1 | | 素，已对公司防水产品价格进行了调整。 | | --- | --- | | | 3. 2025 年建筑涂料、工业涂料产品需求及价格变化趋势？ | | | 答：2025 年建筑涂料需求结构转型，存量房翻新重涂需求对 | | | 冲新房市场萎缩，其中功能性高端产品价格较为坚挺；工业涂料 | | | 总体稳健增长，也是整个涂料行业增长的重点，其中新能源、高 | | | 端装备领域需求旺盛，国产替代空间大，因此高技术壁垒的功能 | | | 性产品价格稳定，而低端防护领域价格竞争激烈。 | | | 4.请介绍公司国际化业务情况 | | | 答：目前公司已初步进入坦桑尼亚、乌兹别克斯坦和泰国市 | | | 场，计划通过由点到面的扩张方式，深入布局东南亚、中亚、非 | | | 洲、欧洲和地中海等关键区域。围绕"一体两翼"业务，公司也 | | | 将持续关注并寻求国际化整合机会。 | | | 5.请介绍公司未来的分红计划 | | | 答：公司注重与投资者共享发展成果，上市以来累计进行现 | | | 金分红 95.09 亿元，其中 2024 年现金分红比率提升至 40.07%。 | | | 未来，公司将努力创造更好业 ...

Group 1: Metal Sector - Hongda Co. (600331.SH) is projected to have a net profit of 0.36 billion CNY in 2024, but is expected to incur a loss of 0.80 billion CNY in 2025, with a significant recovery to 4.00 billion CNY in 2026, resulting in a PE ratio of 131.36[17] - Zijin Mining (601899.SH) is forecasted to achieve a net profit of 320.51 billion CNY in 2024, increasing to 913.17 billion CNY by 2026, with a PE ratio dropping from 32.86 to 11.53[17] - Huaxi Nonferrous (600301.SH) is expected to see net profits rise from 6.58 billion CNY in 2024 to 12.69 billion CNY in 2026, with a PE ratio of 32.29[17] Group 2: Construction Materials - Oriental Yuhong (002271.SZ) is projected to have net profits of 1.08 billion CNY in 2024, increasing to 21.94 billion CNY by 2026, with a PE ratio of 19.60[17] - China Jushi (600176.SH) is expected to grow its net profit from 24.45 billion CNY in 2024 to 47.80 billion CNY in 2026, with a PE ratio of 22.65[17] - The construction materials sector is facing a significant supply exit, with 2024 commodity housing sales expected to decline by approximately 47% compared to 2021[44] Group 3: Transportation - YTO Express (600233.SH) is forecasted to achieve net profits of 40.12 billion CNY in 2024, increasing to 50.84 billion CNY by 2026, with a PE ratio of 13.20[17] - COSCO Shipping Energy (600026.SH) is expected to see net profits rise from 40.37 billion CNY in 2024 to 98.19 billion CNY in 2026, with a PE ratio of 10.94[17] Group 4: Chemical Sector - Boyuan Chemical (000683.SZ) is projected to have net profits of 18.11 billion CNY in 2024, decreasing to 23.43 billion CNY by 2026, with a PE ratio of 14.87[17] - Xingfa Group (600141.SH) is expected to see net profits rise from 16.01 billion CNY in 2024 to 24.54 billion CNY in 2026, with a PE ratio of 19.62[17] Group 5: Power and Coal - Longyuan Power (001289.SZ) is forecasted to achieve net profits of 63.45 billion CNY in 2024, with a slight decrease to 61.52 billion CNY by 2026, maintaining a PE ratio of 17.20[17] - Electric Power Investment (002128.SZ) is expected to see net profits rise from 53.42 billion CNY in 2024 to 68.98 billion CNY in 2026, with a PE ratio of 9.98[17]

相关产品：建材ETF易方达（159787）跟踪中证全指建筑材料指数，覆盖我国水泥行业龙头，可以作为 布局水泥产业业绩企稳改善、股东回报提升机遇的便捷工具。建材ETF易方达管理+托管费率 0.15%+0.05%/年，显著低于挂钩中证全指建筑材料指数的同类产品，较低的费率能够有效为投资者降 低成本支出，以更高性价比布局建材产业长期发展贝塔！ 政策面：上海楼市"新七条"发布，①非沪籍家庭外环内仅需1年②公积金贷款额度提高③成年子女唯一 住房暂免征收房产税。地产支持性政策接续释放。《求是》发文"改善和稳定房地产市场预期"，明确明 确地产金融属性，提及政策一次给足，市场对于地产链企稳回升预期有望受到积极提振。 基本面：节后下游复工复产节奏加快，建筑链迎来小阳春。建材产业供给端加速出清，部分产品价格触 底反弹，如防水、涂料行业企业相继发布涨价通知。此外，玻纤行业景气度提升，特别是电子布产品， 供需格局持续向好。 ...

