Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration are soliciting opinions on the draft implementation regulations of the Value-Added Tax (VAT) Law, aiming to clarify and detail key elements of the tax system, including taxpayers and taxable scope [1][17]. Group 1: Definitions and Taxpayer Clarifications - The draft regulations define the scope of taxable transactions, including goods, services, intangible assets, and real estate [2][19]. - Clarifications are provided for different types of taxpayers, including units and individuals, general taxpayers, and small-scale taxpayers [3][19]. - The regulations specify the circumstances under which services and intangible assets are consumed domestically [4][19]. - VAT special invoices must separately indicate sales amounts and VAT amounts [5][19]. Group 2: Tax Rates - The regulations clarify the scope of zero-rated export goods and cross-border sales services and intangible assets [6][19][7]. - Rules for applying multiple tax rates and collection rates in a single taxable transaction are detailed [8][19]. Group 3: Tax Payable - Specific provisions regarding the calculation of tax payable are outlined, including methods for deducting input VAT and the scope of non-deductible input VAT [9][20]. - The regulations clarify the methods for deducting input VAT and the range of tax deduction certificates [10][20]. - Methods for adjusting VAT amounts and sales amounts due to sales discounts, cancellations, or returns are specified [11][20]. - Detailed definitions for external costs, assessed sales amounts, and abnormal loss items are provided [12][20]. - Input VAT related to loan services and non-taxable transactions cannot be deducted from output VAT [13][20]. - Rules for deducting input VAT related to purchased goods and services are clarified [14][20]. - The regulations specify the rules for deducting input VAT related to fixed assets, intangible assets, or real estate [15][20]. Group 4: Tax Incentives - The regulations specify the criteria for VAT exemption projects [20]. - The scope, standards, conditions, and tax collection measures for tax incentive policies must be publicly disclosed [20]. - Provisions are made for taxpayers who fail to account for VAT incentive projects separately or who engage in fraudulent activities to obtain VAT incentives [20]. Group 5: Collection Management - The regulations detail provisions for taxpayers operating under special circumstances, such as contracting, leasing, and asset management products [21][20]. - It is specified that foreign entities and individuals renting real estate in China must appoint a domestic agent [21][20]. - Further clarifications are made regarding the timing of VAT obligations [21][20]. - Specific rules for prepayment of taxes for taxpayers providing construction services across regions are included [21][20]. - Provisions for calculating tax refunds and exemptions, as well as the deadlines for refund applications, are established [21][20]. Group 6: Implementation - The effective date of the regulations is clearly stated [22].

Summary of Conference Call on China's Interest Rates and Credit Market Industry Overview - **Industry**: China's Banking and Bond Market - **Key Focus**: Interest rates, credit market dynamics, and government bond yields Core Insights 1. **Government Bond Yield Fluctuations**: - The 10-year China government bond (CGB) yield increased from 1.6% at the start of 2025 to a peak of 1.9% in March, stabilizing at 1.63% before rising to 1.73% in late July. This fluctuation is attributed to the central government's anti-involution campaign and the Mega dam project proposal [2][3]. 2. **Market Confidence Indicators**: - The yield increase is interpreted as a sign of market confidence in potential improvements in corporate profitability, stronger investment stimulus, and a move away from deflation. The expert suggests that both technical factors and macroeconomic conditions, including seasonal liquidity tightening and positive Q2 economic data, are influencing this trend [2][3]. 3. **Interest Rate Outlook**: - The central bank is expected to maintain low rates to support the real economy, with government bond yields anticipated to fluctuate within a range of 1.6% to 1.8% for the remainder of 2025 [2][3]. 