特朗普主义

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特朗普主义与全球经济秩序新趋势|封面专题
清华金融评论· 2025-08-01 09:21
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolution of the global economic order since the 1980s, highlighting the impact of globalization and free trade, the rise of "America First" ideology, and the challenges faced by China in this changing landscape [1][4]. Group 1: Globalization and Economic Order - Since the 1980s, globalization and free trade have formed the foundation of the current global economic order, driven by neoliberal reforms initiated by leaders like Reagan and Thatcher [3]. - The principle of "capital supremacy" underpins the liberal global economic order, advocating for the free flow of goods, technology, and capital across borders [3]. Group 2: Impact on American Society - While globalization has benefited the U.S. economy, the gains have been concentrated among multinational corporations and elite groups, leading to significant losses for the broader American populace [4]. - The closure of approximately 60,000 factories since 2001 has resulted in the loss of 4.8 million manufacturing jobs, exacerbating social inequalities [4]. Group 3: Political Response and Ideological Shift - The "America First" movement, associated with Trumpism, emerged as a reaction against the perceived failures of globalization, advocating for the interests of the working class and small businesses [4][6]. - Tariffs are viewed as a strategic tool to counteract the loss of comparative advantage in manufacturing, aiming to bring jobs back to the U.S. and stimulate economic growth [5]. Group 4: Biden Administration's Approach - The Biden administration has continued some of Trump's economic policies, reflecting the political reality that defending worker interests has become a central theme in American politics [9][10]. - Despite efforts to correct course, such as reducing tariffs, the Biden administration has faced challenges in reversing the trend of de-globalization [9][10].
【环时深度】这份“右翼愿望清单”,潜伏在美国现行政策中
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-06-15 22:59
多达 920 页的 "2025 计划 " 2023年4月,美国保守派智库传统基金会发布了一本多达920页的书《领袖之使命:保守派的承诺》,详 细阐述了一项耗资2200万美元、与100多个保守派团体共同制定的"2025计划"。该计划是一项"政权过渡 计划",即在预设特朗普和共和党将在总统大选中获胜的前提下制定的政策路线图。 传统基金会主席凯文·罗伯茨去年1月接受美国《纽约时报》记者采访时描述称,该计划的目标是"将特 朗普主义制度化"。传统基金会是当今美国最大、影响力最强的保守派思想库之一,具有鲜明的保守主 义政治立场。 根据"2025计划"负责人保罗·丹斯在序言中的描述,这项计划有四大支柱:总统需要完成的使命;建立 一项总统人事数据库;设立"总统行政学院";一份新一届政府运行后激活团队和计划的180天行动手 册。 在总统的使命部分,具体内容包括改革联邦政府、扩大总统权力,例如加强对司法部、联邦调查局、联 邦通信委员会等联邦机构的控制,这些机构传统上被认为应该保持一定的独立性。据《纽约时报》报 道,罗伯茨等人认为,美国宪法第二条赋予总统对行政部门的"完全控制权",因此国会不能越过总统指 导联邦机构负责人做决定,也 ...
越模仿特朗普,“死”得越快?
Hu Xiu· 2025-05-19 05:58
在月初举行的澳大利亚联邦选举中,工党政府以压倒性优势实现连任,进一步巩固了其在政坛的主导地 位。目前,工党在众议院已占据90个席位,而反对党仅获40席,这一悬殊结果对保守派阵营构成沉重打 击。 尤为引人注目的是,素有"澳大利亚特朗普"之称的反对党领袖彼得·达顿在此次选举中意外落败,失去 了其议席。 此次选举结果标志着澳大利亚保守反对派已陷入边缘化境地,其内部因激烈争斗和相互指责而元气大 伤,未来数年恐难以重振旗鼓,更遑论成为主流政治力量。 无独有偶,早些时候,加拿大中间偏左的自由党也在联邦大选中脱颖而出,成功击败了此前民调领先25 个百分点的保守党。 加拿大保守党领袖皮埃尔·波利耶夫尔,这位曾被视为"加拿大特朗普"的政客,同样在选举中折戟沉 沙,失去了议席。 而在英国地方议会选举中,保守党更是遭遇了滑铁卢。在奈杰尔·法拉奇领导的民粹主义改革党的猛烈 攻势下,保守党失去了对多个地方议会和市长职位的控制权。 保守党领袖凯米·巴登诺克,这位特朗普的忠实拥趸,曾公开赞誉特朗普为"世界上一股向善的力量", 并要求工党首相和外交部长为批评特朗普的行为道歉。 但她的这一立场并未能挽救保守党的颓势,反而使其陷入了更深的政治困 ...
