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油脂油料早报-20250923
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-23 00:48
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not available in the provided content Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report presents a comprehensive overview of the current situation in the global oilseeds and oils market, including export, production, and import data, as well as policy changes and climate - related information [1] Group 3: Summary Based on Different Aspects 1. U.S. Soybean Data - As of the week ending September 18, the U.S. soybean export inspection volume was 484,116 tons, at the lower end of the estimated range. The previous week's volume was 821,809 tons (revised). The cumulative export inspection volume for the current crop year is 1,569,77 tons, compared to 1,246,429 tons in the same period last year [1] - As of the week ending September 21, the U.S. soybean good - to - excellent rate was 61%, lower than the market expectation of 62%. The harvest rate was 9%, lower than the expected 12%. The leaf - falling rate was 61% [1] 2. Argentina's Policy - Argentina's government announced the suspension of export taxes on all grains and by - products such as soybean oil and soybean meal to boost exports and increase dollar supply. The policy will be effective from Tuesday until October 31 or until the declared export value reaches $7 billion. The soybean export tax will drop from 26% to zero, soybean oil and meal from 24.5% to zero, and corn from 9.5% to zero [1] 3. Brazil's Soybean Export - Brazil exported 4,719,426.05 tons of soybeans in the first three weeks of September, with an average daily export volume of 314,628.40 tons, an 8.20% increase compared to the same period last year [1] 4. Malaysia's Palm Oil Data - Different institutions reported different trends in Malaysia's palm oil exports from September 1 - 20. ITS showed an 8.7% increase, AmSpec an 8.3% increase, and SGS a 16.1% decrease compared to the previous month. The production from September 1 - 20 decreased by 7.89% compared to the previous period [1] 5. China's Import Data - In August 2025, China's palm oil imports were 336,550.12 tons, a month - on - month increase of 82.32% and a year - on - year increase of 16.54%. The main import sources were Indonesia and Malaysia [1] - China's rapeseed imports in August were 246,639.83 tons, a month - on - month increase of 40.13% but a year - on - year decrease of 58.52%. The main source was Canada [1] - China's rapeseed meal imports in August were 213,385.30 tons, a month - on - month increase of 16.56% and a year - on - year increase of 4.72%. The main sources were India and the UAE [1] - China's rapeseed oil imports in August were 137,572.47 tons, a month - on - month increase of 3.75% and a year - on - year increase of 18.68%. The main sources were Russia and the UAE [1] 6. Indonesia's Policy Consideration - Indonesia is considering introducing B45 as a transitional step before implementing B50 due to potential technical and economic obstacles that may delay the full implementation of B50 until after 2026 [1] 7. Price and Spread Data - The report also includes data on import crushing margins, import profits, spot prices, protein meal basis, oil basis, regional price spreads, and seasonal spreads for various oilseeds and oils products [2][4][6][8]
油脂油料早报-20250918
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-18 01:39
Group 1: Overnight Market Information - Canada's 2025 rapeseed production is expected to increase by 4.1% to 20 million tons due to a 6.2% increase in yield offsetting a 2.0% decline in harvest area [1] - In Saskatchewan, 2025 rapeseed production is expected to increase by 6.8% to 11.2 million tons with a 6.0% yield increase and a 0.8% area increase [1] - In Alberta, rapeseed production is expected to increase by 2.8% to 5.8 million tons due to a 6.1% yield increase despite a 3.1% area decline [1] - In Manitoba, rapeseed production is expected to decline by 2.2% to 2.9 million tons as a 9.6% area decline offsets an 8.2% yield increase [1] - Malaysia's palm oil exports from September 1 - 15, 2025, decreased by 24.7% to 404,688 tons compared to the same period last month [1] - US 2025/26 soybean export sales for the week ending September 11 are expected to increase by 40 - 150 million tons [1] Group 2: Spot Prices - Spot prices of soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from September 11 - 17, 2025, are presented in a table [2] Group 3: Other Information - Information on protein meal basis, oil basis, and oil - seed futures price spreads is mentioned [3][6] - Information on main - producing country precipitation, imported soybean crushing profit, and oil import profit is mentioned [1]
