Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight increase in revenue for Q1 2025, but a significant decline in net profit, attributed to lower electricity prices and increased expenses [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 20.028 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.41% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.026 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.07% [1]. - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 2.928 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.94% [1]. Operational Highlights - The total power generation from nuclear units managed by the company was approximately 60.174 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 9.25% [1]. - The total grid-connected power was about 56.689 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 9.41% [1]. - The increase in power generation was primarily due to reduced maintenance downtime compared to the same period in 2024 [1]. Market Conditions - Revenue growth was impacted by a decline in electricity prices, with the average transaction price in Guangdong province for the 2025 electricity year being 0.392 yuan/kWh, down over 0.07 yuan from 2024 [1]. - The company’s R&D expenses rose to 0.292 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 158.45%, mainly due to differences in R&D progress [2]. Future Growth Prospects - The company has 16 nuclear units under construction, with steady progress and approvals for new units expected to support long-term growth [2]. - The Taishan 3 and 4 units, along with the Fangchenggang 5 and 6 units, have received approval from the State Council, all utilizing Hualong One nuclear technology [2]. - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 estimate net profits of 10.8 billion, 11.2 billion, and 12.1 billion yuan, with year-on-year changes of +0.30%, +3.60%, and +7.28% respectively [2].

Core Viewpoint - The State Council of China has approved five new nuclear power projects, indicating a significant step in the country's nuclear energy development strategy [1][2]. Group 1: Project Details - The approved projects include the Zhejiang Sanmen Phase III, Fujian Xiapu Units 1 and 2, Shandong Haiyang Phase III, Guangdong Taishan Phase II, and Guangxi Fangchenggang Phase III, contributing to a total nuclear power capacity exceeding 120 million kilowatts [1][2]. - The Taishan and Fangchenggang projects are under China General Nuclear Power Group, with Taishan featuring two EPR units and Fangchenggang utilizing the "Hualong One" technology for its new units [1][2]. - The Sanmen project in Zhejiang plans to build six units with a total capacity of 7.4 million kilowatts, while the Xiapu project in Fujian will have five units with a total investment exceeding 110 billion yuan [2]. Group 2: Industry Impact - The nuclear power sector is expected to significantly reduce coal consumption and carbon emissions, with projections indicating a reduction of approximately 14 million tons of coal and 37 million tons of CO2 emissions in 2024 [3]. - China aims to enhance its nuclear safety culture and adhere to the highest global safety standards in nuclear power operations, ensuring the safety and efficiency of its nuclear projects [3]. - The government is also focusing on the development of advanced nuclear technologies, including fourth-generation reactors and small modular reactors, to optimize energy structure and address climate change [3].

行业点评报告 · 公用事业行业 国常会核准 10 合机组、看好核电长期成长性 "国务院常务会议审议决定核准一批核电项目"点评 核心观点 0 事件:4月27日,国务院常务会议审议决定核准一批核电项目。 2024 年 4 月 28 日 公用事业 推荐 维持评级 分析师 陶贻功 ☎：010-80927673 网: taoyigong_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130522030001 梁悠南 ☎：010-80927656 网: liangyounan_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130523070002 研究助理:马敏 区: mamin_yj@chinastock.com.cn 相对沪深 300 表现图 2024-04-25 公用事业 沪深300 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明 2022-2025年,我国连续4年核准核电机组数量≥10 台。2011 年日本福 0 岛核泄漏后,国内核电审批速度放缓乃至暂停。2019年,核电审批重启, 2019-2024 年每年新核准核电机组 4、4、5、10、10、11 台。2025 年 4 ...

Core Viewpoint - The nuclear power industry in China is expected to experience significant growth, with a strong investment rating maintained by Zhongyuan Securities, highlighting the importance of nuclear power in future energy supply [1][3] Group 1: Project Approvals - On April 27, 2025, the State Council approved five nuclear power projects, totaling ten nuclear units, with China General Nuclear Power Group (CGN) and China National Nuclear Power (CNNP) being the primary beneficiaries [1] - CGN received approval for four units, including two units in Guangdong and two in Guangxi, all utilizing Hualong One technology, with capacities of 1.2 million kW and 1.208 million kW respectively [1] - CNNP was approved for two units in the Zhejiang Sanmen project, also using Hualong One technology, with a capacity of 1.215 million kW each [2] Group 2: Industry Growth and Capacity - Nuclear power is recognized as a stable energy source in China's new power system, with a utilization hour rate of 7,805.74 hours in 2024, contributing 4.73% to the national power generation [3] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" aims for a nuclear power installed capacity of approximately 70 million kW by 2025, with a focus on coastal projects [3] - As of April 27, 2025, China has approved 28 new nuclear projects since 2022, with a total of 102 operational, under construction, and approved units, making it the world's largest nuclear power capacity at 113 million kW [3] Group 3: Regional Developments - Currently, there are no nuclear projects approved or under construction in Henan Province, which is not included in the national nuclear construction plan due to cautious evaluation policies for inland nuclear development [4]

