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先锋期货期权日报-20250815
Xian Feng Qi Huo· 2025-08-15 09:02
Group 1: General Information - The report is the Pioneer Futures Options Daily Report dated August 15, 2025 [1] - It provides data on the implied volatility of at - the - money options, 30 - day historical volatility, and the true daily range of various option targets, along with rankings [3][5] - The volatility data are daily - based and can be directly compared. Higher implied volatility implies a greater likelihood of significant market movements, and differences between historical and implied volatility can indicate option price trends [6] Group 2: Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report Group 3: Core Viewpoints - The report presents detailed data on option targets' volatility and trading information, offering reference for different types of traders such as trend traders, option sellers, and intraday traders based on the volatility characteristics [6] - It also provides basic information, volatility trading suggestions, and risk - free arbitrage analysis for options on various ETFs and commodities across different exchanges Group 4: Summary by Directory 1. Shanghai Stock Exchange Options 1.1 Shanghai 50ETF - Basic Information: Presents the T - type quotation table of Shanghai 50ETF options, including call and put option prices at different strike prices. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 1,163,646 lots, the open interest is 969,586 lots, the call - to - put volume ratio is 1.77, and the weighted average implied volatility is 17.15% [19][21] - Volatility Trading: Suggests selling options with higher - positioned curves (either across different months or within the same month) and buying those with lower - positioned curves based on the implied volatility curves [23] - Risk - Free Arbitrage: The optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity yields a minimum annualized return of 14.6% at the settlement price and 3.74% at the counter - party price [27][29] 1.2 Huatai - Berry Shanghai - Shenzhen 300ETF - Basic Information: Displays the T - type quotation table of 300ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 1,027,221 lots, the open interest is 732,654 lots, the call - to - put volume ratio is 1.64, and the weighted average implied volatility is 18.61% [30][33] - Volatility Trading: Similar to the Shanghai 50ETF, it recommends selling high - curve options and buying low - curve options according to the implied volatility curves [37] - Risk - Free Arbitrage: The optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity has a minimum annualized return of 11.8% at the settlement price and 2.65% at the counter - party price [40][42] 1.3 Southern China Securities 500ETF - Basic Information: Shows the T - type quotation table of 500ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 1,691,096 lots, the open interest is 778,728 lots, the call - to - put volume ratio is 1.43, and the weighted average implied volatility is 20.63% [43][45] - Volatility Trading: Advises selling high - curve options and buying low - curve options based on the implied volatility curves [49] - Risk - Free Arbitrage: The optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity offers a minimum annualized return of 15.5% at the settlement price and 3.42% at the counter - party price [52][54] 1.4 Huaxia Shanghai Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF - Basic Information: Presents the T - type quotation table of Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 737,709 lots, the open interest is 923,760 lots, the call - to - put volume ratio is 2.39, and the weighted average implied volatility is 29.49% [55][57] - Volatility Trading: Suggests selling high - curve options and buying low - curve options according to the implied volatility curves [62] - Risk - Free Arbitrage: The optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity gives a minimum annualized return of 15.6% at the settlement price and 0.93% at the counter - party price [64][66] 1.5 E Fund Shanghai Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF - Basic Information: Displays the T - type quotation table of Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 182,129 lots, the open interest is 269,106 lots, the call - to - put volume ratio is 2.19, and the weighted average implied volatility is 30.56% [67][69] - Volatility Trading: Recommends selling high - curve options and buying low - curve options based on the implied volatility curves [71] - Risk - Free Arbitrage: The optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity yields a minimum annualized return of 15.6% at the settlement price and 1.90% at the counter - party price [75][77] 2. Shenzhen Stock Exchange Options 2.1 Harvest Shanghai - Shenzhen 300ETF - Basic Information: Presents the T - type quotation table of Shenzhen 300ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 232,529 lots, the open interest is 158,549 lots, the call - to - put volume ratio is 1.4, and the weighted average implied volatility is 22.03% [78][81] - Volatility Trading: Advises selling high - curve options and buying low - curve options according to the implied volatility curves [83] - Risk - Free Arbitrage: No specific risk - free arbitrage data are provided in the extracted content Other Exchanges' Options - The report also has a directory for options on the China Financial Futures Exchange, Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange, Dalian Commodity Exchange, Shanghai Futures Exchange, Shanghai International Energy Exchange, and Guangzhou Futures Exchange, but detailed data are not fully presented in the provided content for all of them. Only the directory structure and general analysis directions are given, including basic information, volatility trading, and risk - free arbitrage for each option type [8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16][17][18]
