内需避险
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建材行业报告(2025.10.13-2025.10.19):内需避险逻辑强化,关注低位建材板块
China Post Securities· 2025-10-20 06:55
证券研究报告:建筑材料|行业周报 发布时间:2025-10-20 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | 5129.37 | | 52 周最高 | 5355.99 | | 52 周最低 | 4167.51 | 行业相对指数表现 -9% -6% -3% 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 15% 18% 21% 2024-10 2025-01 2025-03 2025-05 2025-08 2025-10 建筑材料 沪深300 资料来源:聚源,中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:赵洋 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050002 Email:zhaoyang@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《中美贸易摩擦升温,关注低位内需板 块》 - 2025.10.13 建材行业报告 (2025.10.13-2025.10.19) 内需避险逻辑强化,关注低位建材板块 投资要点 我们认为市场短期进入内需逻辑强化的窗口,一方面市场风偏下 降,中美贸易摩擦升温、三季报的落地、以及科技板块的回调,可能 促使市场增强对于低位内需板块的关注。我们认为,建材板块中具备 内需+高股 ...
国泰海通建材鲍雁辛一周观点:内需避险或是TACO交易都只是价值发现的一个过程-20251015
Haitong Securities· 2025-10-15 13:51
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment outlook on the construction materials industry, highlighting specific companies as key recommendations for investment opportunities [2][6][19]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that both domestic demand hedging and TACO trading are merely processes of value discovery, suggesting that companies with high economic prospects and room for valuation growth will accelerate price discovery [2][3]. - It identifies a shift in focus towards companies that are expected to show resilience and growth potential, particularly in the context of domestic demand recovery and global demand expectations [4][12]. Summary by Sections Domestic Demand Hedging - Companies recommended under domestic demand hedging include Oriental Yuhong, Hanhigh Group, and Huaxin Cement, which are expected to show positive revenue trends in Q3 [2][4]. - The report highlights the importance of infrastructure projects in regions like Xinjiang, predicting a significant increase in cement demand due to major construction initiatives [7][9]. TACO Trading - The report suggests that the glass fiber and CCL industry chain will benefit from global demand expectations, with price increases observed in electronic fabrics and copper-clad laminates [3][5]. - Key companies in this segment include China Jushi and Zhongcai Technology, which are positioned to capitalize on the ongoing price increase cycle [6][15]. Cement Industry - The cement sector is noted for its potential growth driven by policy execution and governance improvements, with overseas expansion opportunities highlighted for companies like Huaxin Cement [34][38]. - The report indicates that the cement market is entering a phase of price stabilization, with a focus on limiting overproduction and enhancing governance [35][41]. Glass and Fiberglass - The glass sector is experiencing a recovery, particularly in photovoltaic glass, with companies like Fuyao Glass and Xinyi Glass expected to see improved profitability [10][12]. - The report notes that the fiberglass sector is witnessing a strong performance, with significant contributions from price increases in electronic fabrics [10][14]. Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials segment is showing signs of recovery, with companies like Sanke Tree and Beixin Building Materials expected to benefit from improved revenue performance in Q3 [19][25]. - The report emphasizes the importance of cost reduction and price stabilization in enhancing profitability for companies in this sector [26][27]. Key Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and growth potential, such as China Jushi, Huaxin Cement, and Oriental Yuhong, as they are expected to outperform in the current market environment [6][17][19].