大豆出口量
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棕榈油:油价扰动持续,高位震荡运行,豆油:豆系驱动不大,上方空间有限
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2026-03-24 02:35
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - Palm oil prices are affected by oil price fluctuations and are expected to fluctuate at a high level; the upward space of soybean oil is limited due to weak drivers from the soybean sector [1] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Data**: The closing price of palm oil futures (day session) was 9,942 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 2.31%, and the night - session price was 9,588 yuan/ton with a decrease of 3.56%. The closing price of soybean oil futures (day session) was 8,740 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 1.30%, and the night - session price was 8,588 yuan/ton with a decrease of 1.74%. The closing price of rapeseed oil futures (day session) was 9,950 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 0.75%, and the night - session price was 9,770 yuan/ton with a decrease of 1.81%. The price of CBOT soybean oil futures was 65.71 cents/pound with an increase of 0.31% [1] - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volume of palm oil futures was 465,152 lots, an increase of 57,742 lots compared to the previous day, and the open interest was 317,752 lots, a decrease of 1,698 lots. The trading volume of soybean oil futures was 270,684 lots, an increase of 44,960 lots, and the open interest was 612,272 lots, an increase of 18,176 lots. The trading volume of rapeseed oil futures was 224,994 lots, an increase of 23,990 lots, and the open interest was 239,709 lots, an increase of 2,276 lots [1] - **Spot Price**: The spot price of 24 - degree palm oil in Guangdong was 9,920 yuan/ton, an increase of 170 yuan/ton; the spot price of first - grade soybean oil in Guangdong was 9,040 yuan/ton, an increase of 100 yuan/ton; the spot price of fourth - grade imported rapeseed oil in Guangxi was 10,220 yuan/ton, an increase of 40 yuan/ton. The FOB price of Malaysian palm oil was 1,215 US dollars/ton, unchanged [1] - **Basis**: The basis of palm oil in Guangdong was - 22 yuan/ton; the basis of soybean oil in Guangdong was 300 yuan/ton; the basis of rapeseed oil in Guangxi was 270 yuan/ton [1] - **Price Spread**: The spread between rapeseed oil and palm oil futures was 8 yuan/ton; the spread between soybean oil and palm oil futures was - 1,202 yuan/ton; the 5 - 9 spread of palm oil was 54 yuan/ton; the 5 - 9 spread of soybean oil was 74 yuan/ton; the 5 - 9 spread of rapeseed oil was 119 yuan/ton [1] 3.2 Macro and Industry News - As of last Thursday, the soybean harvest rate in Brazil's 2025/26 season was 68%, 7 percentage points higher than the previous week but lagging behind 80% in the same period last year [2] - In the first three weeks of March, Brazil exported 9,501,524.99 tons of soybeans, with an average daily export volume of 633,435.00 tons, a 18% decrease compared to the average daily export volume in March last year [3][4] 3.3 Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of palm oil is 0, and the trend intensity of soybean oil is 0 [5]
豆粕:隔夜美豆小幅收涨,连粕或震荡;豆一:现货逐步进入假期模式,盘面震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2026-02-09 02:22
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content Core Viewpoints - Overnight US soybeans closed slightly higher, and Dalian soybean meal futures may fluctuate; the spot market for soybeans is gradually entering the holiday mode, and the futures prices may fluctuate [1] - The soybean futures on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) mostly closed higher, with the benchmark contract rising 0.2% for the third consecutive trading day, boosted by President Donald Trump's statement that China will increase soybean purchases [3] Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Prices**: DCE soybean No.1 2605 closed at 4,378 yuan/ton during the day session, down 12 yuan (-0.27%), and 4,392 yuan/ton at night, up 14 yuan (+0.32%); DCE soybean meal 2605 closed at 2,735 yuan/ton during the day session, up 5 yuan (+0.18%), and 2,745 yuan/ton at night, up 7 yuan (+0.26%); CBOT soybeans 03 closed at 1,114.75 cents/bushel, up 2.5 cents (+0.22%); CBOT soybean meal 03 closed at 303.4 dollars/short ton, up 0.2 dollars (+0.07%) [1] - **Spot Prices**: In Shandong, the spot price of soybean meal is 3,040 - 3,100 yuan/ton, with a change of -10 to +10 yuan compared to the previous day; in East China, it is 3,020 - 3,100 yuan/ton, with a change of flat to +20 yuan; in South China, it is 3,060 - 3,170 yuan/ton, with a change of flat to +30 yuan [1] - **Industrial Data**: The trading volume of soybean meal was 5.9 million tons per day on the previous trading day, and the inventory was 89.95 million tons per week two trading days ago [1] 2. Macro and Industry News - On February 6, CBOT soybean futures mostly closed higher, with the benchmark contract rising for the third consecutive day, driven by Trump's statement that China will increase soybean purchases to 20 million tons this year [3] - The US Department of Agriculture will release the January supply and demand report on February 10. Analysts predict that the US soybean ending stocks for the 2025/26 season will be 347 million bushels, 3 million bushels lower than the government's January forecast; the global soybean ending stocks are expected to be 125.3 million tons, higher than the government's January forecast of 124.41 million tons [3] - Brazilian government data shows that Brazil's soybean exports in January were 1.88 million tons, down 44.5% from December but up 75.5% from January last year [3] - The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange reported that the good-to-excellent rate of Argentine soybean crops is 40%, down 9% from a week ago but still much higher than 20% in the same period last year [3] 3. Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of soybean meal and soybeans is 0, indicating a neutral trend for the day - session main - contract futures prices on the reporting day [3]
巴西1月份大豆出口量为188万吨,而去年同期为107万吨
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-02-05 19:05
Core Insights - Brazil's soybean exports in January reached 1.88 million tons, a significant increase from 1.07 million tons in the same month last year [1] Industry Summary - The soybean export volume for Brazil in January shows a year-on-year growth of approximately 75.7% [1]
巴西全国谷物出口商协会(ANEC):预计今年6月巴西大豆出口量将达到1255万吨,较去年同期的1383万吨有所下降。
news flash· 2025-06-04 17:21
Core Viewpoint - The Brazilian National Association of Grain Exporters (ANEC) forecasts that soybean exports from Brazil will reach 12.55 million tons in June this year, a decrease from 13.83 million tons in the same period last year [1] Group 1 - The expected soybean export volume for June 2023 is 12.55 million tons [1] - This figure represents a decline of 1.28 million tons compared to June 2022 [1]
油脂油料早报-20250423
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-04-23 07:50
Report Summary Core Viewpoints - As of April 19, 2025, the soybean harvest rate in Brazil's 2024/25 season was 92.5%, up from 88.3% the previous week and 83.2% the same period last year [1] - In the first three weeks of April, Brazil exported 9,422,639.91 tons of soybeans, with a daily average export volume of 724,818.45 tons, a 9% increase from the daily average export volume of 667,629.19 tons in the whole month of April last year The total export volume in April last year was 14,687,842.09 tons [1] Spot Prices - The report provides the spot prices of soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from April 16 to April 22, 2025 [2]