先锋期货期权日报-20250814
Xian Feng Qi Huo· 2025-08-14 09:33
Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View The report presents the option daily report of Pioneer Futures on August 14, 2025, including the volatility data of various option targets and the basic information, volatility trading, and risk - free arbitrage analysis of options on multiple exchanges [3][19]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Shanghai Stock Exchange Options - **1.1 Shanghai 50ETF** - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main - force options of Shanghai 50ETF is 1,504,832 lots, the position is 960,669 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.87, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 15.46% [21]. - **Volatility Trading**: Suggestions are given based on the implied volatility curves of call options with different strike prices and different Deltas, such as selling the months or options above the curve and buying those below [24]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized rate of return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 3.94% at the settlement price and 0.93% at the counter - price [27][29]. - **1.2 Huatai - Baorui CSI 300ETF** - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main - force options is 1,105,047 lots, the position is 727,031 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.71, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 16.41% [33]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar volatility trading suggestions are provided according to the implied volatility curves [36]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized rate of return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 7.24% at the settlement price and 0.70% at the counter - price [40][42]. - **1.3 Southern CSI 500ETF** - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main - force options is 1,528,831 lots, the position is 776,258 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.3, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 18.79% [45]. - **Volatility Trading**: Volatility trading suggestions are given based on the implied volatility curves [48]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized rate of return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 26.7% at the settlement price and 7.73% at the counter - price [52][54]. - **1.4 Huaxia Shanghai - Science and Technology Innovation Board 50ETF** - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main - force options is 1,306,982 lots, the position is 893,513 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 2.13, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 27.76% [57]. - **Volatility Trading**: Volatility trading suggestions are made according to the implied volatility curves [61]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized rate of return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 26.0% at the settlement price and 1.75% at the counter - price [64][66]. - **1.5 E Fund Shanghai - Science and Technology Innovation Board 50ETF** - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main - force options is 319,275 lots, the position is 263,988 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 2.42, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 29.98% [68]. - **Volatility Trading**: Volatility trading suggestions are provided based on the implied volatility curves [72]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized rate of return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 17.5% at the settlement price and 1.12% at the counter - price [75][77]. 3.2 Shenzhen Stock Exchange Options - **2.1 Harvest CSI 300ETF** - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main - force options of Shenzhen 300ETF is 195,481 lots, the position is 151,071 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 2.32, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 17.88% [81]. - **Volatility Trading**: Volatility trading suggestions are given according to the implied volatility curves [85].
先锋期货期权日报-20250812
Xian Feng Qi Huo· 2025-08-12 09:06
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report The report is a futures and options daily report from Pioneer Futures on August 12, 2025. It presents volatility data of various option underlying assets and offers trading suggestions for different types of options on multiple exchanges. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Options on the Shanghai Stock Exchange - **1.1 Shanghai 50ETF** - **Basic Information**: Provided the T - type quotation table of Shanghai 50ETF options, including call and put option prices at different strike prices. The trading volume of the main - contract options was 945,946 lots, the open interest was 956,178 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options was 1.55, and the weighted - average implied volatility was 13.46% [19][21]. - **Volatility Trading**: Suggested selling options in months with higher implied volatility curves and buying those in months with lower curves. For options in the same month, sell options above the curve and buy those below [25]. - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized yield of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity was 6.30% at the settlement price and 0.74% at the counter - price [28][30]. - **1.2 Huatai - Ba瑞 CSI 300ETF** - **Basic Information**: Provided the T - type quotation table of Huatai - Ba瑞 CSI 300ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options