Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company's retail gas business shows steady growth, although the growth rate has slowed down. In Q3 2025, retail gas volume reached 6.24 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 2.1% [5] - The company is progressing well with its privatization plan, which is expected to enhance upstream and downstream integration and collaboration after completion [5] - The company has a total of 8.7 million tons of overseas long-term contracts expected to be executed from 2025 to 2029, supporting robust growth in direct sales gas business [5][8] - The company plans to maintain a cash dividend ratio of no less than 50% of core profit from 2026 to 2028, which is expected to enhance the company's value [6] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 95.856 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.91% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.426 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.87% year-on-year [2] - In Q3 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 29.865 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.93% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.018 billion yuan, an increase of 5.89% year-on-year [3] - The company’s core profit for the first three quarters of 2025 was 3.777 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.04% year-on-year, while the basic earnings per share (EPS) was 1.23 yuan [2] Business Segment Performance - Retail gas volume for the first three quarters of 2025 was 19.19 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 2.0%, with industrial and commercial gas volume at 15.21 billion cubic meters, up 2.5% [5] - Platform gas volume declined, with Q3 2025 platform transaction gas volume at 1.26 billion cubic meters, down 7.1% year-on-year [5] - The company’s diversified energy business saw steady expansion, with total sales volume of 28.99 billion kilowatt-hours in the first three quarters of 2025 [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 22.528 billion yuan for the first nine months of 2025, reflecting an 8.63% year-on-year increase, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 13.08% to 918 million yuan, aligning with expectations [6][8]. - Natural gas sales volume reached 5.030 billion cubic meters, marking an 18.49% increase year-on-year, with city gas sales in the Greater Bay Area growing by 4.98% [6][8]. - The decline in gas sales to power plants is attributed to changes in pricing regulations and supply-demand dynamics in Guangdong province, although recent adjustments in capacity pricing are expected to provide compensation [6][8]. - The company has achieved a full industry chain integration in natural gas, with significant growth in wholesale gas volumes, which are projected to contribute positively to profits [6][8]. - The photovoltaic film business has seen a 48% increase in shipments year-on-year, while the impact of the smart service business on overall performance has diminished [6][8]. - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted downwards to 1.419 billion, 1.771 billion, and 1.910 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 14, 11, and 10 times [6][8]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for 2025 are set at 31.750 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 12.0% [3][8]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 1.419 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a decrease of 2.6% compared to the previous year [3][8]. - Earnings per share are expected to be 0.49 yuan in 2025, with a gross margin of 15.3% [3][8]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 8.7% in 2025 [3][8]. Market Data - The closing price of the stock is reported at 6.77 yuan, with a price-to-book ratio of 1.2 and a dividend yield of 2.36% [4][6]. - The company's net asset per share is 5.49 yuan, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 59.94% [4][6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing steady growth in core profits despite a slight decline in overall revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025. The core profit reached 2.736 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.38% [1][2] - The privatization process of the company is progressing smoothly, which is expected to enhance upstream and downstream integration and collaboration after the transaction is completed [3][4] - The company has signed a long-term gas supply agreement with Chevron, which is anticipated to significantly boost its direct sales gas business [3][4] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 65.991 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.47% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.408 billion yuan, down 4.82% year-on-year. However, the net profit after deducting non-recurring items increased by 21.13% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 32.262 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.54%, but a net profit of 1.431 billion yuan, which represents a year-on-year decrease of 1.23% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 46.58% [2] - The company’s retail gas sales volume for the first half of 2025 was 12.95 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 1.9%, with industrial and commercial users accounting for 75.6% of the total [3] - The company’s projected core net profits for 2025-2027 are 5.695 billion yuan, 6.399 billion yuan, and 7.107 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.84 yuan, 2.07 yuan, and 2.29 yuan [6][8]

Group 1 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has requested New Hope Liuhe Co., Ltd. to provide supplementary information regarding shareholders holding more than 5% of shares and any prohibitive circumstances for overseas issuance and listing [1][2] - New Hope Liuhe Co., Ltd. is applying for a listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with China International Capital Corporation (CICC) as its sole sponsor [1] - The company is the largest private natural gas enterprise in China, covering the entire natural gas industry chain and has over 30 years of operational experience [5] Group 2 - Financial performance for New Hope Liuhe Co., Ltd. shows revenues of approximately 150.02 billion RMB, 141.115 billion RMB, and 134.946 billion RMB for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively, with annual profits of 11.073 billion RMB, 12.53 billion RMB, and 9.944 billion RMB during the same period [5]