气候危机
Search documents
气候危机正在“蒸发”欧洲传统果酒产业
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-08-11 00:37
Core Viewpoint - Serbia's plum production is significantly impacted by extreme weather conditions, affecting both farmers' livelihoods and the production of traditional fruit brandy "rakija," highlighting the broader climate challenges faced by agriculture and the beverage industry across Europe [1][6]. Group 1: Plum Production in Serbia - Serbia is one of the world's major plum producers, with plum orchards accounting for approximately 40% of all fruit orchards [2]. - In 2024, Serbia's plum planting area is projected to reach 1.1 million acres, with an estimated yield of 387,200 tons [2]. - 70% of Serbia's plums are used to produce brandy, with "rakija" recognized as the national drink, playing a significant role in cultural and economic activities [2]. Group 2: Impact of Extreme Weather - The plum harvest season typically runs from mid-August to early September, but this year, many trees have produced very few fruits due to adverse weather [3]. - Factors contributing to the reduced plum yield include spring frost and summer drought, with estimates indicating a potential decline in yields of 30% to 90% for various stone fruits [3][4]. - As of July 2023, 99% of Serbia's soil is reported to be lacking water, with a drought alert rate of 68% [4]. Group 3: Economic Consequences - Farmers like Milutin, who usually produce around 6,000 liters of "rakija" and earn approximately €50,000, are facing losses of nearly €10,000 due to the drastic reduction in yield [4][5]. - The overall impact of reduced plum production extends beyond "rakija," affecting related industries such as jam, canned goods, and fresh fruit exports [6]. Group 4: Climate Resilience and Agricultural Modernization - The agricultural sector in Europe, including Serbia, is urged to adapt to climate change by modernizing farming practices, such as high-density planting and smart irrigation systems [6][7]. - Traditional plum orchards yield about 3.3 tons per hectare, while modernized orchards can achieve over 14 tons per hectare [6]. - Serbia's application for a €300 million "climate-resilient orchard" fund from the EU represents a proactive step towards addressing these challenges [8].
全球保险集团警告:气候危机或超出行业应对能力
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-08-09 03:26
Core Viewpoint - The global insurance industry is facing a critical challenge as climate change leads to increasingly frequent extreme weather events, which may soon exceed the industry's capacity to provide coverage for financial services such as mortgages and investments [1][3]. Group 1: Insurance Industry Challenges - Allianz's board member, Gunther Thalinger, warns that the world is approaching a temperature level where insurance companies can no longer provide coverage for financial services like mortgages [3]. - Thalinger highlighted that losses from extreme weather are causing asset classes to "degrade in real-time," and the worsening climate crisis could potentially "destroy capitalism" [3]. - Approximately two-thirds of economic losses from natural disasters are currently uninsured, indicating a significant risk burden on individuals, businesses, and governments [3]. Group 2: Economic Impact of Natural Disasters - Zurich Insurance Group's report indicates that from 2014 to 2023, extreme weather events caused approximately $2 trillion in economic losses, with the frequency and intensity of disasters increasing due to long-term climate changes [4]. - The global insured loss growth rate (5.9%) has outpaced global economic growth over the past thirty years, suggesting a concerning trend for the insurance market [4]. - If the trend of increasing insured losses continues, insurance companies may need to raise climate-related premiums, which could affect individuals' and businesses' willingness and ability to purchase insurance [4].
