多元资产配置

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利率下行催生理财变局 多元资产配置需求升温
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-06-15 17:59
Core Viewpoint - The recent interest rate cuts have led to increased investments in bank wealth management products, particularly "fixed income +" products, which offer a balance of risk and return, attracting more investors [1][2] Group 1: Market Trends - The average payout yield of wealth management products is now higher than bank deposit rates, leading to a noticeable "deposit migration" phenomenon and a recovery in the wealth management market size [2] - According to CITIC Securities, the scale of bank wealth management is expected to rise by 340 billion yuan to 31.6 trillion yuan by May 2025, reflecting a 1.09% quarter-on-quarter growth and a 7.25% year-on-year growth [2] - As interest rates decline, the appeal of pure fixed income products diminishes, prompting a shift towards diversified asset allocation, with "fixed income +" products becoming increasingly mainstream [2][3] Group 2: Product Characteristics - "Fixed income +" products are designed to provide stable returns while hedging against risks, utilizing a structure that combines bonds with diversified assets [4] - Recent trends show banks launching structured products linked to U.S. Treasury bonds or gold options to attract investors with higher return potential [4] - The "fixed income + gold" strategy aims to control risks with stable fixed income assets while capturing market opportunities through flexible equity allocations [4] Group 3: Investor Behavior - Investors are increasingly seeking asset safety due to market volatility influenced by global geopolitical factors, leading to a higher proportion of conservative product allocations [3] - The current low-interest and high-volatility environment encourages investors to diversify their asset allocations away from traditional savings [2][3] Group 4: Risks and Considerations - Despite the advantages of "fixed income +" products, investors must remain aware of market changes and currency fluctuations that could impact returns [5][6] - The potential for short-term losses or yield fluctuations exists, as these products still invest in stocks and bonds, relying on risk premiums for returns [5][6] - Investors are advised to focus on product details such as underlying asset allocation and historical maximum drawdowns rather than solely relying on the "fixed income +" label [6][7]
长城基金:多元资产配置的必要性正在提升
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-06-11 07:16
Core Viewpoint - The domestic stock and bond markets are exhibiting complex yet resilient trends, with diverse investment opportunities available in both asset classes. A diversified asset allocation strategy is suggested as a favorable approach in the current environment [1][2]. Group 1: Market Overview - Both stock and bond markets present good investment opportunities, and a multi-asset layout can enhance risk resistance [2]. - The domestic macroeconomic environment shows signs of weak recovery, with industrial output and manufacturing investment declining, and the manufacturing PMI at 49.5%, indicating a contraction [2]. - Market interest rates may continue to decline, suggesting a favorable bond market outlook [2]. Group 2: Stock Market Insights - Short-term fluctuations are expected in the A-share market, but long-term policies are aimed at stabilizing confidence and expectations, supporting a steady market [3]. - The Central Huijin Company is expected to play a stabilizing role, promoting long-term capital inflow into the A-share market [3]. - Multi-asset strategies are likely to provide better returns across market cycles, with a focus on fixed income-enhanced products [3]. Group 3: Fund Performance - The secondary bond fund index has achieved a cumulative increase of 394.08% and an annualized return of 7.98% since 2004, outperforming both stock and bond indices [3]. - The Longcheng Stable Income Fund, which focuses on a mix of pure bonds, convertible bonds, and stocks, aims to enhance returns while managing risks [4][5]. - The fund manager emphasizes a detailed management approach, focusing on short-duration bonds and high-grade commercial financial bonds for stable income [5]. Group 4: Fund Strategy - The Longcheng Stable Income Fund employs a "pure bond + convertible bond + stock" strategy to enhance returns [4]. - The fund manager dynamically adjusts the asset allocation based on market conditions, comparing stock dividend yields with bond yields to optimize investment [5]. - The fund's one-year return reached 6.77%, surpassing its benchmark and ranking in the top 20% among similar funds [5].
