统计局劳工统计主管肖恩·克里克（Sean Crick）表示，1 月澳大利亚的劳动参与率为66.7%，相比2025年 1月创下的历史最高纪录低0.6个百分点。同时，就业不足率升至5.9%，劳动力未充分利用率达到10%。 新华财经悉尼2月19日电（记者李晓渝）澳大利亚统计局19日公布的数据显示，经季节性因素调整， 2026年1月该国失业率为4.1%，与2025年12月持平。 最新数据显示，经季节性因素调整，1月澳大利亚就业人数环比增加0.1%，同比增长约1%，至1470.38 万人。失业人数环比减少大约0.3%，同比减少约0.1%，至62.47万人。月度工作小时数环比增长0.6%， 就业不足率环比增加0.2个百分点至5.9%。 而从趋势性数据看，1月澳大利亚失业率从前一个月的4.2%进一步降至4.1%，就业人数环比增长约 0.2%，同比增长约1.2%，至1470.58万人。失业人数环比减少大约1.3%，同比增长约4.2%，至63.63万 人。月度工作小时数环比增长0.2%，就业不足率维持在5.9%不变。 劳动参与率是指正在参与劳动力市场的人口占15岁以上总人口比例，就业不足率是指有工作但希望且能 够从事比目前更多 ...

