Group 1 - In July, Beijing's Consumer Price Index (CPI) shifted from a decrease of 0.4% in the previous month to an increase of 0.7% [1] - Food prices decreased by 0.9%, with fresh fruit prices dropping by 7.4%, while pork prices turned from a decrease of 1.1% to an increase of 0.6% [1] - Prices for air tickets, accommodation, and travel agency services increased by 37.8%, 11.8%, and 6.1% respectively [1] Group 2 - Year-on-year, Beijing's CPI decreased by 0.2%, with food prices shifting from an increase of 0.7% to a decrease of 1.5% [2] - Prices for travel agency services and accommodation fell by 10.0% and 7.0%, while air ticket prices increased by 8.5% [2] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for industrial producers decreased by 1.9% year-on-year and 0.2% month-on-month [2]

Core Insights - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for industrial producers shows a month-on-month decline of 0.2% and a year-on-year decline of 3.6%, with the rate of decline narrowing by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] - The Producer Purchase Price (PPP) has a year-on-year decline of 4.5% and a month-on-month decline of 0.3%, with the rate of decline narrowing by 0.4 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] Group 1: Producer Prices - The decline in producer prices is influenced by a 0.2% decrease in both production materials and living materials, contributing approximately 0.17 percentage points and 0.06 percentage points to the overall decline in producer prices, respectively [4] - The prices of production materials decreased by 4.3%, impacting the overall producer price level by approximately 3.20 percentage points, while living materials saw a decrease of 1.6%, contributing about 0.42 percentage points to the decline [4] - Specific declines in material prices include black metal materials down 8.0%, fuel and power down 10.8%, chemical raw materials down 6.5%, agricultural products down 4.6%, building materials and non-metallic materials down 3.8%, textile raw materials down 2.5%, and an increase in non-ferrous metal materials and wires by 2.8% [4] Group 2: Purchase Prices - The purchase prices for agricultural products remained stable, while building materials and non-metallic materials decreased by 1.4%, textile raw materials by 0.1%, and fuel and power by 0.6% [6] - The prices of black metal materials decreased by 0.7%, chemical raw materials by 0.5%, and non-ferrous metal materials and wires increased by 0.7% [6]

Inflation Overview - July CPI remained flat year-on-year at 0.0%, better than the market expectation of -0.1% and consistent with prior predictions[1] - Month-on-month CPI increased by 0.4%, compared to a previous value of -0.1%, aligning with seasonal trends[1] - July PPI recorded a year-on-year decline of -3.6%, matching the previous value and falling short of the market expectation of -3.4%[1] CPI Components - Service prices rose by 0.6% month-on-month, contributing approximately 0.26 percentage points to the CPI increase[2] - Industrial consumer goods prices increased by 0.5% month-on-month, contributing about 0.17 percentage points to the CPI[2] - Food prices decreased by 1.6% year-on-year, primarily due to a high base effect from the previous year, impacting CPI by approximately -0.29 percentage points[5] PPI Insights - PPI's month-on-month decline of 0.2% was influenced by seasonal factors, including high temperatures and increased rainfall affecting construction demand[7] - Prices in the non-metallic mineral products sector fell by 1.4%, while coal mining prices decreased by 1.5%[7] - The prices of high-tech products, such as aircraft manufacturing, rose by 3.0%, indicating a shift towards high-end industrial development[9] Market Outlook - The market is expected to exhibit a dual bull structure in equities and bonds in the second half of the year, supported by a potential easing of US-China trade relations[1] - A-shares are anticipated to experience a structural rally characterized by alternating low-volatility dividends and technology growth[1] - The 10-year government bond yield is projected to decline to around 1.5% amid low probability of large-scale domestic demand stimulus[1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates a decline in industrial producer prices in July 2025, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.2% for ex-factory prices and 0.3% for purchase prices, showing a narrowing decline compared to the previous month [1] - Year-on-year, industrial producer ex-factory prices fell by 3.6%, while purchase prices decreased by 4.5% [1] - From January to July, the average industrial producer ex-factory prices decreased by 2.9% compared to the same period last year, and purchase prices fell by 3.2% [1]

Core Insights - In July 2025, the national industrial producer price index (PPI) decreased by 0.2% month-on-month, while the industrial producer purchase price index (PPPI) fell by 0.3%, with the decline narrowing by 0.2 and 0.4 percentage points compared to the previous month respectively [1] - Year-on-year, the PPI dropped by 3.6%, and the PPPI decreased by 4.5% [1] - For the average from January to July, the PPI declined by 2.9% compared to the same period last year, and the PPPI fell by 3.2% [1] Price Changes in July - In July, the prices of production materials decreased by 4.3%, contributing approximately 3.20 percentage points to the overall decline in the PPI [3] - The mining industry saw a price drop of 14.0%, while raw materials and processing industries experienced declines of 5.4% and 3.1% respectively [3] - Prices of living materials decreased by 1.6%, impacting the overall PPI by about 0.42 percentage points, with food prices down by 1.8% and durable goods prices down by 3.5% [3] Month-on-Month Price Changes - In July, the production materials prices decreased by 0.2%, affecting the overall PPI by approximately 0.17 percentage points [8] - The mining industry prices fell by 0.2%, raw materials prices decreased by 0.1%, and processing industry prices dropped by 0.3% [8] - Living materials prices also decreased by 0.2%, with food prices remaining stable and durable goods prices declining by 0.6% [8] Purchase Price Changes - In the PPPI, fuel and power prices decreased by 10.8%, black metal materials by 8.0%, and chemical raw materials by 6.5% [7] - Agricultural products prices fell by 4.6%, while construction materials and non-metallic materials prices decreased by 3.8% [7] - However, prices for non-ferrous metal materials and wires increased by 2.8% [7]