4. **Limited Rate Cuts**: - Further cuts to the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) or Reserve Requirement Ratio (RRR) are deemed unlikely due to strong economic data from the first half of 2025 and previous rate cuts in May. The focus will shift to targeted monetary policy tools rather than broad rate cuts [3]. 5. **VAT Reinstatement on Bond Interest**: - The reinstatement of VAT on government bond interest income for institutional investors aims to eliminate tax effects on the yield curve, aligning government and credit bond yields. This change is expected to result in slightly lower yields for existing tax-exempt bonds but may lead to higher coupon rates for new bonds issued post-August 8 [4]. 6. **Impact on Banks**: - The VAT reinstatement raises concerns about banks holding onto old bonds, potentially reducing trading activity and impacting investment gains, which accounted for 10% of banks' revenue in 2024. However, bond trading is expected to remain active due to the large size of the bond market, with banks holding significant portions of CGB and LGB [5][7]. 7. **Bond Trading Dynamics**: - The secondary bond market is projected to stay active, as banks represent only about 10% of bond trading. The tight control on local government and Local Government Financing Vehicle (LGFV) debt growth has created an imbalance in supply and demand, leading to lower yields [7]. Additional Considerations - **Risks to Banking Sector**: - Major risks include deterioration in asset quality due to a soft macro environment, capital adequacy concerns, and pressure on profitability from declining interest rates [9]. - **Valuation Methodology**: - Price targets for H-share and A-share China banks are derived from a three-stage dividend discount model (DDM) and P/B to ROE valuation methodology, respectively [8]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call regarding the outlook for China's interest rates and credit market, highlighting the dynamics affecting government bond yields and the implications for the banking sector.

Group 1 - The credit market has shown a general increase, with the yield curve steepening for perpetual bonds, as credit spreads have narrowed significantly due to a recovery in credit sentiment and favorable tax policies [1][2][4] - The yield on 3-year perpetual bonds has decreased by 3-4 basis points, while the long-end yields have seen limited increases, indicating a flattening of the curve [1][4] - Short-term bonds have outperformed long-term bonds, and lower-rated bonds have performed better than higher-rated ones during this period [1][2] Group 2 - The reintroduction of VAT on newly issued government and local bonds has provided a relative pricing advantage for credit bonds, leading to a noticeable increase in buying activity from public funds [2][14] - Despite a decrease in the scale of wealth management products, there has been a temporary increase in credit holdings due to the attractive pricing of credit bonds [2][25] Group 3 - Since July, there has been a slight increase in the supply of urban investment bonds, alongside stable issuance from state-owned and private enterprises, particularly in the technology sector [3][33] - As of August 10, 2025, the cumulative net financing for credit bonds has reached 1.556 trillion yuan, slightly above the level seen in the same period last year [3][34] Group 4 - Credit spreads have compressed significantly since the beginning of 2025, with short-term spreads compressing more than long-term ones, indicating a structural shift in the credit market [4][47] - The current yield levels for most credit varieties are below those at the beginning of the year, with the exception of some high-grade perpetual bonds [4][51] - Non-financial credit bonds are expected to benefit from a tax advantage of 3-15 basis points, with spreads for mid-to-high-grade 3-5 year credit varieties approaching last year's low points [4][53]

近日，财政部、国家税务总局发布公告称，自2025年8月8日起，对在该日期之后(含当日)新发行的国债、地方政府债券、金融债券的利息收入， 恢复征收增值税；对在该日期之前已发行的国债、地方政府债券、金融债券(包含在2025年8月8日之后续发行的部分)的利息收入，继续免征增值 税直至债券到期。 对于债市影响方面，中信建投期货孙玉龙表示，受国债等债券利息收入恢复征税影响，近期债券远期收益率预期上升，近远月价差进一步扩张。 但从长期来看，"反内卷"和恢复征收增值税对债市的影响时间较短且力度有限，反而提供了做多长债的机会，债市长期升势不改。 风险提示：本处所列示信息仅用于沟通交流之目的，仅供参考，不构成对任何个股的投资建议。"基金有风险，投资需谨慎" 央行今日开展1607亿元7天期逆回购操作，中标利率为1.40%，与此前持平。银行间主要利率债收益率窄幅震荡，截至昨日下午16:30，10年期国债 活跃券250011收益率下行0.5bp报1.699%，10年期国开债活跃券250210收益率上行0.1bp报1.796%，30年期国债活跃券2500002收益率下行0.05bp报 1.9175%。 2.债市资讯 鹏扬30年国债ET ...

