中国高频经济活动指数
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10月核心CPI同比增长1.2%,涨幅连续第6个月扩大 | 高频看宏观
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-14 07:20
Group 1: Economic Activity Index - The China High-Frequency Economic Activity Index (YHEI) reached 1.28 on November 11, 2025, an increase of 0.09 from November 4 [1][4] - Industrial indicators such as the "Coastal Coal Freight Index" and "Imported Dry Bulk Freight Index" rose by 0.26 and 0.14 respectively, contributing significantly to the YHEI increase [1][4] Group 2: Price Indices - In October, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.2% year-on-year, up 0.5 percentage points from the previous month [2][41] - Core CPI rose by 1.2% year-on-year, marking the sixth consecutive month of growth [2][41] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 2.1% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month [3][42] Group 3: Monetary Policy - As of November 11, the central bank net withdrew 627.5 billion yuan through open market operations [6][7] - The central bank's reverse repurchase operations amounted to 823.7 billion yuan, with 1-week reverse repo rates at 1.4% [6][7] Group 4: Interest Rates and Financing - The overnight interbank rate rose by 19 basis points to 1.55% over the past week [11][12] - The 1-year and 10-year government bond yields increased by 1.22 and 1.35 basis points to 1.4% and 1.81% respectively [11][17] Group 5: Real Estate Market - New housing transaction areas in first, second, and third-tier cities decreased by 0.31%, 22.66%, and 0.54% respectively [33][35] - Second-hand housing transactions showed a divergence, with first and second-tier cities declining while third-tier cities increased by 16.93% [33][37] Group 6: Global Economic Indicators - The US dollar index fell by 0.73 points to 99.48, while the RMB appreciated by 26 basis points to 7.1207 against the dollar [44][45] - The S&P Commodity Index rose by 1.79% to 4004.03, with energy and industrial metals indices increasing by 2.52% and 0.86% respectively [44]
7月汽车销量同比增速持续走高,高技术产业增加值同比增长9.3% | 高频看宏观
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 18:03
Economic Activity Index - The China High-Frequency Economic Activity Index (YHEI) as of August 19, 2025, is 1.15, down 0.05 from August 12 [1][3] - The "import dry bulk freight index" fell by 0.10 to 1.02, contributing to the decline in YHEI [1][3] - The "30-city commodity housing sales index" increased by 0.03 to 0.44, fluctuating between 0.41 and 0.45 since early August [1][3] Consumption and Retail - In July, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 38,780.2 billion yuan, growing by 3.7% year-on-year, a decrease of 1.1 percentage points from the previous month [25] - Retail sales of goods grew by 4.0%, down 1.3 percentage points from last month, while catering revenue increased by 1.1%, up 0.2 percentage points [25] - Excluding automobiles, retail sales of consumer goods grew by 4.3%, down from 4.8% in the previous month [25] Automotive Sector - Automotive sales saw a year-on-year growth of 14.66%, up from 13.83% last month, indicating continuous improvement over four months [25] Foreign Trade - In July, the trade surplus was 98.245 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 14.93%, but the growth rate decreased by 0.78 percentage points from the previous month [25] - Import and export amounts grew by 4.1% and 7.2% year-on-year, respectively, both higher than last month [25] Industrial Production - In July, the industrial added value for large-scale industries grew by 5.7% year-on-year, a decrease of 1.1 percentage points [26] - High-tech industries saw a growth rate of 9.3%, down 0.4 percentage points [26] - The production index for the service industry grew by 5.8%, slowing down by 0.2 percentage points for two consecutive months [26] Monetary Policy - The central bank's net fund injection through open market operations was 684.2 billion yuan as of August 19 [6] - The 7-day reverse repurchase rate was 1.4% [6] Interest Rates - The overnight interbank rate rose by 21 basis points to 1.57% over the past week [11][12] - The 1-year and 5-year swap rates increased by 2 and 5 basis points to 1.54% and 1.63%, respectively [15][18] Real Estate Market - In the week ending August 19, new and second-hand housing transaction areas in first-tier cities increased by 6.71% and 7.06%, respectively [42][45] - In contrast, third-tier cities saw a decrease in transaction areas by 5.13% and 29.2% for new and second-hand homes [42][45] Shipping and Logistics - The China Coastal Bulk Freight Index (CCBFI) rose by 30.48 points to 1,090.99 points [38] - The Baltic Dry Index fell by 53 points to 1,964 points [38] Global Economic Indicators - The US dollar index increased by 0.21 points to 98.28, while the RMB/USD exchange rate rose by 91 basis points to 7.182 [53][54]