| 市场 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 欧美 | 道琼斯工业平均 | 44911.26 | -11.01 | -0.02% | | | 纳斯达克 | 21710.67 | -2.47 | -0.01% | | | 标普500 | 6468.54 | 1.96 | 0.03% | | | 欧洲斯托克50 | 5434.70 | 46.45 | 0.86% | | | 英国富时100 | 9177.24 | 12.01 | 0.13% | | | 法国CAC40 | 7870.34 | 65.37 | 0.84% | | | 德国DAX30 | 24377.50 | 191.91 | 0.79% | | | 俄罗斯RTS | 1175.86 | -0.68 | -0.06% | | | 创业板指导 | | 2469.66 " . 80 gu c 36.84 0 " | -1.08% | | | 恒生指数 | 25519.32 | -94.35 | -0.37% | | | 恒生国企指数 | 9128.93 | -21.12 | - ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia, highlighting recent military actions, diplomatic efforts, and the potential for negotiations between U.S. President Trump and Russian President Putin [1][5][6]. Group 1: Military Actions - On August 14, Ukrainian armed forces conducted a strike on the largest oil refinery in southern Russia, the Volgograd refinery, which is crucial for supplying fuel to the Russian military [2][3]. - The refinery processes over 15 million tons of crude oil annually, accounting for 5.6% of Russia's total refining capacity, and produces diesel, gasoline, and aviation fuel [3]. - Concurrently, a drone attack in Rostov city resulted in injuries to 13 individuals, with ongoing updates on casualties [3]. - The Russian Federal Security Service reported that approximately 30 drones targeted a Ukrainian factory producing "Grom" ballistic missile systems, claiming to have thwarted the production plans [3][4]. Group 2: Diplomatic Efforts - Trump and Putin are scheduled to meet on August 15 in Anchorage, Alaska, with the primary agenda focused on resolving the Ukraine crisis [5][6]. - The U.S. Treasury announced a temporary exemption from certain sanctions against Russia to facilitate preparations for the summit [1]. - Trump expressed a desire to use all possible means to peacefully end the Ukraine conflict, while also indicating that if negotiations fail, sanctions may be intensified [5][6]. - The meeting will include a one-on-one discussion followed by a larger delegation meeting, with topics extending beyond the Ukraine crisis to economic and global security cooperation [6].

特朗普还表示，如果谈得不顺，他将推动一系列针对俄罗斯的制裁措施。特朗普13日在华盛顿举行的一 场记者会上说，如果普京在阿拉斯加会晤中不接受俄乌停火的提议，将面临"非常严重后果"。 "普特会"定于15日在美国阿拉斯加州最大城市安克雷奇举行。据美国媒体报道，地点是一处美军基地。 特朗普11日说，这将是一次"试探性会晤"，结果"或好或坏"。 （文章来源：新华社） 新华财经美国安克雷奇8月14日电（记者高山谭晶晶）美国总统特朗普14日说，他与俄罗斯总统普京15 日将在美国阿拉斯加州举行的会晤有"25%的几率"不成功。 特朗普接受福克斯新闻电台采访时说，这次会晤"就像下国际象棋"。他表示，相信普京有意愿就俄乌冲 突达成协议，他与普京的会晤如果取得积极进展，将给有乌克兰总统泽连斯基参与的下一次会晤铺 路。"但这次会晤有25%的几率不会成功。" 特朗普表示，美俄乌三方会晤若举行，有三个备选地点，其中继续在阿拉斯加州举行"最方便"。他称， 三方会晤可能会深入讨论"边界议题"，将涉及"土地交换"。 目前，俄乌双方均表示不会在领土问题上让步。 ...

