以下文章来源于领航配置 ，作者莱卡 领航配置 . 应对 > 预测，帮认可分散配置理念的私募投资者做好资产配置。 在上一篇 不靠运气，不赌方向，量化基金到底怎么赚的钱？ 我们介绍了量化股票策略到底是怎 么赚钱的，量化赚钱的方法和主观到底有什么本质区别，这一篇我们再来接着介绍一下如何区分 不同的量化基金、量化策略啥时候失灵、量化策略在组合中的作用。 不同量化 基金 之间的区别？ 知道了量化策略到底是怎么赚钱之后，我们就可以更好地从以下几个维度去拆解一只量化基金： 1）收益来源：赚Beta+Alpha，还是纯Alpha？ 最主流的指增策略，赚的就是Beta+Alpha的钱，基金经理会选定一个市场指数作为基准Beta， 模型会复制指数的大部分成分股进行跟踪，再留出一定的仓位用来增强。 既然有Beta+Alpha，那就会有人想要纯Alpha策略，也就是市场中性。它在指增策略的基础上， 会同时做空等值的股指期货，就像左手买入500指增，右手卖出500期货，把大盘的涨跌对冲 掉，只获得Beta之外的Alpha，这部分收益就不会跟随市场Beta的涨跌而上下起伏，成为一种绝 对收益产品。在这里我们先不对中性策略做过多展开，后面 ...

Group 1 - The core event of the week is the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, but Chairman Powell emphasized that policy decisions will be based on economic data and market changes, which did not signal a strong dovish stance and suppressed expectations for further easing [3] - The macro strategy is expected to maintain stable performance, with some managers potentially reaching new highs despite a generally calm state of various asset classes [2][3] - The correlation between bonds and commodities has increased, while the correlation between stocks and bonds has decreased, indicating a shift in market dynamics [2][3] Group 2 - The performance of quantitative long strategies is expected to show significant differentiation, particularly affecting managers with overly diversified holdings [6][9] - The market's overall volatility has slightly decreased compared to previous weeks, with average daily trading volume remaining around 2.5 trillion [8] - The ChiNext and STAR Market indices performed well, but the median performance of constituent stocks was poor, impacting the ability of quantitative managers to generate excess returns [10][12] Group 3 - The subjective long strategies are expected to perform well, particularly in sectors like semiconductors, new energy batteries, and automotive technology [16] - The liquidity indicators remain favorable, with the market sentiment returning to a neutral to slightly optimistic level [17][19] - The overall environment for subjective strategies is positive in the long term, although short-term volatility is anticipated to increase [19] Group 4 - The quantitative CTA strategies are expected to yield slight profits, with commodity markets showing mixed performance [20][21] - The market's overall volatility has increased across all categories, with a notable rise in trend strength for black and agricultural products [21] - The stock index CTA strategies are expected to show differentiated returns based on signal cycles, with high-frequency strategies potentially performing better [23] Group 5 - The market-neutral strategies are expected to show differentiated returns, with the excess stability of the CSI 500 index falling to near one-year lows, indicating a potential style shift [24] - The arbitrage strategies are anticipated to remain stable, supported by improved liquidity and slight increases in market volatility [25]

Core Viewpoint - The market has experienced significant volatility this week, but daily trading volume remains high at over 2.5 trillion [1]. Macro Strategy - The macro strategy environment is showing signs of recovery, driven by dovish signals from Powell and a shift in major asset performance between China and the U.S. [4]. - The correlation between stocks and bonds has decreased, indicating a more favorable environment for macro strategies to navigate market fluctuations [3][4]. - Many macro strategies have reached new highs recently, with expectations for continued upward performance in the coming week [5][6]. Quantitative Strategies - The quantitative long equity strategy is expected to show mixed results, with potential for profit pullbacks due to high-frequency trading and market reversals [7]. - The market is experiencing increased volatility, with significant fluctuations in individual stocks and indices [9]. Subjective Strategies - The subjective long equity strategy is anticipated to experience some pullbacks, particularly in sectors like precious metals, Hong Kong pharmaceuticals, and new energy [11]. - The overall market sentiment remains neutral to optimistic, with liquidity indicators showing a slight decline but still within a favorable range [13]. CTA Strategies - The quantitative CTA strategy is expected to show mixed performance, with those heavily invested in precious metals likely to perform better [14]. - The commodity market is experiencing upward fluctuations, particularly in precious metals, while overall market trends remain volatile [15][16]. Market Neutral Strategies - The market neutral strategy is expected to see mixed results, with alpha contributions being positive while hedging contributions may be negative [17]. Arbitrage Strategies - The arbitrage strategy is projected to perform steadily, with stable operations across various strategies despite rising volatility in stock and commodity markets [19].

Core Viewpoint - The macro strategy is expected to perform well this week, with a recovery in various asset classes, including Chinese equities, bonds, gold, and oil, indicating a favorable environment for macro strategies [3]. Macro Strategy - The macro strategy is anticipated to show improvement, benefiting from the recent rise in Chinese equities and bonds, as well as overseas assets [3]. - The macro strategy faced challenges in the first half of the year due to the unpredictable nature of Trump's policies, which disrupted the typical low correlation among major asset classes [3]. - Recent trends suggest a return to deep negative correlation among major assets, indicating a more favorable environment for macro strategies moving forward [3]. Quantitative Long Strategy - The quantitative long strategy is expected to yield absolute returns, with stable excess returns due to increased trading volume, surpassing 1 trillion in daily transactions [5]. - Over 50% of stocks are showing upward movement, and market volatility remains within a normal range, supporting alpha generation for quantitative strategies [5]. - However, there is a caution regarding small-cap valuations, which are at a three-year high, indicating potential pullback risks [5]. Subjective Long Strategy - The subjective long strategy is projected to perform well, particularly in growth styles, with some differentiation in specific returns [7]. - The overall market is experiencing a steady upward trend, with positive PMI data and a preference for growth over value stocks [7]. - Continued net inflows from southbound capital are noted, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech performing well, despite high PB valuations [7]. Market Neutral Strategy - The market neutral strategy is expected to remain stable, with consistent excess returns in the equity segment and no significant impact from the hedging side [9]. Stock Index CTA - The stock index CTA strategy is anticipated to perform well in both intraday and daily strategies, with differentiation among products due to signal cycles [12]. Commodity Strategy - The commodity strategy is expected to show a reversal in performance, with mixed results across different segments, particularly in precious metals [15]. - The commodity sector has seen a general upward trend, although volatility remains present, posing challenges for previously dominant short positions [15]. Arbitrage Strategy - The arbitrage strategy, including ETF and options arbitrage, is expected to see slight gains, while commodity arbitrage remains stable [17]. - The ETF market has experienced a slight increase in trading volume, indicating a favorable trend for overall strategy performance [17].