油脂油料早报-20250821
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-08-21 02:34
Group 1: Report Core Views - Australia's 2025/26 rapeseed crop output is expected to be 5.7 million tons, unchanged from the previous forecast, with the forecast range between 5.4 - 6.3 million tons. The near - normal temperatures by October will support crop growth, but the cooling forecast from August 25 - 31 is worth attention due to possible light frost in some areas [1] - Malaysia's palm oil product exports from August 1 - 20 increased by 13.6% compared to the same period last month, reaching 929,051 tons [1] - Indonesia plans to increase its crude palm oil annual output from 48.2 million tons in 2024 to 60 million tons by 2030 to meet the growing demand. To achieve this goal, BPDP has implemented human resource improvement plans and the government has launched a plantation revival plan [1] Group 2: Spot Prices - Spot prices of soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from August 14 - 20, 2025 are provided, showing price fluctuations during this period [1][8]
国家统计局:上半年农业(种植业)增加值同比增长3.7%
news flash· 2025-07-15 02:10
Core Insights - The agricultural (planting) value added in the first half of the year increased by 3.7% year-on-year [1] - The total summer grain production reached 149.74 million tons, a decrease of 150,000 tons or 0.1% compared to the previous year [1] - The total meat production (pork, beef, lamb, and poultry) was 48.43 million tons, showing a year-on-year growth of 2.8% [1] Agricultural Production - Pork production increased by 1.3%, beef by 4.5%, and poultry by 7.4%, while lamb production decreased by 4.6% [1] - Milk production grew by 0.5%, and egg production increased by 1.5% [1] Livestock Statistics - By the end of the second quarter, the number of live pigs was 424.47 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.2% [1] - In the first half of the year, the number of pigs slaughtered was 366.19 million, marking a growth of 0.6% [1]
民间出口商报告向墨西哥出口销售
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-30 04:12
Report Summary - There is no report industry investment rating provided [1] Core Viewpoints -民间出口商向墨西哥出口销售119,746吨大豆,2025/2026市场年度付运 [1] -受计划中的关税上调影响,阿根廷出口商6月迄今已出口610万吨大豆及其衍生品,较五年均值水平激增22%,阿根廷政府年初暂时调降的大豆出口关税政策将于6月到期,届时大豆关税将从26%上升至33%,豆油和豆粕关税税率均将由24.5%上调至31% [1] - 2025年加拿大油菜籽种植面积下降,大草原地区三省的油菜籽播种面积均缩减,可能是由于土壤湿度和持续的贸易问题等因素造成 [1] - 加拿大统计局大幅上调去年的油菜籽产量数据,2024年油菜产量从1,780万吨增加至1,918万吨,表明全球最大油菜籽出口国的油菜籽供应将比最初预期的更健康 [1] Summary by Related Catalog Soybean Export - 民间出口商向墨西哥出口销售119,746吨大豆,2025/2026市场年度付运 [1] - 受关税上调影响,阿根廷出口商6月迄今已出口610万吨大豆及其衍生品,较五年均值激增22%,关税政策到期后大豆关税将从26%升至33%,豆油和豆粕关税从24.5%升至31% [1] Rapeseed Planting - 2025年加拿大油菜籽种植面积下降,大草原地区三省均缩减,萨斯喀彻温省下降0.5%,阿尔伯塔省下降2.8%,马尼托巴省下降9.2% [1] - 加拿大统计局上调2024年油菜籽产量数据,从1,780万吨增至1,918万吨,有交易商认为今年春季油菜籽面积将超预测的2150万英亩 [1] Spot Price - 报告列出2025年6月23 - 27日豆粕江苏、菜粕广东、豆油江苏、棕榈油广州、菜油江苏的现货价格 [2] Basis - 提及蛋白粕基差和油脂基差,但未给出具体内容 [3] Futures Spread - 提及油脂油料盘面价差,但未给出具体内容 [5]
油脂油料早报-20250606
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-06 05:19
油 脂 油 料 盘 面 价 差 : | 免责声明: | | --- | 油脂油料早报 研究中心农产品团队 2025/06/06 隔 夜 市 场 信 息 : 【美国农业部】5月29日止当周美国大豆出口销售合计净增19.79万吨,符合预期 美国农业部(USDA)周四公布的出口销售报告显示,5月29日止当周,美国当前市场年度大豆出口销售净增19.43万 吨,较之前一周增加33%,较前四周均值减少30%。市场预估为净增1050万吨。其中,对中国大陆出口销售净减0.11万 吨。 当周,美国大豆出口装船30.86万吨。较之前一周增加47%,较前四周均值增加8%。其中,对中国大陆出口装船6.5 万吨。 当周,美国当前市场年度大豆新销售20.81万吨,下一市场年度大豆新销售0.35万吨。 【美国农业部】5月29日止当周美国豆粕出口销售合计净增26.49万吨,符合预期 USDA出口销售报告显示,5月29日止当周,美国当前市场年度豆粕出口销售净增25.47万吨,较之前一周减少40%, 较前四周均值减少14%。市场预估为净增20-50万吨。 当周,美国豆粕出口装船23.85万吨。较之前一周减少12%,较前四周均值减少6%。 当周, ...