多元配置需求提升,民生加银鹏程混合“攻守兼备”
Cai Fu Zai Xian· 2025-06-11 02:57
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the increasing interest of investors in flexible and adaptive asset allocation strategies amid market volatility, with mixed-asset funds, particularly bond-heavy ones, emerging as a favorable investment choice [1][2] - According to CITIC Securities, the average fundraising scale of bond-mixed funds has risen from 390 million to 644 million compared to 2024, indicating a growing preference for this investment vehicle [1] - The current economic environment is characterized by a blend of recovery and transformation, with macroeconomic data showing fluctuations but an overall positive trend, which supports potential stock market growth [1] Group 2 - The articles emphasize that single-asset investment strategies may face significant risks due to market volatility, making mixed-asset funds an effective tool for balancing risk and return [2] - The Minsheng Jianyin Pengcheng Mixed Fund employs a core strategy of "fixed income foundation + equity enhancement," with over 70% in bond assets to secure basic returns while maintaining flexibility in duration and credit risk [2] - Performance metrics for the Minsheng Jianyin Pengcheng Mixed A fund show a net value growth rate of 4.10%, 8.89%, and 31.01% over the past year, five years, and since inception, respectively, outperforming its benchmark returns [2]
当FOF迈入多元资产配置2.0时代
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-11 00:59
Core Insights - In uncertain markets, investors are increasingly seeking stable investment options that provide reasonable returns, leading to a surge in FOF (Fund of Funds) funds, which saw a net increase of 17.9 billion yuan in Q1 2023, the highest since 2022 [1] - The launch of the Dongfanghong Yingfeng Stable 6-Month Holding Mixed FOF aims to provide a one-stop asset allocation solution through global asset allocation and diversified income sources [1][14] - The FOF strategy emphasizes a multi-asset allocation framework, reducing reliance on single assets and mitigating risks associated with specific asset volatility [2] Investment Strategy - The FOF approach is based on the "Investment Holy Grail" theory by Ray Dalio, advocating for a well-constructed portfolio with 10-15 low-correlation return streams to lower dependency on single assets [2] - The FOF funds have increasingly included various asset types, such as stocks, bonds, commodities, QDII, and REITs, creating a comprehensive asset allocation framework [2] - Chen Wenyang, the fund manager, leverages extensive experience across domestic and international markets to create cross-asset, cross-market, and cross-strategy portfolios [3] Performance Metrics - The Dongfanghong Yihe Stable Pension Two-Year FOF, managed by Chen Wenyang, has shown strong performance, ranking 2nd out of 54 in its category over three years, with a net value growth rate of 10.30% compared to a benchmark of 4.06% [10][15] - The fund's maximum drawdown was only 3.92%, indicating a stable upward trend in net value [10] - The fund's performance metrics demonstrate a consistent ability to outperform benchmarks, with a past year net value growth rate of 7.27% against a benchmark of 4.79% [10] Fund Management Philosophy - Chen Wenyang emphasizes the importance of both "depth" and "breadth" in asset allocation, ensuring a balance between diverse asset classes and in-depth analysis of fund managers' capabilities [6] - The internal structure includes a "basic fund pool" and a "selected fund pool" to identify high-potential funds through rigorous quantitative and qualitative assessments [6] - The focus is on creating a multi-asset portfolio that consistently generates excess returns, requiring deep research capabilities and macroeconomic judgment from fund managers [6] Client Engagement - The FOF team has shifted from traditional client service models to a more engaging approach, providing regular insights and educational content to help investors understand FOF investments [13] - The team aims to build long-term trust with investors through personalized service and clear communication of investment strategies [13][14] - The ultimate goal is to ensure that investors can navigate market fluctuations with confidence and achieve steady returns over time [9][14]
民生加银基金裴晓辉:固收投资从来不是一个人的单打独斗
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-06-09 03:00
作为公募固收领域的实力担当,从业二十多年的裴晓辉在固定收益领域深耕多年,他主导过中国第一只 五年期国债期货相关债券指数产品的面世,也曾率领团队屡创佳绩,包揽多项权威大奖,并获得社保等 机构资金的高度认可。他通过对宏观经济数据、政策变化以及市场情绪的综合分析,曾在多个关键时点 做出精准预判。任职上一家基金公司期间,其非货固收管理规模稳步增长,2023年底更是跃居行业前 列。 加盟民生加银基金后,裴晓辉的实力又一次得到有力印证。今年一季度债市大幅波动期间,得益于裴晓 辉的前瞻建议与团队协作,民生加银基金旗下产品回撤控制得力,债基规模不减反增。 但在裴晓辉看来,做投资要始终保持一种空杯心态,在相信自己的同时,通过不断的反思和优化投资框 架,保持决策的清醒与客观,才能在市场的不断变化中有效识别投资机会并控制风险。当市场验证与初 始判断出现偏差时,需要承认错误并及时修正。 "凡是过往,皆为序章"裴晓辉说,这也体现了他理念与实践的高度统一。 勇做逆向投资者 裴晓辉拥有二十多年的从业经历,在固定收益领域深耕多年,曾任人保健康投资部处长、国泰基金固定 收益总监等职。2014年1月加入嘉实基金固定收益部,担任执行总监,从事投资 ...
