Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][9][10] Core Insights - The company has returned to a growth trajectory in the Chinese market, while maintaining steady growth in Europe and the Americas [3][7] - For Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 12.50 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.11%, and a net profit of 0.99 billion yuan, up 16.20% year-on-year [6][7] - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth driven by new consumer clients, with a focus on expanding its market presence in both domestic and international markets [7][9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 32.91 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.96%, and a net profit of 2.60 billion yuan, up 8.53% year-on-year [6][7] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 improved by 1.13 percentage points to 30.76%, attributed to an increase in the revenue share from the Chinese market and enhanced supply chain efficiency [7] Regional Performance - In Q3 2025, the Chinese market saw revenue growth of over 20%, with total order numbers increasing by over 25% [7] - The Americas region reported export revenue growth exceeding 20% for the first three quarters, while the European region experienced a revenue increase of over 35% in Q3, driven by successful partnerships with well-known retailers [7] Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 46.65 billion yuan, 54.06 billion yuan, and 62.70 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 3.63 billion yuan, 4.60 billion yuan, and 5.70 billion yuan [9][10] - The establishment of a production facility in Thailand is expected to commence operations in 2027, with an annual capacity of 2.4 billion nutritional gummies [7]

Summary of the Conference Call on the Health Supplement CDMO Industry Industry Overview - The health supplement market in China is the second largest globally, with significant growth potential due to low penetration rates, approximately 1/4 to 1/5 of that in Europe and the US [1][4] - The largest segment is vitamin dietary supplements (EDS), accounting for about 60% of the market, with a noticeable trend towards functional foods [1][4] - The dual-track regulatory policy (registration + filing) has lowered entry barriers and accelerated product launches while enhancing regulatory oversight [1][5] Key Trends and Insights - Online channels have significantly impacted the health supplement market, achieving a penetration rate of around 60%, the highest globally, which has disrupted traditional offline channels [1][9] - Emerging brands are leveraging online platforms to target specific demographics, leading to a decline in traditional dietary supplement market share [1][9] - The concentration of brands and contract manufacturing in the health supplement industry is low, below 20%, with new online brands further dispersing market concentration [1][8] Regulatory Impact - The introduction of the dual-track system in 2016 has streamlined the approval process for new products, allowing for quicker market entry while increasing regulatory scrutiny to eliminate non-compliant products [5][7] - The 2019 Tianjin Qianjin incident led to stricter internal control mechanisms and a comprehensive industry cleanup, enhancing the overall transparency and standardization of the market [5][6] Consumer Demand and Behavior - Increasing income and health awareness among Chinese consumers are driving demand for health supplements, with a shift from serious health products to functional foods [6][12] - The traditional dietary supplement consumption patterns are evolving, with younger demographics becoming the primary consumers, influenced by the rise of online shopping [6][9] Company-Specific Insights Xianle Health - Xianle Health, a leading player in the health supplement CDMO sector, has achieved continuous revenue growth through international expansion and product innovation, despite profit fluctuations due to industry and global factors [3][13] - The acquisition of the US-based BF company has temporarily impacted profits but is expected to become a long-term growth driver [3][18] - Collaborations with new consumer brands have improved domestic revenue, with a notable partnership with brands like Dongfang Zhenxuan and Yang Men Dian [3][17] Baihe Co. - Baihe Co. has recently acquired New Zealand's Auri Company, which is expected to contribute to revenue growth [21] - The company has shown strong performance in the functional beverage sector, adapting well to new consumer demands despite being less focused on large client customization compared to Xianle [21] Future Outlook - The health supplement CDMO industry in China has substantial growth potential, with a current penetration rate of about 10%, lower than that of Europe and Japan (15%-20%) [12] - The high online penetration rate suggests a promising future for contract manufacturing, with expectations of increased demand driven by the rise of online sales channels [12][20] - Xianle plans to enhance cooperation with new consumer clients and expand into Southeast Asia through cross-border e-commerce and new factory setups [20]