摘要 建筑业新签合同总额去年同比下降 6.6%至 31.5 万亿元，但八大央企市 占率逆势提升约 10 个百分点，达到 51%，上游材料商市占率提升可能 更为显著，行业正经历供给出清和业务重组。 尽管建筑总需求大幅增加难度大，但结构上"两栋"项目比例上升，利 好头部央国企及其合作的头部材料商。今年作为"十五"开局之年，重 大项目资金倾斜，专项债提前下达，施工工作量有望由负转正。 有色金属方面，春节期间海外金属价格普遍上涨，带动国内有色金属股 票走强。尽管美联储鹰派会议纪要压制贵金属价格，但伊朗局势紧张提 供上涨催化，有色板块短期调整后具备基本面支撑，能源金属标的值得 关注。 煤炭行业，印尼减产计划仍在落实，国内春节后淡季可能继续推进减产。 春节前价格倒挂导致海外进口煤减少，国内供应量下降。港口库存低于 去年同期，电厂、钢厂、焦化厂或面临补库行情，看好节后国内煤炭价 格上涨。 春节期间，多地试点国企收购存量商品房用于保障性租赁住房，新房市 场开发商推出优惠活动。重点城市二手房成交稳中有升，但需观察元宵 周期板块节后开工及行情展望 20260223 节后数据。地产板块总体仍需摸底，看好现金流稳健的商管类公司及基 ...

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The focus is on the **building materials and new materials** industry, particularly in relation to AI computing and electronic materials, with a notable emphasis on special electronic fabrics and PCB substrates [1][2]. Key Insights and Arguments 1. **AI-Driven Growth**: - The main growth drivers in the building materials sector are AI computing-related electronic materials, with special electronic fabrics leading the fiberglass segment. In the new materials sector, PCB substrates and semiconductor packaging materials are at the forefront [1]. 2. **Supply-Demand Dynamics**: - The electronic fabric market is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, with an overall industry supply gap of approximately **20%**. Since January 2026, all categories of electronic fabrics have faced supply tightness, with companies holding orders for about **2 months** [1]. - The production capacity for standard electronic fabrics is shifting towards high-end products, resulting in a **60%** loss in capacity. This ongoing contraction in supply is expected to persist [1]. 3. **Price Increases**: - The electronic fabric industry has seen a price increase of **10%** in 2026, following **4-5** price hikes in 2025. High-end products like DK fabric, Q fabric, and CTE fabric are still in an upward price trend [1]. 4. **Production Bottlenecks**: - High-end product production relies on Toyota's advanced weaving machines, which have a delivery cycle of **1-2 years**. However, breakthroughs in pool kiln methods could lead to increased supply by 2029, potentially resulting in oversupply [1]. 5. **Inventory Levels**: - Inventory levels for CCL and electronic fabric factories are at historical lows, approximately **one week**, with PCB manufacturers extending their stocking period from the usual **1 month** to over **2 months** [1]. 6. **Profitability**: - High-end specialty electronic fabrics can achieve gross margins of **40%-50%**, with potential increases beyond **50%** as yield rates improve [1]. Recommendations 1. **Key Companies to Watch**: - Recommended companies include **Macro Technology**, **International Composites**, **China Jushi**, and **China National Materials**. Other notable mentions are **Philips**, **Gobi Technology**, and PCB-related firms like **China Tungsten High-Tech**, **Lianrui New Materials**, and **Dongcai Technology** [2]. 2. **Consumer Building Materials**: - The industry is nearing a bottoming phase, with significant price wars easing. Leading companies are shifting focus from price competition to quality and profitability recovery, with expectations for stabilization in 2026 and performance elasticity in 2027 [2]. 3. **Segment Differentiation**: - The waterproof segment shows signs of ending price wars, while the renovation of existing properties is becoming a core growth driver. Leading firms are enhancing their C-end and overseas strategies [2]. 4. **Strategic Focus**: - Major companies are prioritizing profitability recovery, channel optimization, and product diversification, while also accelerating overseas expansion to create a second growth curve [2]. 5. **Recommended Stocks**: - Elastic stocks include **Keshun Co.**, **Oriental Yuhong**, and **Hankao Group**. Stable stocks to consider are **Rabbit Baby**, **Sankeshu**, **Dongpeng Holdings**, **Monalisa**, and **China Liansu** [2]. Additional Insights - Traditional cyclical products are highlighted, with a focus on local state-owned enterprises like **Sichuan Road and Bridge**, **Shandong Road and Bridge**, and **China Railway**. The steel structure sector is represented by companies like **Honglu Steel Structure** and **Jinggong Steel Structure** [3]. - The cement sector is advised to focus on regional leaders such as **Western Cement**, **Huaxin Cement**, and **Shangfeng Cement** [3]. - Other new materials and robotics sectors are also mentioned, with companies like **Pana Micro透**, **TianYue Advanced**, and **Jing Sheng Co.** being noted [3].