Core Viewpoint - The bond market is experiencing a strong consolidation phase, with fluctuations in yields and a net withdrawal of liquidity from the market, influenced by the recent news on VAT collection and profit-taking by investors [1][5]. Market Performance - The majority of government bond futures closed higher, with the 30-year main contract down 0.04% at 119.330, while the 10-year main contract remained flat at 108.555 [2]. - The interbank yield on the 10-year government bond increased by 0.25 basis points to 1.797%, while the yield on the 10-year treasury bond decreased by 0.5 basis points to 1.6975% [2]. Overseas Bond Market - In North America, most U.S. Treasury yields rose, with the 2-year yield up 4.9 basis points to 3.720% and the 10-year yield up 1.17 basis points to 4.208% [3]. - In Asia, Japanese bond yields increased across the board, with the 10-year yield rising by 2.9 basis points to 1.503% [3]. - In the Eurozone, the 10-year French bond yield rose by 0.1 basis points to 3.283%, while the 10-year German bond yield fell by 0.1 basis points to 2.621% [3]. Primary Market - The Ministry of Finance reported weighted average winning yields for 91-day, 182-day, and 1-year government bonds at 1.2110%, 1.3019%, and 1.3277%, respectively, with bid-to-cover ratios of 3.31, 2.7, and 2.7 [4]. - Agricultural Development Bank's financial bonds had winning yields below market estimates, with 1.074-year, 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year yields at 1.39%, 1.61%, 1.69%, and 1.82%, respectively [4]. Liquidity Conditions - The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 1385 billion yuan at a rate of 1.40%, resulting in a net withdrawal of 1705 billion yuan for the day [5]. - Short-term Shibor rates mostly increased, with the overnight rate rising by 0.1 basis points to 1.316% [5]. Institutional Perspectives - Industry analysts suggest that the current convertible bond valuations are nearing historical highs, indicating limited downside potential and possible breakout opportunities [6]. - The outlook for August indicates that central bank liquidity is expected to remain reasonably ample, with funding rates likely to stay low, although regulatory goals may prevent further declines [6]. - Analysts anticipate that the market's trading focus may shift as the impact of anti-involution policies is validated by data, with interest rates expected to stabilize [6].

Group 1: Bond Market News - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) reported a net liquidity injection of 100 billion yuan through Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) and 200 billion yuan through reverse repos in July 2025 [2] - The bond market experienced significant volatility due to the resumption of value-added tax on government bond interest, with the yield on 10-year government bonds initially dropping to around 1.68% before rising back above 1.7% [2] - The bond market is expected to see a short-term preference for existing bonds due to tax advantages, but this impact is not anticipated to affect the long-term trend of the bond market [2] Group 2: Service Trade - China's service trade grew steadily in the first half of 2025, with total service trade reaching 38,872.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.0% [4] - Service exports amounted to 16,883 billion yuan, up 15.0%, while imports reached 21,989.6 billion yuan, growing by 3.2% [4] - Travel services saw the fastest growth, with imports and exports totaling 10,802.9 billion yuan, a 12.3% increase, and exports growing by 68.7% [4] Group 3: Cross-Border Wealth Management - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority reported that over 160,000 individual investors participated in the "Cross-Border Wealth Management Connect" 2.0 program, marking a 120% increase compared to the previous version [5] - The market response has been positive, with the value of holdings by Hong Kong participating institutions exceeding 16 billion yuan, a twofold increase from the previous program [5] Group 4: Commodity Market - International crude oil prices continued to decline, with WTI September futures down 1.54% to $66.29 per barrel, and Brent October futures down 1.30% to $68.76 per barrel [8] - Natural gas prices also saw a significant drop, decreasing by 4.62% to $3.095 per million British thermal units [8] Group 5: Equity and Convertible Bond Market - The A-share market experienced a rebound, with major indices closing higher, and the convertible bond market also saw a collective increase, with the China Convertible Bond Index rising by 0.90% [19] - The