气象学者:我们已经身处危机时代,而不是在讨论一个遥远的未来
Hu Xiu· 2025-08-06 23:53
Group 1 - The article emphasizes that extreme weather events are becoming a norm due to climate change, with significant impacts on agriculture, urban operations, and daily life [3][4][6] - The average temperature in Henan province reached 30.5°C in July, which is 3.2°C higher than the historical average, marking the hottest period in 64 years [1][2] - The article highlights the urgent need for scientific understanding and effective responses to climate change challenges, as the current preparations are insufficient [11][12] Group 2 - The frequency of extreme weather events has increased significantly, with a notable rise in climate-related disasters over the past two decades [4][6] - The article discusses the dual impact of global warming, leading to more severe droughts and floods, which poses a threat to major grain-producing areas in China [3][8][16] - The agricultural sector is facing challenges such as increased irrigation costs and crop growth disruptions due to extreme temperatures [17][19] Group 3 - The article suggests that the transition to green energy is essential, requiring five times the current efforts to mitigate future disaster losses [12][13] - It points out that the agricultural infrastructure needs significant upgrades to adapt to extreme weather, including improved irrigation and drainage systems [20] - The potential for "weather-related price hikes" in agricultural products is highlighted, with extreme weather already causing fluctuations in global commodity prices [21][22] Group 4 - The article indicates that extreme weather will increasingly affect various industries, necessitating new financial tools for agricultural insurance [23] - It mentions that sectors like renewable energy and urban planning must adapt to the challenges posed by extreme weather events [24][25] - The need for a long-term strategy to combat climate change is emphasized, with a focus on adhering to national carbon neutrality goals [26]
气象学者魏科:我们已经身处危机时代,而不是在讨论一个遥远的未来
经济观察报· 2025-08-06 13:47
Core Viewpoint - Climate extremization has become a norm, with global warming leading to intensified rainfall and drought conditions in specific regions, resulting in sudden shifts between drought and flooding [1][3][8]. Group 1: Extreme Weather Events - Recent years have seen a significant increase in extreme weather events globally, with high temperatures, floods, and storms becoming more frequent and intense [5][6]. - In July, the average temperature in Henan Province reached 30.5°C, 3.2°C higher than the historical average, marking the hottest period in 64 years [2]. - Northern China experienced above-average rainfall, with Inner Mongolia recording the highest precipitation for this period since 1961 [2][3]. Group 2: Impact on Agriculture - Extreme weather is adversely affecting major grain-producing areas in China, with high temperatures and heavy rainfall impacting crop growth and increasing irrigation costs [3][14]. - The growth of winter wheat is particularly vulnerable to insufficient low-temperature periods, which can lead to premature ear formation and reduced yields [15]. - High temperatures can cause corn leaves to curl, affecting photosynthesis and increasing water requirements, thus raising irrigation costs for farmers [15]. Group 3: Future Projections and Preparedness - The ongoing climate crisis requires urgent action, with a need for five times the current effort to effectively address climate challenges [11]. - Transitioning to green renewable energy is essential, despite the associated costs, as it presents significant industrial opportunities while mitigating future disaster losses [11]. - The upcoming weather patterns indicate that northern regions may continue to face flooding, while southern areas will experience heightened drought conditions [12]. Group 4: Economic Implications - The volatility of agricultural prices due to extreme weather events is expected to persist, with "weather-related price hikes" becoming more common [16]. - Developing countries may be disproportionately affected by extreme climate events, leading to potential resource conflicts and social instability [17]. - Industries related to agriculture may need to adapt their insurance models and financial tools to better manage the risks associated with climate change [18]. Group 5: Urban Planning and Infrastructure - The concept of sponge cities is being emphasized, but their capacity to handle extreme rainfall is limited, necessitating additional strategies for flood management [19][20]. - Urban planning must evolve to incorporate designs that can effectively manage high temperatures and heavy rainfall, ensuring resilience against climate impacts [18][20].
气象学者魏科:我们已经身处危机时代,而不是在讨论一个遥远的未来
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-08-06 12:12
Group 1: Climate Change and Extreme Weather - Extreme weather events have become a norm, with global warming leading to more severe droughts and floods in specific regions [3][6][7] - The frequency of extreme weather events has significantly increased, with a notable rise in climate-related disasters over the past two decades [4][5] - China is particularly vulnerable to climate change due to its vast territory and complex geography, experiencing a higher rate of warming and natural disasters compared to the global average [5][6] Group 2: Agricultural Impact - Extreme weather is adversely affecting major grain-producing areas in China, with high temperatures and heavy rainfall impacting crop growth and increasing irrigation costs [3][13] - The growth of winter wheat is particularly sensitive to low-temperature periods, and insufficient cold weather can severely affect yields [13] - High temperatures can lead to increased water requirements for crops, further raising costs for farmers [13][15] Group 3: Preparedness and Response - Current preparations for climate change impacts are inadequate, with a significant gap between global carbon emissions and climate goals [9][10] - There is a need for a substantial increase in efforts to transition to renewable energy and improve agricultural infrastructure to adapt to extreme weather [10][16] - Agricultural companies must optimize crop varieties to withstand changing climate conditions, such as developing heat-resistant strains [15] Group 4: Economic Implications - Extreme weather events are likely to cause fluctuations in agricultural product prices, with "weather-related price hikes" becoming more common [17] - The impact of extreme weather on agriculture may necessitate new financial tools for insurance, including adjustments to disaster insurance designs [19] - Other industries, such as renewable energy and urban planning, will also need to adapt to the challenges posed by extreme weather [19][20]
《柳叶刀》杂志警示:塑料污染每年造成损失超1.5万亿美元
Ke Ji Ri Bao· 2025-08-06 00:49
Core Viewpoint - The United Nations' negotiations for a legally binding agreement on plastic pollution have commenced, highlighting the urgent need for international cooperation to address this growing crisis [1][2]. Group 1: Health Impact of Plastic Pollution - A recent study published in The Lancet indicates that plastic pollution poses a significant and underappreciated threat to human health, resulting in economic losses related to health of at least $1.5 trillion annually [1]. - The study reveals that plastic pollution affects all stages of human life, from newborns to the elderly, and is linked to diseases and even death, categorizing it alongside air pollution and lead poisoning in terms of health risks [1]. - Microplastics have infiltrated natural ecosystems and human tissues, with scientists confirming their potential hazards, although comprehensive health impacts are still under investigation [1]. Group 2: Plastic Production and Recycling - Global plastic production has surged exponentially, increasing from 2 million tons in 1950 to 475 million tons in 2022, with projections suggesting a further doubling by 2060, while the current recycling rate remains below 10% [1]. Group 3: Interconnection with Climate Crisis - The plastic crisis is intrinsically linked to the climate crisis, as the plastic industry, reliant on fossil fuels, contributes to both environmental challenges, with health risks expected to escalate alongside rising global temperatures and increasing plastic production [1]. Group 4: Call for Action - The report urges representatives at the Geneva conference to seize this historic opportunity to seek consensus amidst differences and establish an effective international cooperation mechanism to combat this global crisis [2].