Core Viewpoint - Xianle Health reported steady revenue growth and profitability in the first half of 2025, with a focus on expanding new consumer markets and optimizing business structure in response to challenges in specific segments [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.04 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 160 million yuan, up 4.3% year-on-year [1]. - Q2 2025 revenue reached 1.09 billion yuan, reflecting a 4.7% year-on-year growth, while net profit was 90 million yuan, a 1.1% increase year-on-year [1]. Regional Performance - Revenue from the China region in H1 2025 was 820 million yuan, down 1.6% year-on-year, impacted by the Changqing market, although new consumer clients showed growth in revenue and online penetration [2]. - The Americas region generated 760 million yuan in H1 2025, a 4.3% increase year-on-year, with exports maintaining positive growth despite tariff disruptions [2]. - The European region performed strongly with H1 2025 revenue of 360 million yuan, up 22.0% year-on-year, exceeding sales targets [2]. - Other regions reported revenue of 100 million yuan, down 23.0% year-on-year [2]. Product Segment Performance - Revenue growth by product type in H1 2025 included soft capsules (+6.5%), tablets (+33.4%), gummies (+6.35%), and hard capsules (+11.0%), while powder (-36.0%) and beverages (-20.8%) saw declines [2]. Profitability and Cost Management - The company's gross margin improved by 1.13 percentage points to 33.2% in H1 2025, attributed to lean production and cost reduction efforts [3]. - In Q2 2025, the gross margin slightly decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 33.3%, likely due to disruptions in the BF business [3]. - The net profit margin for Q2 2025 was 8.5%, down 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates stable recovery in domestic business and continued growth in new consumer markets, with potential in high-growth areas like pet nutrition [4]. - The successful divestiture of the BFPC segment could enhance profit elasticity and overall growth [4]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are projected at 4.492 billion, 5.104 billion, and 5.863 billion yuan, with net profits of 350 million, 460 million, and 570 million yuan respectively [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][10] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 reached 4.211 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.56%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.325 billion yuan, up 15.66% year-on-year [6] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 0.954 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.28% year-on-year, and a net profit of 0.069 billion yuan, up 8.90% year-on-year [6] - The company is positioned as a leading CDMO in the health food industry, with a focus on product innovation and technological upgrades, supported by a global supply capability across China, the US, and Europe [9] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - The company's performance in the last year shows a mixed trend, with a 1-month decline of 4.7% and a 12-month decline of 9.5% compared to the CSI 300 index [4] - As of April 25, 2025, the current stock price is 25.41 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 6.029 billion yuan [4] Regional Performance - In 2024, revenue by region was as follows: China 1.661 billion yuan (down 10.28%), Europe 0.604 billion yuan (up 14.25%), Americas 1.666 billion yuan (up 59.56%), and other regions 0.280 billion yuan (up 77.38%) [6] - The Chinese market showed signs of recovery in Q1 2025, with revenue stabilizing due to the company's efforts in expanding new consumer markets [6] Product Performance - In 2024, revenue by product type was: soft capsules 1.984 billion yuan (up 29.91%), tablets 0.326 billion yuan (down 10.05%), powders 0.232 billion yuan (down 20.90%), gummies 0.995 billion yuan (up 34.54%), beverages 0.248 billion yuan (down 41.22%), hard capsules 0.223 billion yuan (up 46.83%), and other forms 0.177 billion yuan (up 141.32%) [6] - The company has seen significant growth in high-margin products like gummies, which have increased their market share from approximately 5% in 2022 to nearly 10% in 2024 [6] Profitability - The gross margin for 2024 was 31.46%, improving to 33.09% in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.19 percentage points and 2.47 percentage points respectively [6] - The company’s net profit margin for 2024 was 7.72%, slightly decreasing to 7.19% in Q1 2025 [7] Financial Forecast - The projected revenue for 2025 is 4.663 billion yuan, with a net profit of 0.400 billion yuan, and EPS of 1.69 yuan [8] - The company expects a revenue growth rate of 11% in 2025, with a net profit growth rate of 23% [8] Competitive Position - The company is enhancing its competitive barriers through multi-dimensional capability improvements, including product innovation, supply chain optimization, and digital transformation [9] - The company’s innovative products contributed over 35% to sales in 2024, with higher gross margins than average [9]