今天(4月27日)，中国核能行业协会发布《中国核能发展报告2025》蓝皮书。蓝皮书显示，截至目前， 我国在运、在建和核准建设的核电机组共102台、装机容量达到1.13亿千瓦，核电总体规模首次跃居世 界第一。目前，我国在建核电机组共28台，总装机容量达到3365万千瓦，在建机组装机容量连续18年保 持世界第一；我国商运核电机组达到58台，总装机容量达6096万千瓦。(央视新闻) ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Add" for China General Nuclear Power Corporation (003816.SZ) [3] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 revenue reached 20.028 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.41%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.026 billion yuan, a decrease of 16.07% [1] - The decline in profit is primarily attributed to increased participation in market-based electricity trading, falling electricity prices, and R&D progress [6] - The company has seen growth in electricity generation from its subsidiaries, but overall profit has been impacted by the downward trend in electricity prices [6] - As of March 2025, the company manages 16 nuclear power units under construction or approved for construction, with a total installed capacity of 19.406 million kilowatts [6] - The company is expected to commission 1-2 units annually from 2025 to 2030, with the Huizhou Unit 1 expected to be operational this year [6] Financial Data Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 82.549 billion yuan, with a slight decrease to 85.880 billion yuan in 2025, followed by a recovery to 89.903 billion yuan in 2026 and 96.724 billion yuan in 2027 [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to decline to 10.042 billion yuan in 2025, before increasing to 10.658 billion yuan in 2026 and 11.918 billion yuan in 2027 [2] - The company's PE ratio is projected to be 18.0x in 2025, decreasing to 15.2x by 2027 [2] Performance Metrics - The company's operating profit for 2025 is estimated at 20.427 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 7% [9] - The gross profit margin is expected to decline from 36.0% in 2023 to 32.4% in 2025, with a slight recovery to 33.6% by 2027 [9] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to decrease from 9.7% in 2023 to 8.2% in 2025, before recovering to 8.9% in 2027 [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Hold" [2][6] Core Insights - The company reported a 4.41% year-on-year increase in revenue for Q1 2025, reaching 20.028 billion yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 16.07% to 3.026 billion yuan [3][4] - The increase in controllable power generation was 14.06% year-on-year, which contributed to the revenue growth, although the revenue growth rate was lower than the power generation growth rate, likely due to market pricing factors [4] - The company's gross margin and net margin decreased by 2.7 percentage points and 4.27 percentage points year-on-year, respectively, to 36.58% and 23.67% [4] Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, the company completed five scheduled annual overhauls and one ten-year overhaul, with fewer overhaul days compared to the same period last year, leading to increased power generation from subsidiaries [5] - The company is managing 28 operational nuclear power units and 16 under construction, with expectations for the Huizhou 1 and 2 units to commence operations in 2025 and 2026, respectively [5] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 10.961 billion, 11.626 billion, and 11.825 billion yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 16.5, 15.6, and 15.3 [6][7] Market Data - As of April 23, 2025, the closing price was 3.58 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 140.819 billion yuan [8] - The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 59.68% and a net asset value per share of 2.43 yuan [8]

Core Viewpoint - The company's 2024 performance is below expectations, with revenue of 1.84 billion and net profit of 230 million, reflecting a modest year-on-year growth of 1.86% and 3.29% respectively, primarily due to capacity constraints and delayed project deliveries [1] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved revenue of 820 million, a year-on-year increase of 18.17%, and net profit of 110 million, up 23.84%, indicating a recovery in business during the second half of the year [1] - The revenue breakdown includes oil and petrochemical at 480 million, nuclear engineering valves at 840 million, other valves at 470 million, and forgings at 40 million, with respective year-on-year changes of -20.62%, +35.50%, -11.44%, and +1.60% [1] - The gross margin for the oil and petrochemical business improved significantly, with a year-on-year increase of 8.93% in H1 2024 and an overall annual increase of 3.59 percentage points [1] Regional Sales Performance - Revenue in the North China region surged by 108.06% year-on-year, while the East China region saw a decline of 26.29%, indicating the effectiveness of regional sales strategy adjustments [2] Growth Drivers - The nuclear power business is entering a strategic development phase, with nuclear engineering valve revenue reaching 839 million in 2024, a 35.50% increase, accounting for 45.50% of total revenue [3] - The company has a significant technological advantage in the nuclear valve sector, with key products meeting or exceeding import standards, leading to a steady increase in market share [3] - The approval of 11 new nuclear units in 2024 is expected to drive demand for nuclear valves, supported by a robust order backlog [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to slight capacity constraints in 2024 and a production cycle of 1-2 years for nuclear products, revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025 have been reduced by 2.9% and 12.5% to 2.05 billion and 260 million respectively [4] - The target price has been adjusted down by 9.2% to 18.7, with a projected increase of 14.8% from the current price [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights China General Nuclear Power Corporation's (CGN) financial performance for 2024, reporting a revenue of 86.804 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.16%, and a net profit of 10.814 billion yuan, up 0.83% [1] - CGN plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.95 yuan per 10 shares (tax included) to all shareholders [1] - The total electricity generated by CGN-managed nuclear power plants in 2024 reached 227.284 billion kilowatt-hours, accounting for 54.38% of the national nuclear power generation [1] Group 2 - As of the end of 2024, CGN managed 28 operational nuclear power units and 16 under construction, with installed capacities of 31,798 megawatts and 19,406 megawatts, respectively, representing 45.02% of the national total for operational and under-construction nuclear power [1] - The average market electricity price for CGN in 2024 decreased by approximately 3.85% compared to 2023 due to a decline in overall market trading prices [1] - The nuclear power sector in China is expected to see more opportunities in the coming years, with the operational and under-construction scale of nuclear power reaching the world's largest [2]