周四公布的数据显示，澳大利亚1月就业岗位稳健增长，企业增聘了更多全职员工，而失业率维持在多 月低位，进一步印证劳动力市场保持韧性。澳大利亚统计局数据显示，1月净新增就业1.78万人（经修 正后12月为大幅增加6.85万人），符合市场预期的增加2万人，其中全职岗位强劲增加5.05万人。失业率 持平于4.1%，而分析师此前预计将升至4.2%。劳动参与率持稳于66.7%，工作时间健康增长0.6%。 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. Core Views of the Report - This week (2026.2.2 - 2026.2.6), the yield of the 10 - year Treasury active bond 250016 dropped from 1.81% last Friday to 1.802% this Friday, a decrease of 0.8bp. The bond market oscillated within a very narrow range, with 1.8% becoming the invisible lower limit of the 10 - year Treasury yield. It is recommended to add duration cautiously to avoid the disturbances brought by the recovery of production demand after the Spring Festival and the goals of the Two Sessions in March [1][9][14]. - The significant fluctuations of overseas assets in the early stage have been repaired this week. The market's divergence is significantly increasing, and the previous structured market is undergoing "destructuring". It is expected that at least in the first half of 2026, the technology growth will maintain its momentum. The subsequent interest rate path is still dominated by fundamental data [15]. - The number of initial jobless claims in the US fluctuates in the short - term, and the number of continued claims declines. The unemployment rate steadily rises, and the labor participation rate fluctuates weakly, indicating the structural pressure in the employment market. The year - on - year increases of the US CPI and core CPI continue to narrow, and the inflation pressure is further alleviated. The Fed has pressed the "pause button" on interest rate cuts, and the global monetary policy shows significant "diversification" characteristics [16][18][19]. Summary According to the Directory 1. One - Week Views - **Analysis of the Bond Market's Narrow - Range Oscillation**: This week, the yield of the 10 - year Treasury active bond 250016 decreased. The bond market oscillated in a narrow range. The central bank's net purchase of Treasury bonds in the open - market in January 2026 was 100 billion yuan, the highest since the resumption of Treasury bond trading last October, but more restrained compared with 2024. The reasons are that it can supplement the liquidity gap at the beginning of the year and reduce the bank's liability cost, and the central bank tends to maintain a reasonable and sufficient liquidity [1][9][14]. - **Analysis of the Future Trend of US Treasury Yields**: Overseas asset fluctuations have been repaired. The technology growth is expected to maintain its momentum in the first half of 2026. The Fed's policy signal has turned dovish this week, and the expectation of interest rate cuts has increased. The subsequent interest rate path depends on fundamental data [15]. - **Analysis of US Economic Data**: The US labor market has a "low - hiring, low - firing" pattern, and the employment market has structural pressure. The inflation pressure in the US is further alleviated, and the manufacturing shipment volume and inventory total expand synchronously. The Fed has paused interest rate cuts, and the global monetary policy shows "diversification" [16][18][19]. 2. Domestic and Overseas Data Summary 2.1 Liquidity Tracking - **Open - Market Operations**: From 2026/2/2 to 2026/2/6, the total net investment in the open - market was - 756 billion yuan, indicating a net withdrawal of funds [29]. - **Interest Rate Comparison**: The money - market interest rates, including R, DR, and SHIBOR, showed different degrees of decline this week compared with last week [34]. 2.2 Domestic and Overseas Macroeconomic Data Tracking - **Commodity Price Changes**: Steel prices and LME non - ferrous metal futures official prices have all declined. The prices of coking coal and thermal coal, vegetable price indices, RJ/CRB commodity price indices, and South China industrial product price indices have shown different trends [52]. - **Stock and Bond Market Performance**: The VIX panic index led the increase, while the Shanghai Composite Index and the Shanghai Stock Index led the decline. The short - end and long - end of the US Treasury yield curve have both risen [62][68][71]. 3. One - Week Review of Local Government Bonds 3.1 Primary Market Issuance Overview - **Issuance Scale**: This week, 90 local government bonds were issued in the primary market, with a total issuance amount of 579.673 billion yuan, a repayment amount of 300 million yuan, and a net financing amount of 579.373 billion yuan, mainly invested in the comprehensive field [81]. - **Regional Issuance**: 15 provinces and cities issued local government bonds, and the top five in terms of total issuance amount were Jiangxi, Guangdong, Henan, Jiangsu, and the Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region. 11 provinces and cities issued local special refinancing special bonds for replacing hidden debts, and the top five in terms of total issuance amount were Jiangsu, Henan, Jiangxi, the Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, and Chongqing [85][89]. - **Early Redemption of Urban Investment Bonds**: The total early redemption scale of urban investment bonds this week was 3.6 billion yuan, all from Anhui Province. Since November 15, 2024, the total early redemption scale of national urban investment bonds has been 121.007 billion yuan, with Chongqing having the highest redemption scale [91][95]. 3.2 Secondary Market Overview - **Trading Volume and Turnover Rate**: The stock of local government bonds this week was 55.89 trillion yuan, the trading volume was 437.52 billion yuan, and the turnover rate was 0.78%. The top three provinces with active local government bond trading were Guangdong, Zhejiang, and Shandong. The top three trading - active terms were 30Y, 10Y, and 20Y [99]. - **Yield Changes**: The maturity yields of local government bonds showed a differentiated trend this week [102]. 3.3 Local Government Bond Issuance Plan for This Month The issuance plans of local government bonds in some provinces and cities such as Zhejiang, Yunnan, Shaanxi, Shanxi, Hunan, Hebei, Guangdong, and Beijing from February 9 to February 11, 2026, are presented [106]. 4. One - Week Review of the Credit Bond Market 4.1 Primary Market Issuance Overview - **Overall Issuance**: This week, 440 credit bonds were issued in the primary market, with a total issuance amount of 358.206 billion yuan, a total repayment amount of 102.182 billion yuan, and a net financing amount of 256.024 billion yuan, an increase of 100.335 billion yuan compared with last week [107]. - **By Bond Type**: Urban investment bonds had a net financing amount of 57.856 billion yuan, and industrial bonds had a net financing amount of 198.167 billion yuan. By bond type, short - term financing bonds had a net financing amount of 35.325 billion yuan, medium - term notes had a net financing amount of 88.497 billion yuan, enterprise bonds had a net financing amount of - 2.186 billion yuan, corporate bonds had a net financing amount of 124.115 billion yuan, and private placement notes had a net financing amount of 10.273 billion yuan [108][114]. 4.2 Issuance Interest Rates The issuance interest rates of short - term financing bonds increased by 6.61bp, medium - term notes decreased by 14.33bp, and corporate bonds increased by 3.54bp [124]. 4.3 Secondary Market Trading Overview The total trading volume of credit bonds this week was 561.09 billion yuan, with different trading volumes for each bond type [125]. 4.4 Maturity Yields The maturity yields of national development bonds declined across the board this week. The yields of short - term financing bonds and medium - term notes showed a differentiated trend, the yields of enterprise bonds generally declined, and the yields of urban investment bonds showed a differentiated trend [124][126][127][128]. 4.5 Credit Spreads The credit spreads of short - term financing bonds and medium - term notes increased across the board, the credit spreads of enterprise bonds generally increased, and the credit spreads of urban investment bonds generally increased [130][132][134]. 4.6 Grade Spreads The grade spreads of short - term financing bonds, medium - term notes, enterprise bonds, and urban investment bonds showed a differentiated trend [137][141][145]. 4.7 Trading Activity The top five most actively traded bonds in each bond type are listed, and the industrial sector had the largest weekly trading volume of bonds, followed by public utilities, finance, materials, optional consumption, and daily consumption [149][151]. 4.8 Changes in Subject Ratings There were no bonds with upgraded ratings or outlooks this week [152].