多家外资机构展望三季度投资: 强调多元配置 看好中国市场
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-06-08 18:44
在全球经济格局复杂多变、贸易政策风云变幻的背景下,投资市场的不确定性无疑又增添了几分。近 期,汇丰、渣打以及华侨银行等多家外资机构纷纷发布了对三季度投资的展望。 整体来看,三季度的投资市场仍然充满挑战与机遇。多家外资机构在投资策略中提示,需密切关注贸易 政策、地缘政治等因素的变化,采用多元资产和主动策略管理风险,加强投资组合的韧性,在波动中寻 找合适的投资机会。 渣打: 汇丰: 把握亚洲市场结构性机遇 近日,汇丰环球私人银行及财富管理中国首席投资总监匡正认为,从全球市场来看,过去几个月,美国 贸易关税引发全球多个资产类别波动加剧,但亚洲市场凭借稳健的结构性增长及多元化的本地机遇,整 体表现较好,有望抵销关税带来的部分影响。 在地域配置上,汇丰仍维持地域多元化的投资策略。在亚洲,汇丰看好中国、印度及新加坡等展现出经 济韧性的市场。"中国及亚洲其他地区的专业制造业技术能力集中,不易被取代,中国经济的韧性及结 构性增长机遇依然明显。"匡正表示,与此同时,印度股市虽可能因地缘政治冲突而加剧短期波动,但 或仍将受益于数字化进程及政府对制造业的关注;在不确定的贸易局势中,新加坡所受的影响程度则相 对轻微。 亚洲市场之外, ...
聘请境外投资顾问 公募出海拓展“朋友圈”
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-06-04 19:18
Core Viewpoint - Public funds are actively hiring foreign investment advisors to enhance investment management for QDII funds, driven by the growing demand for diversified asset allocation as residents' wealth continues to increase [1] Group 1: Hiring Foreign Advisors - Penghua Fund announced the hiring of Italy's Eurizon Capital Asset Management as a foreign investment advisor for its global high-yield bond fund and US real estate fund, with Eurizon managing €390.5 billion as of last September [2] - Other public funds are also bringing in foreign advisors, with many having over 15 years of experience in the securities industry, aligning well with the investment directions of the respective QDII funds [2][3] - Notable foreign advisors include Steven Angeli from Wellington Management with over 30 years of experience, and Cai Defeng and Yang Bo from Amundi Asset Management, both with over 16 years of experience [3] Group 2: Expanding Investment Directions - The hiring of foreign advisors reflects support from foreign shareholders and the sharing of investment expertise, which is crucial for navigating complex overseas markets [4] - Public funds are increasingly focusing on global asset allocation capabilities, with a rich lineup of QDII funds covering various international markets, including the US, France, Japan, and more [4] - The popularity of certain QDII funds is evident, as seen with the招商利安新兴亚洲精选ETF reaching its fundraising cap of 1 billion yuan in just one day [4] Group 3: New Fund Offerings - The mutual recognition fund shelf has seen new additions this year, with Morgan Asset Management reporting three new mutual recognition fund products [5] - Multi-asset allocation capabilities are gaining importance, with FOF (Fund of Funds) becoming a key vehicle for diversification, emphasizing the need for familiarity with different asset classes [6]
分散投资≠万能药,多元配置可能藏着哪些“暗礁”?
