氢能产业园正式投产运行，积极布局可控核聚变领域 中国能建(601868) | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 韩其成(分析师) | 021-38676162 | hanqicheng@gtht.com | S0880516030004 | | 郭浩然(分析师) | 010-83939793 | guohaoran@gtht.com | S0880524020002 | | 曹有成(分析师) | 021-23185701 | caoyoucheng@gtht.com | S0880525040079 | 本报告导读： 2025Q1~3 归母净利润同减 12.4%，2025 年新签合同同增 2.9%。中能建松原氢能产 业园一期工程正式投产运行，公司积极布局可控核聚变领域。 投资要点： [维持增持。 Table_Summary] 3 季报业绩低于预期，下调预测 2025-2026 年 EPS0.21/0.22 增 3.7/7.2%，预测 2027 年 EPS 为 0.24 增 6.0%。维持目标价 2.96 元，对应 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the industry [7] Core Insights - The low-altitude economy is evolving into a comprehensive consumption ecosystem, integrating tourism and smart transportation, creating new opportunities for aviation and tourism industries [3] - The mechanical equipment sector shows strong competitive advantages for domestic leading enterprises in both supply and demand, with a steady growth outlook for the engineering machinery industry [4] Weekly Market Review - From January 25 to January 30, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.44%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index decreased by 1.62% and 0.09%, respectively. The Shenwan Machinery Equipment Index dropped by 3.49%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 3.57 percentage points, ranking 24th among 31 Shenwan first-level industries [12] - Sub-sectors such as general equipment, specialized equipment, rail transit equipment II, engineering machinery, and automation equipment experienced declines of 4.15%, 2.79%, 3.62%, 3.91%, and 3.07%, respectively [12] Key Sector Tracking - The low-altitude economy is showing significant progress in the integration of cultural tourism and smart transportation, with various applications emerging from the Ministry of Transport's innovative case studies [3] - The rental rate index for aerial work platforms was reported at 633 points in December 2025, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 3.8% but a year-on-year increase of 2.9% [4] Investment Recommendations - For the low-altitude economy, recommended companies include Deep City Transportation, Sujiao Science and Technology, Huasheng Group, and Nairui Radar. In the complete machine sector, focus on Wanfu Aowei, Yihang Intelligent, Zongheng Co., and Green Energy Huichong. Key component manufacturers to watch are Zongshen Power, Wolong Electric Drive, Yingliu Co., and Yingboer. In air traffic management and operations, consider CITIC Haineng, Zhongke Xingtu, and Sichuan Jiuzhou [5] - In the mechanical equipment sector, recommended companies include Juxing Technology, Quanfeng Holdings, and Nine Company for the export chain. For engineering machinery, focus on Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, and Anhui Heli. In the industrial mother machine sector, watch Huazhong CNC, Kede CNC, and Hengli Hydraulic [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the industry [7] Core Insights - The low-altitude economy is evolving into a comprehensive consumption ecosystem, integrating tourism and smart transportation, creating new opportunities for aviation and tourism industries [3] - The mechanical equipment sector shows strong competitive advantages for domestic leading enterprises in both supply and demand, with a steady growth outlook for the engineering machinery industry [4] Weekly Market Review - From January 25 to January 30, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.44%, while the ShenZhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index decreased by 1.62% and 0.09%, respectively. The Shenwan Mechanical Equipment Index dropped by 3.49%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 3.57 percentage points, ranking 24th among 31 Shenwan first-level industries [12] - Sub-sectors such as general equipment, specialized equipment, rail transit equipment II, engineering machinery, and automation equipment experienced declines of 4.15%, 2.79%, 3.62%, 3.91%, and 3.07%, respectively [12] Key Sector Tracking - The low-altitude economy is showing significant progress in the integration of cultural tourism and smart transportation, with various applications emerging from the Ministry of Transport's innovative case studies [3] - The rental rate index for aerial work platforms was reported at 633 points in December 2025, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 3.8% but a year-on-year increase of 2.9% [4] Investment Recommendations - For the low-altitude economy, recommended companies include ShenChengJiao, SuJiaoKe, HuaShe Group, and NaRui Radar; for complete machines, focus on WanFeng AoWei, YiHang Intelligent, ZongHeng Co., and Green Energy HuiChong; for core components, consider ZongShen Power, WoLong Electric Drive, YingLiu Co., and YingBoEr; in air traffic management and operations, look at CITIC HAIZHI, ZhongKe XingTu, and Sichuan JiuZhou [5] - In the mechanical equipment sector, recommended companies include JuXing Technology, QuanFeng Holdings, and JiuHao Company for the export chain; for engineering machinery, focus on SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, and Anhui Heli; for industrial mother machines, consider HuaZhong CNC, KeDe CNC, and HengLi Hydraulic [5] Economic Data Tracking - The manufacturing PMI and its components are being closely monitored, with significant fluctuations noted in production and new orders [32][33] - The monthly export totals and changes are also being tracked, indicating trends in the mechanical equipment sector [38]

