Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of HKD 35.0 per share, indicating a potential upside of 23.8% from the current price of HKD 28.28 [1][6][15]. Core Insights - The company has successfully implemented a high-end strategy and the "Three Precision" approach, resulting in a revenue of RMB 239.42 billion for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.8%. EBIT grew by 20.8% to RMB 76.91 billion, and net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 23.0% to RMB 57.89 billion [3][8]. - The beer segment continues to focus on high-end products, with revenue reaching RMB 231.61 billion, up 2.6% year-on-year, and sales volume increasing by 2.2% to 6.487 million tons. The average selling price rose by 0.4% to RMB 3,570 per ton, driven by the growth of premium products [4][10]. - The white wine segment faced challenges, with revenue declining by 33.7% to RMB 7.81 billion, and EBITDA dropping by 47.1% to RMB 2.18 billion. The company is actively adjusting its strategy to enhance the performance of its white wine products [5][14]. Financial Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported a gross margin of 48.9%, an increase of 2.0 percentage points year-on-year, and a net profit margin of 24.2%, up 4.4 percentage points [8]. - The company expects net profits for 2025 to be RMB 56.46 billion, with projections of RMB 57.02 billion and RMB 62.14 billion for 2026 and 2027, respectively [6][15]. - The financial outlook includes a slight adjustment in profit forecasts due to one-time contributions and ongoing adjustments in the white wine business [6][15].

研究报告 Research Report 16 Jun 2025 华润啤酒 China Resources Beer Holdings (291 HK) 业绩修复明确，估值具备吸引力 Clear earnings recovery with attractive valuation [Table_yemei1] 观点聚焦 Investment Focus [Table_Info] 维持优于大市 Maintain OUTPERFORM 评级 优于大市 OUTPERFORM 现价 HK$24.90 目标价 HK$35.60 HTI ESG 2.6-2.0-4.0 E-S-G: 0-5, (Please refer to the Appendix for ESG comments) 市值 HK$80.78bn / US$10.29bn 日交易额 (3 个月均值) US$70.62mn 发行股票数目 3,244mn 自由流通股 (%) 48% 1 年股价最高最低值 HK$35.85-HK$22.10 注：现价 HK$24.90 为 2025 年 06 月 13 日收盘价 资料来源： Factset 1mth 3mth ...