Group 1 - Russian President Vladimir Putin praised the Trump administration's "positive" efforts to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict and hinted at a potential nuclear arms control agreement during the upcoming summit in Alaska [1] - Putin indicated that the talks with the U.S. aim to create conditions for long-term peace between the two countries and globally [1] - The New START treaty, which limits the nuclear arsenals of both nations, is set to expire in February 2026, raising concerns about future arms control agreements [1] Group 2 - Earlier this month, Trump ordered two nuclear submarines to be strategically deployed near Russia in response to provocative statements from Dmitry Medvedev, highlighting the tense relations between the two countries [2] - The summit will include a one-on-one conversation between the two presidents, followed by a working lunch, focusing on the Russia-Ukraine conflict and economic cooperation [2] - European leaders expressed cautious optimism after discussions with Trump, who agreed on the need for an immediate ceasefire and emphasized Ukraine's role in future negotiations [4]

来源：央视新闻 据央视新闻消息，当地时间8月14日，俄罗斯总统普京在筹备俄美元首阿拉斯加会谈的俄高层 会议上表示， 美方政府正采取相当积极且真诚的努力，旨在停止军事行动、化解危机，并达 成符合 俄乌 冲突相关方利益的协议 ， 为国家之间以及欧洲实现持久和平创造条件。 普京还称， 如果俄美两方能在下一阶段就进攻性战略武器控制达成共识，这将有利于全球范 围内的和平。 美国总统特朗普与俄罗斯总统普京将于当地时间15日在美国阿拉斯加州最大城市安克雷奇举 行会晤。 ...

本文陈述所有内容皆有可靠信息来源，具体资料赘述在文中结尾 这周的国际舞台可谓是风云变幻，特朗普在最后一刻签字，选择继续与中国关税休战，这一消息刚落下帷幕，紧接着另一件大事又吸引了全球目光："特普 会"即将登场。 如今特朗普将越过欧洲，直接邀请普京进行单独会晤，这一操作可把欧洲国家吓得不轻，要知道在这三年的俄乌冲突中，欧洲可是出钱又出力，忙得不亦乐 乎。 可如今，在这场关乎欧洲安全的重大谈判中，他们却被无情地拒之门外，甚至连乌克兰也没有参与，这怎能不让欧洲国家心里犯嘀咕呢？ 泽连斯基也不是吃素的，态度十分强硬，明确表示放弃领土违反乌克兰宪法，坚决不同意，可特朗普却直接回怼，嘲讽泽连斯基说他都能拿着宪法去打仗、 去杀人，现在进行领土交换却要批准，言下之意就是在暗示泽连斯基眼里只有战争，根本不顾及在战争中无辜死去的乌克兰人。 8月12日，白宫新闻秘书对外宣称，特朗普与普京将于8月15日在美国阿拉斯加的最大城市安克雷奇举行会晤，会议内容的重点就是俄乌战争。 这让欧洲和乌克兰急得像热锅上的蚂蚁，因为特朗普此前就曾表示停火协议可能涉及"领土交换"，但大家都清楚，目前乌克兰并没有占领俄罗斯的领土，所 以这所谓的领土交换，大 ...

Core Points - European leaders, including those from Germany, France, and the UK, held a video conference with U.S. President Trump and Ukrainian President Zelensky to discuss the upcoming U.S.-Russia summit, emphasizing the need for Ukraine's interests to be respected during negotiations [1][5][6] - The White House confirmed that Trump and Putin will have a one-on-one meeting in Alaska, with only one side of the conflict present, which raises concerns about Ukraine's exclusion from discussions [3][4][6] - European leaders expressed worries that Trump may view the negotiations as a "deal" involving territorial exchanges, which could undermine Ukraine's sovereignty and security [7][8] Group 1 - European leaders are concerned about being sidelined in the U.S.-Russia negotiations, fearing that any agreements made could disregard their interests and those of Ukraine [1][4][6] - Zelensky has taken a strong stance against any territorial concessions, stating that Ukraine will not compromise on its territorial integrity [5][6][8] - The upcoming summit is seen as a critical moment, with European leaders urging for a ceasefire to be prioritized before any peace framework is established [5][6] Group 2 - The Russian military has been making significant advances in Eastern Ukraine, which may strengthen Putin's negotiating position during the summit [7][8] - Analysts suggest that even if no agreement is reached at the summit, it could still benefit Russia by allowing them to continue their military operations [8] - Hungary's Prime Minister Orbán criticized the EU's lack of involvement in the negotiations, highlighting the importance of political authority and participation in discussions affecting Europe [8]

