Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 34.16 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.7% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 30.0%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.35 billion yuan, up 16.8% year-on-year but down 63.8% quarter-on-quarter. The non-recurring net profit was 780 million yuan, a significant increase of 601.0% year-on-year, but down 13.7% quarter-on-quarter [1][2] - The company's sales of self-branded vehicles reached 453,000 units in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.5% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 10.8%. The sales of self-branded new energy vehicles were 194,000 units, up 50.7% year-on-year but down 30.4% quarter-on-quarter [1][2] - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 13.9%, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points year-on-year and 2.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to increased terminal discounts and lower cost reductions [1][2] Financial Performance Summary - The report forecasts revenues of 189.55 billion yuan, 209.46 billion yuan, and 233.54 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 8.87 billion yuan, 10.76 billion yuan, and 12.72 billion yuan [4][5] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.89 yuan, 1.09 yuan, and 1.28 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 14, 11, and 10 [4][5] - The company plans to accelerate its new energy transition with new models and aims for global sales of 500,000 units in 2025, including 400,000 units domestically and 100,000 units overseas [3][4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price of 12.20 CNY per share, corresponding to a PE ratio of 14 for 2025 [4][6]. Core Views - The company reported total revenue of 159.73 billion CNY for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.32 billion CNY, up 104.5% year-on-year [1]. - The company is accelerating its transition to new energy vehicles, with significant sales growth in its self-branded models, particularly in the new energy segment [4]. - The report forecasts revenues of 189.55 billion CNY, 209.46 billion CNY, and 233.54 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits projected at 8.87 billion CNY, 10.76 billion CNY, and 12.72 billion CNY for the same years [4][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, total revenue reached 48.77 billion CNY, reflecting a 13.2% year-on-year increase and a 42.5% quarter-on-quarter increase. The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 3.74 billion CNY, up 159.0% year-on-year and 400.3% quarter-on-quarter [1][3]. - The average selling price (ASP) for vehicles in Q4 2024 was 96,000 CNY, with a gross margin of 16.2%, showing a slight improvement from the previous quarter [2]. Sales and Market Dynamics - The company sold 507,000 self-branded passenger vehicles in Q4 2024, a 21.3% increase year-on-year and a 49.7% increase quarter-on-quarter. The sales of self-branded new energy vehicles reached 279,000 units, up 66.6% year-on-year and 87.7% quarter-on-quarter [2][3]. - The report highlights the launch of new models under the Deep Blue and Avita brands, with ambitious sales targets for 2025, including a goal of 500,000 units globally [4]. Cost and Expense Management - The report notes an increase in sales expenses due to the launch of new models, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios reported at 5.8%, 1.8%, 4.2%, and -0.4% respectively for Q4 2024 [3].

[Table_Reportdate] 2025年04月10日 公 司 简 评 [Table_invest] 买入（维持） 报告原因：重大事项 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 谢建斌 S0630522020001 xjb@longone.com.cn 联系人 陈芯楠 cxn@longone.com.cn | [数据日期 Table_cominfo] | 2025/04/10 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价 | 12.20 | | 总股本(万股) | 991,409 | | 流通A股/B股(万股) | 826,073/164,1 61 | | 资产负债率(%) | 59.36% | | 市净率(倍) | 1.62 | | 净资产收益率(加权) | 4.95 | | 12个月内最高/最低价 | 18.90/11.32 | [Table_QuotePic] -43% -33% -22% -11% 0% 11% 21% 32% 24-04 24-07 24-10 25-01 长安汽车 沪深300 [相关研究 Table_Report] 《长安汽车（000625）：2月新能源销 量同比提升，智驾平 ...

[Table_Reportdate] 2025年04月10日 公 司 简 评 [Table_invest] 买入（维持） 报告原因：重大事项 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 谢建斌 S0630522020001 xjb@longone.com.cn 联系人 陈芯楠 cxn@longone.com.cn | [数据日期 Table_cominfo] | 2025/04/10 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价 | 12.20 | | 总股本(万股) | 991,409 | | 流通A股/B股(万股) | 826,073/164,1 61 | | 资产负债率(%) | 59.36% | | 市净率(倍) | 1.62 | | 净资产收益率(加权) | 4.95 | | 12个月内最高/最低价 | 18.90/11.32 | [Table_QuotePic] -43% -33% -22% -11% 0% 11% 21% 32% 24-04 24-07 24-10 25-01 长安汽车 沪深300 [相关研究 Table_Report] 《长安汽车（000625）：2月新能源销 量同比提升，智驾平 ...

0 1 事 件 概 述 公司发布3月产销快报：集团3月批发销量为26.8万辆，同比+3.5%，环比+66.0%；1-3月累计批发70.5万辆，同比+1.9%；自主乘用车3月批发销量为16.6万辆， 同比+5.5%，环比+75.8%；1-3月累计批发45.3万辆，同比+3.5%；长安福特3月批发销量为1.8万辆，同比-14.9%，环比+52.3%；1-3月累计批发4.8万辆，同 比-14.1%；长安马自达3月批发销量为0.72万辆，同比+16.7%，环比+88.4%；1-3月累计批发1.8万辆，同比-9.0%。 0 2 分 析 判 断 ► 自主乘用车同比销量稳步提升 新能源大幅增长 3月公司自主乘用车批发销量16.6万辆，同比+5.5%，环比+75.8%。新能源方面，3月自主新能源批发销量为12.5万辆, 同比+135.2%，环比+214.4%；1-3月累计批 发23.2万辆，同比+80.0%。其中3月深蓝销量2.4万辆，同比+86.8%，环比+30.1%；阿维塔10,475辆，同比+108.8%，环比+102.1%，阿维塔07新车型贡献增量。 展望2025年，集团销量目标为300万辆，新能源销量目标为100 ...