Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the anticipated seventh reduction in refined oil prices for the year, with a projected decrease of 205 yuan per ton, translating to a drop of approximately 0.16 to 0.19 yuan per liter for gasoline and diesel [1][3][5]. Oil Price Adjustment Overview - The 17th round of oil price adjustments will commence on August 26, with the current oil price change rate at -4.18% [1][3]. - Year-to-date, there have been 25 oil price adjustments, with 16 completed, resulting in a pattern of "6 increases, 6 decreases, and 4 stasis" [5]. Current Market Analysis - Analysts indicate that international crude oil prices are fluctuating between 63 to 66 yuan per barrel, influenced by geopolitical factors and the uncertain outlook of U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [3][4]. - The overall sentiment in the market is mixed, with some analysts suggesting that geopolitical risks may still support oil prices, while others highlight pressures from OPEC+ production increases and inflation concerns [5][6]. Future Outlook - There is a potential for a technical rebound in oil prices due to strong demand and unexpected declines in IEA oil inventories, despite ongoing supply pressures [5][6]. - The market is closely monitoring OPEC+ decisions regarding future production policies, particularly the exit from current production cuts [6].

Core Viewpoint - The recent adjustment in domestic fuel prices marks a slight decrease, ending a three-round price increase trend, with gasoline and diesel prices reduced by 130 yuan and 125 yuan per ton respectively [1] Group 1: Price Adjustments - Effective from July 15, 2023, the price of 92-octane gasoline in Beijing is reduced from 7.36 yuan to 7.26 yuan per liter, a decrease of 0.10 yuan [1] - The price of 95-octane gasoline is adjusted from 7.84 yuan to 7.73 yuan per liter, a decrease of 0.11 yuan [1] - The price of 0-diesel is lowered from 7.06 yuan to 6.95 yuan per liter, also a decrease of 0.11 yuan [1] - For an average private car with a 50-liter fuel tank, this price adjustment will save owners approximately 5 yuan when filling up [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - The price decrease is attributed to a combination of factors, including fluctuating international oil prices, seasonal consumption patterns in the U.S., and geopolitical uncertainties [1] - Despite the increase in international oil prices, the average price during the pricing cycle has decreased, leading to a negative change rate for the corresponding crude oil [1] - This adjustment represents the 14th price change of the year, with a pattern of "six increases, six decreases, and two stabilities" observed in the pricing adjustments [1]

Core Viewpoint - The domestic refined oil price adjustment window will open tonight at 24:00, with expectations of a price decrease due to fluctuations in international oil prices, marking the sixth reduction this year [1] Group 1: Price Adjustment Details - According to Zhaochuang Information, during the current pricing cycle (from July 1, 24:00 to July 15, 24:00), despite strong support for international oil prices due to summer demand in the U.S., concerns about oversupply have resurfaced following the easing of Middle Eastern geopolitical conflicts and an unexpected production increase agreement by OPEC+ [3] - It is predicted that on July 15 at 24:00, the retail price limits for gasoline and diesel will be reduced by 130 and 125 yuan per ton, respectively, translating to a decrease of 0.10, 0.11, and 0.11 yuan per liter for 92 gasoline, 95 gasoline, and 0 diesel [3] - The cost savings for consumers will be noticeable; for instance, filling a 50L tank of 92 gasoline will save approximately 5 yuan, and for a small private car with a monthly mileage of 2000 km and fuel consumption of 8L per 100 km, the fuel cost will decrease by about 7 yuan before the next price adjustment window on July 29 [3] Group 2: Future Market Outlook - Looking ahead, the international crude oil market remains supported by sustained demand in the U.S., with a significant support level at around 65 USD for WTI [4] - The recalculated crude oil change rate is currently at a low positive level, indicating that the potential price increase for the next adjustment is limited to only 10 yuan per ton, leading to considerable uncertainty regarding the next price adjustment window on July 29 [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that domestic refined oil prices are experiencing a temporary adjustment after a series of increases, with gasoline and diesel prices expected to decrease by approximately 0.10 to 0.12 yuan per liter [1][3] - The recent international oil price fluctuations, influenced by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, Federal Reserve monetary policy, and OPEC production cuts, have led to a rare "three consecutive increases" in oil prices, with some regions seeing 95-octane gasoline prices exceed 8 yuan per liter [1][3] - The current round of price adjustments is supported by a -3.31% change rate in crude oil prices, allowing for a reduction of 130 yuan per ton, despite a slight increase in early July that reduced the expected drop by about 15 yuan per ton [3] Group 2 - The limited decrease in oil prices should be viewed with caution, as future price movements remain uncertain due to ongoing volatility in international oil prices, U.S. crude inventory data, and geopolitical factors [3][6] - Some regions, such as Guangdong and Guangxi, may see 95-octane gasoline prices return to the "7 yuan range," but consumers are advised to be rational about refueling, as the savings from the price drop are minimal [3][6] - The adjustment in refined oil prices reflects the normal response of the domestic pricing mechanism to international market dynamics, highlighting the complexity of global energy geopolitics and its impact on long-term oil price trends [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the anticipated sixth reduction in domestic fuel prices in 2023, driven by a combination of factors including OPEC+ production increases and ongoing geopolitical tensions affecting oil prices [1]. Group 1: Price Adjustment Details - The expected price reduction for gasoline and diesel is approximately 125 yuan per ton, effective from July 15 at 24:00 [1]. - For a standard private car with a fuel tank capacity of 70 liters, the new pricing will result in a savings of about 6.7 yuan when filling up [1]. - For a private car with a 50-liter fuel tank, the savings will be nearly 5 yuan for a full tank [1].