7月译著联合书单|游泳游泳:凌潜于水的文化史
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-27 01:41
Group 1 - The book "The Rise of Religion and Capitalism" argues that contemporary economic views, particularly the belief in free markets, are deeply rooted in religious thought, contrasting with the traditional view of economics as a secular product of the Enlightenment [2] - It explores the historical connections between religion and economic thought, highlighting how Protestantism influenced modern economic ideas and how Calvinism shaped early capitalist values and behaviors [2] Group 2 - "Mediterranean Ten Cities" discusses how classical civilization, represented by ancient Greece and Rome, laid the foundation for contemporary Western culture and arts [4] - The author outlines the rich heritage left by classical civilization through ten cities, emphasizing the political ideologies born from the Greek city-states and the expansion of Greek culture across Europe and Asia [4] Group 3 - "Global Food Crisis: Industrialized Britain, Food Systems, and World Ecology" addresses the unprecedented global food crisis, linking it to unsustainable dietary choices and agricultural dependencies that threaten both human health and ecological balance [8] - The book traces the origins of this crisis back to late 18th-century Britain, where a diet rich in meat, wheat, and sugar became prevalent, leading to increased reliance on global resources [8] Group 4 - "The Possibilities of Development: Agricultural Modernization in the US and Mexico Before and After WWII" examines the historical similarities between the agricultural challenges faced by the southern United States and Mexico in the early 20th century [14] - It discusses how agricultural movements in both regions developed in parallel and influenced each other, particularly highlighting the impact of Roosevelt's New Deal policies on Mexican agricultural reforms [14] Group 5 - "The Legal Theater: A History of Legal Construction" explores the historical context of legal development in Western society, focusing on the roles of professors, legislators, and judges as key actors in the legal system [16] - The book traces the creative forces behind legal norms, including legal science, legislation, and judicial power, and their historical missions and functions [16] Group 6 - "The Milk Craze: Body, Science, and Hope" investigates the transformation of milk consumption in China from a fear of dairy to a strong preference for it, analyzing the cultural, social, and economic factors behind this shift [22] - The book discusses the historical relationship between milk production, consumption, and traditional health beliefs, as well as the impact of foreign milk products on the Chinese market [22] Group 7 - "The Great Transformation: The Political and Economic Origins of Our Time" describes the transition from pre-industrial to industrialized Europe, revealing significant ideological, social, and political changes during this period [32] - The author critiques the inherent flaws of self-regulating free markets and predicts the severe consequences of market economies on people, nature, and production organization [32]
记者手记丨马尼拉暴雨下的所见所思
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-07-27 01:40
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the recurring flooding issues in Manila, exacerbated by outdated infrastructure and inadequate disaster management, leading to significant human and economic impacts during the rainy season [1][2]. Group 1: Flooding and Disaster Impact - On July 25, Manila experienced severe flooding due to a tropical cyclone and enhanced southwest monsoon, resulting in the deaths of 30 people and 7 missing, with approximately 5.3 million affected [1]. - The flooding has caused widespread disruption, with schools and businesses closed for five consecutive days, and major roads submerged [1][2]. Group 2: Infrastructure Challenges - Manila's drainage systems are outdated and often clogged, contributing to the city's vulnerability to flooding during heavy rains [2]. - The Philippine Commission on Audit noted in 2021 that the budget utilization for flood control projects was low, with delays in the maintenance of drainage pumps and slow progress on infrastructure projects [2]. Group 3: Broader Context and Political Implications - The article suggests that the flooding issues in Manila are not solely due to climate factors but also reflect deeper political and planning challenges, emphasizing the need for concrete actions rather than just rhetoric [3]. - The upcoming state of the nation address by President Marcos is expected to focus on addressing climate crises, indicating a potential shift in policy priorities [2].