trading volume in the convertible bond market reached 802.41 billion yuan, an increase of 10.16 billion yuan from the previous trading day [19] - A total of 415 convertible bonds rose in price, while 38 fell, indicating a generally positive market sentiment [19]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the tax policies related to the sale of pet feed and the new tax credit evaluation system implemented by the tax authorities, emphasizing the importance of compliance and the implications for businesses in terms of tax obligations and benefits [4][10]. Tax Policies on Pet Feed - Pet feed products are not exempt from value-added tax (VAT) and are subject to a 9% tax rate [4]. - The article highlights the need for businesses to understand their tax obligations regarding pet feed sales to avoid penalties [4]. Tax Credit Evaluation System - A new tax credit evaluation system will be implemented starting July 1, 2025, which will expand the evaluation scope and integrate payment matters to enhance tax compliance [10]. - The evaluation will apply to various business entities that have completed tax information confirmation and identity reporting [10][12]. - The evaluation will include credit information from internal and external sources, assessing both regular and irregular indicators [13]. Evaluation Methodology - The tax credit evaluation will utilize an annual scoring system, with scores starting from 100 for compliant entities and adjusted based on the completeness of their tax information [13][19]. - New entities or those with serious credit issues will be subject to direct classification rather than scoring [14]. Credit Levels and Management - The credit levels will be categorized into five grades: A, B, M, C, and D, with specific score ranges defining each level [18][19]. - Tax authorities will provide differentiated services and management based on credit levels, including incentives for compliant entities and stricter measures for those with low credit ratings [22][23]. Credit Repair and Re-evaluation - Entities that have lost credit can apply for credit repair if they meet specific conditions, while those disputing their evaluation results can request a re-evaluation [24][25][26]. - The tax authorities will not accept re-evaluation requests after a credit repair application has been submitted for the same evaluation year [27].

钛媒体App 8月5日消息，根据日前财政部、国家税务总局发布的《关于国债等债券利息收入增值税政策 的公告》，自2025年8月8日起，对在该日期之后（含当日）新发行的国债、地方政府债券、金融债券的 利息收入，恢复征收增值税。在机构人士看来，增值税采用"新老划段"方式恢复征收，对于券商自营业 务的影响可控，要关注券商自营业务配置的股债再平衡趋势，以及券商板块业绩和估值修复。（中证 报） ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - Some key commodity futures prices with large gains the previous week significantly declined, such as coking coal and rebar, alleviating the expectation of a rapid rebound in PPI, and government bond yields started to fall from the middle of the week [2]. - The State Council deployed interest subsidies for personal consumer loans and loans to service - sector business entities. If interest - subsidy measures are more used to reduce financing costs, the theoretical necessity of interest rate cuts decreases [2]. - Starting from August 8th, newly issued government bonds and financial bonds will resume VAT collection. After the policy was announced on Friday, government bond yields declined overall, and it may guide the yields of existing government bonds and financial bonds downward [2]. Summary by Directory High - Frequency Data Panoramic Scan - **Food**: The average wholesale price of pork decreased by 0.84% week - on - week, the edible agricultural product price index remained flat week - on - week, and the Shandong vegetable wholesale price index increased by 0.02% week - on - week [11]. - **Other Consumer Goods**: The movie box office revenue increased by 43.31% week - on - week [11]. - **Commodities**: The RJ/CRB commodity price index decreased by 0.61% week - on - week, the LME copper spot price decreased by 1.52% week - on - week, and the LME aluminum spot price decreased by 1.95% week - on - week [11]. - **Energy**: The futures settlement prices of Brent and WTI crude oil increased by 4.09% and 4.12% week - on - week respectively, and the coal inventory at Qinhuangdao Port decreased by 8.23% week - on - week [11]. - **Non - Ferrous Metals**: The LME copper and aluminum spot prices decreased week - on - week, and the copper - gold ratio increased by 0.55% week - on - week [11]. - **Ferrous Metals**: The rebar inventory increased by 2.99% week - on - week, and the rebar price index increased by 4.47% week - on - week [11]. - **Real Estate**: The transaction area