8月23日，以"重塑现代化：中国与全球南方"为主题的华南理工大学公共政策研究院（IPP） 第十二届国际会议在广州五山校区召开。此次会议邀请到来自中国、美国、英国、新加坡、 印尼、泰国等国家的知名学者，通过跨领域、跨区域、跨文化的深入对话，就关系全球南方 国家未来发展的多个议题进行了深入研讨。 会议期间，新加坡国立大学李光耀公共政策学院李嘉诚经济学教授柯成兴（Danny Quah） 发表题为"没有'全球北方'，世界还能发展吗？"的演讲，倡导构建一个不强制任何国家参 与、具有适应性的多边主义新体系，并以"供应端冲击"和"需求端冲击"为例，提出通过自愿 联盟和规则重构实现"无恶意合作"，使国际秩序在即便缺乏大国共识的情况下仍能有效运 作。 观察者网获权整理发布柯成兴教授的演讲稿，经主办方审阅发布。 新加坡国立大学李光耀公共政策学院李嘉诚经济学教授柯成兴发表演讲图自：华南理工大学公共政策研 究院 柯成兴： 在接下来的十几分钟里，我想给大家的建议是，我们应当摆脱这种二元制的思维，而是把它想象成在这 两者之间，也可以找到有效的、切实可行的一种模式，并不是是或否。我的观点是，我们可以想象一个 有效运作的国际体系，但不见得一 ...

Group 1 - The trade conflict between the US and India has escalated rapidly, leading to significant diplomatic tensions and economic repercussions [3][12] - Trump's decision to increase tariffs on Indian goods from 25% to 50% is the highest globally, severely impacting India's exports to the US, particularly in jewelry, textiles, and pharmaceuticals [4][6] - India's response includes halting military purchases from the US, imposing retaliatory tariffs on American products, and seeking closer ties with China, indicating a strategic pivot away from reliance on the US [7][9][12] Group 2 - The US military-industrial complex is feeling the impact of India's military purchase cancellations, with companies like Boeing and Lockheed Martin experiencing stock price declines [9] - India's retaliatory measures include a 150% tariff on bourbon whiskey, which is a significant product from Trump's electoral base, causing domestic unrest among American farmers [9][12] - The geopolitical landscape is shifting, with India moving towards a multipolar world and reducing dependence on US hegemony, as evidenced by its engagement with BRICS nations and the potential for improved relations with China [12][13]

Core Points - The year marks the 50th anniversary of China-Europe diplomatic relations, emphasizing the importance of cooperation and partnership between the two regions [1] - China maintains a stable and continuous policy towards Europe, supporting European integration and strategic autonomy, regardless of the international situation [2] - China contributes approximately 30% to global economic growth annually, highlighting its role as a stabilizing force in the world [2] Group 1 - The trade volume between China and Europe now equals the total trade volume of previous years, indicating significant growth in their economic relationship [1] - The relationship is characterized by a commitment to partnership, cooperation, autonomy, and mutual benefits, aiming for a more resilient and mature future [1] - There are attempts to undermine China-Europe relations, but the overall trajectory is towards continued progress and stability [2] Group 2 - China positions itself as a key stabilizing force in the current chaotic international landscape, advocating for dialogue and political solutions to disputes [2] - The country emphasizes its commitment to non-interference in internal affairs and the protection of the rights of developing countries [2] - China expresses a willingness to collaborate with European nations to share opportunities and address global challenges together [3]