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双碳研究 | 欧洲放缓调门:稀土博弈主导权仍在中国
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 16:35
欧洲放缓调门: 稀土博弈主导权仍在中国 2.中国的出口许可制度仍是关键环节,保有全面审核最终用户、审批申请及基于安全理由暂停出货的最终权力。 3.此番外交姿态转变凸显了欧洲的脆弱性:若无本土精炼产能,欧盟只能通过协商获取资源,远未实现真正的供应链"去风险化"。 据《南华早报》报道,欧盟已进入"缓和模式",降低公开言论的对抗性,以争取更稳定的稀土出口渠道。但在外交辞令之下,是二十年来未曾改变的结构 性现实:中国掌控着供给主导权。 最新谈判的焦点在于,稀土氧化物及材料的出口许可期限有望从现行的三个月延长至一年。欧盟视此举为稳定稀土供应的信号;而对中国而言,这更是一 项审慎的决策。即便实施年度许可,中国仍完全保留批准最终用户、审核各项申请,以及基于安全理由,尤其是在"军事最终用途"这一具有灵活解释空间 的定义上,暂停出口的绝对权力。 对于投资者而言,此事的重点不是欧洲获得了多少利益,而是中国基本没有损失。 饮鸩止渴 布鲁塞尔语调放缓的背后是旷日持久的压力:自中国于2025年4月实施出口管制措施限制稀土出口以来,欧洲制造商一直处境艰难。九月荷兰政府切断安 世半导体(Nexperia)欧洲部门与其中国母公司的联系,北京 ...
美财长感恩节前急盼稀土协议,威胁中国不许变卦,美国底气何在?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-17 14:14
倒推原因,其实绕不开一个核心问题——全球范围内,目前能够稳定、规模化出口高质量 稀土材料的 主要还是中国。虽然美国这些年不断砸钱搞研发,也试图扶持本国企业,但想短期内实现完全替代,并 不现实。所以,在战略资源上被卡住脖子的焦虑,总是挥之不去。 再往深处看,美国提出要和中国敲定保障性条款,无非就是给自己的供应链加上一层保险。如果未来某 一天发生摩擦,只要有纸面承诺做挡箭牌,美方就可以借机发起舆论攻势,对外甩锅。而且只要自己觉 得哪里吃亏了,随时能搬出合约当理由。这类操作套路并不罕见,但对于拥有实际主导权的一方来说, 该怎么选择主动权,可不是一句威胁能决定的。 值得注意的是,中国出台的是出口管制政策,而非直接禁运。只要采购申请符合条件,大多数时候都能 顺利获批。从这个角度讲,美方如此紧张地追求一份额外协定,更像是担心自身行为越界,被突然断供 打个措手不及。在这种微妙关系下,每一次谈判桌上的表态,都不仅仅关乎经济账单,还涉及双方彼此 间极为敏感的信息博弈。 美财长感恩节前急盼稀土协议,威胁中国不许变卦,美国底气何在? 美国财政部长贝森特最近动作频频,一边跑到本国新开的 稀土矿物加工中心剪彩,宣称"我们要结束对 中国 ...
有研新材涨2.72%,成交额2.27亿元,主力资金净流入492.20万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-11 02:01
Core Viewpoint - The stock of Youyan New Materials has shown significant fluctuations, with a year-to-date increase of 42.99% and a recent net inflow of funds, indicating investor interest and market activity [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 11, Youyan New Materials' stock price rose by 2.72% to 22.25 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 2.27 billion CNY and a market capitalization of 188.36 billion CNY [1]. - The stock has experienced a 1.74% increase over the last five trading days, a 7.02% decrease over the last 20 days, and a 15.89% increase over the last 60 days [1]. - The company has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" twice this year, with the most recent net purchase of 25.72 million CNY on March 4 [1]. Group 2: Company Overview - Youyan New Materials, established on March 12, 1999, specializes in advanced functional materials, including semiconductor materials, rare earth materials, and high-purity metals [2]. - The revenue composition includes high-purity metals (74.75%), rare earth materials (23.52%), infrared optical materials (2.18%), and medical device materials (0.73%) [2]. - The company is classified under the electronic-semiconductor-semiconductor materials sector and is involved in various concept sectors such as rare earth permanent magnets and new materials [2]. Group 3: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Youyan New Materials reported a revenue of 6.77 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.16%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 245 million CNY, marking a significant increase of 114.14% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 562 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 290 million CNY distributed over the past three years [3]. Group 4: Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 156,100, with an average of 5,423 shares held per shareholder [2]. - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and various ETFs focused on rare earth and semiconductor sectors, indicating a diversified institutional interest [3].
