Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "oscillating weakly" [2] Group 2: Core View of the Report - The steel price is expected to continue oscillating weakly, as the current low demand with no short - term improvement and the rising production may put pressure on the price, and the market lacks new drivers, following the industry's fundamental logic [1][2] Group 3: Summary According to the Content Cost and Profit - This week, the average含税 cost of steel billets of mainstream sample steel mills in Tangshan is 2991 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan/ton week - on - week. Compared with the ex - factory price of common billets of 2990 yuan/ton on September 10th, the average loss of steel mills is 1 yuan/ton [1] - On September 10th, the average cost of 76 independent electric arc furnace construction steel mills is 3342 yuan/ton, with an average profit loss of 145 yuan/ton and a valley - electricity profit loss of 49 yuan/ton [1] Real Estate Sales - As of September 10th, according to Mysteel statistics, the total sales of 16 key real - estate enterprises from January to August 2025 are 868.862 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 17%. The total sales in August are 106.451 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 4.5% and a month - on - month increase of 20.2% [1] Market Situation - After the military parade, both supply and demand have recovered. Currently, the low demand and the rising production may bring more pressure on the price [1] Later Concerns - Later concerns include macro policies, supply - side production reduction, and downstream demand [2]

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View - The short - term price fluctuations of finished products are large, and they operate in a volatile and weak manner. The price is mainly affected by fundamentals. Although supply has decreased due to pre - parade production restrictions, it is likely to resume after the parade, while downstream demand is unlikely to change substantially in the short term. [1][2][3] 3. Key Points from the Report Steel Production and Supply - As of September 1, 23 sample steel enterprises with 89 blast furnaces in Tangshan have carried out blast furnace shutdown and maintenance as planned. There are 16 newly - added blast furnaces for maintenance, and the rest are mainly for rotational maintenance and production reduction. The theoretical daily impact on hot metal output is about 122,300 tons (including previously maintained blast furnaces). The capacity utilization rate is 74.62%, down 14.21% from August 27 and 10.35% from the same period last year. Most blast furnaces are expected to resume production on September 4. [2] - On September 3, production restrictions were implemented in the Beijing - Tianjin - Hebei region before the parade, leading to a decline in supply. However, supply is likely to resume after the parade according to market research. [2] Market and Policy - The Shanghai mortgage policy was implemented on September 1. The minimum interest rate for new first - home mortgages is 3.05%, and the minimum interest rate for new second - home mortgages is 3.09%. Second - home mortgage loans with an existing interest rate higher than 3.36% can be lowered to 3.36%. [2] Market Sales - In August, about 84,000 heavy - duty trucks were sold in China, a slight 1% decrease from the previous month. From January to August, the cumulative sales of heavy - duty trucks in China were about 708,000, a year - on - year increase of about 13%. It is almost certain that the annual sales will exceed 1 million. [2] Product Price - Finished products continued to be weak yesterday, with the rebar 2601 contract once falling below 3,100 and the hot - rolled coil 2601 contract falling below 3,300. [2] 4. Later Concerns - Macro - policies, supply - side production reduction, and downstream demand. [3]

Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Report's Core View - The industry is still in adjustment, and it is recommended to wait and see [4] Summary by Relevant Catalogs - **Production Data**: According to the weekly data of Steel Union, the output of rebar increased by 101200 tons to 2.2118 million tons, the output of hot-rolled coil decreased by 79000 tons to 3.1489 million tons, and the total output of the five major steel products increased by 17900 tons to 8.6921 million tons [3] - **Inventory Data**: The total inventory of rebar increased by 103900 tons to 5.5668 million tons, the total inventory of hot-rolled coil increased by 86800 tons to 3.5663 million tons, and the total inventory of the five major steel products increased by 234700 tons to 13.7536 million tons [3] - **Apparent Demand Data**: The apparent demand for rebar increased by 73800 tons to 2.1079 million tons, the apparent demand for hot-rolled coil decreased by 137900 tons to 3.0621 million tons, and the apparent demand for the five major steel products decreased by 62900 tons to 8.4574 million tons [3] - **Market Performance**: The finished steel rose first and then fell yesterday The increase in raw material prices supports steel prices from the cost side, and the anti-involution at the macro level still disturbs the black series The fundamentals are bearish mainly due to weak downstream demand that is difficult to reverse in the short term [3] - **Later Concerns**: Macro policies, supply-side production cuts, and downstream demand [4]

Group 1: Investment Rating - The report does not provide an industry investment rating [1][2][3] Group 2: Core View - The steel price is still expected to adjust, and it is advisable to wait and see [3] Group 3: Summary by Content - **Cost and Profit**: This week, the average tax - free hot metal cost of mainstream sample steel mills in Tangshan was 2,118 yuan/ton, and the average tax - included billet cost was 2,868 yuan/ton, up 25 yuan/ton week - on - week. Compared with the ex - factory price of common billets on August 6th (3,090 yuan/ton), the average profit of steel mills was 222 yuan/ton, down 115 yuan/ton week - on - week [2] - **Fund Availability**: As of August 5th, the fund availability rate of sample construction sites was 58.5%, down 0.2 percentage points week - on - week. The fund availability rate of housing construction projects was 51.14%, remaining flat week - on - week [2] - **Market Situation**: Driven by the rise in coking coal prices, the finished products rose slightly during the day yesterday with a slight intraday increase. Currently, the overall steel market still has stronger supply than demand. Supply - side indicators such as daily hot metal output, blast furnace operating rate, and steel mill profitability are relatively high, while downstream demand is average, affected by monthly real - estate data and the rainy - season impact on construction sites. On the other hand, macro - level policies still drive up prices [2] - **Later Concerns**: Macro policies, supply - side production reduction situation, and downstream demand situation [3]

Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific investment rating is provided in the report Core Viewpoint - The steel price is expected to undergo adjustments, and it is advisable to adopt a wait - and - see approach [4] Summary According to Related Content Cost and Profit - On August 5, the average cost of 76 independent electric arc furnace construction steel mills was 3312 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 4 yuan/ton, the average profit was - 31 yuan/ton, and the valley - electricity profit was 70 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 7 yuan/ton [3] Real Estate Transaction Data - From July 28 to August 3, the total transaction (signing) area of newly built commercial housing in 10 key cities was 1.467 million square meters, a month - on - month increase of 3.8% and a year - on - year decrease of 17.7%; the total transaction (signing) area of second - hand housing was 1.9959 million square meters, a month - on - month decrease of 6.5% and a year - on - year increase of 4.7% [3] Market Situation - Benefiting from the limit - up of coking coal on the raw material side, the finished products continued to rebound yesterday. The market continues to waver between macro anti - involution and industry fundamentals, and steel prices fluctuate repeatedly in the short term [3] Fundamental Situation - Currently, the overall supply of steel is stronger than demand. On the supply side, the daily average pig iron output, blast furnace operating rate, and steel mill profitability are all relatively high, but downstream demand is mediocre, affected by monthly real estate data and the actual impact of the rainy season on construction sites [3] Later Concerns - Macro policies, supply - side production cuts, and downstream demand [4]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content Group 2: Core View of the Report - The steel price is expected to continue adjusting, and it is recommended to wait and see. [4] Group 3: Summary According to Related Content Policy Information - On August 1st, the list of "two major" construction projects worth 800 billion yuan for this year has been fully issued, and the central budget - internal investment of 735 billion yuan has been basically issued. [3] Production Capacity Utilization - Last week, the blast - furnace iron - making capacity utilization rate of 247 steel mills was 90.24%, a decrease of 0.57 percentage points from the previous week and an increase of 1.37 percentage points year - on - year. The daily average pig iron output was 2.4071 million tons, a decrease of 15,200 tons from the previous week and an increase of 40,900 tons year - on - year. [3] - The average capacity utilization rate of 90 independent electric arc furnace steel mills nationwide was 57.05%, an increase of 1.56 percentage points from the previous week and an increase of 15.11 percentage points year - on - year. The average operating rate was 74.21%, an increase of 2.18 percentage points from the previous week and an increase of 12.75 percentage points year - on - year. [3] Market Performance and Influencing Factors - The price of finished steel rose first and then fell last week with large fluctuations. In terms of weekly fundamentals, the supply and demand of rebar both decreased and inventory increased, while the supply, demand, and inventory of hot - rolled steel all increased. The fundamentals are slightly bearish, but market sentiment has a greater impact on the market. [3] - The Politburo meeting last week was relatively calm, with no unexpected statements on anti - involution and real estate, which put pressure on the previously excited market. Recent market trends are greatly affected by macro factors and sentiment, with large price fluctuations. [3] Later Concerns - Macro policies, supply - side production reduction, and downstream demand conditions should be focused on. [4]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - The report suggests a wait - and - see approach [4] Group 2: Core Viewpoints - The fundamentals of the steel products industry are weak, and steel prices are undergoing a correction. The market is mainly influenced by macro factors and sentiment, with large price fluctuations. It is recommended to mainly observe the market [2][3][4] Group 3: Summary by Related Contents Steel Inventory - This week, the total steel inventory was 13.5189 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 0.01539 million tons. Among them, the steel mill inventory was 0.40952 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 0.0001 million tons; the social inventory was 0.94237 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 0.01529 million tons [3] - The inventory of steel billets in major warehouses and ports in Tangshan was 1.223 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 0.0552 million tons and a 12.22% increase compared to the same period last year [3] Production Line Operation - Among the 87 section steel production lines in Tangshan, 27 were actually in operation, with an overall start - up rate of 45.76%, a 5.08% decrease from last week. The capacity utilization rate of profiles was 46.12%, a 0.80% increase from last week [3] Steel Price - On July 31, the ex - factory tax - included price of common square billet resources in Qian'an, Tangshan was cumulatively reduced by 100 yuan, reaching 3080 yuan per ton [3] Market Situation - During the research period, the steel market trend slowed down week - on - week, trading activity decreased, there was more wait - and - see attitude at high prices, and inventory continued to accumulate slightly. Some domestic trade resources at ports were still being shipped for export [3] - In terms of weekly data, both supply and demand of rebar decreased and inventory increased, while for hot - rolled steel, both supply, demand, and inventory increased. The weekly fundamentals were neutral to weak [3]