两党政治博弈
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【环球财经】美联邦政府“停摆”时长可能破纪录 民众生活遭遇多重困难
Xin Hua She· 2025-11-03 13:48
Core Points - The U.S. federal government shutdown is entering a critical week, with the potential to match the record for the longest shutdown if it continues past November 4 [1] - President Trump has stated he has no intention of compromising with the Democratic Party, indicating that the shutdown may persist for an extended period [1][4] Economic Impact - The shutdown is causing significant difficulties for many Americans, particularly low-income families, as funding for essential programs is delayed [2][3] - The Low-Income Home Energy Assistance Program, which costs $4.1 billion and serves approximately 5.9 million households, may face funding delays due to the shutdown [2] - The Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, which supports around 42 million people, has exhausted its funds as of October 31, leading to concerns about food security for many families [2] - Economic losses from the shutdown are projected to exceed $10 billion, with estimates suggesting a decline in the annualized GDP growth rate by 1 to 2 percentage points in Q4 [5][6] - The Congressional Budget Office estimates that if the shutdown lasts four weeks, the economic loss will be $7 billion; if it lasts six weeks, the loss will increase to $11 billion, and to $14 billion if it lasts eight weeks [6]
首次,关门期间,特朗普政府开始永久性裁员
3 6 Ke· 2025-10-11 09:45
Core Points - The Trump administration has initiated unprecedented permanent layoffs of federal employees during a government shutdown, marking a significant departure from historical practices of temporary furloughs [1][3][4] - The Office of Management and Budget (OMB) confirmed that the layoffs will affect "thousands of federal workers" across at least nine government departments, including the Department of Health and Human Services and the Department of Education [1][3] - The layoffs are part of a broader political strategy by the Trump administration to pressure Democratic constituencies and are linked to ongoing budgetary disputes over key issues such as healthcare subsidies [4][5] Summary by Sections Layoff Announcement - OMB Director Russell Vought announced that "reductions in force" (RIF) have begun, indicating a large-scale permanent layoff rather than temporary furloughs [3] - Over 1,100 employees from the Department of Health and Human Services received layoff notices, with some layoffs targeting employees not aligned with the Trump administration's health agenda [3] Political Context - The layoffs are seen as a tactic to exert pressure on Democratic districts, with significant funding for infrastructure and energy projects in Democratic-supporting states being suspended [4] - Trump has stated that the government will use the shutdown to "permanently cut" projects supported by Democrats, framing the layoffs as a consequence of the shutdown initiated by the opposition [4] Legal and Union Response - Unions representing federal employees have filed lawsuits to challenge the legality of the layoffs, with a court hearing scheduled for October 16 [2][5] - The OMB had previously instructed officials to prepare for RIFs targeting projects that do not align with Trump’s policy priorities [5] Republican Party Dynamics - There is a cautious stance within the Republican leadership regarding the layoffs, with some leaders advocating for the protection of federal employees and the assurance of back pay [6] - Despite the push for layoffs, there are differing opinions within the party about the scale and necessity of such actions [6] Future Implications - A significant portion of federal employees remain on the job, either as essential workers or due to funding availability, while the majority are currently furloughed without pay [7] - Any layoff notices issued may come with a 60-day notification period, suggesting potential revisions to the layoff plans depending on the resolution of the government shutdown [7]
首次!关门期间,特朗普政府开始永久性裁员
华尔街见闻· 2025-10-11 04:29
Core Points - The article discusses the unprecedented permanent layoffs initiated by the Trump administration during the ongoing federal government shutdown, marking a significant departure from past practices of temporary furloughs [1][5][6] - The layoffs are seen as a political maneuver against the Democrats, with Trump threatening to cut funding for projects supported by Democratic constituencies [2][8][9] Summary by Sections Government Shutdown and Layoffs - The federal government shutdown has entered its 10th day, with the White House confirming large-scale permanent layoffs of federal employees, a first in modern U.S. history during a shutdown [1][5] - The Office of Management and Budget (OMB) has stated that the layoffs will affect "thousands of federal workers" across at least nine departments, including the Department of Interior, Department of Homeland Security, and Department of Health and Human Services [1][5][6] Political Context - The layoffs are part of an escalating confrontation between the Trump administration and the Democrats, particularly over issues like the continuation of Obama-era healthcare subsidies [2][3] - Trump has indicated that the government will use the shutdown to "permanently cut" Democratic-supported projects, further politicizing the situation [8][9] Legal and Union Responses - Unions representing federal employees have filed lawsuits to challenge the legality of the layoffs, with a court hearing scheduled for October 16 [3][9] - The OMB has directed officials to prepare for layoffs targeting employees whose roles do not align with Trump’s policy priorities [9] Republican Party Dynamics - There is a cautious stance within the Republican leadership regarding the layoffs, with some leaders advocating for the protection of federal employees and the assurance of back pay [10][11] - Despite the push for layoffs, there are differing opinions within the party about the scale and necessity of such actions [10][11] Future Implications - Currently, over two-thirds of federal employees remain on the job, either as essential workers or due to funding availability for their positions [12] - The White House has expressed a desire to end the shutdown and avoid layoffs, but acknowledges that continued shutdown may lead to unfortunate consequences [13]
