这次会议为民营经济尤其是民营高科技企业打开了广阔赛道，相当于给市场吃下"定心丸"，制度环境的优化让资本对中国经济的长期预期更趋乐观，这是国 运牛在制度层面的重要支撑。 2024年之前，美国联合日本、韩国、荷兰等国家在半导体、AI、算力等高端科技领域对中国围追堵截，拜登政府的《半导体科学法案》更是层层加码限 制。 但2025年中国科技企业实现了集体突破：元旦前后，DeepSeek大模型以低成本、高性能跻身全球前列，一度成为苹果应用商店下载量第一的大模型；春节 晚会宇树科技人形机器人跳秧歌舞，让高端制造走进大众视野，随后优必选、致远等企业接连发力，北京、上海等地还举办了机器人运动会。 在芯片领域，阿里平头哥PPU芯片采用中芯国际7nm工艺，性能对标英伟达H20，成本却低40%，已在西宁数据中心部署16384颗，与中国联通合作实现大规 模商业化。 这些突破不仅打破了技术封锁，更让AI、半导体等高科技资产成为资本市场的新热点，印证了国运牛的科技底色。 历次A股牛市几乎都离不开宽松货币政策，但2025年这轮行情有了新的内部驱动力——大国崛起的国运。 很多人觉得国运和股市缺乏直接关联，其实从制度调整、科技突破到大国博弈的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the historical attempts of various companies to challenge Kweichow Moutai's dominance in the A-share market, highlighting the cyclical nature of these challenges and the eventual decline of most contenders. Group 1: Historical Challenges to Kweichow Moutai - China Shipbuilding, originally known as Hudong Heavy Machinery, became the highest-priced stock in A-shares in 2007, reaching 111.62 yuan before a significant market crash [5]. - Following the 2007 peak, China Shipbuilding's stock plummeted to around 10 yuan by 2018, while Moutai's price rose to 500 yuan [6]. - Other companies like Shenzhou Taiyue and Yanghe Distillery made brief attempts to surpass Moutai but ultimately failed to maintain their positions [9][13]. Group 2: Yanghe Distillery's Rise and Fall - Yanghe Distillery capitalized on the booming white liquor market and innovative marketing strategies, briefly surpassing Moutai in 2010 with a closing price of 146.87 yuan [10][11]. - However, after government regulations on public spending, Yanghe's stock price fell from around 70 yuan to below 20 yuan [11]. Group 3: Other Notable Contenders - Companies like Wanshu Technology and Feitian Chengxin also attempted to challenge Moutai during market booms but faced significant declines post-peak [16][18]. - All-in-one education company Quanta Education saw its stock soar to 467 yuan in 2015 but subsequently crashed to around 3 yuan due to unsustainable valuations [19][22]. Group 4: Current Context and Future Challenges - The article notes that since 2013, despite a generally weak macroeconomic environment, several companies have emerged to challenge Moutai, with the latest being Cambrian [23]. - Cambrian's challenge is set against a backdrop of Moutai's declining stock price and the resurgence of interest in semiconductor stocks, reminiscent of past challenges [23].

Core Insights - The rise of major powers is closely linked to the shift of global financial centers, influencing the trajectory of global dynamics over the past 500 years [1][4]. Historical Context - The Netherlands emerged as a global power from the 17th century, developing its transportation industry and establishing the first joint-stock company, with Amsterdam becoming the world's financial center [1][3]. - Following the Netherlands, Britain established its own East India Company and took control of New Amsterdam, renaming it New York, marking the beginning of British global dominance from 1714 to 1944 [3][4]. Transition of Financial Power - The Bretton Woods Conference marked a significant transition where the British pound was replaced by the US dollar as the international reserve currency, with the dollar pegged to gold at $35 per ounce [4][5]. - The US dollar's detachment from gold in 1971 and its subsequent linkage to oil solidified the US's financial dominance, which is projected to last until 2025, totaling 81 years [5][6]. Current Economic Landscape - The US GDP stands at $29.2 trillion, while China's GDP is approximately $18.4 trillion, indicating that China's economy is about 66% the size of the US economy [5][6]. - The total market capitalization of US securities markets is around $64 trillion, compared to China's approximately $12 trillion, highlighting a significant gap in financial market size [6]. Implications for China - China's rise is driven by a dual engine of manufacturing and finance, emphasizing the need for coordinated development in both sectors to achieve its goals [6]. - Historical patterns suggest that the success of rising powers is often tied to their financial systems, indicating that China must prioritize financial development to secure its position as a global power [6].