Summary of Xiaopeng Motors Conference Call Company Overview - Xiaopeng Motors delivered 197,000 vehicles in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 279% [2][4] - The company achieved a revenue of 18.27 billion yuan in Q2 2025, up 125.3% year-on-year [2][4] - Xiaopeng's gross margin improved significantly, rising from a negative margin in 2023 to 17.3% in Q2 2025, with automotive gross margin at 14.3% [2][5] Strategic Partnerships - Xiaopeng has a strategic partnership with Volkswagen, which includes the development of new vehicles based on the G9 platform and the licensing of the EA architecture [2][6] - The EA architecture licensing is expected to generate high-margin revenue starting in 2027, linked to Volkswagen's sales in China, potentially impacting over 2 million vehicles [6][11] Research and Development - The company maintains a high level of R&D investment, with approximately 4.2 billion yuan spent in the first half of 2025 [2][7] - Despite high R&D spending, the R&D expense ratio is decreasing due to faster revenue growth, which is expected to enhance profitability [7] Future Outlook - Xiaopeng aims to achieve positive net profit attributable to shareholders by Q4 2025, supported by the launch of new products and improved cost control [2][8] - The company plans to introduce five to six new models in 2025, indicating a strong product cycle [8] Product Matrix - Xiaopeng's product lineup includes sedans, MPVs, and SUVs, with models ranging from budget to high-end [9] - The G9 model is positioned in the MPV segment, with a monthly sales volume of approximately 2,000 units [9] Technological Innovations - The introduction of the "Fuyiao" architecture has reduced new vehicle development cycles by 20% and increased parts commonality to 80% [10] - Xiaopeng's self-developed Turing chip has a computing power of over 2000 TOPS, supporting advanced autonomous driving capabilities [12] International Expansion - Xiaopeng has begun sales in Australia, the UK, and Southeast Asia, with plans to introduce more models internationally [14] - The company is also developing humanoid robots and plans to launch an L4 level Robotaxi product by 2026 [13][14] Investment Perspective - Xiaopeng is currently in a strong product cycle with optimistic future sales performance and potential for valuation increase [15]

Core Viewpoint - Xiaopeng Motors officially launched the new P7 model on August 27 in Guangzhou, featuring a blend of technological aesthetics and sporty design, starting at a price of 219,800 yuan [1] Group 1: Product Features - The new P7 includes advanced features such as an intelligent chassis, 5CAI ultra-fast charging, a mid-mounted electric drive layout, three Turing chips, and AES for wet road conditions [1]

Core Insights - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 34.08 billion yuan, doubling year-on-year, with a gross margin of 17.3%, surpassing Tesla in the second quarter [2][5] - The delivery volume reached 197,000 units, exceeding the total for the previous year, while net losses narrowed to 1.14 billion yuan, indicating a potential path to profitability [2][6] - The chairman expressed confidence that the fourth quarter will mark a new phase of self-sustaining profitability [2] Revenue and Delivery Performance - The surge in delivery volume was primarily driven by two high-volume models, MONA M03 and P7+, with P7+ accounting for over 20% of sales in the first half of 2025 [3] - The average selling price per vehicle dropped to 153,000 yuan in Q1 but rebounded to 164,000 yuan in Q2 due to the introduction of higher-margin models [3][5] Gross Margin and Cost Management - The overall gross margin of 17.3% represents an increase for eight consecutive quarters, slightly ahead of Tesla [5] - The company invested 4.19 billion yuan in R&D, a 48.6% increase year-on-year, focusing on core technologies such as AI and autonomous driving [5][6] Financial Health and Future Outlook - Cash reserves increased to 47.57 billion yuan, providing strategic flexibility amid industry pressures [6] - The company expects to deliver between 113,000 and 118,000 units in Q3, with a monthly delivery rate exceeding 40,000 units starting in September [6] Market Position and Competitive Landscape - Despite the positive financial indicators, challenges remain, including a low sales proportion of SUV models and slow overseas market penetration, with only 18,000 units delivered globally in the first half of 2025 [7] - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with rivals like Xiaomi and Zeekr also aiming for profitability, necessitating a focus on operational efficiency and cost control [7] Strategic Transformation - The company has shifted from a "technology romanticism" approach to a more pragmatic focus on operational capabilities, supply chain management, and sales channels [7] - The first half of 2025 marks a significant transformation for the company, transitioning from a technology-centric narrative to one of efficient manufacturing and cost control [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][8]. Core Views - The company reported a significant reduction in losses for Q1 2025, with a non-GAAP net profit of -4.3 billion RMB, a decrease in losses by 69.8% year-on-year and 69.4% quarter-on-quarter [3][4]. - The automotive business achieved a gross margin of 10.5%, an increase of 5.0 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - The company is expected to enter a strong product cycle with new vehicle launches, which will enhance its competitive position and stimulate sales growth [7][8]. Revenue and Profitability - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 158.1 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 141.5% [4]. - The automotive business revenue was 143.7 billion RMB, up 159.2% year-on-year, primarily due to increased delivery volumes [4]. - The overall gross profit for Q1 2025 was 24.6 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 15.6%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.7 percentage points [4]. Cost and Expenses - R&D expenses for Q1 2025 were 19.8 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 46.7% [5]. - Selling and administrative expenses were 19.5 billion RMB, up 40.2% year-on-year, mainly due to increased commissions from franchise stores [5]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates Q1 2025 automotive sales to be between 102,000 and 108,000 units, representing a year-on-year growth of 237.7% to 257.5% [5]. - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 945.8 billion RMB, 1,476.3 billion RMB, and 1,700.8 billion RMB, respectively [8][9]. Financial Metrics - The report forecasts a net profit for 2026 of 4.6 billion RMB, with an EPS of 2.44 RMB [9]. - The company is expected to achieve a P/S ratio of 1.4 in 2025, decreasing to 0.8 by 2027 [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, Xiaopeng Motors (XPEV.US/9868.HK) [2][8]. Core Views - The target price for Xiaopeng Motors is raised to $27.2, representing a potential upside of 20%, while the target price for Xiaopeng Motors-W is set at HKD 106.2, indicating a potential upside of 19% [2][6]. - The company is entering a strong product cycle with robust delivery performance for models P7+ and M03, and better-than-expected orders for the new G6 and G9 models [8]. - Xiaopeng aims to double its sales by 2025, supported by new model launches and improved overall gross margins [8]. - The automotive gross margin is expected to improve, with a target of breakeven in Q4 2025 [8]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for Xiaopeng Motors from 2023 to 2027 are as follows: - 2023: RMB 30,676 million - 2024: RMB 40,866 million - 2025E: RMB 86,568 million - 2026E: RMB 138,871 million - 2027E: RMB 190,622 million - The revenue growth rates are projected at 14% for 2023, 33% for 2024, 112% for 2025, 60% for 2026, and 37% for 2027 [3][9]. - Gross margin is expected to rise from 1.5% in 2023 to 19.0% by 2027 [3][9]. - Net profit (loss) projections indicate a loss of RMB 10,376 million in 2023, narrowing to a profit of RMB 13,964 million by 2027 [3][9]. Performance Review and Adjustments - In Q4 2024, Xiaopeng Motors reported revenue of RMB 16,105 million, a 23% year-on-year increase, with a gross profit of RMB 2,325 million, reflecting a 187% increase compared to the previous year [10]. - The automotive sales gross margin reached 10.0% in Q4 2024, with expectations for continued improvement in Q1 2025 [8][10]. - The company plans to enhance its AI capabilities and aims to introduce L3 level software capabilities in the second half of 2025 [8]. Valuation - The valuation is based on a sum-of-the-parts approach, applying a price-to-sales ratio of 1.9x for automotive sales and 5.5x for services and other revenues, leading to a target price of $27.2 for Xiaopeng Motors [8][16]. - The target price for Xiaopeng Motors-W is set at HKD 106.2, corresponding to a target price-to-sales ratio of 2.2x [8][16].