丨证券研究报告丨 战略数据研究丨专题报告 [Table_Title] 近期小微盘成交热度有所回升——W136 市场 观察 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 当周是 2026 年春节假期后第一个交易周，A 股市场整体表现向好，周期和科技成长风格齐涨。 伴随市场成交活跃整体回暖，近期小微盘成交热度有所回升；行业层面，油气石化、金属、非 金属材料等成交活跃度居前。小微盘表现向好下，量化基金重仓周度表现居前；北向重仓系列 中，当周沪股通重仓指数领涨。行业板块层面，原材料、能源板块周度领涨。风格内部，创业 板成长周度领涨，中小盘表现较佳。主题热点中，中部崛起及专精特新系列指数周度表现较佳。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 陈洁敏 SAC：S0490518120005 SFC：BUT348 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 近期小微盘成交热度有所回升 2] ——W136 市场 观察 [Table_Summary2] 度量市场情绪：近期小微盘成交热度有所回升 机构赚钱效应：量化基金重仓周度表现居前 行业板块：原材料 ...

Core Viewpoint - The enthusiasm for dividend distribution among public funds is increasing significantly in 2026, with various types of equity funds, including quantitative funds, actively participating in dividend payouts [1][2]. Group 1: Dividend Distribution Trends - Multiple public funds, including those from Invesco Great Wall, Morgan, and Cathay, announced dividend distributions for their funds [1][2]. - As of February 25, 2026, some funds have already distributed dividends up to 7 times this year, with quantitative funds being particularly active in this regard [2][4]. - The trend of increasing dividend distributions is seen as a strategy by fund managers to enhance the long-term attractiveness of their products amid challenges in fundraising and regulatory compliance [1][4]. Group 2: Performance of Dividend Funds - Wind statistics indicate that the top funds in terms of dividend distribution frequency are primarily active equity funds, with a notable presence of quantitative funds [4]. - The average return rate for dividend-themed funds since the beginning of 2026 has reached 4.47%, surpassing the growth of the Shanghai Composite Index [7]. - Specific funds, such as Huashang Hong Kong Stock Connect Value Return, have achieved a return rate of 15.93% year-to-date, while several others have exceeded 10% [7]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Investor Behavior - The demand for dividend-paying assets is driven by the need for stable cash flow, especially among risk-averse institutional investors [7][8]. - The growth in dividend distributions is supported by the expansion of passive products and the increasing scale of broad-based ETFs, which enhance the dividend mechanism [8]. - Fund managers are focusing on creating products that prioritize investor benefits, with dividends becoming a key factor in improving the holding experience [8].

Core Viewpoint - The disparity between international and domestic gold prices is highlighted, with domestic prices lagging behind international trends due to different pricing mechanisms and market dynamics [3][5]. Pricing Mechanism - Domestic gold prices are not updated in real-time according to international fluctuations, as evidenced by the price of 1482 CNY per gram at Chow Tai Fook, which was based on a previous closing price before a significant international price surge [3]. - The Shanghai Gold Exchange's price on the same day was 1110 CNY per gram, reflecting a 1.5% increase, while bank gold bars were priced at 1134 CNY per gram, indicating a premium of less than 3% [3]. - The premium for branded gold jewelry compared to the base gold price is nearly 32%, revealing the true composition of jewelry pricing [3]. Market Dynamics - The international gold price surge is driven by algorithmic trading and geopolitical risks, with a significant rebound of 260 USD per ounce on February 8, following a record drop [5]. - In contrast, the domestic market is experiencing a seasonal decline in gold consumption post-Spring Festival, with stable physical delivery volumes reported by the Shanghai Gold Exchange [5]. - The difference in gold prices between domestic and international markets has attracted cross-border arbitrage, narrowing the price gap in futures and spot markets [5]. Recovery Market Insights - Gold recovery shops serve as indicators of market sentiment, with stable buyback prices despite fluctuations in branded gold jewelry prices [5][6]. - Different recovery channels present varying costs for consumers, with banks charging fees for gold bar buybacks and online platforms imposing service fees based on weight [6]. Changing Demand Dynamics - The traditional factors influencing gold prices are shifting, with central bank purchases now playing a more significant role than historical benchmarks like the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield [8]. - Central banks are projected to purchase over 1000 tons of gold annually from 2022 to 2024, constituting 23% of annual demand, altering the market's pricing logic [8]. - The consumer behavior reflects a split between gold as a safe-haven asset internationally and its role as a gift or wedding dowry domestically, as evidenced by long queues for gold jewelry purchases [8]. Regulatory and Market Adjustments - Recent regulatory measures have increased the margin requirements for gold contracts, aiming to stabilize the overheated market [10]. - The rise in "live pawn" transactions indicates a shift in consumer behavior towards pledging rather than selling gold outright [10]. - The market is navigating through various pressures, including consumer anxiety over pricing discrepancies and potential pitfalls in the recovery process [10].

