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美国制裁两家俄罗斯石油公司,国际油价上涨 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang· 2025-10-27 02:09
Oil Market Overview - The average weekly price for Brent and WTI crude oil futures is $63.4 and $59.3 per barrel, respectively, with increases of $1.4 and $1.0 compared to the previous week [1][2] - U.S. crude oil production stands at 13.63 million barrels per day, showing a decrease of 10,000 barrels per day week-on-week [2] - Active oil rigs in the U.S. increased by 2 to a total of 420, while active fracturing fleets rose by 3 to 175 [2] Crude Oil Inventory - Total U.S. crude oil inventory is 830 million barrels, with commercial inventory at 420 million barrels, strategic inventory at 410 million barrels, and Cushing inventory at 20 million barrels. Changes from the previous week include decreases of 1.4 million barrels and 0.96 million barrels in total and commercial inventories, respectively, while strategic inventory increased by 0.82 million barrels and Cushing inventory decreased by 0.77 million barrels [1][2] Refinery Activity - U.S. refinery crude processing volume is 15.73 million barrels per day, up by 600,000 barrels per day from the previous week, with a refinery utilization rate of 88.6%, an increase of 2.9 percentage points [2] Oil Trade Dynamics - U.S. crude oil imports, exports, and net imports are 5.92 million, 4.20 million, and 1.72 million barrels per day, respectively, with imports increasing by 390,000 barrels per day and exports decreasing by 260,000 barrels per day [2] Refined Product Overview - Average prices for gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel are $78, $95, and $89 per barrel, respectively, with week-on-week changes of +$1.1, +$2.0, and -$5.1 [3] - Refined product inventories for gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel are 220 million, 120 million, and 40 million barrels, respectively, with decreases of 2.15 million, 1.48 million, and 1.49 million barrels week-on-week [4] - Production levels for gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel are 959, 463, and 164 thousand barrels per day, with increases of 24, 4, and decreases of 7 thousand barrels per day, respectively [5] Refined Product Demand and Trade - Consumption of gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel is 845, 385, and 172 thousand barrels per day, with no change in gasoline, a decrease of 39 thousand barrels per day in diesel, and an increase of 3 thousand barrels per day in jet fuel [6] - Gasoline imports, exports, and net exports are 80, 1.21 million, and 1.14 million barrels per day, with changes of -30, +190, and +230 thousand barrels per day, respectively [6] Recommended Companies - Companies recommended for investment include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), PetroChina, Sinopec, CNOOC Services, and others [6]
原油周报:英国加强对俄罗斯影子舰队的制裁,国际油价下跌-20251019
Soochow Securities· 2025-10-19 11:13
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating information is provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints The report focuses on the weekly data of the oil and petrochemical industry, including the price, inventory, supply, demand, and import - export of crude oil and refined oil, as well as the performance of the oil and petrochemical sector and related listed companies. It also provides data on the oil service sector. The international oil price has declined, and the report presents detailed data changes in various aspects of the oil market [2]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Crude Oil Weekly Data Briefing - **Price**: Brent/WTI crude oil futures had weekly average prices of $62.0/$58.3 per barrel, down $3.0 each from the previous week. Russian Urals was at $58.6 per barrel, down $2.2, and ESPO was at $61.0 per barrel with no change [2][9]. - **Inventory**: US total crude oil inventory, commercial crude oil inventory, strategic crude oil inventory, and Cushing crude oil inventory were 8.3/4.2/4.1/0.2 billion barrels, with week - on - week changes of +428/+352/+76/ - 70 million barrels respectively [2]. - **Production**: US crude oil production was 13.64 million barrels per day, up 0.1 million barrels per day. The number of active crude oil rigs was 418, unchanged, and the number of active fracturing fleets was 175, also unchanged [2]. - **Demand**: US refinery crude oil processing volume was 15.13 million barrels per day, down 1.17 million barrels per day, and the refinery crude oil utilization rate was 85.7%, down 6.7 percentage points [2]. - **Import and Export**: US crude oil imports, exports, and net imports were 5.53/4.47/1.06 million barrels per day, with week - on - week changes of - 0.88/+0.88/ - 1.75 million barrels per day respectively [2]. 3.2 This Week's Oil and Petrochemical Sector Market Review - **Sector Performance**: The report shows the performance of the oil and petrochemical sector and its sub - industries, including the decline in the oil and gas exploration, refining and trading, and oil service engineering sub - sectors [15][18]. - **Listed Company Performance**: The report provides the valuation data of related listed companies, including China National Offshore Oil Corporation, PetroChina, Sinopec, etc. [9]. 