Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential repetition of the "Nixon era" in the context of current political pressures on the Federal Reserve, suggesting that these pressures may lead to significant changes in monetary policy, including the adoption of yield curve control (YCC) [2][8]. Group 1: Political Pressure and Historical Parallels - U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen has publicly urged the Federal Reserve to return to "moderate long-term interest rates," highlighting the need for the Fed to focus on its statutory duties of maximum employment, price stability, and moderate long-term rates [2][5]. - The current economic challenges faced by the U.S. are compounded by the potential loss of the Federal Reserve's independence, which relies on public trust [6]. - The political motivations reminiscent of the Nixon administration's pressure on the Fed to implement expansive monetary policies are seen as a driving force behind potential changes in current monetary policy [8][10]. Group 2: Yield Curve Control (YCC) as a Policy Tool - Hartnett predicts that the rising global long-term bond yields will compel policymakers to intervene, potentially leading to the implementation of YCC as a means to control government financing costs [10][11]. - The article notes that 54% of respondents in a recent global fund manager survey expect the Federal Reserve to adopt YCC [11]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Hartnett outlines a clear investment strategy based on the anticipated adoption of YCC: going long on bonds, gold, and cryptocurrencies while shorting the U.S. dollar [12][15]. - The strategy emphasizes that YCC will artificially lower bond yields, creating significant upside potential for bond prices as economic data shows signs of weakness [13]. - The anticipated monetary policy shift is expected to erode the purchasing power of fiat currencies, making gold and cryptocurrencies attractive as stores of value [14][15]. Group 4: Historical Context and Future Risks - The article warns that, similar to the Nixon era, the current period of monetary easing could lead to uncontrollable inflation and market crashes in the future, as evidenced by historical patterns [16].

在美国财长贝森特罕见公开呼吁控制利率之际，华尔街顶级策略师Hartnett认为，历史正在重演，当前市场环境酷似"尼克松时代"。他预测，为应对债 务压力，类似收益率曲线控制（YCC）的强力干预即将到来，这将彻底改变资产格局，为黄金、数字货币和债券创造机会，同时打压美元。 近日，美国财政部长贝森特罕见地公开"敲打"美联储，呼吁其回归"适度的长期利率"等法定使命，并批评其非常规政策加剧了不平等并威胁到自身独立 性。 紧随其后，美国银行首席投资策略师Michael Hartnett发布报告指出，当前局面与上世纪70年代的"尼克松时代"高度相似，政治压力将迫使美联储转 向，最终可能采取收益率曲线控制（YCC）这一极端工具。 在美联储正式承诺YCC之前，Hartnett看好黄金和数字货币，看空美元，并认为投资者应为债券价格反弹和股市行情扩散做好准备。 政治压力下的"尼克松时代"重演？ 贝森特在其署名文章中 首次将"适度的长期利率"与最大就业、稳定物价并列，作为美联储重建信誉必须关注的三大法定职责。 美国正面临短期和中期的经济挑战，以及长期的后果：一家将自身独立性置于险境的央行。美联储的独立性来自公众信任。央行必须重新承诺 ...

Core Viewpoint - The current economic situation in the U.S. is drawing parallels to the "Nixon era," with political pressure potentially forcing the Federal Reserve to adopt extreme measures like Yield Curve Control (YCC) [1][2][4]. Group 1: Political Pressure and Historical Parallels - U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen has publicly criticized the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing, urging a return to its statutory mission of maintaining "moderate long-term interest rates" [2]. - Michael Hartnett, Chief Investment Strategist at Bank of America, notes that political pressure will likely drive the Fed to shift its policies, reminiscent of the Nixon administration's influence on monetary policy in the early 1970s [2][4]. - Historical context shows that during Nixon's presidency, significant monetary easing led to a decline in the federal funds rate from 9% to 3%, resulting in a devaluation of the dollar and a bull market in growth stocks [2][4]. Group 2: Yield Curve Control (YCC) as a Policy Tool - Hartnett predicts that in response to rising government financing costs, policymakers will resort to measures like Operation Twist, quantitative easing, and ultimately YCC [5][6]. - The global bond market is under significant pressure, with long-term yields in countries like the UK, France, and Japan reaching multi-decade highs, while the U.S. 30-year Treasury yield tested the psychological level of 5% [4][5]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Hartnett recommends a clear trading strategy based on the anticipated implementation of YCC: going long on bonds, gold, and cryptocurrencies, while shorting the U.S. dollar [7][9]. - The expectation is that YCC will artificially lower bond yields, creating significant upside potential for bond prices as economic data shows signs of weakness [8]. - The strategy also includes a focus on gold and cryptocurrencies as hedges against currency devaluation, with a historical precedent indicating that such measures could lead to a 10% devaluation of the dollar [9][10]. Group 4: Long-term Risks - While the current trading environment may appear favorable, Hartnett warns of potential long-term risks, drawing parallels to the inflation and market crash that followed the Nixon-era monetary policies [10].