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景顺长城中证国新港股通央企红利ETF投资价值分析:兼具高股息、低估值
Huachuang Securities· 2025-07-22 10:13
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that state-owned enterprises (SOEs) in the cyclical resource sector are in a valuation trough, which is expected to be positively impacted by three major policy benefits: (1) anti-involution; (2) debt resolution; (3) infrastructure investment [11][13][15] - The Hong Kong dividend assets have a higher dividend yield compared to A-shares, with a long-term higher dividend premium [12][19] - The investment value of the National New Hong Kong Stock Connect SOE dividend strategy includes: (1) high dividend and low valuation, emphasizing absolute return attributes; (2) focusing on leading SOEs in petrochemicals, communications, transportation, and coal; (3) significant long-term return advantages; (4) long-term performance superior to the overall Hong Kong market, characterized by high dividends and high free cash flow [12][24][41] Group 2 - The industry distribution focuses on high-dividend SOEs in cyclical sectors, with significant weights in oil and petrochemicals (29%), communications (23%), transportation (14%), and coal (11%) [28][30] - The long-term performance of the National New Hong Kong Stock Connect SOE dividend index shows a cumulative increase of 118% since early 2017, closely approaching the 129% increase of the Hang Seng High Dividend Yield Index [5][36] - The constituent stocks of the National New Hong Kong Stock Connect SOE dividend index have outperformed the overall Hong Kong market, with an average net profit growth rate of 12% since 2015, significantly higher than the overall Hong Kong average of 4.7% [6][41] Group 3 - The Invesco Great Wall CSI National New Hong Kong Stock Connect SOE Dividend ETF (520990) is designed to closely track the performance of the CSI National New Hong Kong Stock Connect SOE Dividend Index, providing investors with a tool to invest in the Hong Kong SOE dividend sector [50][51] - The fund was established on June 26, 2024, and aims to minimize tracking deviation and error to achieve returns similar to the underlying index [50][51]
策略周聚焦:新高确认牛市全面启动
Huachuang Securities· 2025-07-14 02:15
Group 1 - The recent surge in the A-share market indicates the confirmation of a bull market, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking through previous high points and showing significant trading volume, suggesting a recovery from earlier declines [1][8][6] - The impact of tariffs announced by Trump is viewed as limited, with historical examples indicating that trade wars do not significantly affect economic performance, as seen during the 1930 trade war [1][17][20] - The bull market is expected to generate three wealth effects: stabilizing expectations, supporting consumption, and restoring financing functions, with increased retail participation in the stock market [1][25][39] Group 2 - Historical analysis shows that sectors tend to rotate after new highs, with financials, cyclical resources, and military industries frequently leading the market, while manufacturing and consumer sectors rely more on their own trends [2][43][44] - Potential rotation directions in the current market include non-bank financials and cyclical resource sectors, with expectations for real estate stabilization being crucial for economic recovery [3][7] - The report highlights that the current bull market is characterized by a significant inflow of funds into the stock market, driven by increased retail investor activity and policy support [1][25][39]