Core Viewpoint - The company, as a leading player in the waterproofing industry, is committed to providing high-standard products and services, with its offerings included in the recommended list by regulatory authorities [2] Group 1: Company Performance - Current performance fluctuations are primarily influenced by the slow recovery of demand in the construction waterproofing sector, the company's proactive optimization of its business structure to reduce the proportion of risky operations, and the prudent approach of provisioning for credit and asset impairments [2] - These factors reflect the cyclical adjustments in the industry and the company's strategic transformation phase [2] Group 2: Management Strategy - Under the leadership of the board, the company adheres strictly to corporate governance practices and is committed to high-quality development strategies [2] - The focus is on retail, construction, and overseas market expansion, alongside strengthening accounts receivable management and cost control to enhance operational quality [2] Group 3: Shareholder Engagement - The company places significant importance on the opinions of all shareholders and aims to fulfill its responsibilities to investors through standardized operations and continuous improvements [2] - The commitment is towards achieving long-term stable development [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates that the consumption building materials industry is expected to experience a mild price recovery, with potential marginal improvement in the gross margins of leading companies [1] Industry Summary - Recent price increase notices have been issued by leading companies in various segments, including waterproofing, gypsum boards, and municipal pipelines [1] - The basis for these price increases is attributed to supply optimization and rising prices of upstream raw materials, primarily chemical products, since the beginning of the year [1] - Key raw materials such as PVC and emulsions have seen an upward shift in their price levels [1] Company Summary - CICC is optimistic about the profitability recovery of leading companies in the industry under the trend of price recovery [1] - Companies to watch include Dongfang Yuhong, Sankeshu, Beixin Building Materials, China Liansu, and Weixing New Materials [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the construction materials sector is showing strong performance, with expectations for price increases in various categories such as waterproofing, coatings, and cement due to improving demand and economic conditions in 2026. The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring post-Spring Festival demand recovery and price adjustments [4][5] - The cement market is entering a seasonal downturn, with a notable decline in demand, particularly in the housing market. However, mid-term prospects suggest that production capacity may decrease under policies limiting overproduction, potentially leading to improved profit margins [4][9] - The glass industry is facing ongoing demand pressures, with traditional peak season orders showing limited improvement. Supply-side adjustments are expected to keep prices low in the short term [5][16] - The fiber glass sector is experiencing a demand boost driven by the AI industry, with expectations for significant growth in both volume and price [5] - The consumer building materials sector is anticipated to see a bottoming out of profits, with strong price increase demands following years of competitive pricing [5] Summary by Sections Cement - The national cement market is entering a seasonal downturn, with December 2025 production at 144 million tons, a year-on-year decline of 6.6%. Demand is expected to weaken further due to seasonal factors and the upcoming Spring Festival [9] Glass - The glass industry is under pressure, with high inventory levels among intermediaries and limited demand recovery. Recent supply-side adjustments have not alleviated the overall supply-demand imbalance, leading to expectations of continued low price fluctuations [16] Fiber Glass - The fiber glass sector is benefiting from demand related to the AI industry, with expectations for a significant increase in both volume and price as the industry evolves [5] Consumer Building Materials - The sector is expected to see a recovery in profitability, with several categories like waterproofing and coatings announcing price increases, indicating a potential turnaround in 2026 [5]

