2月26日，港股市场早盘延续反弹。 截至发稿，恒生指数开盘报27019.74点，上涨254.02点，涨幅0.95%。 恒生科技指数开盘报5284.51点，上涨24.01点，涨幅0.46%。 携程集团-S（HK09961）公布财报，2025全年归母净利润332.94亿元，同比上升95.08%。 先声药业(HK02096)：2025财年收入约77亿元至78亿元，同比增约16.0%至17.6%。2025年财政年度将录 得归属于本公司权益股东的利润约13亿元至14亿元，同比增长80.1%至93.9%。 兖煤澳大利亚(HK03668)公布财报，2025年收入为59.49亿澳元，同比减少约13%；净利润4.4亿澳元，同 比减少约64%。期内自产煤的整体平均售价176澳元/吨，同比下降17%。可销售证实煤炭储量及可能煤 炭储量6.4亿吨，同比减少5.9%。受业绩下滑影响，早间该公司一度跌超10%。 其他方面，盘面上，科网股涨多跌少，联想、腾讯涨超1%，网易跌超1%。内房股活跃，越秀地产涨超 2%。锂电池板块部分高开，天齐锂业涨超6%。汽车股分化，比亚迪股份高开近1%。 后市展望： 中银国际认为，当前防范地产及相关风险仍是首 ...

Industry Overview - The real estate industry is experiencing a mixed performance in January, with second-hand housing transactions showing strong growth while new housing transactions remain weak [2][6] - In Beijing, second-hand housing transactions increased by 397% year-on-year, with an average of 578 units sold daily, while new housing transactions rose by 565% to 85 units [2] - Shanghai reported a significant increase in second-hand housing transactions, with a year-on-year growth of 806%, averaging 797 units sold daily, while new housing transactions increased by 525% [2] - Shenzhen's second-hand housing transactions decreased by 24.2% year-on-year, with an average of 181 units sold daily, and new housing transactions fell by 69% [3] Transaction Trends - Nationwide, the transaction volume for second-hand housing in 30 major cities showed a year-on-year increase of 309%, but a decline of 7.7% when excluding the Spring Festival effect [5] - In January, the cumulative transaction volume for second-hand housing increased by 12% year-on-year, indicating a recovery trend influenced by the Spring Festival timing [5] - The new housing transaction area in major cities saw a year-on-year increase of 109% in the last week of January, but a decline of 26.66% when adjusted for the Spring Festival [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a "buy" rating for the real estate sector, highlighting the potential for investment opportunities as the negative factors diminish [6] - It is recommended to focus on leading real estate companies with land reserves in core cities and those targeting high-end improvement products, such as Poly Developments [6] - Additionally, leading intermediary firms like I Love My Home, which benefit from the increasing proportion of second-hand housing transactions, are expected to see valuation recovery [6]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Buy" [3] Core Views - The real estate market is entering a traditional off-season, with expectations for stronger policy support [3] - In January, the transaction volume of second-hand homes outperformed new homes, indicating a preference for second-hand properties due to better value [8] - The performance of the real estate sector has improved recently, driven by marginal improvements in transaction data and expectations for policy changes [8] Summary by Sections Recent Industry Performance - Over the past 12 months, the relative return compared to the CSI 300 index has been -9%, while the absolute return has been +15% [4] - In January, the transaction volume of second-hand homes in core cities showed significant year-on-year growth, while new home transactions remained weak [5][6] Key City Insights - Beijing: Second-hand home transactions increased by 397% year-on-year, while new home transactions rose by 565% [5] - Shanghai: Second-hand home transactions increased by 806% year-on-year, while new home transactions rose by 525% [6] - Shenzhen: Second-hand home transactions increased by 15% year-on-year, but new home transactions decreased by 64% [6] National Trends - In 30 major cities, the transaction area for new homes increased by 109% year-on-year, but decreased by 26.66% when adjusted for the Spring Festival [7] - The transaction area for second-hand homes increased by 309% year-on-year, with a 12% increase in cumulative transactions for January [7] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading real estate companies with land reserves in core cities and high-end improvement products, such as Poly Developments [8] - It also recommends head intermediary firms like I Love My Home, which are expected to benefit from the increasing share of second-hand home transactions [8]

Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng High Dividend Yield Index (HSSCHKY) has shown positive performance, with significant increases in constituent stocks, indicating a potential recovery in the Hong Kong real estate market and overall economic stability [2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of April 25, 2025, the HSSCHKY index rose by 0.85%, with notable increases in stocks such as China Resources Land (4.64%) and China Overseas Development (3.76%) [2]. - The Bosera Hang Seng High Dividend ETF (513690) increased by 1.20%, with a latest price of 0.93 yuan and a trading volume of 16.6197 million yuan [2]. - Over the past year, the Bosera Hang Seng High Dividend ETF has seen an average daily trading volume of 78.9566 million yuan [2]. Group 2: Economic Measures - A recent State Council meeting focused on stabilizing employment and the economy, emphasizing the need to maintain a stable stock market and promote healthy development in the real estate sector [2]. - Despite a slight decline in new home sales and falling second-hand home prices, historical trends suggest that the real estate sector often rebounds before the fundamentals stabilize, supported by strong expectations for new policies [2]. Group 3: ETF Performance Metrics - The Bosera Hang Seng High Dividend ETF has a current size of 3.731 billion yuan, with net inflows remaining balanced recently [3]. - The ETF's net value increased by 22.27% over the past year, with a maximum monthly return of 24.18% since inception [3]. - The ETF's Sharpe ratio for the past year is 1.48, indicating a favorable risk-adjusted return [3]. Group 4: Index Composition - As of April 24, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the HSSCHKY index account for 28.32% of the index, with Yanzhou Coal Mining (4.39%) and Hang Lung Properties (3.38%) being the most significant [4][6].