Core Insights - In July 2025, the national industrial producer's ex-factory prices decreased by 0.2% month-on-month, while the purchasing prices fell by 0.3%, with the decline rates narrowing by 0.2 and 0.4 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] - Year-on-year, the industrial producer's ex-factory prices dropped by 3.6%, and the purchasing prices decreased by 4.5% [1] - From January to July, the average ex-factory prices of industrial producers fell by 2.9% compared to the same period last year, while the purchasing prices declined by 3.2% [1]

Core Viewpoint - In June 2025, the national industrial producer price index showed a year-on-year decline of 3.6% for ex-factory prices and a 0.4% month-on-month decline, indicating a continued downward trend in industrial pricing pressures [1]. Group 1: Year-on-Year Changes in Industrial Producer Prices - In June, the ex-factory prices of industrial producers saw a decline in production materials by 4.4%, contributing approximately 3.26 percentage points to the overall decrease in ex-factory prices. The mining industry experienced a significant drop of 13.2%, while raw materials and processing industries saw declines of 5.5% and 3.2%, respectively [3]. - Prices for living materials decreased by 1.4%, impacting the overall ex-factory price level by about 0.35 percentage points. Food prices fell by 2.0%, while clothing prices increased by 0.1%, and general daily goods prices rose by 0.8%. Durable consumer goods prices, however, decreased by 2.7% [3]. Group 2: Month-on-Month Changes in Industrial Producer Prices - In June, the month-on-month ex-factory prices of industrial producers showed a 0.6% decline in production materials, affecting the overall price level by approximately 0.42 percentage points. The mining industry prices decreased by 1.2%, raw materials by 0.7%, and processing industry prices by 0.5% [7]. - Living materials prices saw a slight decline of 0.1%, contributing about 0.02 percentage points to the overall price level decrease. Food prices fell by 0.3%, while clothing prices remained stable, and general daily goods prices increased by 0.1% [7]. Group 3: Changes in Industrial Producer Purchase Prices - In June, the purchase prices for industrial producers showed a significant decline in fuel and power categories by 10.4%, black metal materials by 8.0%, and chemical raw materials by 6.2%. Agricultural products also saw a decrease of 4.2%, while construction materials and non-metallic categories dropped by 2.6% [6]. - The textile raw materials category experienced a decline of 2.4%, while prices for non-ferrous metal materials and wires increased by 2.4% [6].

Core Insights - In May 2025, Shenzhen's Producer Price Index (PPI) remained unchanged year-on-year, with a month-on-month increase of 0.1% [1] - The average PPI from January to May showed a year-on-year increase of 0.4%, while the purchasing price index increased by 0.3% [1] Group 1: Producer Prices - Year-on-year, the prices of production materials decreased by 1.5%, with mining industry prices dropping by 23.5% and processing industry prices down by 1.3%. Raw materials prices increased by 1.0% [3] - Year-on-year, consumer goods prices increased by 3.1%, with clothing prices down by 1.4%, durable goods prices stable, food prices up by 0.3%, and general daily goods prices up by 15.0% [3] - Month-on-month, production materials prices increased by 0.1%, with mining industry prices down by 7.3% and raw materials prices up by 2.5%. Consumer goods prices increased by 0.2% [3] Group 2: Purchasing Prices - In the purchasing price index, prices for building materials and non-metallic products decreased by 7.1%, fuel and power prices decreased by 6.8%, and wood and pulp prices decreased by 5.1% [3] - Other industrial raw materials and semi-finished products saw a price decrease of 1.8%, while chemical raw materials increased by 0.9% and textile raw materials increased by 1.0% [3] - Notably, prices for non-ferrous metals and wires increased by 17.9% [3]

Core Viewpoint - In May 2025, the national industrial producer price index showed a year-on-year decline of 3.3% for factory prices and 3.6% for purchase prices, indicating a continued downward trend in industrial pricing [1][3]. Group 1: Year-on-Year Changes in Industrial Producer Prices - In May, the prices of production materials decreased by 4.0%, contributing approximately 2.98 percentage points to the overall decline in factory prices. The mining industry saw a significant drop of 11.9%, while raw materials and processing industries experienced declines of 5.4% and 2.8%, respectively [3]. - Prices of living materials fell by 1.4%, impacting the overall factory price level by about 0.36 percentage points. Food prices decreased by 1.4%, while clothing prices remained stable, and general daily goods prices increased by 0.6%. Durable goods prices dropped by 3.3% [3]. Group 2: Month-on-Month Changes in Industrial Producer Prices - In May, the factory prices of production materials decreased by 0.6%, affecting the overall factory price level by approximately 0.44 percentage points. The mining industry prices fell by 2.5%, raw materials by 0.9%, and processing industry prices by 0.3% [7]. - Prices of living materials remained stable, with food prices decreasing by 0.1%, clothing prices increasing by 0.2%, and both general daily goods and durable goods prices rising by 0.1% [7]. Group 3: Changes in Industrial Producer Purchase Prices - In May, the purchase prices of fuel and power decreased by 9.8%, black metal materials by 7.3%, and chemical raw materials by 5.4%. Agricultural products saw a decline of 2.6%, while textile raw materials dropped by 2.5%. Building materials and non-metallic materials decreased by 1.1%, while prices for non-ferrous metal materials and wires increased by 4.6% [6].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that in May 2025, the national industrial producer's ex-factory prices decreased by 3.3% year-on-year and 0.4% month-on-month [1] - The industrial producer's purchase prices also saw a decline, with a year-on-year decrease of 3.6% and a month-on-month decrease of 0.6% in May 2025 [1] - For the period from January to May, the average industrial producer's ex-factory prices and purchase prices both fell by 2.6% compared to the same period last year [1]