特朗普上台后，一切都无法预料，北约正在走向"未知之域"。 （文章来源：新华社） 荷兰主流媒体《人民报》近日在其网站刊登分析文章认为，美国总统特朗普正把北约带到"以内部胁迫 外交和怪诞场景为标志的未知之域"。文章摘编如下： 特朗普声称要得到格陵兰岛，而这是美国坚定盟友之一丹麦的自治领土。他的所作所为已不仅仅是瓦解 国际秩序，此前"绑架"委内瑞拉总统的行动更加印证了这一点。特朗普的一系列行为使美国的联盟体系 进一步走向崩塌，其逻辑令盟友们震惊，也让他们进退两难。毕竟，他的每一句话、每一个反应、每一 个决定都可能对欧洲的未来产生影响。 特朗普持续不断的威胁让丹麦首相梅特·弗雷泽里克森忍无可忍。她愤怒地抨击美国政府，并预测如果 要强夺格陵兰岛，北约将走向终结。这番话不无道理：北约成员国宣称愿意捍卫某些价值观，抵御外部 侵略，但绝不允许联盟内部出现攫取盟国领土的行为。如今，一些严肃媒体也开始讨论上述情况可能如 何发生，这恰恰表明特朗普正以何种程度和速度侵蚀着北约。 ...

1月6日，美国总统特朗普的举动让全球局势变得非常混乱。他一方面威胁印度，要征收500%的关税，另一方面则直接干预委内瑞拉的石 油供应，甚至暗示用纳税人的钱帮助企业运作。这一切并非危言耸听，而是真实发生了。美国的盟友们感到紧张，企业也开始担心，股 市也因此动荡不安。而特朗普自己，似乎也在为保住自己的位置而感到焦虑。 三、下台危机：特朗普的焦虑溢于言表 尽管特朗普在国际上玩得风生水起，但他自己却也处于一种焦虑的状态。1月6日，他对共和党议 员表示：我们必须赢得中期选举，如果输了，民主党就会找机会弹劾我。共和党最近面临了一些打击：1月5日，一位关键盟友议员辞 职，另一位支持者去世，导致共和党在众议院的席位优势变得非常微弱，仅有218席对213席。参议院的情况也不稳固。距离11月的选举 不到10个月，一旦失利，特朗普推行政策的难度将增加，弹劾的风险也会加大。美国的失业率上升，物价居高不下，民生问题成为民主 党攻击的主要内容。为了选举，特朗普不惜在国际上制造各种事件：威胁印度、抢夺委内瑞拉的石油、刷存在感，筹款超过1亿美元，其 中大部分来自富人和依赖政府的人。 谈判也因此彻底破裂，美国代表团没有前往印度。印度也不可能轻 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report indicates that the recent actions by the Trump administration, including the kidnapping of Venezuelan President Maduro, reflect the implementation of the "Monroe Doctrine Trump Theory" as outlined in the 2025 U.S. National Security Strategy, aimed at increasing control over South American countries [1] Group 1: U.S. Actions and Implications - The U.S. military's ability to conduct such "kidnapping" or "decapitation" operations has diminished, making it challenging to execute similar actions outside of South America [1] - The actions taken by the U.S. are seen as undermining national credibility and accelerating the deterioration of the rules-based international order [1] Group 2: Economic Impact on Gold - Since the 21st century, central banks from non-South American countries have been the primary buyers of gold [1] - Following the Venezuelan incident, it is anticipated that gold prices will rise more rapidly during Trump's term due to the geopolitical tensions created by such actions [1]

In Donald Trump's world, the strong take what they can That will be bad for America—and everyone else 在唐纳德·特朗普的世界里，强者夺取他们能拿走的一切。 这对美国很糟糕，对世界其他地 方也如此。 插图来源：《经济学人》/盖蒂图片社 12年来，尼古拉斯·马杜罗对委内瑞拉实施统治，导致该国GDP暴跌69%。四分之一的人 口被迫流亡海外。这场经济崩溃与人口外逃的严重程度，甚至超过了最血腥内战时期的典型 情况。然而，就在2026年1月3日，他被美国特种部队突袭抓获，就此消失。 这次突袭的意义远超委内瑞拉一国。原因有三：一是行动方式；二是行动动机；三是行动时 机。首先，这是一次硬实力的惊人展示，同时也暴露了其局限性。其次，特朗普并未像以往 美国总统那样以民主或人权为由，而是直言要夺取委内瑞拉的石油，并确立美国在西半球的 主导地位。第三，这一事件发生在旧有国际秩序——联合国决议、国际法和普世价值观—— 加速瓦解之际。当前上演的这场大戏，将深刻影响未来世界秩序的走向。 先看"如何"发生。除美军外，没有任何其他国家的军队能 ...

