Summary of Yingliu Co., Ltd. Conference Call Industry and Company Overview - **Company**: Yingliu Co., Ltd. (应流股份) - **Industry**: High-temperature alloys, precision casting, gas turbines, nuclear energy materials, and low-altitude economy Key Points and Arguments Business Segmentation and Strategy - Yingliu has restructured its revenue reporting into three main segments: high-temperature alloys and precision cast steel products, new materials and equipment, and nuclear power and other large castings, enhancing clarity on its core competencies and future direction [2][5][6] - The company has extended its value chain from casting to encompass upstream and downstream processes, focusing on high-value, high-difficulty areas, thereby increasing its technical barriers and profitability [2][7] Growth Drivers - The two-machine business (aviation engines and gas turbines) is a significant growth driver, projected to account for 37.8% of revenue in 2024 with a gross margin exceeding 40%, outperforming other segments [2][8] - The surge in electricity consumption by data centers is expected to boost gas turbine demand, with North America's installed capacity forecasted to grow from nearly zero in 2024 to 10.6 GW by 2028, presenting growth potential for Yingliu [2][9][10] Market Dynamics - The global gas turbine market is dominated by Siemens, GE, and Mitsubishi, which together hold over 80% market share. Yingliu has established partnerships with Siemens and Baker Hughes, indicating significant potential for expansion in overseas markets [2][11] - The pandemic has negatively impacted aviation engine demand, leading to a tight supply of high-temperature alloy castings and capacity constraints in the two-machine industry due to labor market and supply chain challenges [2][14] Low-altitude Economy - Yingliu is developing a full industry chain in the low-altitude economy, including turboshaft engines and helicopter technology, although this segment is currently operating at a loss. Revenue is expected to gradually increase over the next few years [3][18][19] Nuclear Power Business - The nuclear power equipment business has stabilized since the resumption of project approvals in 2019, with a stable order outlook for the next two to three years. The company is involved in various nuclear materials, which are widely used in advanced nuclear energy applications [2][16][22] Future Outlook - Yingliu aims to achieve a revenue target of 10 billion RMB within five years, with specific contributions from traditional business, nuclear power, and the two-machine business. The company anticipates a net profit margin increase to 18%, corresponding to a profit target of 1.8 billion RMB [2][23][24] Additional Important Insights - The company has a strong cost advantage in core components, with a self-manufacturing rate of 40% to 70% for its turboshaft engines, enhancing its competitive position in the low-altitude economy [18][19] - The domestic heavy gas turbine manufacturing sector is in a breakthrough phase, with significant potential benefits for local component manufacturers if breakthroughs are achieved [12][13] - The two-machine business is expected to see substantial growth driven by military and civil aviation opportunities, with a projected revenue of 5 billion RMB by 2030 [20][21]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [21]. Core Insights - The company achieved a year-on-year revenue growth of 41.1% in Q3 2025, with significant improvements in profitability, driven by strong performance in its "two-machine" business segment [2][7]. - The report highlights the company's strategic focus on four major future industrial directions, which include aviation engines, gas turbines, nuclear energy new materials, and low-altitude economy, positioning it well for long-term growth [7]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecasts**: Projected total revenue for 2024A is 2,513 million, increasing to 2,985 million in 2025E, 3,574 million in 2026E, and 4,880 million in 2027E, with respective growth rates of 4.2%, 18.8%, 19.7%, and 36.5% [3]. - **Net Profit Forecasts**: Expected net profit for 2024A is 286 million, rising to 401 million in 2025E, 529 million in 2026E, and 736 million in 2027E, with growth rates of -5.6%, 40.0%, 32.0%, and 39.1% respectively [3]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: EPS is projected to be 0.42 yuan for 2024A, increasing to 0.59 yuan in 2025E, 0.78 yuan in 2026E, and 1.08 yuan in 2027E [3]. - **Valuation Ratios**: The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 97 in 2024A to 38 in 2027E, while the price-to-book (P/B) ratio is projected to decline from 6.0 to 4.5 over the same period [3]. Business Segment Performance - The "two-machine" business segment has shown robust growth, with Q3 2025 revenue increasing by 14.80% year-on-year and net profit rising by 41.10% year-on-year, indicating a strong demand and successful order fulfillment [7]. - The company is also expanding into emerging fields such as nuclear energy and low-altitude operations, which are expected to contribute positively to future profitability [7].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate-A" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the coming months [7]. Core Insights - The company has shown strong performance in its core business areas, with significant revenue growth and a robust order backlog, particularly in the aerospace and nuclear sectors [4][5]. - The company reported a revenue of 1.38 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.1%, and a net profit of 190 million yuan, up 23.9% year-on-year [2]. - The company has secured new orders exceeding 2 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of over 35%, with total orders reaching a historical high [4]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 720 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 19.0% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.8% [2]. - The gross margin for high-temperature alloy products and precision cast steel components was 38.4%, up 1.7 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - The company expects earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 0.62, 0.88, and 1.20 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 46.3, 32.4, and 23.9 [7]. Business Segments - The high-temperature alloy and precision cast steel components generated 840 million yuan in revenue, contributing 60.8% to total revenue, with a gross margin of 38.4% [4]. - The nuclear power and other large cast steel components generated 330 million yuan in revenue, contributing 23.5% to total revenue, with a gross margin of 34.6% [4]. - The new materials and equipment segment saw a remarkable revenue increase of 74.5% year-on-year, contributing 10.6% to total revenue [4]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has established strategic partnerships with leading global clients, including Siemens Energy and Rolls-Royce Group, enhancing its market position in the aerospace sector [4]. - The company is focusing on expanding its product matrix in the low-altitude economy, particularly in areas such as turboshaft engines and hybrid power systems [5]. - The company plans to issue convertible bonds to raise up to 1.5 billion yuan for upgrading key components and advanced nuclear materials [5].