此刻，我们立足承前启后的交汇点，"十四五"即将圆满收官。回顾2025年，在多重压力之下，中国经济 再次走过了"很不平凡"的一年，并展现出强大韧性和活力。 刚刚闭幕的中央经济工作会议深刻指出，做好2026年经济工作，要"坚持稳中求进工作总基调"，在政策 取向上，"要坚持稳中求进、提质增效"，着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期，推动经济实现质的有 效提升和量的合理增长，保持社会和谐稳定，实现"十五五"良好开局。 启新程，当乘势而上，更须砥砺前行。站在"十五五"新程待启的关键时点，如何看待2026年的经济形 势？2026年经济工作怎么干？新京报贝壳财经推出《看2026：十五五·启新程》专题报道，汇聚监管部 门、知名学者和领军企业家，解读政策脉络，洞察趋势变化。2026，我们携手出发。 2025年收官，广汽集团（601238）"番禺行动"迎来一周年关键节点。在"找准了路子，见到了果子"后， 广汽的目标是在"十五五"再造一个"新广汽"。 掌舵广汽近一年，广汽集团党委书记、董事长冯兴亚近期接受新京报贝壳财经记者独家专访表示，预 计"十五五"期间，汽车行业将迎来产业重构、行业竞争从单一产品竞争转变为生态体系的竞争、全球产 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Vietnam has agreed to a trade deal with the United States, which involves Vietnam paying a 20% tariff on all imports while U.S. goods enter Vietnam tax-free, indicating a significant compromise by Vietnam under U.S. pressure [1][3][5] - The agreement symbolizes Vietnam's submission to the high-pressure trade policies of the Trump administration, which may weaken Vietnam's export competitiveness and raise concerns about its economic future [3][5][11] - The U.S. strategy of "first strike then negotiate" is evident, as it aims to force smaller economies like Vietnam to concede, potentially reshaping global supply chains and hindering the free flow of products from China and other regions [5][7] Group 2 - The trade deal may jeopardize the deep industrial complementarity between China and Vietnam, as Chinese companies may reconsider their investments in Vietnam due to increased tariffs and trade policy uncertainties [7][9] - If Vietnam fully accepts the stringent tariff policies, it risks losing technological exchange and innovation opportunities, which could hinder its own technological advancement and industrial transformation [9][11] - The long-term implications of the unequal trade agreement could lead to economic losses for Vietnam, as the 20% tariff may gradually erode its manufacturing competitiveness, forcing companies reliant on Chinese supply chains to either pay high tariffs or shut down [11]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes that going global is a key strategy for companies to enhance competitiveness and achieve high-quality development in the context of accelerated globalization and industrial chain restructuring [1] Group 1: Growth of Overseas Business - In 2024, the number of A-share listed companies with overseas operations exceeds 3,560, accounting for 66.37% of the total, both figures reaching historical highs [2] - A-share companies' overseas business revenue surpasses 10 trillion yuan, a 2.8 times increase compared to ten years ago; overseas revenue accounts for 14.28% of total revenue, up 4.65 percentage points from a decade ago [2] - The gross profit from overseas business reaches 1.63 trillion yuan, an 8.33 times increase over ten years, with its share of total gross profit rising to 14.71%, marking the first time gross profit from overseas exceeds revenue from overseas [2] Group 2: Factors Driving Internationalization - The continuous development of overseas business reflects substantial breakthroughs in internationalization strategies, driven by factors such as domestic market slowdown, opportunities in emerging markets, enhanced competitiveness in key sectors, and supportive national policies [3][5] - Emerging markets like Southeast Asia, the Middle East, Latin America, and Africa present strong economic growth and demand, providing vast opportunities for Chinese companies [3] - National strategies like the "Belt and Road" initiative and "dual circulation" encourage companies to leverage domestic and international resources to enhance competitiveness [3] Group 3: Industry-Specific Trends - The electronics industry has become the largest contributor to overseas revenue among A-share companies, surpassing the oil and petrochemical sector, which has seen a significant decline in its share [4] - In 2024, the electronics sector's overseas revenue reaches 1.39 trillion yuan, accounting for 13.58% of A-share revenue, while the automotive sector's overseas revenue rises to 9.88% [4] - Traditional industries like oil and petrochemicals have seen a decline in their overseas revenue share, indicating a shift in comparative advantages as global industrial structures evolve [4] Group 4: Transformations in Overseas Operations - The data indicates a fourfold transformation in overseas business: a shift in industrial competitiveness, the emergence of new growth drivers, changes in global demand structures, and the effectiveness of national strategic guidance [5] - Companies are transitioning from merely exporting products to establishing brand presence and deepening market integration, reflecting a higher stage of internationalization [5] Group 5: Successful Case Studies - Leading companies like BYD and Luxshare Precision have successfully expanded their global market presence, significantly enhancing their international competitiveness and brand influence [6][8] - BYD's overseas revenue has grown from 7.46 billion yuan in 2014 to 221.88 billion yuan in 2024, marking a 28.7 times increase, while Luxshare Precision's overseas revenue reaches 235.47 billion yuan, a 37.2 times increase [8][7] Group 6: Evolving Business Models - Chinese companies are moving beyond traditional export models to a more diversified approach that emphasizes technology leadership, ecological collaboration, and compliance adaptability [9][10] - Companies like CATL and Mindray are establishing regional technical standards and licensing technologies, reflecting a shift from being mere participants to defining international standards [10]

Group 1 - The 2025 Capital Market Forum hosted by CITIC Securities in Shanghai focuses on the theme "Forging Ahead into a New Era" [1] - Chief Macro and Policy Analyst Yang Fan delivered a keynote speech titled "Sharpening the Blade to Settle the Storm" [1] Group 2 - Yang Fan highlighted that during periods of uncertainty, such as "Trump 1.0" and the pandemic, private sector investment and consumption activities tend to slow down, leading to structural growth differentiation due to varying government deficit expansion strategies [3] - In the current "Trump 2.0" period, private sector investment is expected to contract, while fiscal policies in most economies will actively expand to counterbalance this contraction [3] - The U.S. is facing "cost-push inflation," which is eroding consumer purchasing power and weakening domestic employment and consumption, posing risks of reduced external demand for other countries [3] Group 3 - In terms of geopolitical environment, the short-term outlook indicates a temporary easing of the China-U.S. tariff war, with August being a potential key turning point in the ongoing U.S.-China rivalry [3] - Long-term trade conflicts may lead to profound restructuring of the global industrial landscape, with the foundations supporting the dollar system showing signs of weakening, potentially extending the trend of global asset "rebalancing" [3] Group 4 - Domestically, there are expectations of short-term "transshipment" and "export grabbing" to support the resilience of foreign trade this year, but tariffs will exert significant pressure on the Producer Price Index (PPI) [4] - The current domestic economic cycle faces two major bottlenecks: the lack of a "catch-up" recovery in consumer spending post-pandemic and the need for more policies to enhance consumer willingness and provide quality consumption supply [4] - There is a tendency for similar investment characteristics among local industries, exacerbating structural contradictions; thus, optimizing local government actions and focusing on industrial upgrading and structural adjustments is essential [4] - To address global uncertainties, China needs to strengthen its internal capabilities and adopt a bottom-line thinking approach to navigate the "14th Five-Year Plan" and continuously improve the direction of long-term economic reforms [4]