Group 1 - The EU allies are considering a gradual easing of sanctions on Russia if a comprehensive ceasefire agreement can be reached, with an initial 15-day ceasefire period during which sanctions would still be effective [2] - Italy is pushing for European involvement in discussions between the US and Russia regarding Ukraine, emphasizing the need for clear military, economic, and political guarantees for Ukraine [2] - The US government has been reported to consider easing sanctions, particularly on the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline, although this has been denied by US officials [2] Group 2 - The potential easing of sanctions may not be a strong enough incentive for Putin, as European cooperation is essential for Russia to gain substantial benefits [3] - The Russian economy has faced significant challenges due to sanctions, with a sharp decline in energy sales to Europe and exclusion from international payment systems, yet the IMF predicts a modest growth rate of about 1% over the next three years [3] - Despite a two-thirds reduction in European gas imports from Russia, the revenue from fossil fuels remains resilient, with daily earnings in July reported at €585 million, which is less than half of early 2022 levels [3] Group 3 - The EU aims to eliminate Russian imports by 2027, making it unlikely to significantly increase energy purchases from Russia [4] - The EU is cautious about actions that could support Putin's military expansion, such as restoring access to the SWIFT payment system or unfreezing the Central Bank of Russia's assets [4] - The best strategy for the US to achieve peace may involve threatening more severe sanctions, although there is little interest from the US administration in such measures [4]

目前，乌方对此暂无回应。 （文章来源：央视新闻） 法捷耶夫称，仅8月12日夜间至13日凌晨，俄军拦截并摧毁了46架乌克兰无人机。在过去一周，乌无人 机袭击已造成127名俄罗斯公民伤亡，其中22人死亡、105人受伤，包括6名未成年人。 他指出，乌克兰当局不考虑和平，并将任何谈判视为延长冲突状态和维持现有权力的手段。 当地时间8月13日，俄罗斯外交部新闻与信息司副司长法捷耶夫在当日就当前外交政策问题举行的视频 发布会上表示，随着俄美会谈的临近，基辅当局加大了针对俄罗斯地区的军事活动力度。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implications of the recent U.S.-China trade negotiations, particularly focusing on the potential threat of secondary tariffs and the overall strategic stability in U.S.-China relations [4][5][6]. Summary by Sections Trade Negotiations and Tariff Delays - On August 12, Trump signed an executive order to delay 24% of reciprocal tariffs for 90 days while maintaining 10% tariffs, which was anticipated by the market [4]. - The delay occurred at the last moment, suggesting a possible deterrent strategy [4]. Secondary Tariff Threats - Trump's threat to impose a 25% secondary tariff on China is not merely about increasing oil purchases but is aimed at leveraging China's influence on the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire [5][6]. - The U.S. trade war has not effectively pressured China’s manufacturing or exports, and it has provided other countries with reasons to remain passive [5]. Energy Security Concerns - The secondary tariff threat touches on China's energy security, which is a more sensitive issue compared to trade in oil or agricultural products [6]. - The Chinese government has expressed strong opposition to unilateral sanctions and the trade war, emphasizing that there are no winners in such conflicts [6]. U.S.-Russia Relations and Its Impact - Trump's dual approach towards Russia includes military support for Ukraine and economic pressure through tariffs on countries buying Russian oil [6]. - A successful U.S.-Russia meeting could reduce the immediate need for secondary tariffs against China [6]. Future of U.S.-China Relations - The article predicts that U.S.-China relations will remain "strategically stable" and gradually improve, setting the stage for potential high-level meetings [7]. - The U.S. has specific demands from China regarding issues like rare earths and fentanyl, but the leverage has diminished recently [7]. Negotiation Dynamics - Achieving significant breakthroughs in negotiations will take time and depend on the outcomes of future high-level dialogues [7]. - The current trade war may hinder the U.S. from effectively engaging allies, as countries may choose to wait and see how U.S.-China relations evolve [7].