Core Insights - The International Labour Organization's report indicates that while the global economy shows resilience, progress towards "decent work" has significantly stalled [1] Economic Outlook - Global GDP growth is expected to remain consistent from 2025 to 2027, with no significant recession anticipated [1] - The global unemployment rate is projected to stabilize at 4.9% in 2026, with approximately 186 million unemployed individuals [2] Employment Quality and Participation - Employment quality improvements have slowed, with a notable increase in informal employment, projected to reach 2.1 billion people, or 57.7% of the global workforce by 2026 [2] - The labor force participation rate is expected to decline to 60.5% by 2027, primarily due to aging populations in high-income countries [2] Inequality in Employment - Gender inequality remains a significant issue, with women making up only 40% of the global workforce and facing lower participation rates compared to men [3] - Youth unemployment is worsening, with a global youth unemployment rate of 12.4% in 2025, and 2.6 billion young people neither employed nor in education or training [3] Trade and Technological Impact - Trade continues to support global employment, providing jobs for 465 million workers, but trade uncertainties are suppressing wages and high-quality job growth [3] - The rapid development of artificial intelligence is creating complex impacts on the job market [3] Structural Challenges in Low-Income Countries - Low-income countries are experiencing a 3.1% employment growth, but slow productivity growth and a lack of quality jobs are leading to increased informal employment and in-work poverty [4] - Labor income as a share of GDP is declining, with a projected labor income share of 52.6% in 2025, down from 53.0% in 2019 [4] Government Debt and Employment Policies - Global public debt is expected to exceed 100% of GDP, limiting governments' ability to improve employment quality due to fiscal pressures [4]

Employment Data Overview - December non-farm payrolls increased by 50,000, below the expected 60,000, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.4%[2] - The labor force participation rate declined to 62.4%, which statistically suppresses the unemployment rate, diluting its actual significance[4] Employment Sector Insights - Private sector added 37,000 jobs, with leisure and hospitality, and education and healthcare contributing 88,000 jobs combined, significantly boosting overall non-farm employment[14] - Job losses were evident in the goods-producing sectors, with construction, manufacturing, and mining losing 11,000, 8,000, and 2,000 jobs respectively, indicating weakening demand in the real economy[14] Wage Trends - Average hourly earnings in the service sector rose by 3.7% year-on-year, while goods-producing sectors saw a 4.1% increase, driven more by structural factors than by demand[20] - The increase in average wages reflects a structural effect where low-wage positions are being eliminated, raising the average wage of remaining employees[20] Monetary Policy Outlook - The probability of a rate cut in January is near zero, with the Federal Reserve likely to maintain a cautious stance due to the current employment and inflation dynamics[24] - The Fed's policy decisions will be influenced by upcoming inflation data and potential changes in the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) membership, which could reshape market expectations[24]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that despite a continuous increase in employment numbers in Canada for the fourth consecutive month, the unemployment rate has risen to 6.8%, exceeding market expectations of 6.7% [1][2] - In December, Canada added 8,200 jobs, bringing the total employment growth over the past four months to 188,800, which surpassed economists' predictions of a decrease of 2,500 jobs [1] - The growth in employment was primarily driven by full-time positions, with an increase of 50,200 full-time jobs, while self-employment also saw a rise [1] Group 2 - The labor force size surged by 81,000 in December, marking the largest single-month increase since November 2024, mainly driven by Ontario and Quebec [1] - The labor participation rate increased to 65.4%, indicating a growing number of individuals entering or re-entering the labor market [1] - The rise in unemployment rate is attributed not to job losses but to more individuals entering or returning to the labor market in search of work, reflecting a level of economic confidence [2]