金工量化周报 500 指增超额收益回升 量化基金业绩跟踪周报（2026.01.26-2026.01.30） 核心结论 周度业绩：本周（2026.01.26-2026.01.30），公募沪深 300 指增平均超额收 益-0.03%，实现正超额收益的基金占比 46.84%；公募中证 A500 指增平均 超额收益-0.01%，实现正超额收益的基金占比 57.75%；公募中证 500 指增 平均超额收益 0.42%，实现正超额收益的基金占比 82.89%；公募中证 1000 指增平均超额收益 0.24%，实现正超额收益的基金占比 73.91%；公募主动 量化基金平均收益-1.09%，实现正收益的基金占比 25.65%；公募股票市场 中性基金平均收益-0.03%，实现正收益的基金占比 36.36%。 月度业绩：2026 年 1 月（截至 2026.01.30），公募沪深 300 指增平均超额 收益 0.94%，实现正超额收益的基金占比 75.64%；公募中证 A500 指增平 均超额收益 0.36%，实现正超额收益的基金占比 60.29%；公募中证 500 指 增平均超额收益-1.88%，实现正超额收益的基金占比 2. ...

- The report primarily focuses on the performance of quantitative funds, particularly index-enhanced funds, absolute return funds, and other active quantitative funds, without detailing specific quantitative models or factor construction methodologies[2][3][4] - The performance of index-enhanced funds is highlighted, with the CSI 300 Index Enhanced Funds achieving a weekly excess return median of 0.49%, while CSI 500 Index Enhanced Funds had a negative weekly excess return median of -0.25%. CSI 1000 Index Enhanced Funds and CSI A500 Index Enhanced Funds recorded weekly excess return medians of 0.43% and 0.39%, respectively[3][4][5] - Absolute return (hedging) funds achieved a weekly return median of 0.19%, while other active quantitative funds recorded a higher weekly return median of 1.51%[8][9][10] - Other strategy funds, such as multi-factor funds, demonstrated strong performance with a weekly return median of 1.89%, while big data-driven active investment funds showed a negative weekly return median of -0.89%[15][19][20]

- The report primarily focuses on the performance of quantitative funds, including index-enhanced funds, absolute return funds, and other active quantitative funds, with detailed statistics on their weekly, monthly, quarterly, and annual returns[2][3][4] - The report highlights the performance of index-enhanced funds, such as CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000, with their weekly excess return medians being -0.05%, -1.77%, and -0.73%, respectively[3][4][5] - For absolute return (hedged) funds, the weekly return median is -0.11%, while for other active quantitative funds, the weekly return median is 4.41%[6][7] - The report also provides detailed performance data for funds categorized by their benchmark indices, such as '000300.SH', '000905.SH', and others, with their respective weekly return medians ranging from 1.76% to 5.86%[7][8][9] - Other strategy funds, including multi-factor funds and big data-driven funds, are also analyzed, with multi-factor funds showing a weekly return median of 5.54% and big data-driven active funds achieving a weekly return median of 8.19%[15][18][19]

