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当核电成主流,美元还能维持石油霸权吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-02 19:11
我国大力建设核电站,还悄然成为世界第一,究竟是为了什么?是为了那部分电费,还是为了环保? 美利坚自身那个被寄以厚望的三代核电项目,历经十年仍未完备,而我国的核电产业链,从铀矿开采到 核废料处理,统统达成100%国产化!你的制裁对我来讲没有效用,再看看他们自身,想要构建新反应 堆,还得从法兰西进口关键部件,可人家却推迟交货两年。 如何化解这一局面?硬碰硬?太蠢了我们的祖先有智慧:从根源解决问题,你用石油来要挟世界?好那 我就从根本解决,让你的"油"无处可用!我们的"杀手锏"乃是核电! 莫以为官方新闻里的数字无足轻重,"在运和在建核电机组总装机容量达1,13亿千瓦,位居世界第 一",此数字换一种表述便是:我们在削弱石油霸权方面的力量,已然是全球最为强大且突出的! 一台百万千瓦的核电机组,一年产出的电,等同于200万吨标准煤,要是我们的核电装机量再翻倍,每 年能节省几多进口石油?越发厉害的是,满大街行驶的新能源汽车,要是充的电统统来自核电,那不就 把马路上的"石油需求"直接转化为"电力需求"了吗?我们这般慢慢把石油美元的活路给截断! 我们在自用的同时还进行打包出口,巴基斯坦的"华龙一号"核电站三年内发电约230亿度 ...
中国广核(003816):量价短期承压,变动成本补偿取消利好电价回升
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China General Nuclear Power Corporation (003816) [2] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 59.72 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4.09%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.58 billion yuan, down 14.14% year-on-year [7] - The company's operational performance is under pressure due to a decrease in electricity prices, despite an increase in power generation [7] - The company has a significant number of nuclear power units under construction, which provides strong growth potential in the long term [7] - The cancellation of the variable cost compensation mechanism in Guangdong province in 2026 is expected to positively impact the company's electricity prices [7] - The financial performance is expected to improve due to reduced financial costs from convertible bond issuance [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue forecast for 2025 is 85.69 billion yuan, with a net profit of 10.17 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 5.9% [6] - The company’s gross margin is projected to be 32.4% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 8.6% [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.20 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 20 [6]
港股异动丨核电股普涨 中广核电力涨4% 中国核电总装机连续保持世界第一
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-27 02:56
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a significant increase in nuclear power stocks in Hong Kong, driven by positive forecasts for global nuclear power generation in 2024, which is expected to reach a nearly ten-year high [1] - The National Energy Administration's Director of Nuclear Power, Zeng Yachuan, stated that multiple international authoritative organizations have raised their nuclear energy development expectations for four consecutive years, predicting that by 2050, global nuclear power installed capacity will exceed 900 million kilowatts, achieving a doubling growth [1] - China, as one of the few countries with a complete nuclear power industrial system, plays an indispensable role in this growth, currently operating 59 nuclear power units with a total installed capacity of 62.48 million kilowatts, and has 53 units approved for construction with a capacity of 62.93 million kilowatts, bringing the total installed capacity to over 125 million kilowatts, maintaining the world's leading position [1] Group 2 - The stock performance of major nuclear power companies in Hong Kong shows notable increases, with China General Nuclear Power Group rising by 4% to 3.180, China General Nuclear New Energy up by 3.5% to 2.930, China National Nuclear Corporation increasing by 2.11% to 5.820, and China General Nuclear Mining slightly up by 0.28% to 3.590 [2]
海陆重工(002255) - 002255海陆重工投资者关系管理信息20250916
2025-09-16 07:26
Group 1: Company Overview - The company specializes in the manufacturing and sales of industrial waste heat boilers, large and special material pressure vessels, and nuclear safety equipment [1] - It also provides environmental comprehensive governance services for solid waste and wastewater treatment and recycling [1] - The company operates photovoltaic power plants [1] Group 2: Nuclear Power Business - The company has been manufacturing nuclear power equipment since 1998, completing several domestic and international first-piece manufacturing tasks over 20 years [2] - Key nuclear safety equipment includes various cooling systems and storage tanks, contributing to domestic nuclear power construction [2] - The fourth-generation nuclear power equipment project disclosed at the beginning of the year is progressing smoothly, expected to alleviate current capacity bottlenecks and enhance production capabilities [2] Group 3: Production and Operational Status - The production and operational status from 2025 to date is in line with expectations, with all projects progressing normally [2] Group 4: Future Strategic Planning - The company plans to deepen its core business while increasing technological innovation and management efforts [2] - Focus will be on enhancing management and cost control, optimizing resource allocation to improve profitability and market competitiveness [2]