Core Insights - The construction materials industry is currently at a low valuation level, with a focus on urban renewal and related opportunities. The allocation ratio for construction materials in Q4 2025 is 0.72%, an increase of 0.11 percentage points from Q3 2025, indicating significant potential for valuation recovery [6][15]. Group 1: Urban Renewal and Market Dynamics - The Ministry of Natural Resources and the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development issued a notice on January 20, 2026, to support urban renewal actions, providing specific operational guidelines for the "14th Five-Year Plan" urban renewal strategy. This includes a focus on "two renewals and two new projects," emphasizing the construction of underground pipelines and comprehensive utility tunnels [24]. - Companies involved in urban renewal and the renovation of old neighborhoods, such as Dongfang Yuhong, Keshun Co., Sankeshu, Weixing New Materials, and China Liansu, are recommended for attention [24]. Group 2: Construction Materials Sector Overview - The construction materials sector is experiencing a recovery in profitability, with expectations for continued improvement in 2026. The supply-side adjustments and structural changes in demand are expected to support this recovery [37]. - The cement market saw a 0.8% decrease in prices week-on-week, with the national average price at 345 RMB/ton as of January 30, 2026. The industry is currently at a historical low valuation, with companies like Huaxin Cement, Conch Cement, and Shafeng Cement recommended for investment [6][38]. Group 3: Key Company Developments - Keshun Co. established a semiconductor company to explore a second growth curve, focusing on integrated circuit chips and related technologies [20]. - Weixing New Materials plans to acquire an 88.26% stake in Beijing Songtiancheng Technology Co., enhancing its capabilities in municipal pipeline systems and expanding its market reach [23]. - Leading companies in the construction materials sector, such as Sankeshu and Huaxin Cement, are expected to report significant profit growth in 2025, driven by strong operational resilience and strategic adjustments [25][27].

Industry Overview - The overall demand for the paint market in China is expected to weaken in 2025 due to intensified supply-demand conflicts, a declining real estate market, severe price competition, and weak demand in multiple industrial end markets [1] - According to the China Coatings Industry Association, the total paint production in China from January to November 2025 is projected to be 31.723 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 7.7% [1] - The main operating revenue is expected to be 352.403 billion yuan, down 3.2% year-on-year, while total profit is expected to increase significantly by 15.7% to 27.271 billion yuan due to declining raw material prices [1] Company Performance - Seven listed paint companies, along with two waterproof companies, have released their performance forecasts for 2025, with five companies reporting losses, the highest being 1.25 billion yuan [1] - Six companies are expected to see a decline in net profit attributable to shareholders, while five companies are projected to be profitable, with the highest net profit expected to be 960 million yuan [1] Individual Company Insights - **Sankeshu**: Expected net profit between 760 million to 960 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 128.96% to 189.21% [2] - **Yasichuangneng**: Projected net loss of 830 million to 1.25 billion yuan, compared to a net loss of 329.3 million yuan in the same period last year [2] - **Jinlitai**: Expected net profit between 10 million to 15 million yuan, a decline of 51% to 68% year-on-year [2] - **Songji Co.**: Expected net profit between 20 million to 30 million yuan, a decrease of 65.28% to 76.85% year-on-year [2] - **Feilu Co.**: Projected net loss of 160 million to 220 million yuan, compared to a loss of 139.8 million yuan in the previous year [2] - **Jitai Co.**: Expected net loss of 19 million to 28 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 198.55% to 245.23% [2] - **Guangxin Materials**: Expected net profit between 13.5 million to 20 million yuan, compared to a loss of 32.0692 million yuan in the same period last year [2] - **Keshun Co.**: Projected net loss of 380 million to 570 million yuan, compared to a profit of 44.071 million yuan in the previous year [2] - **Kailun Co.**: Expected net profit between 16.8 million to 22.8 million yuan, compared to a loss of 53.86 million yuan in the same period last year [2] Performance Variability Reasons - Companies are experiencing stable revenue due to optimized sales systems and product layouts, which have driven sales volume and established a solid revenue foundation [2] - Increased investment in new technologies and products has led to higher sales, management, and R&D expenses, contributing to profit declines [2] - Non-recurring gains and losses are expected to impact net profit attributable to shareholders by approximately 1 million yuan, mainly from investment dividends and equity sales [2] Strategic Outlook - **Songji Co.**: Short-term profitability is under pressure due to accelerated business development and strategic layout, with a focus on long-term growth in high-end manufacturing and new product markets [3] - **Jitai Co.**: The company is undergoing strategic transformation and capacity upgrades, facing pressure from traditional businesses while experiencing growth in new key areas [4][5]