应流股份 20250915 摘要 应流股份通过产业链和价值链延伸，从高温合金扩展到燃气轮机、航空 发动机等领域，并从硬件制造延伸至相关涂层服务，提升产品价值和利 润率，未来将继续深化此策略以扩大规模和利润。 2024 年，高温合金及精密铸件业务占应流股份营收的 59%，毛利占比 63%，为最大业务板块；核电及其他中大型铸钢件业务营收占比 26%，毛利占比 24%；新型材料与装备业务营收占比 9%，毛利占比 8%。 应流股份前五大客户包括艾默生、贝克休斯、格兰富、卡特彼勒和中国 航发，这些国际知名企业对应流股份的供应商质量给予高度认可，建立 了长期稳定的合作关系。 应流股份在手订单总额为 22.74 亿元，其中美国订单占比仅为 3.6%， 且对美销售采用 FOB 形式，美国进口商承担关税，因此美国订单对公司 整体收入影响较小。 2015 年至 2024 年，应流股份收入复合增速为 7.2%，归母净利润复合 增速为 16%，2024 年毛利率达到 34.24%，净利润突破 10%，显示出 良好的盈利增长态势。 Q&A 应流股份的主要业务和产品布局是什么？ 应流股份是一家专用设备零件生产企业，主要产品布局在高温合金 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [7] Core Views - In Q2 2025, the company's net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 57% year-on-year, with a total revenue of 1.384 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a 9% growth [4][5] - The company's gross margin improved by 1.96 percentage points, and the expense control was effective, with a total expense ratio of 22.81%, down by 2.67 percentage points [5] - The "two-machine" business is thriving, with orders exceeding 1.5 billion yuan, including significant collaborations with major players like Siemens and GE [6] - The nuclear energy business has signed multiple supply contracts, and the company is focusing on low-altitude economic sectors, enhancing its competitive advantages [7] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 415 million, 581 million, and 789 million yuan, corresponding to current P/E ratios of 46, 33, and 24 times [5][9] Company Overview - The latest closing price is 29.01 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 19.7 billion yuan [3] - The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 56.1% and a P/E ratio of 69.07 [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company has achieved significant growth in Q2 2025, with revenue reaching 721 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.05% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.82%. The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q2 2025 was 96 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 56.75% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 4.53% [6][11]. - The company is expanding its business through "industrial chain extension and value chain extension," covering high-temperature alloy products, precision cast steel parts, nuclear power, and other large cast steel components, as well as new materials and equipment [2][6]. - The company has a robust order backlog exceeding 1.5 billion yuan, indicating strong growth potential in the two-machine industry and nuclear energy sectors [11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 1.384 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.11%, and a net profit of 188 million yuan, up 23.91% year-on-year. The gross profit margin for H1 2025 was 36.3%, an increase of approximately 2 percentage points year-on-year [6][11]. Business Development - The company has signed strategic cooperation agreements with major players in the two-machine industry, including Siemens Energy, Safran Group, and Rolls-Royce Group, enhancing its position in the global supply chain [11]. - The company is actively involved in the nuclear energy sector, having signed multiple supply contracts for nuclear power projects and achieving sales of flexible shielding materials for the first time [11]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 430 million yuan and 600 million yuan in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 42 and 30 times [11].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - In Q2 2025, the company's net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 57% year-on-year, with a strong order backlog in the "two machines" business [2] - The company achieved a total revenue of 1.38 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a 9% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 190 million yuan, up 24% year-on-year [2] - The company has over 1.5 billion yuan in orders for the "two machines" business, with contract liabilities reaching 200 million yuan, a 270% year-on-year increase [2] Financial Performance - The company's gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 36.3%, an increase of 2.0 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 12.2%, up 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company’s revenue from high-temperature alloy products and precision cast steel parts was 840 million yuan, a 6.4% year-on-year increase, driven by the core "two machines" blade business [2][3] - The revenue from new materials and equipment surged by 74.5% year-on-year to 150 million yuan [2] Business Growth Drivers - The "two machines" business is expected to become a new growth driver, with significant opportunities arising from the global AI demand explosion [4] - The company has signed strategic cooperation agreements with major players like Siemens Energy and Safran Group, indicating strong growth potential in the "two machines" sector [4] - The nuclear energy business is also expanding, with multiple supply contracts signed in the first half of 2025 [4] Future Outlook - The company is investing 1.15 billion yuan in blade processing and coating project development, which is expected to enhance its core competitiveness and profitability [4] - The company anticipates a gradual increase in the proportion of high-margin "two machines" business, which will contribute to long-term profitability improvements [3][4]