格隆汇12月23日｜美元指数跌至11周以来的最低水平，现下跌0.4%，报97.875。 ...

（原标题：人民币汇率升破7.03关口 温和升值势头望延续） 人民币汇率震荡升值行情仍在继续。12月23日，在岸人民币兑美元汇率截至16时30分收盘报7.0287，升 破7.03关口，刷新2024年10月以来新高，较上一交易日涨95个基点；离岸人民币兑美元汇率盘中升破 7.02关口，为2024年10月以来首次。12月以来，在岸、离岸人民币兑美元汇率收盘价已分别累计上涨 438个、407个基点。 对于近期人民币汇率升值行情，国家金融与发展实验室特聘高级研究员庞溟向证券时报记者指出，这是 我国外部压力趋缓、内部韧性增强、政策精准调控与市场预期转向等多种因素共同作用的结果。 从外部形势看，美元指数自11月下旬跌破100后，在12月继续震荡下行，带动包括人民币在内的非美元 货币普遍升值。除了市场对美国经济乃至美元资产回报稳定性的持续担忧外，近期美国非农失业率创四 年来新高，就业数据的走弱强化了市场降息预期，也导致近期美元指数持续偏弱。 从经济基本面看，临近年末中国经济基本面持续企稳向好，金融市场稳定运行，对人民币汇率基本稳定 提供支撑。近期召开的中央经济工作会议指出，今年"经济社会发展主要目标将顺利完成"。国家外汇管 ...

每经AI快讯，12月23日，美元指数日内下跌0.4%至97.853，为10月3日以来新低。 ...

美元指数DXY日内下跌0.4%，跌至10月3日以来新低，报97.853。 本文源自：金融界AI电报 ...

12月23日，市场全天冲高回落，三大指数小幅上涨。截至收盘， 沪指涨0.07%，深成指涨0.27%，创业板指涨0.41%。 【导读】A股震荡上涨，人民币汇率升 破7.02 中国基金报记者 泰勒 大家好，今天的市场，三大指数震荡上涨，但仍有3800只个股待涨，一起看看发生了什么事情。 震荡上涨 市场共 1512只个股上涨，68只个股涨停，3856只个股下跌。 离岸人民币兑美元升破7.02 | 锂电池产业链拉升，天际股份、多氟多等涨停。 | | --- | | 海南板块延续强势，海南发展、海汽集团均3连板。 | | --- | 液冷服务器概念股活跃，川润股份、英维克等涨停。 | 下跌方面，商业航天概念股下挫，顺灏股份跌停，久之洋、天银机电等跌超10%。 | | --- | 0.95。 中信证券分析，11月下旬以来，美元指数走软叠加央行中间价报价释放的引导信号，人民币汇率逐步升至年内新高并实现" 三价合一 "。 展望后市：1）短期来看，市场对于美联储12月的降息预期已充分定价，同时国内政策对经济的提振效果仍有待显现，央行的稳汇率政策 更多在于防止单边一致性预期，预计年内人民币有望偏强运行，汇率中枢或难突破7.0。但 ...

Core Viewpoint - The continuous appreciation of the RMB poses challenges for small and medium-sized foreign trade enterprises, leading them to adopt more timely settlement practices to mitigate exchange rate losses [3][5][6]. Group 1: Impact of RMB Appreciation - The RMB has reached a 14-month high, causing immediate exchange losses for export companies as the amount of RMB received from USD settlements decreases [3][5]. - Companies are increasingly settling their foreign exchange as soon as payments are received to maintain cash flow, rather than using hedging strategies [3][5][6]. - The appreciation of the RMB may force companies to raise product prices, potentially diminishing their competitive pricing advantage in the manufacturing sector [3][5]. Group 2: Market Trends and Predictions - Analysts predict that the RMB may enter the "6 era" in the long term, with expectations of continued appreciation driven by seasonal capital flows and increased foreign exchange inflows [9][12]. - The recent increase in the RMB's value is attributed to the decline in the US dollar index and heightened settlement demands as the year-end approaches [11][12]. - The Chinese government emphasizes the importance of boosting consumption and trade innovation, which aligns with the ongoing appreciation of the RMB [13]. Group 3: Recommendations for Enterprises - Experts suggest that companies should consider using financial derivatives like forward contracts to lock in favorable exchange rates during the RMB appreciation phase [15]. - The need for timely settlements is underscored by the current market conditions, where companies face pressure to manage their financial costs effectively [15].