Core Viewpoint - The article indicates that domestic fuel prices in China are expected to decrease for the sixth time this year, primarily due to a drop in international oil prices influenced by OPEC+ production increases and ongoing geopolitical tensions [1] Group 1: Price Adjustment - The anticipated price reduction for gasoline and diesel is approximately 125 yuan per ton, effective from July 15 at 24:00 [1] - For a standard private car with a fuel tank capacity of 70 liters, the new pricing will result in a savings of about 6.7 yuan when filling up [1] - For a private car with a 50-liter fuel tank, the savings will be nearly 5 yuan per full tank [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming adjustment in fuel prices, marking the tenth price change of the year, driven by recent fluctuations in international oil prices [1] Price Adjustment Summary - According to Longzhong Information, the price of gasoline and diesel is expected to decrease by 230 yuan and 220 yuan per ton, respectively [1] - This translates to a reduction of approximately 0.18 yuan per liter for 92-octane gasoline, 0.19 yuan for 95-octane gasoline, and 0.19 yuan for 0-octane diesel [1] - Following this adjustment, the retail price of 92-octane gasoline in most regions is projected to fall to between 7 and 7.1 yuan per liter, while diesel prices will drop to between 6.6 and 6.8 yuan per liter [1] - For an average private car with a fuel tank capacity of 50 liters, the cost savings for filling up a tank will be around 9 yuan [1]

Core Viewpoint - Domestic gasoline and diesel prices are expected to decrease, with 92 gasoline likely returning to the "6" yuan per liter range for the first time since September 2021 [1][3]. Price Adjustment Summary - As of May 15, the average price of reference crude oil was $61.55 per barrel, with a change rate of -4.42%, indicating a potential price reduction of 240 yuan per ton for domestic gasoline and diesel [3]. - The expected reduction translates to approximately 0.2 yuan per liter for 92 gasoline, allowing consumers to save around 10 yuan when filling a 50-liter tank [3]. - Current prices in Jiangsu Province are 7.07 yuan per liter for 92 gasoline, 7.52 yuan for 95 gasoline, and 6.70 yuan for 0 diesel, suggesting that post-adjustment, 92 gasoline will fall back into the "6" yuan range [3]. Historical Context - The last time 92 gasoline in Jiangsu Province was priced in the "6" yuan range was on September 18, 2021, when it dropped from 7.0 yuan to 6.82 yuan per liter due to falling international oil prices [4]. - Since then, 92 gasoline prices have remained above 7 yuan per liter until the upcoming adjustment, with a peak price of 8.3 yuan per liter recorded in January 2025 [4]. - In 2023, there have been nine price adjustments for gasoline and diesel, with a pattern of three increases, four decreases, and two periods of no change, resulting in a cumulative decrease of 0.34 yuan per liter for 92 gasoline this year [4].

Core Viewpoint - The domestic fuel price is expected to decrease significantly due to the ongoing decline in international crude oil prices, potentially bringing 92-octane gasoline back below 7 yuan per liter, marking a return to the "6 yuan era" [1][2]. Group 1: Domestic Fuel Price Adjustments - A new round of domestic fuel price adjustments has commenced, with an anticipated reduction of up to 330 yuan per ton, translating to a drop of 0.24-0.28 yuan per liter [1]. - In 2025, domestic fuel prices have experienced a volatile pattern with 9 adjustment windows, resulting in 3 increases, 4 decreases, and 2 periods of no change [2]. - Cumulatively, gasoline prices have decreased by 425 yuan per ton, while diesel prices have dropped by 410 yuan per ton, equating to a reduction of 0.34 yuan per liter for 92-octane gasoline and 0.36 yuan per liter for both 95-octane gasoline and 0 diesel [2]. Group 2: International Oil Market Impact - The international oil market has seen a significant downturn, with WTI crude oil prices hitting a near four-year low, closing at 57.13 USD per barrel, reflecting a 5.45% decline since April 29 [3]. - Brent crude oil also experienced a notable drop, closing at 60.23 USD per barrel, down 6.26% from April 29 [3]. - The current sentiment in the international oil market is extremely pessimistic, contributing to the domestic price reductions [3]. Group 3: Future Price Predictions - The current price adjustment cycle runs from May 6 to May 19, with the first working day already exceeding the 50 yuan per ton reduction threshold [4]. - If international oil prices do not rebound significantly in the next two weeks, there is a possibility of a fifth price reduction this year, potentially reaching new lows [4]. - The next price adjustment window will open on May 19, with 13 days remaining to monitor further developments [4].