of commercial housing in 30 large - and medium - sized cities increased by 6.99% week - on - week, and the total transaction price of land in 100 large - and medium - sized cities increased by 102.13% week - on - week [11]. - **Shipping**: The CCFI composite index decreased by 2.30% week - on - week, and the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 3.13% week - on - week [11] High - Frequency Data and Important Macroeconomic Indicators Trend Comparison - Not elaborated in detail in the given content, only mentions multiple charts showing the relationship between high - frequency data and important macro - indicators [18][21][33] Important High - Frequency Indicators in the US and Europe - Not elaborated in detail in the given content, only mentions charts related to US weekly economic indicators, initial jobless claims, same - store sales growth, etc. [74][76][79] Seasonal Trends of High - Frequency Data - Not elaborated in detail in the given content, only mentions multiple charts showing the seasonal trends of high - frequency data such as the daily average output of crude steel and the production material price index [86][90][95] High - Frequency Traffic Data in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen - Not elaborated in detail in the given content, only mentions charts showing the year - on - year changes in subway passenger volume in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen [146][148]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Report's Core View - The resumption of VAT collection on treasury bonds, local government bonds, and financial bonds is expected to have a neutral impact on the bond market. The relatively low VAT rate and its application only to interest income limit the direct impact on the bond market [3][5][6]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 This Week's Institutional Behavior Review - **Yield Curve**: Yields on treasury bonds and China Development Bank bonds generally declined. Treasury bond yields decreased across various tenors, with the 1Y yield down 1bp, 3Y down 3bp, etc. China Development Bank bond yields also dropped, such as the 1Y yield down about 2bp and 3Y down 4bp [18]. - **Term Spread**: The spread between treasury bonds and China Development Bank bonds increased. For treasury bonds, the short - term spread was differentiated, and the long - term spread narrowed. For China Development Bank bonds, the spread increased, and the term spread generally narrowed [19][20][21]. 3.2 Bond Market Leverage and Funding Situation - **Leverage Ratio**: It dropped to 107.46%. From July 28 to August 1, 2025, the leverage ratio fluctuated upward during the week. As of August 1, it was about 107.46%, up 0.7pct from the previous Friday and 0.66pct from Monday [22]. - **Pledged Repurchase**: The average daily turnover of pledged repurchase this week was 6.6 trillion yuan, with an average daily overnight proportion of 86.77%. The average daily turnover decreased by 1.05 trillion yuan compared to last week [27]. - **Funding Situation**: Bank funding supply fluctuated upward. Large state - owned banks and policy banks had a net funding supply of 4.38 trillion yuan on August 1. The main fund - borrowing party was funds, and the money - market fund's funding supply fluctuated downward [33]. 3.3 Duration of Medium - and Long - Term Bond Funds - **Median Duration**: It dropped to 2.83 years. On August 1, the median duration (ex - leverage) was 2.83 years, down 0.05 years from the previous Friday; the median duration (including leverage) was 3.18 years, down 0.06 years from the previous Friday [47]. - **Interest - Rate Bond Fund Duration**: It dropped to 3.88 years. The median duration of interest - rate bond funds (including leverage) decreased to 3.88 years, down 0.06 years from the previous Friday [49][52]. 3.4 Category Strategy Comparison - **China - US Yield Spread**: The short - term spread narrowed, and the long - term spread widened. The 1Y spread narrowed by 1bp, 2Y by 4bp, etc., while the 7Y spread widened by 2bp, 10Y by about 4bp, and 30Y by 5bp [54]. - **Implied Tax Rate**: It generally narrowed. As of August 1, the 1Y spread between China Development Bank bonds and treasury bonds narrowed by 2bp, 3Y by about 1bp, etc. [57]. 3.5 Bond Lending Balance Changes - On August 1, the lending concentration of active and second - active 10Y treasury bonds, active 10Y China Development Bank bonds, and active 30Y treasury bonds trended upward, while that of the second - active 10Y China Development Bank bonds trended downward. All institutions showed an upward trend [58].