天天基金网· 2025-05-30 11:13
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of diversified asset allocation as a strategy to navigate economic cycles and mitigate risks associated with market volatility [2][3]. Group 1: Theoretical Foundation of Diversified Asset Allocation - The theoretical basis for diversified asset allocation is rooted in Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT), which suggests that diversification can reduce portfolio risk while optimizing long-term returns [2]. - The value of diversified allocation is primarily reflected in its ability to hedge market risks through low correlations among different asset classes [3][4]. Group 2: Benefits of Diversified Asset Allocation - Low correlation among assets can provide protection against market downturns; for instance, the correlation coefficient between the stock market (Wande All A Index) and bonds (China Bond - Total Wealth Index) is -0.10 [2]. - Cross-regional diversification can help mitigate systemic risks associated with a single market; historical data shows a low correlation of 0.12 between the S&P 500 and A-shares [6]. - Diversified asset allocation allows for a more measured response to declining interest rates and asset scarcity, making it a necessary choice for enhancing returns [8]. - The strategy aims to adapt to different economic cycles, with asset performance varying across recovery, expansion, stagflation, and recession phases [9][12]. Group 3: Limitations of Diversified Asset Allocation - Over-diversification may reduce the portfolio's performance during bull markets; for example, a pure equity portfolio had an annualized return of 35.53% during the A-share bull market from 2019 to 2020, compared to 25% for a balanced portfolio [13][14]. - Extreme market conditions can lead to a sudden increase in asset correlations, causing diversification to fail; during the initial outbreak of COVID-19, gold also experienced a temporary decline [13][14]. - Traditional asset allocation models heavily rely on historical data, which may become ineffective due to changing market structures; for instance, the aggressive rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in 2022 led to a rare double hit for the traditional 60/40 portfolio [15].
当基金经理择时空间被“锁死”,我们该如何进行仓位择时?
雪球· 2025-05-28 08:06
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the introduction of a new floating management fee structure for mutual funds, which charges fees based on the holding duration and performance of each investor's shares, leading to a "personalized" fee model [3][6]. Group 1: Floating Management Fee Structure - The new fee structure allows fund companies to adjust management fees based on the performance of each investor's holdings relative to performance benchmarks, potentially increasing fees for profitable investments and decreasing them for losses [3]. - This model may limit fund managers' ability to time the market effectively, as the timing of investor purchases and redemptions is beyond their control [3][6]. Group 2: Timing Strategies of Fund Managers - Historically, active fund managers have relied on market timing to capture opportunities and mitigate risks, which has been a core value proposition for generating excess returns [8]. - Examples of successful fund managers who have effectively utilized timing strategies include Feng Hanjie and Qi Fupeng, who have demonstrated significant adjustments in stock positions during market fluctuations [10][11]. Group 3: Passive Timing Clauses in Fund Contracts - The article highlights a fund with a passive timing clause, which has achieved an annualized return exceeding 13% since inception, showcasing the effectiveness of a structured approach to timing based on market indices [15][17]. - The fund's strategy involves adjusting stock allocations based on the Shanghai Composite Index, with a clear negative correlation between stock positions and index movements, allowing for risk management during market volatility [18][20]. Group 4: Practical Applications for Individual Investors - The successful practices of the highlighted fund provide insights for individual investors, suggesting the use of a broader index, such as the CSI All Share Index, for better market representation [22]. - The article proposes a passive timing strategy for individual investors, emphasizing the importance of disciplined position management in a constrained market environment [27]. Group 5: Tools for Asset Allocation - The article introduces a new tool, the "Three-Point Dashboard," which aids in monitoring and managing multi-asset allocations, making it easier for investors to track key indicators across various asset classes [27][30]. - This tool is designed to simplify the complexities of asset allocation and provide actionable insights for investors who may lack a comprehensive methodology [28].
短债锁利 权益突围 理财公司应对降息策略曝光
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-05-27 21:24
"就目前来看,本轮降准降息落地后,理财产品资产端利率在短期内未出现明显下降,反而有所回升。 实际上,今年市场上资产供给有所增加,理财公司'资产荒'的现象并未显著加剧,只能说是高收益资产 遭遇了激烈拼抢。"某股份行理财公司投研业务负责人告诉记者。 ● 本报记者 石诗语 从短期来看,央行降准降息政策对理财产品资产端收益率的影响相对有限,近期长债利率震荡回升,同 业存单利率有所上行。但从长期来看,理财产品底层资产收益率下行趋势明确,理财公司的"资产荒"局 面难以改变。 资产端收益率影响有限 从短期来看,央行降准降息政策对理财产品资产端收益率影响有限,上周存款降息、LPR下调等操作落 地,长债利率震荡回升。 "从2023年以来存款利率下降后的债券走势来看,1年期和10年期国债收益率的表现不一,存款降息并不 一定会带来债券收益率快速下行,更多需要考虑当时的基本面、政策环境和交易情绪。债券收益率对此 次存款降息的短期情绪反应已告一段落,但国有大行为了预防存款搬家而提价发行同业存单的情况将持 续。国有大行发行的同业存单配置价值上升。"东吴证券研究所相关分析人员表示。 具体来看,5月19日,债市尾盘出现存款利率下调预期,10 ...