全球流动性改善
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利好!多只,恢复大额申购
中国基金报· 2026-01-08 14:32
【导读】主动权益类基金纷纷"开门迎客" 中国基金报记者 曹雯璟 2026年伊始,A股市场重回4000点,并创出近10年新高,与此同时,一些限购的主动权益基金纷纷恢复大额申购。短短 4 个交易日,华 夏、中欧、信达澳亚、国泰、景顺长城、西部利得、华富、新华、金鹰等 基金公司 旗下多只主动权益类基金"开门迎客",其中不乏绩优基 金。 主动权益类基金纷纷"开门迎客" 沪上一位公募人士表示,年初A股迎来 " 开门红 " 与此同时,多只绩优基金、新基金集中恢复申购 。 这 一方面 体现了机构对今年行情的 乐观 预期 ,通过快速打开申购,可及时布局机会、吸引增量资金 ; 另一方面也 顺应了机构资金的配置节奏 。 短期 来 看,保险年终结 算完成,开始重新配置权益资产, 基金 开放日常申购便于吸纳年初回流的部分机构资金。 沪上一位基金行业分析师认为,除了看好市场走势、资金吸纳等常见因素外,年初渠道方推动"开门红"营销活动的需求,也成为部分基金 选择开放日常申购的动因。年初银行通常会全面推广各类金融产品,待一季度市场方向更为明朗后,再集中资源进行重点布局。 2026年A股整体有望继续走强 结合宏观经济、股市估值以及流动性 等 ...
流动性改善叠加AI加速兑现 A股市场环境将更加友好
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-04 18:16
展望2026年,财通基金副总经理、权益投资总监金梓才认为,A股市场有望步入整体环境更优、结构性 特征深化的发展阶段,核心驱动力源于全球流动性环境的进一步改善,以及以AI为代表的产业趋势进 入加速兑现期,整体投资环境具备较强支撑性。 宏观层面,金梓才认为,全球与国内流动性环境预计同步向好,为市场奠定坚实基础。外部来看,美联 储2026年降息节奏或加快,A股面临的外部约束大幅减弱,海外资金环境更趋友好;内部而言,国内货 币政策将持续为经济高质量发展与产业升级提供支持,维持流动性合理充裕。 产业维度,金梓才认为,以人工智能为首的科技成长方向增长动能将持续强化。AI产业正从2025年的 高速渗透,迈向2026年进一步业绩兑现与深度影响阶段,现有迹象表明,其后续增长势头非但不会放 缓,反而可能加快,对企业生产效率和商业模式的变革将更为深刻。 综合来看,金梓才对2026年A股市场持积极看法,市场将在更友好的流动性环境中,围绕AI等具备加速 兑现能力的产业趋势展开。他认为,2026年投资的关键在于精准识别并聚焦产业地位稳固、增长持续性 强且估值合理的优质龙头企业,把握结构性行情中的核心机遇。 "2026年A股市场或将呈现显 ...
财通基金金梓才:流动性改善叠加AI加速兑现 A股市场环境将更加友好
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-04 17:46
展望2026年,财通基金副总经理、权益投资总监金梓才认为,A股市场有望步入整体环境更优、结构性 特征深化的发展阶段,核心驱动力源于全球流动性环境的进一步改善,以及以AI为代表的产业趋势进 入加速兑现期,整体投资环境具备较强支撑性。 宏观层面,金梓才认为,全球与国内流动性环境预计同步向好,为市场奠定坚实基础。外部来看,美联 储2026年降息节奏或加快,A股面临的外部约束大幅减弱,海外资金环境更趋友好;内部而言,国内货 币政策将持续为经济高质量发展与产业升级提供支持,维持流动性合理充裕。 产业维度,金梓才认为,以人工智能为首的科技成长方向增长动能将持续强化。AI产业正从2025年的 高速渗透,迈向2026年进一步业绩兑现与深度影响阶段,现有迹象表明,其后续增长势头非但不会放 缓,反而可能加快,对企业生产效率和商业模式的变革将更为深刻。 "2026年A股市场或将呈现显著的龙头集中与基本面驱动的结构性特征。"金梓才表示,具体体现为三方 面:第一,行情高度结构化,能够持续获得市场青睐的公司,将高度集中在少数具备真实、持续业绩兑 现能力的科技成长龙头身上;第二,龙头壁垒深厚且增长持续性强,部分龙头作为全球AI产业核心供 ...