Core Viewpoint - Huadian Technology (SH601226) experienced a limit down on February 5, 2026, with a price of 11.46 yuan, reflecting a decline of 9.98% and a total market capitalization of 13.319 billion yuan [1] Group 1: Company Financials and Management - The company reported a negative net cash flow from operating activities of -1.384 billion yuan, indicating significant cash flow pressure [2] - The company relies heavily on related party transactions, which are expected to account for 51.5% of its business, raising concerns about its operational independence [2] - Changes in key management positions, including the adjustment of directors and the board secretary, suggest operational and management pressures within the company [2] Group 2: Industry Environment and Policy Impact - The company is involved in several large projects with long cycles, which are significantly affected by external factors such as environmental policies [2] - Stricter environmental regulations could hinder project progress and increase costs, negatively impacting the company's performance and market expectations [2] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Technical Analysis - The company is associated with concepts like hydrogen energy and offshore wind power, which have potential in the context of renewable energy trends [2] - However, the current market sentiment is volatile, and if interest in renewable energy concepts declines, it could lead to a sell-off and negatively impact the company's stock price [2] - Prior to February 5, the company had a trading volume of 1.548 billion yuan on January 27, but faced net selling from retail and institutional investors, indicating a fierce tug-of-war in market sentiment [2]

来源：上海证券报·中国证券网 上证报中国证券网讯（记者 何昕怡）2月4日，氢能源概念表现强势，晟辉科技持续拉升并封住涨停， 报9.98元/股，上涨19.95%。 消息面上，2月3日，工业和信息化部部长李乐成主持召开党组会议。会议强调，要加强未来产业的科技 供给。发挥新型举国体制优势，深入实施国家科技重大专项、国家重点研发计划，系统布局原创性、引 领性的技术攻关，推动6G、量子科技、生物制造、氢能、脑机接口、具身智能等领域攻关突破。 中信证券日前指出，"十五五"时期，在政策推动下，氢能有望逐步迈入产业化阶段。绿氢及氢基绿色燃 料的市场规模有望逐步扩大、工业领域减碳或衍生出绿氢新的应用场景将带动绿氢产业链和电解槽设备 需求的增长，同时提前布局氢基绿色能源项目的投资方也有望受益产业发展前期的产品溢价。 公开资料显示，晟辉科技近年来持续推进"智能+双碳"战略转型，将以光储充、氢能、火电灵活性改 造、熔盐储能为代表的新型电力系统等业务作为第二增长曲线进行培育。氢能领域，子公司盛氢制氢已 实现制氢设备的市场化交付，子公司昇辉新能源中标智慧综合能源母站项目，参股公司中科清能以国产 氢液化装备为"长征八号"发射供应液氢燃料、 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is actively advancing its hydrogen energy business, with ongoing projects in hydrogen production, storage, and applications, aiming for batch trial production and customer evaluation by mid-2025 [1] Group 1 - The company's hydrogen energy projects are progressing in an orderly manner [1] - The current focus includes research projects related to hydrogen production, storage, and applications [1] - By the first half of 2025, the "hydrogen energy special project" is expected to reach the stage of batch trial production and sample promotion, currently undergoing customer evaluations [1]

Group 1: Stock Market Activity - On the day, 42 stocks were listed on the institutional trading leaderboard, with 16 stocks seeing net purchases and 18 stocks experiencing net sales [1] - The top three stocks with the highest net purchases by institutions were: Jing Sheng Mechanical & Electrical (220 million), China International Marine Containers (110 million), and JinkoSolar (104 million) [1][2] Group 2: Coal Industry Insights - Hengyuan Coal Power is expected to report a net profit of approximately 2.53 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of about 82.41%, primarily due to rising coal prices [2] - The coal market is experiencing significant price fluctuations, with coking coal futures rising by 3.6% on the day [2] Group 3: Indonesian Coal Production - Indonesian mining officials announced a significant reduction plan for coal production, with quotas lowered by 40% to 70% compared to 2025 levels, aimed at boosting coal prices [3] - The expected coal production for 2024 is estimated at 710 million tons, while 2025 is projected at 735 million tons, both figures being lower than actual production in previous years [3] - If the Indonesian government reduces coal production from 817 million tons to 600 million tons, the reduction would be approximately 36.2% [3] Group 4: Hydrogen Energy Sector - Huadian Technology established a hydrogen energy division in 2020, focusing on integrated services for hydrogen production and equipment manufacturing [4] - Shenghui Technology's subsidiary has developed fuel cell engines that meet national mandatory standards, suitable for hydrogen fuel vehicles [4] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasized the need to leverage the new national system to promote breakthroughs in hydrogen energy and other fields [4] Group 5: Future of Hydrogen Energy - Tianfeng Securities predicts that the hydrogen energy sector will see significant growth during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with renewable energy hydrogen production capacity expected to exceed 250,000 tons per year by the end of 2025 [5] - The demand for hydrogen is anticipated to reach approximately 60 million tons by 2050, with an economic output exceeding 10 trillion yuan and over 10,000 hydrogen refueling stations established [5] - The hydrogen industry value chain includes upstream hydrogen production, midstream storage and transportation, and downstream applications in transportation, industrial fuel, and power generation [5]