was 694,870 lots, the open interest was 734,255 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options was 1.46, and the weighted - average implied volatility was 13.77% [31][34]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar to the Shanghai 50ETF, sell options in months with higher curves and buy those in months with lower curves. For the same month, sell options above the curve and buy those below [37]. - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized yield of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity was 8.46% at the settlement price and 0.66% at the counter - price [41][42]. - **1.3 Southern CSI 500ETF** - **Basic Information**: Provided the T - type quotation table of Southern CSI 500ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options was 910,867 lots, the open interest was 793,757 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options was 1.37, and the weighted - average implied volatility was 15.05% [43][45]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions as above [49]. - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized yield of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity was 43.9% at the settlement price and 9.12% at the counter - price [52][54]. - **1.4 Huaxia Shanghai Science and Technology Innovation Board 50ETF** - **Basic Information**: Provided the T - type quotation table of Huaxia Shanghai Science and Technology Innovation Board 50ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options was 802,085 lots, the open interest was 893,215 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options was 1.78, and the weighted - average implied volatility was 24.87% [55][57]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions as above [59]. - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized yield of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity was 20.9% at the settlement price and 1.92% at the counter - price [64][66]. - **1.5 E Fund Shanghai Science and Technology Innovation Board 50ETF** - **Basic Information**: Provided the T - type quotation table of E Fund Shanghai Science and Technology Innovation Board 50ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options was 167,234 lots, the open interest was 249,762 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options was 1.91, and the weighted - average implied volatility was 25.13% [67][68]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions as above [72]. - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized yield of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity was 7.11% at the settlement price and 0.99% at the counter - price [75][77]. 3.2 Options on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange - **2.1 Harvest CSI 300ETF** - **Basic Information**: Provided the T - type quotation table of Harvest CSI 300ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options was 125,214 lots, the open interest was 152,364 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options was 1.34, and the weighted - average implied volatility was 15.78% [78][81]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions as above [87]. - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized yield of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity was 16.0% at the settlement price and 0.74% at the counter - price [90][92].
先锋期货期权日报-20250807
Xian Feng Qi Huo· 2025-08-07 09:03
Group 1: Report Information - Report title: Pioneer Futures Options Daily Report [1] - Report date: August 7, 2025 [1] Group 2: Options Volatility Ranking - The report provides the implied volatility, historical volatility, and true range of various option targets, along with their rankings [3][5] - For example, ps2510 has an implied volatility of 3.4% (ranked 1st), a 30 - day historical volatility of 4.4% (ranked 1st), and a true range of 3.8% (ranked 2nd) [3] Group 3: Volatility Analysis and Trading Suggestions - The implied volatility of at - the - money options reflects the market's expectation of future price fluctuations; the 30 - day historical volatility reflects past price movements; and the true range reflects the intraday price movement [6] - Volatility trading suggestions: For different months, sell the options of the month with the curve on top and buy those of the month with the curve below; for the same month, sell the options with points above the curve and buy those with points below the curve [23][37][47] Group 4: Exchange - Specific Option Analysis 4.1 Shanghai Stock Exchange Options 4.1.1 Shanghai 50ETF - Basic information: The trading volume of the main options is 691,988 lots, the open interest is 938,390 lots, the volume ratio of call to put options is 1.35, and the weighted average implied volatility is 13.25% [21] - Volatility trading: Based on the implied volatility curves [23][25][26] - Risk - free arbitrage: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 5.44% at the settlement price and 0.32% at the counter - price [27][29] 4.1.2 Huatai - Berry SSE 300ETF - Basic information: The trading volume of the main options is 592,003 lots, the open interest is 737,739 lots, the volume ratio of call to put options is 1.27, and the weighted average implied volatility is 14.27% [33] - Volatility trading: Based on the implied volatility curves [35][36][39] - Risk - free arbitrage: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 8.66% at the settlement price and 1.47% at the counter - price [40][42] 4.1.3 Southern CSI 500ETF - Basic information: The trading volume of the main options is 1,067,360 lots, the open interest is 765,766 lots, the volume ratio of call to put options is 1.18, and the weighted average implied volatility