哈尔滨电气再涨近7% 煤电业务在手订单充沛 水电核电服务业有望提供长期支撑
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 03:30
Core Viewpoint - Harbin Electric (01133) has seen a significant stock price increase of over 325% year-to-date, with a recent rise of 5.2% to HKD 9.71, driven by strong financial performance and positive market sentiment towards nuclear power and the company's order execution capabilities [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company reported total revenue of approximately CNY 22.696 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 31.49% [1]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company was about CNY 1.051 billion, showing a substantial year-on-year increase of 101.06% [1]. Market Outlook - UBS forecasts an average annual growth rate of 25% for gross profit from nuclear equipment in China between 2025 and 2028, with each new small modular reactor (SMR) potentially contributing around CNY 620 million in revenue for Harbin Electric [1]. - The market's confidence in the nuclear power outlook and the company's order execution capabilities suggests potential for further re-rating [1]. Business Segments - Coal Power: The company has a robust order book with improved order quality compared to the previous cycle, which is expected to enhance profits [2]. - Hydropower: Orders from pumped storage projects are entering execution phases, and new capacity is being released, with large hydropower projects benefiting from increased demand due to the Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project [2]. - Nuclear Power: The approval rate for nuclear projects has increased from about 5 units per year (2019-2021) to approximately 10 units per year (2022-2025), with related orders gradually entering execution phases [2]. - Modern Manufacturing Services: New policies emphasize improving operational efficiency of existing coal power units, which may drive growth in related business areas [2].
中广核矿业(01164.HK):中广核矿业-天然铀市场企稳回升 贸易不改向上趋势
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-05 20:21
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, primarily due to accounting standards affecting trade business, while mining production remains stable [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.709 billion HKD, a year-on-year decrease of 58% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -68 million HKD, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 160% [1]. - The trade segment incurred a loss of 262 million HKD due to the impact of accounting practices and market price fluctuations [2]. Group 2: Uranium Market Dynamics - Natural uranium prices showed a steady fluctuation in the first half of 2025, with spot prices ranging between 60-80 USD per pound, averaging 78.50 USD per pound by the end of June, a 4% increase from the beginning of the year [1]. - Long-term contract prices remained stable at 80.00 USD per pound, supporting existing uranium mine production increases and restarts [1]. - Global uranium production is expected to grow by 13% year-on-year in 2024, reaching approximately 61,600 tons, but supply challenges are anticipated post-2028 due to long project lead times and resource depletion [1]. Group 3: Sales and Contracts - The company signed new contracts for 1,910 tons of natural uranium, with 53% of sales coming from Europe, 30% from Asia, and 17% from North America [2]. - The total delivery of natural uranium reached 812 tons, generating sales revenue of 1.23 million USD (approximately 9.55 million HKD) [2]. - As of June 30, 2025, the company held 1,569 tons of natural uranium with a weighted average cost of 68.77 USD per pound, and had 4,564 tons of signed but undelivered contracts at an average price of 80.52 USD per pound [2]. Group 4: Mining Operations - The company's mining operations demonstrated strong performance, achieving an equity production of 650 tons of standard uranium in the first half of 2025 [3]. - All invested mines exceeded 100% completion rates in the second quarter of 2025, indicating robust production capacity and effective cost control [3]. - New sales framework agreements for 2026-2028 reflect confidence in the uranium market, with a pricing mechanism of "30% fixed price + 70% spot price," enhancing revenue elasticity to uranium price fluctuations [3].