Core Viewpoint - The US dollar index continues to weaken, leading to the offshore RMB (CNY) breaking the 7.02 mark against the dollar for the first time since October 2024 [10][11]. Exchange Rate Summary - As of December 23, the offshore RMB was quoted at 7.0206, down by 0.0092 (-0.1300%) [11]. - The opening rate for the day was 7.0298, with a previous close of 7.0298, indicating a slight fluctuation [11]. - The trading range for the day was between 7.0194 and 7.0326 [11]. Market Movement - The dollar to RMB exchange rate showed a decrease of 0.0079 (-0.1123%) at 7.0287 as of 11:41 AM [12]. - The opening rate was 7.0361, with a previous close of 7.0366, reflecting a minor decline [12]. - The day's trading range was noted between 7.0277 and 7.0372 [12].

转自：新华财经 新华财经北京12月23日电（马萌伟）22日，美元指数止步三连涨、跌落一周高位；在岸人民币兑美元涨 破7.04关口，最高升至7.0367；北美交易时段盘中，离岸人民币兑美元14个月来首次盘中涨破7.03关 口，最高升至7.0293。 23日，人民币对美元中间价调升49点至7.0523，升值至2024年9月30日以来高点。截至发稿，在岸人民 币兑美元报7.0352，离岸人民币兑美元报7.0278。 消息显示，美国总统特朗普将在明年1月第一周指定美联储新主席人选。鲍威尔的四年主席任期将于明 年5月届满，特朗普此前表示，他希望选择一位支持增长友好型货币政策的继任者。 美联储理事米兰表示，如果美联储明年不继续降息，可能面临引发经济衰退的风险。他还表示，预计短 期内不会出现经济下行，但失业率上升应促使美联储官员继续降息。 上周，美元指数结束了此前的连续3周下跌，在美国就业数据和通胀双双不及预期的背景下，展现出了 一定的韧性，人民币汇率延续上行势头。统计数据显示，在岸人民币兑美元累计涨144个基点报7.041， 离岸人民币累计上涨大约195点报7.0342，人民币对美元中间价累计调升88个基点报7.055。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report indicates that the recent "delayed" settlement wave may provide short-term support for the appreciation of the Renminbi against the US dollar, with historical trends suggesting a potential improvement in the settlement rate following two consecutive quarters of Renminbi appreciation [1] Group 1: Currency Exchange Rates - On December 23, the onshore Renminbi opened at 7.0380 against the US dollar, remaining stable compared to the previous day's closing rate of 7.0382 [1] - The offshore Renminbi was reported at 7.03067 against the US dollar as of 9:30 AM [1] - The central parity rate of the Renminbi against the US dollar was set at 7.0523, an increase of 49 basis points from the previous day [1] Group 2: Market Trends and Predictions - The US dollar index fluctuated above the 98 mark, reported at 98.1829 as of 9:30 AM [1] - Historical experience indicates that after two quarters of Renminbi appreciation, the settlement rate typically improves, suggesting a potential continuation of this trend into January due to the upcoming Chinese New Year [1] - It is anticipated that the settlement wave could support a Renminbi appreciation of approximately 0.8% against the US dollar index in January [1]

美国经济基本面的疲软态势，为美元指数的弱势提供了基本面支撑。数据层面呈现明显的分化与走弱迹 象：就业市场方面，11月非农新增就业虽略超预期，但失业率升至4.6%，且8-10月就业数据累计下修超 13万个，薪资同比增速放缓至3.5%的近三年低位；经济活力方面，12月美国制造业PMI初值降至51.8的 五个月新低，服务业与综合PMI也同步下滑至六个月低位，反映出经济动能正在逐步放缓。厦门大学教 授蔡庆丰指出，当前美国经济面临"滞胀"担忧，私人需求复苏乏力，企业投资意愿受贸易政策冲击持续 低迷，这种基本面状况难以支撑美元指数形成有效反弹。 技术面来看，美元指数短期处于弱势盘整状态，中长期下行趋势未改。从近期走势看，指数自11月下旬 以来连续跌破100、99两大整数关口，当前在98关口附近挣扎，下方97.50一线构成短期支撑，上方98.50 则形成较强阻力。动量指标显示，指数仍处于下行趋势通道内，空头动能虽有边际减弱，但尚未出现明 确的反转信号。机构预测方面，彭博社汇总的共识显示，超过6家大型投行普遍预计2026年美元指数将 继续走弱，年底可能再下跌约3%；德意志银行更直言，本世纪漫长的美元牛市周期或正接近尾声。 综 ...