金十数据5月23日讯，澳新银行研究团队在一份报告中表示，到2025年底，印度央行可能会再降息三 次。他们写道，考虑到通胀目前不是一个问题，目前低迷的经济增长可能意味着印度央行将需要继续放 松货币政策。他们补充说，如果1-3月份的GDP数据低于预期，印度央行可能不得不下调当前财年6.5% 的增长预期。 澳新银行：印度央行可能在2025年再降息三次 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has determined that inflation risks have become more balanced, with inflation remaining within target range and upward risks appearing to diminish [1] Group 1: Monetary Policy - The RBA has decided to ease monetary policy in light of expected inflation remaining near target levels [1] - This decision is aimed at reducing the restrictive nature of monetary policy [1] Group 2: Economic Outlook - The RBA maintains a cautious outlook due to increased uncertainty regarding both aggregate demand and supply [1]

周一（5月19日）欧洲时段，欧元兑美元小幅上涨并重新站上1.1200关口，截至发稿前欧元/美元汇率报 1.1224，涨幅0.54%。尽管市场情绪偏谨慎，但经济和财政担忧引发的持续抛售美元支撑了欧元/美元。 目前焦点仍集中在美联储官员的讲话和贸易新闻标题上，以寻找新的交易动力。 欧洲央行管委会成员Martins Kazaks表示，如果通胀在今年回落至2%的基准预期得以实现，欧元区的降 息周期已接近尾声。但他同时警告称，由于全球贸易形势仍不明朗，政策制定者不应急于求成。 投资者押注的是，由于通胀朝着目标回落、加上关税带来的经济逆风，欧洲央行将进一步放松货币政 策。Martins Kazaks称市场预期是"适当的"。他本周早些时候曾表示，认为政策制定者在下次政策会议 上有理由再次降息。但他也强调，这一决定将基于获得的数据。 从日线级别，欧元对美元汇率在近期高位震荡后下破日线支撑，同时在下破后价格持续压制在日线阻 力，对于波段上短线于1.1240偏空对待，只有后续上破后才会转涨，否则右侧空对待。从短期四小时级 别看，近几日欧元走势维持在震荡格局，价格多空均没有延续，所以还是关注上方日线阻力得失。第一 价格不破日线阻力 ...

Core Viewpoint - The limited impact of tariffs on the economy reflects market expectations for a loosening of the Bank of England's monetary policy [1] Group 1 - The Chief Economist of the Bank of England, Huw Pill, highlighted that the economic effects of tariffs are not as significant as anticipated [1] - Market expectations regarding the Bank of England's monetary policy adjustments are influencing perceptions of tariff impacts [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Swedish central bank anticipates a slight easing of future monetary policy [1] Group 1 - The central bank's outlook suggests a shift towards a more accommodative stance in response to economic conditions [1] - This potential policy adjustment may influence interest rates and overall economic activity in Sweden [1]