南风股份:目前在手订单较多,且产能充足
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-01 10:31
Group 1 - The company currently has a significant number of orders on hand and sufficient production capacity [1] - The delivery cycle for nuclear power ventilation products is approximately 3-4 years, with supply based on the construction progress of the awarded projects [1] - The nuclear power sector in China has maintained a regular approval pace in recent years, entering a period of positive development [1] Group 2 - The company plans to actively participate in the bidding process for related projects, laying a solid foundation for future operational performance growth [1]
南风股份(300004.SZ):目前在手订单较多,且产能充足
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-01 09:37
Group 1 - The company currently has a significant number of orders on hand and sufficient production capacity [1] - The delivery cycle for nuclear power ventilation products is approximately 3-4 years, with supply based on the construction progress of the awarded projects [1] - The nuclear power sector in China has maintained a regular approval pace in recent years, entering a period of positive development, which the company aims to actively participate in through bidding for related projects [1]
中国广核(003816):电量增长缓解电价和成本压力 拟收购核电股权赋能成长
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-31 00:42
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, attributed to increased costs and a decrease in average market electricity prices despite an increase in nuclear power generation [1][2]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 39.167 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.53% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.952 billion yuan, down 16.30% year-on-year - In Q2 2025, revenue was 19.139 billion yuan, a decline of 5.23%, with net profit at 2.926 billion yuan, down 16.54% [1]. Operational Metrics - The total nuclear power generation for H1 2025 was 113.36 billion kWh, an increase of 6.93% year-on-year - The nuclear power generation from subsidiaries was 89.265 billion kWh, up 8.84% year-on-year, due to reduced maintenance times and the commissioning of the Fangchenggang Unit 4 in May 2025 - The average market electricity price decreased by approximately 8.23% year-on-year, impacting revenue despite increased generation [2]. Project Development - As of June 30, 2025, the company had 20 nuclear power units under construction, with various stages of progress - The company expects the Huizhou Unit 1 to be operational this year, while other units are scheduled for commissioning between 2026 and 2030 - In April 2025, the State Council approved 10 nuclear power units, including four units from the company's Taishan Phase II and Fangchenggang Phase III projects [3]. Strategic Acquisitions - In August 2025, the company announced plans to acquire 82% of Huizhou Nuclear Power and 100% of three other nuclear power companies for approximately 9.375 billion yuan - This acquisition aims to enhance the company's project reserves and support future growth in nuclear power generation and profitability [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 10.125 billion yuan, 10.577 billion yuan, and 11.391 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, reflecting year-on-year changes of -6.37%, +4.47%, and +7.69% respectively - As of August 29, 2025, the stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 19.15, 18.33, and 17.02 for the respective years [4].
佳电股份(000922):25Q2业绩环比改善 中标核电项目
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 02:34
Core Viewpoint - The company reported its 2025 mid-year results, showing a slight increase in revenue but a significant decline in net profit, indicating challenges in profitability despite stable revenue growth [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.497 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.63%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 132 million yuan, a decrease of 24.50% [1]. - The company's net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 113 million yuan, down 30.96% year-on-year [1]. - In Q2 2025, total revenue reached 1.341 billion yuan, up 0.96% year-on-year and 16.01% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The net profit for Q2 was 77 million yuan, a decrease of 6.02% year-on-year but an increase of 40.00% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The company’s expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and finance were 4.46%, 3.92%, 2.70%, and 0.62%, respectively, with sales expenses increasing by 17.27% year-on-year [2]. Business Segments - The electric motor and service segment generated revenue of 1.825 billion yuan, down 2.25% year-on-year, while the nuclear power products segment saw revenue of 627 million yuan, an increase of 13.26% [2]. - Gross margins for these segments were 20.34% and 25.49%, respectively, with year-on-year changes of +1.25 and -4.35 percentage points [2]. Industry and Policy Support - The company benefits from supportive policies aimed at promoting energy efficiency and upgrading industrial equipment, particularly in the electric motor sector [3]. - The company has made significant advancements in nuclear power technology, achieving over 70% market share domestically [4]. - The company was recognized as a "manufacturing single champion" and has received certifications for high-efficiency electric motors, enhancing its competitive edge [3]. Future Prospects - The company secured a contract for nuclear power equipment worth 609 million yuan, which is expected to positively impact future performance [4]. - The company is projected to see net profits of 370 million, 486 million, and 570 million yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding EPS of 0.53, 0.70, and 0.82 yuan per share [4].