Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's recent statement did not present any surprising elements, with adjustments to inflation and economic growth forecasts being largely anticipated by the market [1] Group 1 - The Federal Reserve raised its inflation expectations due to conservative considerations regarding the potential impact of tariffs [1] - The economic growth forecast was slightly downgraded, aligning with market expectations and not leading to a directional change [1] - The focus now shifts to the details provided by Chairman Powell during the press conference, particularly his responses and body language [1]

Group 1: IEA Monthly Report Highlights - The IEA projects sufficient oil market supply through 2025 and beyond, barring any major disruptions [1] - Global oil demand is expected to reach an average of 103.8 million barrels per day in 2025 and 104.5 million barrels per day in 2026 [1] - Global oil supply is forecasted to be 104.9 million barrels per day in 2025 and 106 million barrels per day in 2026 [1] - The demand growth forecast for 2025 has been revised down from 740,000 barrels per day to 720,000 barrels per day, and for 2026 from 760,000 barrels per day to 740,000 barrels per day [1] - The global oil supply growth forecast for 2025 has been raised from 1.6 million barrels per day to 1.8 million barrels per day, and for 2026 from 970,000 barrels per day to 1.1 million barrels per day [1] Group 2: OPEC Monthly Report Highlights - U.S. shale oil production is expected to stabilize at 9.05 million barrels per day next year [2] - The average daily oil production of OPEC+ in May was 41.23 million barrels, an increase of 180,000 barrels from April [2] - OPEC has lowered its forecast for oil supply growth from the U.S. and other non-OPEC+ producers for 2026 [2] - Despite trade concerns, the economic outlook remains strong, with no mention of the Israel-Palestine conflict in the latest report [2] - OPEC maintains its global oil demand growth forecast at 1.3 million barrels per day for 2025 and 1.28 million barrels per day for 2026 [2] - Economic growth forecasts for the global economy are held steady at 2.9% for this year and 3.1% for next year, with U.S. growth forecasts unchanged at 1.7% and 2.1% respectively [2]

Group 1 - The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) does not typically make predictions regarding GDP growth rates due to the inherent conflict of interest in being both a data producer and a forecaster [1] - The overall economic operation indicates that there is still relatively strong support for economic growth throughout the year [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Ethiopian Finance Minister forecasts an economic growth rate of 8.9% for the fiscal year 2025/26 [1] Economic Growth Forecast - The projected growth rate of 8.9% indicates a strong economic outlook for Ethiopia in the upcoming fiscal year [1]

国际货币基金组织预测2025年巴西经济增长2.3%。 ...

经合组织将印度2025-2026年的经济增长预测从6.4%下调至6.3%。 ...

智通财经6月3日电，经合组织将印度2025-2026年经济增长预测从6.4%下调至6.3%。 ...

美国总统特朗普在社交媒体上表示："民主党人启发并'控制'了国会预算办公室(CBO)，故意给了我们一 个极低的增长率，10年来只有1.8%。这是多么荒谬和不爱国啊！他们在2017年对我们做了同样的事 情，但我们实现的增长是其预测的两倍。他们最近发布的信息更加荒谬和站不住脚。我预测，我们的经 济增长将是他们有意'分配'给我们的(1.8%)3倍、4倍，甚至5倍。而且，只要我们实现最低预期的3%增 长，我们就能抵消我们的减税(实际上，这不会让我们花任何钱！)" ...

美国国会预算办公室（CBO）的1.8%增长预测非常保守。 我们将实现超过3%的增长。 白宫经济委员会主任Hassett：如果我们实现3%的增长，特朗普的减税法案就能自我覆盖成本。 ...

智通财经5月21日电，德国经济专家委员会将2025年经济增长预测从先前的0.4%下调至0.0%；预计德国 经济2026年增长1.0%。 ...