is 14.92% [45] - Volatility trading: Based on the implied volatility curves [48][49][50] - Risk - free arbitrage: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 63.5% at the settlement price and 13.7% at the counter - price [51][53] 4.1.4 Huaxia SSE STAR 50ETF - Basic information: The trading volume of the main options is 522,602 lots, the open interest is 919,347 lots, the volume ratio of call to put options is 1.75, and the weighted average implied volatility is 24.24% [56] - Volatility trading: Based on the implied volatility curves [58][61][62] - Risk - free arbitrage: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 7.67% at the settlement price and 0.87% at the counter - price [63][65] 4.1.5 E Fund SSE STAR 50ETF - Basic information: The trading volume of the main options is 132,102 lots, the open interest is 251,057 lots, the volume ratio of call to put options is 1.94, and the weighted average implied volatility is 25.02% [68] - Volatility trading: Based on the implied volatility curves [70][72][73] - Risk - free arbitrage: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 10.5% at the settlement price, and there is no return at the counter - price [74][76] 4.2 Shenzhen Stock Exchange Options 4.2.1 Harvest SSE 300ETF - Basic information: The trading volume of the main options is 118,126 lots, the open interest is 147,672 lots, the volume ratio of call to put options is 1.16, and the weighted average implied volatility is 15.7% [80] - Volatility trading: Based on the implied volatility curves [82][85][87]
先锋期货期权日报-20250731
Xian Feng Qi Huo· 2025-07-31 09:05
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report presents the daily option data of various underlying assets, including the implied volatility of at - the - money options, 30 - day historical volatility, and the real amplitude of the day. It also provides T - type quotes, trading volume, open interest, and implied volatility data of major options for different ETFs, along with volatility trading suggestions and risk - free arbitrage information [3][19][21]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Shanghai Stock Exchange Options 3.1.1 SSE 50 ETF - **Basic Information**: The settlement prices of call and put options with different strike prices are given. The trading volume of the main SSE 50 ETF options is 1,164,740 lots, the open interest is 874,482 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.39, and the weighted average implied volatility is 15.69% [19][21]. - **Volatility Trading**: Suggestions are to sell the options with curves or points above and buy those below, both for different months and the same month [23]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 5.51% at the settlement price and 1.03% at the counter - price [27][29]. 3.1.2 Huatai - Peregrine CSI 300 ETF - **Basic Information**: The settlement prices of call and put options with different strike prices are provided. The trading volume of the main 300ETF options is 1,105,748 lots, the open interest is 687,327 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.14, and the weighted average implied volatility is 16.21% [30][33]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar to SSE 50 ETF, sell options with curves or points above and buy those below [36]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 3.11% at the settlement price and 0.48% at the counter - price [40][42]. 3.1.3 Southern CSI 500 ETF - **Basic Information**: The settlement prices of call and put options with different strike prices are shown. The trading volume of the main 500ETF options is 1,436,251 lots, the open interest is 729,488 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1, and the weighted average implied volatility is 18.4% [43][45]. - **Volatility Trading**: The same trading suggestions as above [49]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 43.0% at the settlement price and 9.76% at the counter - price [52][54]. 3.1.4 Huaxia SSE STAR Market 50 ETF - **Basic Information**: The settlement prices of call and put options with different strike prices are presented. The trading volume of the main STAR Market 50ETF options is 784,137 lots, the open interest is 887,492 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.72, and the weighted average implied volatility is 26.74% [55][57]. - **Volatility Trading**: Follow the general volatility trading suggestions [59]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 13.0% at the settlement price and 1.39% at the counter - price [63][65]. 3.1.5 E Fund SSE STAR Market 50 ETF - **Basic Information**: The settlement prices of call and put options with different strike prices are given. The trading volume of the main STAR Market 50ETF options is 169,681 lots, the open interest is 259,867 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.78, and the weighted average implied volatility is 27.69% [66][68]. - **Volatility Trading**: Adopt the same volatility trading strategies [70]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 8.56% at the settlement price and 0.53% at the counter - price [74][76]. 3.2 Shenzhen Stock Exchange Options 3.2.1 Harvest CSI 300 ETF - **Basic Information**: The settlement prices of call and put options with different strike prices are provided. The trading volume of the main Shenzhen 300ETF options is 162,970 lots, the open interest is 131,069 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.29, and the weighted average implied volatility is 17.14% [77][80]. - **Volatility Trading**: Use the common volatility trading suggestions [84][85]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 11.7% at the settlement price, and there is no return at the counter - price [89][91].