政府关门超一周!两党互撕,谁在买单?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-07 12:12
Group 1 - The U.S. government is facing a shutdown due to a lack of agreement between the two parties on budget allocations, with significant implications for federal employees and services [1][3] - Approximately 750,000 federal employees are affected, with some forced into unpaid leave and others, like air traffic controllers, required to work without pay, leading to financial strain [3] - Tourist attractions such as the Washington Monument and the Liberty Bell are closed, disappointing visitors and impacting the tourism industry, which is losing about $1 billion weekly [4] Group 2 - Key economic indicators like non-farm payroll data and CPI are stalled, hindering the Federal Reserve's ability to make informed economic decisions [4] - The tourism sector is experiencing significant losses, with surrounding businesses near national parks losing approximately $77 million per day due to the shutdown [4] - The ongoing political standoff is characterized as a "farce," with both parties failing to address the real-life impacts on citizens, emphasizing the need for compromise to avoid prolonged disruptions [4]
政府停摆在即,美两党“极限拉扯”
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-09-29 22:46
Group 1 - The meeting between President Trump and congressional leaders aims to discuss measures to prevent a government shutdown, with both parties currently at an impasse [1][2] - Trump expressed dissatisfaction with the possibility of a government shutdown, attributing the responsibility to the Democrats, while the Vice President stated that the decision lies with them [1] - Senate Minority Leader Schumer insists on including the extension of subsidies for the Affordable Care Act in the agreement to avoid a shutdown, blaming Republicans for not engaging in serious negotiations [1] Group 2 - Senate Majority Leader Thune accused Democrats of "playing with fire" and holding the government and the American people hostage [2] - House Speaker Johnson plans to urge Democrats to abandon partisan demands that could lead to a government shutdown during the meeting with Trump [2] - A deadline of September 30 at 11:59 PM is set for Congress to reach an agreement to ensure government operations continue, requiring at least seven Democratic votes in the Senate to pass the temporary funding bill [2]
美政府“停摆”危机逼近 两党“极限拉扯”恐遭政治反噬
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-09-29 17:46
Core Points - The U.S. federal government is facing a funding crisis, with funds expected to run out by midnight on September 30, prompting urgent discussions among key political leaders [1][2] - The House of Representatives passed a temporary funding bill proposed by Republicans, but the Senate failed to approve it, leading to a deadlock between the two parties [1][2] - Democrats are advocating for their own funding extension plan, which includes healthcare priorities and aims to keep the government running until October 31 [1][2] - The political standoff has historical precedents, with previous government shutdowns often resulting from partisan conflicts over budget allocations [2][3] Political Implications - If an agreement is not reached, the government will shut down, affecting hundreds of thousands of federal employees who may face unpaid leave [2][3] - The potential shutdown could lead to significant economic losses, estimated in billions of dollars, and threaten economic growth, which may further frustrate voters seeking improvements in living conditions [3] - Analysts suggest that both parties may face political backlash, as public sentiment may turn against them for failing to keep the government operational [3]
巨富金业:特朗普派兵洛杉矶应对移民抗议,黄金避险需求短期激增
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-09 10:47
Group 1: Event Background and Legal Context - The deployment of 2,000 National Guard soldiers to Los Angeles by President Trump is a response to violent protests triggered by ICE's raid that arrested 118 illegal immigrants [2] - Trump's use of the 1807 Insurrection Act as a legal basis for federal intervention has been challenged by California's legal secretary, citing procedural violations [4] Group 2: Social and Political Implications - The protests highlight deep societal divisions, with Latino communities accusing ICE of racial profiling, while conservatives support Trump's hardline stance [6] - The incident may redefine the balance of power between federal and state authorities, potentially leading to increased political fragmentation if Trump's actions set a precedent [10] Group 3: Economic Impact - The ICE raid has resulted in an estimated economic loss of over $20 million per day for businesses in the Los Angeles area, with long-term implications for industries reliant on immigrant labor [11] Group 4: Market Reactions - Gold prices have reacted positively to the situation, with spot gold rising 0.6% to $3,325 per ounce, driven by short-term safe-haven demand [7] - The potential for ongoing conflict could lead to a repeat of the price surge seen during the 2020 Black Lives Matter protests, while high interest rates may suppress speculative buying [9]