock Exchange Options - General Information 1.1 Shanghai 50ETF - The T - type quotation table shows the call and put option prices at different strike prices and expiration months. The trading volume of the main contract is 631,377 lots, the open interest is 834,777 lots, the call - put trading volume ratio is 1.47, and the weighted average implied volatility is 12.68% [19][22] - For volatility trading, different months: sell the month with the higher curve and buy the month with the lower curve; same month: sell options above the curve and buy options below the curve [27] - For risk - free arbitrage, the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity has a minimum annualized yield of 36.2% at the settlement price and 2.49% at the counter - party price [31][33] 1.2 Huatai - Berry SSE 300ETF - The T - type quotation table shows option prices. The trading volume of the main contract is 491,205 lots, the open interest is 648,081 lots, the call - put trading volume ratio is 1.19, and the weighted average implied volatility is 13.25% [34][36] - Volatility trading suggestions are the same as for the Shanghai 50ETF [41] - For risk - free arbitrage, the minimum annualized yield is 16.5% at the settlement price and 1.70% at the counter - party price [43][45] 1.3 Southern CSI 500ETF - The T - type quotation table shows option prices. The trading volume of the main contract is 868,316 lots, the open interest is 681,119 lots, the call - put trading volume ratio is 1.13, and the weighted average implied volatility is 16.76% [46][49] - Volatility trading suggestions are consistent with the previous ones [54] - For risk - free arbitrage, the minimum annualized yield is 48.6% at the settlement price and 9.01% at the counter - party price [56][58] 1.4 Huaxia SSE STAR Market 50ETF - The T - type quotation table shows option prices. The trading volume of the main contract is 209,169 lots, the open interest is 832,998 lots, the call - put trading volume ratio is 1.82, and the weighted average implied volatility is 23.96% [59][61] - Volatility trading suggestions remain the same [66] - For risk - free arbitrage, the minimum annualized yield is 47.0% at the settlement price and 5.83% at the counter - party price [68][70] 1.5 E Fund SSE STAR Market 50ETF - The T - type quotation table shows option prices. The trading volume of the main contract is 135,221 lots, the open interest is 77,858 lots, the call - put trading volume ratio is 0.31, and the weighted average implied volatility is 28.53% [71][73] - Volatility trading suggestions are as before [77] - The report does not provide risk - free arbitrage data for this ETF

先锋期货期权日报 2025-5-15 风险揭示 本报告中的信息或所表述的意见并不构成对任何人的投资建议。本报告所载 的资料、工具、意见及推测只提供给客户作参考之用。过去的表现并不代表未来 的表现，未来的回报也无法保证，投资者可能会损失本金。 在任何情况下，我们不对任何人因使用本报告中的任何内容所引致的任何损 失负任何责任，投资者需自行承担风险。此报告中所指的投资及服务可能不适合 阁下，我们建议阁下如有任何疑问应咨询独立投资顾问。 | 标 的 | 平值期权隐 | 排 名 | 标的30天历 | 排 名 | 标的当日 | 排 名 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 含波动率 | | 史波动率 | | 真实波幅 | | | ao2506 | 2.2% | 1 | 1.6% | 9 | 4.1% | 2 | | sn2506 | 2.2% | 2 | 1.1% | 27 | 1.2% | 44 | | ps2507 | 2.2% | 3 | 2.1% | 2 | 2.5% | 10 | | eb2506 | 2.2% | 4 | 1.8% | 6 | 2. ...

先锋期货期权日报 2025-5-14 风险揭示 本报告中的信息或所表述的意见并不构成对任何人的投资建议。本报告所载 的资料、工具、意见及推测只提供给客户作参考之用。过去的表现并不代表未来 的表现，未来的回报也无法保证，投资者可能会损失本金。 在任何情况下，我们不对任何人因使用本报告中的任何内容所引致的任何损 失负任何责任，投资者需自行承担风险。此报告中所指的投资及服务可能不适合 阁下，我们建议阁下如有任何疑问应咨询独立投资顾问。 | 标 的 | 平值期权隐 | 排 名 | 标的30天历 | 排 名 | 标的当日 | 排 名 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 含波动率 | | 史波动率 | | 真实波幅 | | | ps2507 | 2.4% | 1 | 2.1% | 1 | 3.3% | 11 | | sn2506 | 2.4% | 2 | 1.2% | 24 | 1.5% | 44 | | eb2506 | 2.2% | 3 | 1.8% | 6 | 4.1% | 4 | | br2506 | 2.2% | 4 | 1.9% | 5 | 2. ...