为什么建议年轻人都去赚美元?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-28 01:59
Group 1 - The core argument is that young individuals should earn in USD due to the global market opportunities and the favorable exchange rate dynamics, which allow for "risk-free arbitrage" [1][8] - Over 80% of cross-border transactions are settled in USD, making it the most straightforward pricing unit for digital products and services that can be sold globally [3] - A case study of a 22-year-old working remotely in Changsha illustrates that earning in USD can significantly exceed local income opportunities, highlighting the impact of currency on earnings [4] Group 2 - Earning in USD can lead to a psychological shift, where young individuals realize the potential for exponential income growth, motivating them to enhance their skills and optimize their work processes [5] - Holding USD provides a safety net during economic uncertainties, offering options for financial stability and flexibility in times of crisis [6] - There are two common misconceptions: equating earning in USD with speculation and the belief that one must physically relocate abroad to earn in USD, while opportunities exist domestically [7] Group 3 - The value of time is emphasized, with the argument that selling in the USD market offers higher starting prices and a broader buyer pool compared to the RMB market [8]
从四个指标看目前商品的暴涨阶段
对冲研投· 2025-07-24 11:44
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent price increases in various sectors, particularly in the new energy, building materials, and coal industries, driven by a shift away from excessive competition and a focus on structural adjustments in key industries [3][4]. Group 1: Price Increases and Market Trends - Since July, the new energy sector has seen significant price increases, with polysilicon rising by 57%, industrial silicon by 20%, and lithium carbonate by 13% [3]. - In the black metal sector, coking coal has increased by 33.4%, with other commodities also experiencing gains of over 10% [3]. - The chemical sector has seen prices for caustic soda and alumina rise by more than 10%, while other energy, non-ferrous, and agricultural products have shown relatively muted performance [3]. Group 2: Futures vs. Spot Prices - The futures prices in the affected sectors have risen significantly faster than spot prices, leading to a rapid decrease in basis rates, such as polysilicon at -12% and coking coal at -11% [4]. - The future correction of basis rates will depend on the willingness of downstream buyers to restock and whether the arbitrage window opens for buying spot and hedging in futures [4]. Group 3: Inventory and Market Sentiment - The current market sentiment is influenced by overly pessimistic views from the previous quarter, which led to active price reductions to clear inventory [4]. - Core inventory levels for some commodities are not high, indicating that if the downstream demand continues to improve, there could be a scenario where spot prices rise alongside futures, strengthening the basis [4]. Group 4: Downstream Purchasing Behavior - Downstream industries are exhibiting a "buy on the rise, sell on the fall" mentality, which could lead to synchronized price increases in both spot and futures markets if restocking occurs [4]. - The overall sentiment suggests that until inventory levels reach a relatively high point, commodities may continue to experience upward price pressure [4].
