国际经贸博弈
Search documents
美财长感恩节前急盼稀土协议,威胁中国不许变卦,美国底气何在?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-17 14:14
倒推原因,其实绕不开一个核心问题——全球范围内,目前能够稳定、规模化出口高质量 稀土材料的 主要还是中国。虽然美国这些年不断砸钱搞研发,也试图扶持本国企业,但想短期内实现完全替代,并 不现实。所以,在战略资源上被卡住脖子的焦虑,总是挥之不去。 再往深处看,美国提出要和中国敲定保障性条款,无非就是给自己的供应链加上一层保险。如果未来某 一天发生摩擦,只要有纸面承诺做挡箭牌,美方就可以借机发起舆论攻势,对外甩锅。而且只要自己觉 得哪里吃亏了,随时能搬出合约当理由。这类操作套路并不罕见,但对于拥有实际主导权的一方来说, 该怎么选择主动权,可不是一句威胁能决定的。 值得注意的是,中国出台的是出口管制政策,而非直接禁运。只要采购申请符合条件,大多数时候都能 顺利获批。从这个角度讲,美方如此紧张地追求一份额外协定,更像是担心自身行为越界,被突然断供 打个措手不及。在这种微妙关系下,每一次谈判桌上的表态,都不仅仅关乎经济账单,还涉及双方彼此 间极为敏感的信息博弈。 美财长感恩节前急盼稀土协议,威胁中国不许变卦,美国底气何在? 美国财政部长贝森特最近动作频频,一边跑到本国新开的 稀土矿物加工中心剪彩,宣称"我们要结束对 中国 ...
南财观察:硬刚荷兰 底气何在?
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-10-26 09:41
Core Insights - A control dispute over a Chinese semiconductor company, Anshi Semiconductor, is causing unprecedented crises in the global automotive supply chain [1][2] - Anshi Semiconductor, previously part of Philips, was acquired by China's Wentai Technology for 33 billion yuan in 2019, and has since risen to become the third-largest player in the global power semiconductor market [1] - The Dutch government has frozen Anshi's global assets and knowledge rights for one year, citing national security, and has removed the Chinese CEO, leading to a forced custodianship of Wentai's shares [1][2] Group 1 - Anshi Semiconductor's production capacity is heavily concentrated in Dongguan, China, where 80% of its output is located, producing 70% of the world's automotive-grade power chips [2] - The company announced an "independent operation" status, rejecting any directives not recognized by its Chinese division, and severed system connections with its Dutch headquarters [2] - The European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA) warned of a potential three-month disruption in the automotive supply chain if the dispute is not resolved quickly, with major manufacturers like Volkswagen and BMW facing severe inventory shortages [2][3] Group 2 - Wentai Technology reported a record high revenue from its semiconductor business in China for Q3 2025, with a year-on-year growth of approximately 14%, and automotive business revenue increasing over 26% [3] - China accounted for 49.29% of Anshi's global revenue, making it the fastest-growing and highest strategic priority region for the company [3] - The Dutch Economic Affairs Minister signaled a willingness to negotiate, emphasizing Anshi's importance to the global supply chain, while the Chinese market's support has empowered Anshi's response to the Dutch headquarters [2][3]