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Yingliu Co., Ltd. (603308.SH) is rated as a "buy" due to strong business prospects in multiple sectors [2] Group 2 - In the aerospace sector, the company has secured strategic cooperation agreements with several global leading clients, resulting in a backlog of orders exceeding 1.5 billion yuan [2] - The nuclear power business is experiencing an increase in industry prosperity, with breakthroughs in both products and customer acquisition [2] - In the low-altitude economy sector, the company is advancing in both engine and complete aircraft manufacturing, showcasing its integrated advantages [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Zhongyou Securities has given a "buy" rating to Yingliu Holdings (603308.SH) based on strong financial performance and market conditions [2] - In Q2 2025, the company's net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 57% year-on-year [2] - The gross profit margin improved by 1.96 percentage points, indicating effective cost control [2] - The "two-machine" business is experiencing high demand, with orders exceeding 1.5 billion yuan [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [7] Core Views - In Q2 2025, the company's net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 57% year-on-year, with a total revenue of 1.384 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a 9% growth [4][5] - The company's gross margin improved by 1.96 percentage points, and the expense control was effective, with a total expense ratio of 22.81%, down by 2.67 percentage points [5] - The "two-machine" business is thriving, with orders exceeding 1.5 billion yuan, including significant collaborations with major players like Siemens and GE [6] - The nuclear energy business has signed multiple supply contracts, and the company is focusing on low-altitude economic sectors, enhancing its competitive advantages [7] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 415 million, 581 million, and 789 million yuan, corresponding to current P/E ratios of 46, 33, and 24 times [5][9] Company Overview - The latest closing price is 29.01 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 19.7 billion yuan [3] - The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 56.1% and a P/E ratio of 69.07 [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company has achieved significant growth in Q2 2025, with revenue reaching 721 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.05% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.82%. The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q2 2025 was 96 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 56.75% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 4.53% [6][11]. - The company is expanding its business through "industrial chain extension and value chain extension," covering high-temperature alloy products, precision cast steel parts, nuclear power, and other large cast steel components, as well as new materials and equipment [2][6]. - The company has a robust order backlog exceeding 1.5 billion yuan, indicating strong growth potential in the two-machine industry and nuclear energy sectors [11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 1.384 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.11%, and a net profit of 188 million yuan, up 23.91% year-on-year. The gross profit margin for H1 2025 was 36.3%, an increase of approximately 2 percentage points year-on-year [6][11]. Business Development - The company has signed strategic cooperation agreements with major players in the two-machine industry, including Siemens Energy, Safran Group, and Rolls-Royce Group, enhancing its position in the global supply chain [11]. - The company is actively involved in the nuclear energy sector, having signed multiple supply contracts for nuclear power projects and achieving sales of flexible shielding materials for the first time [11]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 430 million yuan and 600 million yuan in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 42 and 30 times [11].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Dongwu Securities has given a "buy" rating for Yingliu Holdings (603308.SH) based on strong financial performance and growth potential [2] - The company's Q2 net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 57% year-on-year, indicating robust demand and a healthy order backlog in the "two-machine" business [2] - The company demonstrates good cost control capabilities, suggesting a long-term improvement in profitability [2] Group 2 - The "two-machine" business is seen as a new growth driver, with opportunities in nuclear energy and low-altitude sectors that could provide long-term growth potential [2] - The report highlights potential risks, including lower-than-expected capital expenditures, demand, and the pace of domestic production [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [1][22]. Core Insights - The company achieved a year-on-year revenue growth of 56.8% in Q2, reflecting a strong performance and continued optimism regarding its strategic positioning in four new productivity directions [1]. - The company is focusing on four major areas: aviation engines, gas turbines, nuclear energy new materials, and low-altitude economy, which are considered future strategic productivity drivers [6]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: Projected total revenue for 2024 is 2,513 million, increasing to 2,943 million in 2025, 3,504 million in 2026, and 4,808 million in 2027, with respective growth rates of 4.2%, 17.1%, 19.1%, and 37.2% [2][12]. - **Net Profit Forecast**: Expected net profit for 2024 is 286 million, rising to 401 million in 2025, 529 million in 2026, and 736 million in 2027, with growth rates of -5.6%, 39.9%, 32.1%, and 39.0% respectively [2][12]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: EPS is projected to be 0.42 yuan in 2024, increasing to 0.59 yuan in 2025, 0.78 yuan in 2026, and 1.08 yuan in 2027 [2][12]. - **Valuation Ratios**: The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 64 in 2024 to 25 in 2027, while the price-to-book (P/B) ratio is projected to decline from 3.9 to 3.1 over the same period [2][12]. Business Segment Performance - **High-Temperature Alloy and Precision Casting**: Revenue reached 8.42 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 6.41% and a gross margin of 38.42% [6]. - **Nuclear Power and Large Casting Products**: Generated 3.26 billion in revenue, up 5.57% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 34.59% [6]. - **New Materials and Equipment**: Achieved a revenue of 1.46 billion, marking a significant growth of 74.49% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 31.94% [6]. Strategic Developments - The company has deepened collaborations in the aviation engine sector with major clients like GE Aviation and China Commercial Aircraft Corporation, leading to substantial order volumes [6]. - In the gas turbine segment, the company has become the sole supplier of certain components for Siemens Energy in China, indicating a strong market position [6]. - The nuclear energy business is benefiting from stable approvals for new units, with the company making advancements in new product development [6]. - The low-altitude economy segment is expected to reach a profitability turning point, with ongoing developments in drone technology and airport operations [6].