先锋期货期权日报-20250721
Xian Feng Qi Huo· 2025-07-21 09:36
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints The report presents a comprehensive analysis of various options, including their T - type quotes, trading volumes, open interests, implied volatilities, and provides suggestions for volatility trading and risk - free arbitrage for different options on multiple exchanges [3][21][23]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Shanghai Stock Exchange Options - **1.1 Shanghai 50ETF** - **Basic Information**: Presents the T - type quote table of 50ETF options, including call and put option prices at different strike prices. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 657,046 lots, the open interest is 717,816 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.71, and the weighted average implied volatility is 17.83% [19][21]. - **Volatility Trading**: Suggests selling the upper - curve months and buying the lower - curve months for different months; selling the upper - curve options and buying the lower - curve options for the same month [23]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 36.8% at the settlement price and 2.82% at the counter - price [27][29]. - **1.2 Huatai - Berry CSI 300ETF** - **Basic Information**: Displays the T - type quote table of 300ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 575,810 lots, the open interest is 492,163 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.61, and the weighted average implied volatility is 18.87% [30][32]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar to the 50ETF, it suggests selling the upper - curve months and options and buying the lower - curve ones [34]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 45.4% at the settlement price and 3.91% at the counter - price [38][41]. - **1.3 Southern CSI 500ETF** - **Basic Information**: Shows the T - type quote table of 500ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 801,159 lots, the open interest is 483,140 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.33, and the weighted average implied volatility is 22.47% [42][44]. - **Volatility Trading**: Offers the same volatility trading suggestions as above [48]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 129% at the settlement price and 28.6% at the counter - price [51][53]. - **1.4 Huaxia Shanghai Science and Technology Innovation Board 50ETF** - **Basic Information**: Presents the T - type quote table of the innovation - board 50ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 267,716 lots, the open interest is 771,023 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.81, and the weighted average implied volatility is 32.06% [54][56]. - **Volatility Trading**: Provides the same volatility trading advice [58]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 107% at the settlement price and 14.8% at the counter - price [62][64]. - **1.5 E Fund Shanghai Science and Technology Innovation Board 50ETF** - **Basic Information**: Displays the T - type quote table of the innovation - board 50ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 63,081 lots, the open interest is 259,012 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 2.91, and the weighted average implied volatility is 31.5% [65][67]. - **Volatility Trading**: Gives the same volatility trading suggestions [69]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 48.6% at the settlement price, and no return is provided at the counter - price [73][75]. 3.2 Shenzhen Stock Exchange Options - **2.1 Harvest CSI 300ETF** - **Basic Information**: Presents the T - type quote table of Shenzhen 300ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 90,635 lots, the open interest is 105,907 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.73, and the weighted average implied volatility is 21.67% [76][79]. - **Volatility Trading**: Offers the same volatility trading advice [83]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 93.9% at the settlement price and 12.2% at the counter - price [87][89]. - **2.2 E Fund ChiNext ETF** - **Basic Information**: Displays the T - type quote table of ChiNext ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 1,085,196 lots, the open interest is 865,444 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.27, and the weighted average implied volatility is 29.96% [90][92]. - **Volatility Trading**: Provides the same volatility trading suggestions [95].
先锋期货期权日报-20250718
Xian Feng Qi Huo· 2025-07-18 09:04
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report presents the daily data of futures and options, including the implied volatility, historical volatility, and true range of various option targets. It also provides detailed information on the basic data, volatility trading, and risk - free arbitrage of options on different ETFs and commodities across multiple exchanges. Summary by Directory 1. Shanghai Stock Exchange Options 1.1 Shanghai 50ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main Shanghai 50ETF options on the day was 999,636 lots, the open interest was 816,864 lots, the volume ratio of call options to put options was 1.47, and the weighted - average implied volatility was 13.97% [19][21]. - **Volatility Trading**: Suggestions include selling the month with the curve on top and buying the month with the curve below for different months; selling options with points above the curve and buying those below for the same month [23]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity was 20.1% at the settlement price and 1.35% at the counter - price [27][29]. 1.2 Huatai - Berry SSE 300ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main 300ETF options on the day was 785,928 lots, the open interest was 574,155 lots, the volume ratio of call options to put options was 1.43, and the weighted - average implied volatility was 14.48% [30][32]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar to Shanghai 50ETF, sell the month with the curve on top and buy the month with the curve below for different months; sell options with points above the curve and buy those below for the same month [36]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity was 27.5% at the settlement price and 3.30% at the counter - price [39][40]. 1.3 Southern CSI 500ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main 500ETF options on the day was 858,727 lots, the open interest was 566,098 lots, the volume ratio of call options to put options was 1.16, and the weighted - average implied volatility was 15.3% [41][43]. - **Volatility Trading**: The same trading suggestions as above for different and same - month options [47]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity was 21.8% at the settlement price and 5.60% at the counter - price [50][52]. 1.4 Huaxia SSE STAR 50ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main STAR 50ETF options on the day was 958,790 lots, the open interest was 620,586 lots, the volume ratio of call options to put options was 1.07, and the weighted - average implied volatility was 32.23% [53][55]. - **Volatility Trading**: Follow the general volatility trading suggestions [62]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity was 7.94% at the settlement price and 0.63% at the counter - price [63][65]. 1.5 E Fund SSE STAR 50ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main STAR 50ETF options on the day was 94,808 lots, the open interest was 159,401 lots, the volume ratio of call options to put options was 1.43, and the weighted - average implied volatility was 30.06% [66][68]. - **Volatility Trading**: Adopt the common volatility trading strategies [70]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity was 3.51% at the settlement price and 0.05% at the counter - price [74][76]. 2. Shenzhen Stock Exchange Options 2.1 Harvest SSE 300ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main Shenzhen 300ETF options on the day was 173,124 lots, the open interest was 122,576 lots, the volume ratio of call options to put options was 0.92, and the weighted - average implied volatility was 20.52% [77][80]. - **Volatility Trading**: Use the standard volatility trading suggestions [82]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity was 41.3% at the settlement price and 2.28% at the counter - price [86][88].