3.3 Crude Oil Sector Data Tracking - **Price**: Analyzes the price and price difference of various crude oils, such as Brent, WTI, Russian Urals, and ESPO, and their relationship with the US dollar index and LME copper price [9][30][33]. - **Inventory**: Studies the inventory of US crude oil, including total inventory, commercial inventory, strategic inventory, and Cushing inventory, and their relationship with oil prices [42][47][52]. - **Supply**: Focuses on US crude oil production, the number of oil rigs, and fracturing fleets and their relationship with oil prices [59][61][63]. - **Demand**: Analyzes the crude oil processing volume and utilization rate of US refineries, as well as the utilization rate of Chinese refineries [67][69][72]. - **Import and Export**: Tracks the import, export, and net import volume of US crude oil and petroleum products [78][80][81]. 3.4 Refined Oil Sector Data Tracking - **Price**: Analyzes the price and price difference of refined oils such as gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene in the US, China, Europe, and Singapore, and their relationship with crude oil prices [87][90][114]. - **Inventory**: Monitors the inventory of refined oils in the US and Singapore, including gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene [128][132][137]. - **Supply**: Focuses on the production of refined oils in the US, including gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene [145]. - **Demand**: Analyzes the consumption of refined oils in the US, including gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene, and the number of airport security checks for passengers [148][150][154]. - **Import and Export**: Tracks the import, export, and net export volume of refined oils in the US, including gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene [157][161][163]. 3.5 Oil Service Sector Data Tracking - Analyzes the average daily fees of self - elevating drilling platforms and semi - submersible drilling platforms in the industry [172][176][177]. 3.6 Recommended Listed Companies Recommended companies include CNOOC/China National Offshore Oil Corporation (600938.SH/0883.HK), PetroChina/PetroChina Company Limited (601857.SH/0857.HK), Sinopec/China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (600028.SH/0386.HK), CNOOC Energy Technology & Services Limited (601808.SH), Offshore Oil Engineering Co., Ltd. (600583.SH), and CNOOC Development Co., Ltd. (600968.SH). Companies to be concerned about include Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation (600871.SH/1033.HK), China Petroleum Engineering & Construction Corporation (600339.SH), and Sinopec Mechanical & Electrical Equipment Co., Ltd. (000852.SZ) [3].
国际油价下滑,关注美俄会议走向 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang· 2025-08-11 01:54
Core Insights - The report provides a comprehensive overview of the U.S. crude oil and refined products market, highlighting changes in prices, inventory levels, production, and import/export activities. U.S. Crude Oil - The average weekly prices for Brent and WTI crude oil futures were $67.4 and $64.9 per barrel, down $4.2 and $3.6 from the previous week [2] - Total U.S. crude oil inventory was 830 million barrels, with commercial inventory at 420 million barrels, strategic inventory at 400 million barrels, and Cushing inventory at 20 million barrels, showing changes of -2.79 million, -3.03 million, +0.23 million, and +0.45 million barrels respectively [2] - U.S. crude oil production was 13.28 million barrels per day, a decrease of 30,000 barrels per day from the previous week [2] - U.S. refinery crude oil processing volume was 17.12 million barrels per day, an increase of 210,000 barrels per day, with a refinery utilization rate of 96.9%, up 1.5 percentage points [2] - U.S. crude oil imports, exports, and net imports were 5.96 million, 3.32 million, and 2.64 million barrels per day, reflecting changes of -170,000, +620,000, and -790,000 barrels per day respectively [2] U.S. Refined Products - Average weekly prices for gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel were $88, $96, and $89 per barrel, down $3.9, $5.2, and $5.1 respectively, with price differentials to crude oil at $20, $28, and $21 per barrel [3] - Gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel inventories were 230 million, 110 million, and 40 million barrels, with changes of -1.32 million, -570,000, and +970,000 barrels respectively [3] - Production of gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel was 9.80 million, 5.11 million, and 1.98 million barrels per day, showing decreases of 240,000, 100,000, and increases of 110,000 barrels per day respectively [3] - Consumption of gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel was 9.04 million, 3.72 million, and 1.71 million barrels per day, reflecting changes of -110,000, +120,000, and -390,000 barrels per day respectively [3] Refined Products Import/Export - U.S. gasoline imports, exports, and net exports were 120,000, 950,000, and 820,000 barrels per day, with changes of +10,000, +60,000, and +50,000 barrels per day respectively [4] - U.S. diesel imports, exports, and net exports were 80,000, 1.55 million, and 1.47 million barrels per day, with changes of -150,000, +230,000, and +380,000 barrels per day respectively [4] - U.S. jet fuel imports, exports, and net exports were 0, 140,000, and 140,000 barrels per day, with changes of -60,000, 0, and +60,000 barrels per day respectively [4] Related Companies - Recommended companies include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), and China National Petroleum Corporation (PetroChina) [4] - Companies to watch include Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation and China Oilfield Services Limited [4]