6月19日-20日,与吴晓波、王辉耀、津上俊哉、秦朔共答“贸易波动”下的出海考卷
吴晓波频道· 2025-05-12 00:30
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolving landscape of Chinese enterprises going global, emphasizing the need for deeper integration into global supply chains and the importance of adapting to new economic realities amid ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions [3][4][8]. Group 1: Global Economic Context - The ongoing U.S.-China trade talks are seen as both a risk mitigation opportunity and a new round of strategic competition [5][6]. - The global supply chain is undergoing significant adjustments, and Chinese companies are at a pivotal point to redefine their roles in this new environment [3][4]. Group 2: Chinese Enterprises' Global Strategy - Chinese enterprises are encouraged to move beyond mere product exports to actively participate in global production, research, and sales, enhancing their competitive edge [15][19]. - The importance of technological innovation, particularly in AI, big data, and cloud computing, is highlighted as a key driver for enterprises going global [12][13]. Group 3: Sustainability and Brand Influence - Green and sustainable development are becoming critical considerations for Chinese companies as they expand internationally, showcasing their commitment to global environmental standards [16]. - The growing international brand influence of Chinese enterprises is noted, with efforts to participate in global governance and standard-setting [17][18]. Group 4: Challenges and Opportunities - The article identifies the need for Chinese companies to build a "true going global" capability, focusing on geographical, cognitive, and value chain dimensions [38][39]. - It emphasizes the importance of local integration and understanding cultural nuances to avoid pitfalls in foreign markets [41][43]. Group 5: Strategic Insights from Experts - Experts suggest that the current trade environment necessitates a strategic shift for Chinese companies, moving from cost-driven decisions to value-driven approaches [22][25]. - The article also warns against the pitfalls of assuming that domestic strategies will directly translate to success in international markets, advocating for a more nuanced understanding of local dynamics [46][48].
协议的政治后果:乌克兰,何去何从?
虎嗅APP· 2025-03-04 00:07
Group 1 - The article discusses the complexities of the Ukraine situation and the contrasting approaches of Trump and Zelensky regarding U.S. support and NATO membership [4][6][10] - Trump’s primary goal is to achieve a ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, while Zelensky seeks U.S. security guarantees and NATO membership [7][8][12] - The article highlights the historical context of Ukraine's security concerns, including past failures of international guarantees after the Soviet Union's collapse and during the Crimea crisis [9][10] Group 2 - The article critiques the diplomatic incident involving Trump and Zelensky, emphasizing the lack of trust and fundamental disagreements between them [5][14] - It suggests that if Ukraine signs a mining agreement with the U.S., it may lead to a ceasefire but could result in long-term negative consequences for Ukraine, such as unresolved territorial disputes and lack of security guarantees [14][30] - The author argues that Trump's pragmatic approach prioritizes U.S. interests and financial considerations over moral obligations, which could reshape international relations [11][31] Group 3 - The article explores the rise of Trumpism as a reaction to the perceived failures of the post-2008 global order, highlighting the divide between elite interests and those of the general populace [17][21] - It discusses the implications of Trump's policies on U.S. global standing and the potential erosion of moral authority in international relations [31][32] - The author warns that the current geopolitical landscape is marked by complexity and ambiguity, making it difficult to achieve clear resolutions to conflicts like the Ukraine situation [28][29]