又开打了?稀土王牌再亮剑!美国关税大棒卷土重来,中国破局关键锁定第三世界
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-05 08:22
Group 1 - The U.S. is resuming tariff threats against China despite recent agreements on rare earth trade, indicating a shift in negotiation tactics [1][3] - U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai's comments reveal a dual strategy, suggesting that the 301 investigation is merely paused and will be revisited [3][5] - The historical context shows that U.S. negotiations often involve immediate follow-up actions that undermine previous agreements, as seen in past trade disputes [5] Group 2 - The U.S. is heavily investing in its rare earth supply chain, with a $14 billion emergency investment plan to reduce reliance on China [7][8] - China controls 60% of global rare earth mining and 90% of refining capacity, highlighting the strategic importance of these resources in high-tech manufacturing [8] - The U.S. is forming alliances with countries like Australia and Japan to create a "rare earth alliance" and is providing financial support to domestic companies for refining capabilities [8] Group 3 - China is adopting a multi-faceted strategy to counter U.S. pressures, including seeking markets in developing countries and enhancing its ecological control over resources [11][12] - The shift in trade dynamics is evident as China's imports of lithium from Brazil have surged, indicating a diversification of supply sources [12] - China's technological advancements in rare earth recycling and patent holdings are strengthening its position in the global market [12] Group 4 - U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's statement about reducing dependence on Chinese rare earths is part of a broader psychological strategy, but the reality is that U.S. refining capacity is limited [14][16] - The timeline for U.S. facilities to become operational extends to 2028, while Japan's reserves are only sufficient for 18 months, indicating vulnerabilities in the U.S. supply chain [14] - The urgency for China lies in leveraging its resource alliances and infrastructure projects to secure a stable supply of critical minerals [18][19]
彻底不装了?欧盟考虑对华实施“实物”关税,供应链是建出来的,不是抢出来的!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-05 07:32
Core Viewpoint - The EU's new "physical tariff" policy, requiring Chinese exporters to provide key raw materials alongside customs duties, is seen as an absurd and regressive approach to international trade [1][3]. Group 1: Policy Implications - The policy shifts the burden of tariffs from importers to Chinese exporters, likening it to a feudal system where merchants must pay tribute for market access [1]. - This approach underestimates the complexity of global supply chains and China's role as a processor rather than a mere supplier of raw materials [3]. Group 2: Economic Consequences - The EU's confrontational stance could lead to a detrimental outcome for both parties, particularly if China reduces its exports to the EU, which could severely impact European manufacturing [5][6]. - The current state of European manufacturing is precarious, and shortages of critical materials could further destabilize the industry [5]. Group 3: Strategic Misalignment - The EU's strategy reflects a misunderstanding of its position in the global economy, as it attempts to achieve "strategic autonomy" through impractical trade policies [3][6]. - A more effective approach would involve fostering dialogue and cooperation to build a stable international trade system, rather than resorting to aggressive tactics [8].
