前言 中美贸易战如今已走到一个危险的边缘，双方都亮出了各自的"杀手锏"，互不妥协。美国方面不惜 以"民众意志"和"钢铁意志"进行极限施压，力图将对方逼入绝境。而中国则展现出不退让的姿态，背后 到底藏着什么样的底气？ 特朗普将关税视作"压迫杠杆"，出口管制则当作"终极武器"。但问题是，光有武器并不够，还需要合适 的战术、正确的节奏以及国内的支撑。美国如今面临内外困境：政府停摆、民众的不满以及政敌的反 对。在这种情况下，特朗普的"极限施压"其实反映了他的焦虑和孤立。不能成为谈判高手，就只能通过 关税这一"炸弹"来施加压力。然而，炸弹越多，控制力反而越差。 中国的反击：底气从何而来？ 然而，这样的说法实际上隐含着风险。通过"民众动员"的话术，美国试图将公众的支持转化为政策合法 性，制造一种内部一致的假象。但美国的现实是，许多美国人并不认同特朗普的政策，也并不愿意与中 国进行彻底决斗。事实上，这种说辞往往是在掩饰美国政府缺乏真正后盾的窘境。如果强行推行一场贸 易战，而最终得到的是民众的反感而非团结，那么美国将变成孤立的"孤家寡人"。 美国高官的"3亿民众"论：煽动、虚张声势与悬崖 在一次福克斯采访中，美国贸易代表贾米 ...

Group 1 - The trade negotiations between the US and India have stalled, with India firmly rejecting US demands that would compromise the interests of its farmers [1][3] - Trump's attempt to impose a 25% tariff on Indian goods, escalating to a potential 50%, has been met with strong resistance from India, which argues that other countries also purchase Russian oil without facing similar penalties [3][5] - Modi's administration emphasizes the importance of protecting the agricultural sector, which employs 42% of India's population, making it politically risky to concede to US demands [5][9] Group 2 - India has formed a united front with 11 BRICS nations against US tariffs, with Brazil's president suggesting alternative markets for their goods, thereby diminishing the effectiveness of US trade pressure [7][11] - The US's reliance on India as a market for agricultural products and military contracts is highlighted, with American farmers and defense contractors feeling the impact of stalled negotiations [9][11] - Modi's strategy of maintaining a strong stance against US pressure while seeking to diversify trade partnerships is seen as a potential shift towards "de-dollarization" in international trade [11]

Group 1 - The U.S. is intensifying its tariff pressure strategy to enhance its influence and compel trade partners to make concessions on various political issues [3] - The U.S. has threatened to impose a 50% tariff on imports from Brazil, using punitive tariffs for non-trade-related matters, which has been criticized as interference in Brazil's internal affairs [3] - The recent tariff notifications from the U.S. have been described as a "political performance," with unclear demands that may further limit cooperation with exporting nations, particularly in Asia [5] Group 2 - Starting August 1, the U.S. will impose a 35% tariff on imports from Canada, leading to increased anti-American sentiment among Canadian consumers who are pledging to boycott U.S. products [7] - The trade war is damaging not only trade relations but also the foundational trust and cooperation between the U.S. and Canada [7] - The U.S. is facing supply-demand imbalances across multiple industries, and the imposition of tariffs is seen as a blunt tool that will inevitably lead to increased costs for American consumers [9]

Group 1 - The article discusses how two Asian countries, Vietnam and Cambodia, have succumbed to U.S. pressure regarding trade agreements, compromising their relationships with China [1][3]. - Vietnam has agreed to a trade deal with the U.S. that significantly reduces its tariffs to zero, while U.S. tariffs on Vietnam remain as high as 20%, which is seen as an unequal agreement [5][6]. - The new agreement includes a 40% tariff on goods transshipped from Vietnam, which is interpreted as a direct attack on Chinese supply chains, potentially harming Chinese companies operating in Vietnam [5][6]. Group 2 - Cambodia, another close ally of China, is also under pressure from the U.S., with its existing tariffs at 49%, the highest in Southeast Asia, which increases its dependency on the U.S. market [8]. - Approximately 40% of Cambodia's exports go to the U.S., and any increase in tariffs could severely impact its foreign trade [8]. - The article warns that countries compromising their relationships with China for U.S. favor may face significant repercussions in the long run [8].