美联储年内第三次宣布降息,关注A500ETF易方达(159361)、创业板ETF(159915)配置价值
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-11 02:49
中金公司表示,鲍威尔的表态并不强硬,加之美联储宣布将启动短期国库券购买操作,帮助缓和了 市场的担忧。展望未来,鉴于经济与就业仍面临下行压力,预计美联储将在2026年继续降息,下一次降 息可能在3月。 美联储连续降息为全球流动性改善提供确定信号,有望提振市场表现,投资者可借道核心大盘宽基 指数捕捉潜在增配机会。中证A500指数由各行业市值较大、流动性较好的500只股票组成,选样时注重 行业均衡与优选龙头,通信服务等新兴产业占比较高;创业板指数则由创业板中市值大、流动性好的 100只股票组成,战略性新兴产业占比超90%。 A500ETF易方达(159361)、创业板ETF(159915)分别跟踪以上指数,且均实行ETF中最低一档 0.15%/年的管理费率,为投资者一键打包A股优质龙头公司提供了低成本工具。 今早开盘30分钟,A股市场走势分化,贵金属、新能源方向领涨,昨日表现较好的零售、房地产、 海南自贸区等板块回调。截至9:58,中证A500指数上涨0.4%,创业板指数上涨0.9%,相关ETF交投活 跃,A500ETF易方达(159361)、创业板ETF(159915)盘中成交额均超过10亿元。 每日经济新闻 消 ...
财信证券宏观策略周报(10.20-10.24):市场波动幅度或将放大,关注“十五五”规划建议方向-20251019
Caixin Securities· 2025-10-19 10:15
Group 1 - The report anticipates increased market volatility due to uncertainties surrounding US-China negotiations, suggesting a focus on controlling positions and highlighting the strong support level at 3700 points for the Shanghai Composite Index [3][6][12] - The report emphasizes that the A-share market is expected to remain bullish in the fourth quarter, driven by policies against "involution," increased household savings entering the market, potential Fed rate cuts, and a reversal in technical trends [3][6][12] - Key investment directions to watch include the "15th Five-Year Plan" focusing on clean energy, environmental protection, and aging population issues, as well as high-dividend sectors like banking and utilities [3][12][13] Group 2 - The report notes that the A-share market experienced significant fluctuations recently, with major indices like the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index declining by 1.47% and 4.99% respectively [13] - It highlights that the average daily trading volume in the A-share market has decreased to around 2 trillion yuan, indicating increased cautiousness among investors [6][13] - The report also points out that the upcoming macroeconomic data releases and the 20th Central Committee meeting are expected to influence market trends significantly [7][12][13] Group 3 - The report indicates that the September consumer price index (CPI) showed a year-on-year decline of 0.30%, with food prices being a major contributor to this drop [7][8] - It mentions that the total social financing (TSF) in September was 35,296 billion yuan, exceeding expectations, but the structure of financing still requires improvement [8][9] - The report observes a rebound in exports in September, with a year-on-year growth of 8.30%, although future trends remain uncertain due to potential tariff impacts [10][12]
洪灏最新分享:未来5-7年美元会实现比较大幅的贬值,贵金属价格仍将不断上涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-20 13:43
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the US dollar is expected to weaken significantly over the next 5-7 years due to worsening fiscal and trade deficits, while gold has transitioned into a true safe-haven asset, driven by the weaponization of the dollar and global skepticism about its credibility [1][9][21] - Gold and silver have shown substantial price increases, with gold rising approximately sevenfold and silver over fourfold since 2005 [2][8] - The technical analysis indicates that both gold and silver are forming a "cup and handle" pattern, suggesting that future price increases may exceed market consensus expectations [4][5][49] Group 2 - The US fiscal deficit and trade imbalance are severe, leading to a depreciation of the dollar's value over the next several years [10][12][50] - The relationship between the dollar's cycle and the US current account deficit is closely aligned, indicating a long-term downtrend for the dollar [15][18] - The transition of gold into a genuine safe-haven asset is attributed to the changes in the dollar's credibility, particularly following the US's actions during the Russia-Ukraine conflict [26][27] Group 3 - China's central bank has significantly increased its gold holdings to diversify foreign exchange reserve risks, a trend that is being mirrored by other central banks globally [28][32] - The demand for US Treasury bonds is decreasing as central banks seek to mitigate losses, leading to a shift towards gold [30][32] - The growth of gold ETFs is not keeping pace with the rising gold prices, indicating a strong bullish sentiment for gold [33][35] Group 4 - Global liquidity conditions are improving, which is expected to continue driving gold prices upward [36][40] - The return rates for gold have been notably high, with a 40% increase this year and over 30% last year, suggesting a potential doubling of value since early 2024 [43][44] - Silver is anticipated to continue reaching new highs, following similar trends as gold [48]