基础件 应流股份（603308.SH） 增持-A(首次) 两机业务高景气，在手订单充沛 2025 年 8 月 25 日 公司研究/公司快报 事件描述 公司披露 2025 年中报。上半年，公司实现营业收入 13.8 亿元，同比 +9.1%；实现归母净利润 1.9 亿元，同比+23.9%；扣非归母净利润 1.9 亿元， 同比+25.6%。其中，25Q2 营业收入 7.2 亿元，同比+19.0%，环比+8.8%；归 母净利润 1.0 亿元，同比+56.8%，环比+4.5%；扣非归母净利润 1.0 亿元，同 比+64.1%，环比+8.3%。 事件点评 拟发行可转债募资不超过 15 亿元，用于叶片机匣加工涂层、先进核能 材料及关键零部件智能化升级项目。申请获上交所审核通过，尚需获得证监 会作出同意注册的决定后方可实施。 投资建议 公司近一年市场表现 | 市场数据: 2025年8月22日 | | --- | | 收盘价（元）： | 28.55 | | --- | --- | | 年内最高/最低（元）： | 29.50/9.37 | | 流通A股/总股本（亿）： | 6.79/6.79 | | 流通 A 股市值（亿）： | ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Yingliu Co., Ltd. (603308.SH) is rated as a "buy" due to strong business prospects in multiple sectors [2] Group 2 - In the aerospace sector, the company has secured strategic cooperation agreements with several global leading clients, resulting in a backlog of orders exceeding 1.5 billion yuan [2] - The nuclear power business is experiencing an increase in industry prosperity, with breakthroughs in both products and customer acquisition [2] - In the low-altitude economy sector, the company is advancing in both engine and complete aircraft manufacturing, showcasing its integrated advantages [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Zhongyou Securities has given a "buy" rating to Yingliu Holdings (603308.SH) based on strong financial performance and market conditions [2] - In Q2 2025, the company's net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 57% year-on-year [2] - The gross profit margin improved by 1.96 percentage points, indicating effective cost control [2] - The "two-machine" business is experiencing high demand, with orders exceeding 1.5 billion yuan [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [7] Core Views - In Q2 2025, the company's net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 57% year-on-year, with a total revenue of 1.384 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a 9% growth [4][5] - The company's gross margin improved by 1.96 percentage points, and the expense control was effective, with a total expense ratio of 22.81%, down by 2.67 percentage points [5] - The "two-machine" business is thriving, with orders exceeding 1.5 billion yuan, including significant collaborations with major players like Siemens and GE [6] - The nuclear energy business has signed multiple supply contracts, and the company is focusing on low-altitude economic sectors, enhancing its competitive advantages [7] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 415 million, 581 million, and 789 million yuan, corresponding to current P/E ratios of 46, 33, and 24 times [5][9] Company Overview - The latest closing price is 29.01 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 19.7 billion yuan [3] - The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 56.1% and a P/E ratio of 69.07 [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company has achieved significant growth in Q2 2025, with revenue reaching 721 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.05% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.82%. The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q2 2025 was 96 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 56.75% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 4.53% [6][11]. - The company is expanding its business through "industrial chain extension and value chain extension," covering high-temperature alloy products, precision cast steel parts, nuclear power, and other large cast steel components, as well as new materials and equipment [2][6]. - The company has a robust order backlog exceeding 1.5 billion yuan, indicating strong growth potential in the two-machine industry and nuclear energy sectors [11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 1.384 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.11%, and a net profit of 188 million yuan, up 23.91% year-on-year. The gross profit margin for H1 2025 was 36.3%, an increase of approximately 2 percentage points year-on-year [6][11]. Business Development - The company has signed strategic cooperation agreements with major players in the two-machine industry, including Siemens Energy, Safran Group, and Rolls-Royce Group, enhancing its position in the global supply chain [11]. - The company is actively involved in the nuclear energy sector, having signed multiple supply contracts for nuclear power projects and achieving sales of flexible shielding materials for the first time [11]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 430 million yuan and 600 million yuan in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 42 and 30 times [11].

东吴证券8月12日发布研报称，给予应流股份（603308.SH，最新价：27.5元）买入评级。评级理由主要 包括：1）单Q2归母净利润同比+57%，"两机"业务在手订单饱满；2）费控能力良好，看好公司盈利能 力长期提升空间；3）"两机"业务构建新增长极，核能&低空打开长期成长空间。风险提示：资本开支 不及预期，需求不及预期，国产化进程不及预期。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [1][22]. Core Insights - The company achieved a year-on-year revenue growth of 56.8% in Q2, reflecting a strong performance and continued optimism regarding its strategic positioning in four new productivity directions [1]. - The company is focusing on four major areas: aviation engines, gas turbines, nuclear energy new materials, and low-altitude economy, which are considered future strategic productivity drivers [6]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: Projected total revenue for 2024 is 2,513 million, increasing to 2,943 million in 2025, 3,504 million in 2026, and 4,808 million in 2027, with respective growth rates of 4.2%, 17.1%, 19.1%, and 37.2% [2][12]. - **Net Profit Forecast**: Expected net profit for 2024 is 286 million, rising to 401 million in 2025, 529 million in 2026, and 736 million in 2027, with growth rates of -5.6%, 39.9%, 32.1%, and 39.0% respectively [2][12]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: EPS is projected to be 0.42 yuan in 2024, increasing to 0.59 yuan in 2025, 0.78 yuan in 2026, and 1.08 yuan in 2027 [2][12]. - **Valuation Ratios**: The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 64 in 2024 to 25 in 2027, while the price-to-book (P/B) ratio is projected to decline from 3.9 to 3.1 over the same period [2][12]. Business Segment Performance - **High-Temperature Alloy and Precision Casting**: Revenue reached 8.42 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 6.41% and a gross margin of 38.42% [6]. - **Nuclear Power and Large Casting Products**: Generated 3.26 billion in revenue, up 5.57% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 34.59% [6]. - **New Materials and Equipment**: Achieved a revenue of 1.46 billion, marking a significant growth of 74.49% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 31.94% [6]. Strategic Developments - The company has deepened collaborations in the aviation engine sector with major clients like GE Aviation and China Commercial Aircraft Corporation, leading to substantial order volumes [6]. - In the gas turbine segment, the company has become the sole supplier of certain components for Siemens Energy in China, indicating a strong market position [6]. - The nuclear energy business is benefiting from stable approvals for new units, with the company making advancements in new product development [6]. - The low-altitude economy segment is expected to reach a profitability turning point, with ongoing developments in drone technology and airport operations [6].