热浪提前来袭 气候警钟再响——访欧盟气候监测机构科学家尼古拉斯
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-07-15 05:07
Core Insights - The Copernicus Climate Change Service reported that June 2023 was the third hottest June globally since records began in 1940, with Western Europe experiencing the hottest June on record [1] - The report highlights that heatwaves are occurring earlier, more frequently, and with greater intensity in Europe, closely linked to global warming [1] Group 1: Climate Trends - Western and Southern Europe experienced two significant heatwaves in late June, indicating a shift in the timing of such events from July and August to June [1] - A key factor contributing to the intensified heatwaves in June is the record high sea surface temperatures in the Western Mediterranean, which has led to numerous "tropical nights" where temperatures do not drop below 20 degrees Celsius [1] Group 2: Oceanic and Polar Impacts - The Mediterranean region is becoming a climate change hotspot, with its warming rate significantly exceeding the global average [1] - The ocean absorbs about 90% of the heat associated with greenhouse gas emissions, posing severe threats to marine ecosystems, including increased coral bleaching observed globally [1] - Arctic warming is occurring at a rate much faster than the global average, which may alter the jet stream and lead to more frequent extreme weather events [1] Group 3: Ice Coverage - In June, Arctic sea ice extent was 6% below the average, marking the second lowest June extent in 47 years of satellite records, while Antarctic sea ice was 9% below average, the third lowest on record for June [2] - Eastern and Southeastern Europe may face heightened risks of high temperatures and drought in the coming months, with heatwaves becoming a new norm for European summers [2] Group 4: Climate Action Recommendations - The report emphasizes two critical directions for addressing climate change: accelerating mitigation measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and enhancing adaptive capacity to improve resilience against extreme weather and long-term warming trends [2]
46℃炼狱!欧洲人在烤箱里挣扎:空调是奢侈品,电费单是催命符
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-13 01:22
Group 1: Extreme Heat Impact - Europe experienced its hottest summer in history in June 2025, with temperatures in Huelva, Spain reaching 46°C, breaking records since 1965 [1] - 88% of France's provinces were under a red alert, leading to the closure of the Eiffel Tower's top level and the suspension of classes in 1,896 schools [1] - Germany faced nationwide train disruptions due to rail expansion from heat, and "mobile air-conditioned buses" were introduced in Berlin for public relief [1] Group 2: Energy Crisis - The paradox of "turning on air conditioning means death, not turning it on means death" emerged as electricity prices in Italy were projected to rise by 30% and gas prices by 37% in fall 2025, increasing annual household expenses by over €250 [3] - Germany's electricity market saw extreme fluctuations, with daily prices ranging from -€26 to €583 per megawatt-hour, marking historical volatility [3] - Low-income households found air conditioning to be a luxury, with significant increases in demand for alternative cooling methods, such as USB fans and ice [3] Group 3: Public Health Crisis - The extreme heat resulted in a public health disaster, with approximately 2,300 deaths across 12 European cities attributed to the heatwave, 1,500 of which were directly linked to climate change [4] - Spain reported a 73% increase in heat-related deaths compared to 2022, with the elderly being the most vulnerable demographic [4] - Hospitals were overwhelmed, and social disparities were highlighted, as wealthier areas had three times the air conditioning prevalence compared to poorer neighborhoods, leading to a 45% higher mortality rate in low-income communities [4] Group 4: Transition Strategies - Europe is struggling to transition, with Germany establishing a €500 billion special fund, allocating €100 billion for energy storage and grid upgrades [6] - Spain received €700 million in EU subsidies to support independent energy storage systems, while France introduced a "cooling subsidy plan" for low-income families to purchase air conditioning [6] - Chinese companies played a crucial role, with air conditioning exports to Europe reaching ¥11.98 billion in the first half of 2025, and brands like Midea and Gree gaining traction in the market [6] Group 5: Sustainability Challenges - The EU reported a 42.5% share of renewable energy generation in Q1 2025, a decrease of 4.3 percentage points from the previous year, primarily due to reduced hydro and wind power [6] - Predictions indicate that without accelerated transition efforts, the air conditioning ownership in Europe could reach 275 million units by 2050, leading to a surge in electricity demand and potential new crises [6] Group 6: Societal Reflection - The heat crisis exposed the conflict between environmental ideals and survival needs, as well as the shortsightedness of energy policies and social inequality [7] - The success of Chinese air conditioning in Europe reflects a need for pragmatic solutions in the face of climate disasters, emphasizing that true sustainability requires ensuring that every individual can access cool air during extreme heat [7]