Core Insights - The unemployment rate in the Philippines decreased to 4.4% in November 2025, down by 0.6 percentage points from October [1] - The number of unemployed individuals in November 2025 was 2.25 million, a reduction of 290,000 from October [1] - The labor force participation rate increased to 64.0%, up by 0.4 percentage points from October, indicating enhanced labor market activity [1] Employment Sector Analysis - The services sector accounted for the highest employment, with 30.59 million jobs in November 2025, representing 62.1% of total employment [1] - Agriculture and industry contributed 20.0% and 17.9% to total employment, respectively [1] - Significant year-on-year employment growth was observed in public administration, defense, compulsory social security, education, and administrative support services [1] - Month-on-month increases in employment were noted in wholesale and retail, as well as automotive and motorcycle repair sectors [1] Employment Quality Improvement - The underemployment rate in the Philippines improved to 10.4% in November, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points from October [1] - Underemployment indicates that workers are seeking more hours or better job opportunities [1] Youth Employment Trends - The unemployment rate for the youth aged 15 to 24 years was 11.7% in November 2025, down by 2.4 percentage points from October [1] - The youth underemployment rate was 9.4%, a decline of 1.6 percentage points from October [1]

Core Insights - The unemployment rate in the U.S. rose to 4.6% in November, the highest level since October 2021 [1] - Non-farm payrolls added 64,000 jobs in November, exceeding the market consensus of 40,000 [1] - The October non-farm payrolls were revised down significantly by 105,000 jobs [1] Employment Data - The number of unemployed individuals in November was 7.83 million, up from 7.1 million a year earlier [1] - The number of individuals unemployed for less than 5 weeks increased by 316,000 to 2.5 million [1] - Long-term unemployment rose by 100,000 to 1.9 million, accounting for 24.3% of total unemployment [1] - The labor force participation rate was 62.5%, slightly up from 62.4% in September [1] Sector Performance - Job gains in November were primarily in healthcare, construction, and social assistance, with increases of 46,000, 28,000, and 18,000 respectively [1] - Employment in transportation and warehousing decreased by 18,000, while federal government employment fell by 6,000 [1] - A notable decline of 162,000 jobs in federal government employment was observed in October due to delayed resignations [1] Wage Growth - Average hourly earnings increased by 0.1% month-over-month and 3.5% year-over-year in November [2]

Group 1 - The unemployment rate in the U.S. rose to 4.6% in November, the highest level since October 2021, with 7.83 million unemployed individuals, significantly higher than 7.1 million a year ago [2] - The number of individuals unemployed for less than 5 weeks increased by 316,000 to 2.5 million, while long-term unemployment rose by 100,000 to 1.9 million, accounting for 24.3% of total unemployment [2] - The labor force participation rate was 62.5% in November, slightly up from 62.4% in September [2] Group 2 - Non-farm payrolls added 64,000 jobs in November, exceeding market expectations of 40,000, while October's non-farm employment was revised down by 105,000 [2] - Job growth in November was primarily driven by the healthcare, construction, and social assistance sectors, with increases of 46,000, 28,000, and 18,000 jobs respectively [2] - The transportation and warehousing sector saw a decrease of 18,000 jobs, and federal government employment fell by 6,000, largely due to a significant drop of 162,000 jobs in October [2] Group 3 - The average hourly earnings for employees increased by 0.1% month-over-month and 3.5% year-over-year in November [3] - Due to a partial government shutdown caused by budget constraints, the Labor Department was only able to release the non-farm employment data for October on the same day, without publishing the unemployment rate for that month [3]

Core Viewpoint - The unemployment rate in the Philippines rose to 5.0% in October, marking an increase of 1.2 percentage points from September, with the unemployed population reaching 2.54 million [1]. Employment Data - The unemployment rate in October was 5.0%, up from 3.8% in September, with an increase of 580,000 unemployed individuals [1]. - The labor force participation rate decreased to 63.6%, down by 0.9 percentage points from September, indicating a weakening labor market [1]. Sector Analysis - The services sector employed the most individuals, with 29.46 million jobs, accounting for 60.6% of total employment [1]. - Agriculture and industry represented 21.5% and 17.9% of total employment, respectively [1]. - Employment in professional and technical activities, water supply and sewage treatment, and other service activities saw significant declines both year-on-year and month-on-month [1]. Employment Quality - The underemployment rate increased to 12.0%, rising by 0.9 percentage points from September, indicating that workers are seeking more hours or better job opportunities [1]. Youth Employment - The unemployment rate for the youth aged 15 to 24 reached 14.1%, an increase of 2.5 percentage points from September and higher than the 12.5% recorded in the same period last year [1].