有研新材跌2.01%,成交额2.07亿元,主力资金净流出2911.53万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-05 03:18
Core Viewpoint - The stock of Youyan New Materials has experienced fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.01% and a year-to-date increase of 37.72% [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 5, Youyan New Materials' stock price is 21.43 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 18.142 billion yuan [1] - The stock has seen a net outflow of 29.1153 million yuan in principal funds, with significant selling pressure in the last trading days [1] - Year-to-date, the stock has risen by 37.72%, but has declined by 7.15% in the last five trading days and 4.92% in the last twenty days [1] Group 2: Company Overview - Youyan New Materials Co., Ltd. was established on March 12, 1999, and listed on March 19, 1999, focusing on advanced functional materials such as semiconductor materials and rare earth materials [2] - The company's revenue composition includes high-purity metal materials (74.75%), rare earth materials (23.52%), infrared optical materials (2.18%), and medical device materials (0.73%) [2] - As of October 10, the number of shareholders is 151,900, a decrease of 2.70% from the previous period, with an average of 5,572 circulating shares per person, an increase of 2.78% [2] Group 3: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Youyan New Materials achieved a revenue of 6.770 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.16%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 245 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 114.14% [2] - The company has distributed a total of 562 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 290 million yuan distributed in the last three years [3] Group 4: Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and several ETFs, with notable increases in holdings for some [3]
有研新材跌2.02%,成交额3.19亿元,主力资金净流出3912.42万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-04 06:03
Core Viewpoint - The stock of Youyan New Materials has experienced fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.02% and a year-to-date increase of 40.16%, indicating volatility in investor sentiment and market performance [1][2]. Company Overview - Youyan New Materials Co., Ltd. was established on March 12, 1999, and listed on March 19, 1999. The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of advanced functional materials, including semiconductor materials, rare earth materials, optoelectronic materials, and high-purity metals [2]. - The revenue composition of Youyan New Materials is as follows: high-purity metals account for 74.75%, rare earth materials 23.52%, infrared optical materials 2.18%, medical device materials 0.73%, and others 0.02% [2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Youyan New Materials achieved a revenue of 6.77 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.16%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 245 million yuan, showing a significant increase of 114.14% year-on-year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 562 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 290 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders of Youyan New Materials was 151,900, a decrease of 2.70% from the previous period. The average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 2.78% to 5,572 shares [2][3]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include significant institutional investors, with Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holding 8.6692 million shares, an increase of 2.8606 million shares from the previous period [3].
Rare-Earths Stocks Fall. This U.S. Company Has a Plan to Cut China Dependence.
Barrons· 2025-10-28 09:25
Core Viewpoint - The establishment of strategic stockpiles of rare earth materials is a potential strategy for the United States to achieve independence from China in this critical sector [1] Company Summary - A specific company is planning to initiate the process of creating strategic stockpiles of rare earth materials [1]
正海磁材:第三季度净利润同比增长189.72% 主要系稀土价格上涨所致
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-26 08:47
Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for Q3 2025, with revenue reaching 1.916 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 50.76%, and net profit attributable to shareholders amounting to 115 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 189.72% [1] - For the year-to-date period, the company achieved a total revenue of 4.973 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 30.54%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 228 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 20.46% [1] - The growth in revenue and profit is primarily attributed to an increase in sales volume of the main business and a rise in rare earth prices during the reporting period [1]
APEC前欲温和,特朗普怒斥卢特尼克,中国稀土夺回节奏
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-24 05:50
Group 1 - The U.S. is facing internal conflicts regarding its China policy, highlighted by a recent incident where Secretary of Commerce Lighthizer was criticized for unapproved sanctions against Chinese tech companies, disrupting the White House's diplomatic strategy ahead of APEC [1] - China's tightening of rare earth material exports has significant implications for high-end manufacturing, semiconductors, clean energy, and military industries, directly challenging the U.S. "de-risking" strategy [1][2] - The U.S. has implemented various measures such as tariffs and technology restrictions, but these have not effectively pressured China, which is accelerating its self-research and supply chain restructuring in critical areas [1] Group 2 - The impact of rare earth controls is not limited to individual components but leads to a chain reaction affecting production lines, R&D delays, and financial pressures on companies, which will be reflected in quarterly reports [2] - The current chaotic situation in U.S. policy-making is attributed to a "grab the spotlight" culture, where agencies act independently rather than in a coordinated manner, resulting in a perception of disorder rather than strength [2] - The ongoing geopolitical competition has entered a phase of precise strikes and long-term attrition, requiring the U.S. to stabilize its strategy, clarify objectives, and improve coordination among departments to regain initiative [4]