Group 1: Stock Performance - Hangzhou Electric Co. and Mingdiao Co. achieved four consecutive trading limits, while Tiantong Co. had three limits in four days [1][2] - Major stocks with significant gains include Hangzhou Electric Co. (+49.97% to 12.02), Mingdiao Co. (+9.99% to 30.95), and Datong Co. (+10.00% to 16.94) [2] - The A-share market showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.85% and the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.21%, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.4% [3] Group 2: Trading Volume and Turnover - The top three stocks by net buying on the daily leaderboard were Yinlun Co. (2.37 billion), Huadian Kewang (1.42 billion), and TCL Zhonghuan (1.41 billion) [4][5] - The top three stocks by net selling were Xiexin Integration (-4.21 billion), Dongfang Risheng (-2.7 billion), and Liou Co. (-2.53 billion) [6][8] Group 3: Company Highlights - Jili Sogou Co. is involved in commercial aerospace and deep-sea mooring, with a projected net profit of 16 million to 21 million for 2025, indicating a turnaround from losses [9][10] - Shenghui Technology focuses on grid equipment, hydrogen energy, and lithium batteries, with a market capitalization of 4.965 billion [11] - CIMC Group is engaged in commercial aerospace, hydrogen energy, and marine engineering equipment, with a market capitalization of 615.29 billion [14][15] Group 4: Industry Trends - The National Energy Administration emphasized hydrogen energy as a key component of the future national energy system, with plans to increase green hydrogen production capacity to 250,000 tons per year by 2025 [17] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is focusing on future industries, including 6G, quantum technology, and hydrogen energy, to drive technological breakthroughs [13]

风险提示："中证500质量成长指数(930939)由中证指数有限公司（"中证"）编制和计算，其所有权归属 中证或其指定的第三方。中证对于标的指数的实时性、准确性、完整性和特殊目的的适用性不作任何明 示或暗示的担保，不因标的指数的任何延迟、缺失或错误对任何人承担责任（无论是否存在过失）。中 证对于跟踪标的指数的产品不作任何担保、背书、销售或推广，中证不承担与此相关的任何责任。"本 基金为被动投资的交易型开放式指数基金，主要采用完全复制策略，跟踪标的指数市场表现，具有与标 的指数所表征的市场相似的风险收益特征。投资者投资于本基金面临标的指数回报与相应市场平均回报 偏离、标的指数波动、跟踪误差控制未达约定目标、标的指数变更、指数编制机构停止服务、成份股停 牌或退市等潜在风险。本产品由鹏扬基金管理有限公司发行与管理，销售机构不承担产品的投资、兑付 责任。基金管理人承诺以诚实信用、勤勉尽责的原则管理和运用基金资产，但不保证基金一定盈利，也 不保证最低收益。基金的过往业绩并不预示其未来表现，本公司管理的其他基金的业绩并不构成对本基 金业绩表现的预示和保证。投资者在投资基金前应认真阅读基金合同、招募说明书和基金产品资料概要 ...

Group 1 - The Central Document No. 1 for 2026 emphasizes the importance of agricultural modernization and rural revitalization as a key strategy for China's modernization, aiming to enhance agricultural productivity and improve living conditions for farmers [1] - In January 2026, A-share new accounts reached 4.9158 million, a year-on-year increase of 213% compared to January 2025, indicating a significant rise in retail investor participation [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with eight other departments, released guidelines for the safe export of automotive data, aiming to facilitate efficient and secure cross-border data flow in the automotive sector [1] Group 2 - Recent rumors regarding potential increases in VAT rates for the gaming and financial sectors have been deemed unfounded by experts, indicating stability in tax policies for these industries [1] - The People's Bank of China announced a reverse repurchase operation of 800 billion yuan, indicating a strategy to manage liquidity in the financial system [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission reported an increase in domestic gasoline and diesel prices by 205 yuan and 195 yuan per ton, respectively, reflecting fluctuations in international oil prices [1] Group 3 - The Ministry of Commerce plans to optimize the implementation of appliance recycling and subsidy policies, with sales of six categories of home appliances and four categories of digital products exceeding 15 million units and nearly 59 billion yuan in sales in January [1] - The Shanghai Gold Exchange and other trading platforms have implemented risk control measures, including adjustments to margin levels and trading limits for various commodities, indicating a proactive approach to market volatility [2] - The announcement of significant investments by companies such as Fulin Precision and Wangneng Environment in new projects highlights ongoing growth and expansion in the manufacturing and environmental sectors [4]