先锋期货期权日报-20250711
Xian Feng Qi Huo· 2025-07-11 09:35
1. Report Information - Report Name: Pioneer Futures Options Daily Report - Date: July 11, 2025 [1] 2. Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 3. Core Viewpoints - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of various options, including their implied volatility, historical volatility, and real - time volatility. It also offers trading suggestions for volatility trading and calculates the minimum annualized returns for risk - free arbitrage in different options [6][23]. 4. Summary by Directory 4.1 Shanghai Stock Exchange Options 4.1.1 Shanghai 50ETF - **Basic Information**: The settlement prices of call and put options at different strike prices are presented. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 2,024,025 lots, the open interest is 984,937 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.57, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 15.85% [19][21]. - **Volatility Trading**: Suggestions are to sell the options in the month with a higher curve and buy those in the month with a lower curve for different months; sell the options with points above the curve and buy those below for the same month [23]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 14.5% at the settlement price and 7.38% at the counter - price [27][29]. 4.1.2 Huatai - Berry SSE 300ETF - **Basic Information**: The settlement prices of call and put options at different strike prices are given. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 1,399,434 lots, the open interest is 748,062 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.87, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 16.27% [30][32]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar to the Shanghai 50ETF, sell the options in the month with a higher curve and buy those in the month with a lower curve for different months; sell the options with points above the curve and buy those below for the same month [34]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 10.4% at the settlement price and 0.80% at the counter - price [38][39]. 4.1.3 Southern CSI 500ETF - **Basic Information**: The settlement prices of call and put options at different strike prices are shown. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 1,440,316 lots, the open interest is 775,588 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.55, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 16.92% [40][42]. - **Volatility Trading**: The same trading suggestions as above are provided [46]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 21.7% at the settlement price and 7.42% at the counter - price [49][51]. 4.1.4 Huaxia SSE STAR 50ETF - **Basic Information**: The settlement prices of call and put options at different strike prices are presented. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 716,688 lots, the open interest is 906,895 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 2.6, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 27.48% [52][54]. - **Volatility Trading**: The trading suggestions are consistent with the previous ones [58]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 11.9% at the settlement price and 0.26% at the counter - price [61][63]. 4.1.5 E Fund SSE STAR 50ETF - **Basic Information**: The settlement prices of call and put options at different strike prices are given. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 180,975 lots, the open interest is 263,862 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 2, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 29.64% [64][66]. - **Volatility Trading**: The same trading suggestions are provided [70]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 23.4% at the settlement price and 4.23% at the counter - price [73][75]. 4.2 Shenzhen Stock Exchange Options 4.2.1 Harvest SSE 300ETF - **Basic Information**: The settlement prices of call and put options at different strike prices are shown. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 197,888 lots, the open interest is 140,185 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 2.05, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 16.67% [76][79]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions are given [81]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 15.6% at the settlement price and 1.22% at the counter - price [85][86]. 4.2.2 E Fund ChiNext ETF - **Basic Information**: The settlement prices of call and put options at different strike prices are presented. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 1,665,179 lots, the open interest is 1,005,995 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.55, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 23.58% [87][89]. - **Volatility Trading**: The same trading suggestions are provided [94]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: No risk - free arbitrage information is provided in the report. 4.3 Other Exchanges - The report also lists the options of CFFEX, ZCE, DCE, SHFE, INE, and GEE, but no detailed data and analysis are provided in the given content.