Core Viewpoint - The current disregard for international law and erosion of the international order is severe, necessitating action to prevent the disintegration of the post-World War II world order [1] Group 1: Global Security Concerns - The world is facing a "dual epochal rupture," primarily due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which has destroyed the European security architecture [1] - The United States, as a crucial partner for Germany and Europe, is also acting against its own values [1] Group 2: Call for Action - There is a need to prevent the world from becoming a haven for lawlessness, where the most unscrupulous individuals can act without restraint [1] - It is essential to protect weaker nations from losing their safeguards and prevent certain regions or entire countries from becoming the private property of a few major powers [1] Group 3: European Security Policy - European security policy requires fundamental adjustments, and Germany can only play a significant role if military considerations are also prioritized [1]

Group 1 - The U.S. military conducted a strike against Venezuela on the early morning of the 3rd, forcibly detaining President Maduro and his wife, transferring them to the U.S. [2] - Protests have erupted globally, with significant gatherings in various countries condemning the U.S. military action and calling for the release of Maduro [2][4][6][7][9] Group 2 - In the UK, large crowds gathered outside the Prime Minister's residence, demanding condemnation of the U.S. actions [2] - South Korean citizens held a rally in front of the U.S. embassy, calling for the release of Maduro and denouncing U.S. imperialism [4] - Moroccan demonstrators expressed solidarity with Maduro, demanding his immediate release and criticizing U.S. actions as a threat to global order [6] - Protests in Australia condemned the U.S. military strike as a violation of international law and an infringement on Venezuela's sovereignty [7] - Argentine protesters highlighted that the U.S. military action violates the United Nations Charter and poses a danger of "might makes right" [9]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. President Trump has expressed a strong interest in Greenland, emphasizing its importance for national security and appointing a special envoy for the island, which has led to significant diplomatic tensions with Denmark and other Nordic countries [1][3]. Geopolitical and Strategic Importance - Greenland, the world's largest island, is strategically located between the Arctic and Atlantic Oceans, making it a crucial point for trade routes as Arctic ice melts [3]. - The Arctic shipping routes have seen a 37% increase in vessel traffic from 2013 to 2023, highlighting the growing commercial value of these waterways [3]. - Experts view Greenland as a "highway" connecting the Arctic and North America, with its strategic significance expected to increase as climate change alters the region [3]. Resource Wealth - Greenland is rich in natural resources, including 1.5 million tons of rare earth elements, 17.5 billion barrels of untapped oil, and 4.15 trillion cubic meters of natural gas [3][4]. - The interest in Greenland is driven by both economic and military considerations, as these resources are critical for energy transition and technology manufacturing [4]. Historical Context of U.S. Interest - The U.S. has a long history of interest in Greenland, dating back to attempts to purchase the island in 1867 and 1946, both of which were rejected by Denmark [6]. - The U.S. has established military bases in Greenland, which are vital for Arctic defense, and has sought to redefine the island's geopolitical status [6][7]. International Reactions - European nations, including Denmark, Finland, and Norway, have publicly supported Denmark's sovereignty over Greenland, rejecting U.S. claims [8]. - The potential U.S. control over Greenland is seen as a threat to NATO and the post-World War II international order, with experts warning of severe geopolitical repercussions [10]. Implications for Global Order - If the U.S. were to exert control over Greenland, it could fundamentally disrupt the established international order and NATO's collective defense commitments [10]. - The situation poses risks of escalating tensions between the U.S. and Europe, potentially leading to a reconfiguration of global power dynamics and a new arms race [10].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that 68 members of South Korea's ruling Democratic Party express deep concern over the recent U.S. military actions in Venezuela, stating that these actions violate international law and pose a serious threat to international peace and stability [1] - The statement emphasizes that the use of force and non-interference in domestic affairs, as outlined in the United Nations Charter, are fundamental principles that should be universally adhered to [1] - The lawmakers warn that if powerful nations can infringe on the sovereignty of other countries based on unilateral judgments, it will undermine the overall stability of the international order [1]

Group 1 - Gunfire was reported near the presidential palace in Caracas, Venezuela, on the evening of January 5, with indications of fire and drone lights in the sky [1] - The newly sworn-in interim president, Delcy Rodríguez, called for national unity and emphasized that Venezuela will never be a colony of anyone, while focusing on maintaining economic and social stability during President Maduro's absence [1] - A decree was issued by the Venezuelan government requiring police at all levels to search for and arrest individuals involved in inciting or supporting U.S. armed attacks, with a legal validity of 90 days [1] Group 2 - The U.S. launched a large-scale military strike against Venezuela on January 3, forcibly taking control of President Maduro and his wife, who later appeared in a federal court in New York, denying all charges [1] - International law experts have questioned the legality of the U.S. military action, with some condemning it as a denial of the rules-based international order [2] - Turkish President Erdoğan expressed concerns over the situation in Venezuela, warning against infringing on national sovereignty and ignoring international law, which could lead to global instability [2]

Core Viewpoint - The President of the United Nations General Assembly, Volkan Bozkir, emphasized that the UN Charter is the fundamental code of conduct for the international community, and no country should selectively adhere to it [1] Group 1 - Bozkir stated that respect for the Charter and international law is the cornerstone of maintaining international order [1] - He asserted that resolving international disputes must rely on the rule of law rather than the principle of might makes right [1]