- The weekly performance of public quantitative funds shows that the average excess return of CSI 500 index-enhanced funds was -1.79%, with no funds achieving positive excess returns during the week[1][3][10] - Monthly performance data indicates that the average excess return of CSI 500 index-enhanced funds remained at -1.79%, consistent with the weekly data, and no funds achieved positive excess returns during the month[2][10][34] - Year-to-date (YTD) performance reveals that the average excess return of CSI 500 index-enhanced funds was -1.79%, with no funds achieving positive excess returns so far this year[3][10][34] - The average return of active quantitative funds for the week was 4.17%, with 98.81% of funds achieving positive returns[1][10][34] - The average return of active quantitative funds for the month was also 4.17%, consistent with the weekly data, and 98.81% of funds achieved positive returns during the month[2][10][34] - Year-to-date (YTD) performance of active quantitative funds shows an average return of 4.17%, with 98.81% of funds achieving positive returns so far this year[3][10][34] - The weekly average return of market-neutral quantitative funds was -0.07%, with 36.36% of funds achieving positive returns[1][10][34] - Monthly performance data for market-neutral quantitative funds shows an average return of -0.07%, consistent with the weekly data, and 36.36% of funds achieved positive returns during the month[2][10][34] - Year-to-date (YTD) performance of market-neutral quantitative funds reveals an average return of -0.07%, with 36.36% of funds achieving positive returns so far this year[3][10][34]

| 序号 | 交易营业部名称 | | 买入金额(万) | 占总成交比例 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 沪股通专用 | 540次 49.07% (7) | | | | 2 | 瑞银证券有限责任公司上海花园石桥路证券营业部 | 405次 46.42% | | | | 3 | 高盛(中国)证券有限责任公司上海浦东新区世纪大道证券营业部 | 516次 41.86% | | | | 4 | 国泰海通证券股份有限公司北京知春路证券营业部 | 51次 52.94% | | | | 5 | 国泰海通证券股份有限公司宜昌沿江大道证券营业部 | 22次 81.82% | | | | | (买入前5名与卖出前5名)总合计: | | 41629.03 | 21.96% | 鲁信创投(600783.SH)今日涨停，换手率11.29%，成交额18.96亿元。龙虎榜数据显示，游资"陈小群"位列买一席位，买入2.02亿元；"量化基金"位列买三、 买五席位，买入9356万元。上榜席位全天买入4.16亿元，卖出1.73亿元，合计净买入2.43亿元。(格隆汇) | 买入金额最大的前5名 | | - ...

Core Insights - The company achieved a total profit of 1.843 million in 2025, with a return rate of 33.89% [1][14] - The company primarily operates three investment accounts: on-exchange ETF account, off-exchange fund account, and advisory portfolio account [1] On-Exchange ETF Account - The on-exchange ETF account reported a profit of 438,046.77, with a return rate of 39.01% for 2025 [4] - The account's core holdings include Hong Kong innovation drug ETF, Hong Kong technology ETF, and Hong Kong consumer ETF, focusing on the Hong Kong market [4][5] - The account has shown stability, with 9 out of 12 months being profitable, indicating a monthly win rate of 75% [4] Off-Exchange Fund Account - The off-exchange fund account has assets of 5.4 million, with a profit of 1.325 million and a return rate of 33.89% [3][8] - The account's main holdings are in resource and technology funds, with significant contributions from resource funds [9] - The account has also shown stability, with 8 out of 12 months being profitable, resulting in a monthly win rate of over 66% [9] Advisory Portfolio Account - The advisory portfolio account has assets exceeding 1.2 million, with a cumulative profit of around 80,000 [13] - The portfolio focuses on long-term investments, with holdings in various funds, including medical and consumer sectors [13] - The account's strategy includes maintaining a maximum position of 15% in any single sector to manage risk [12][13] Market Outlook for 2026 - The company plans to adopt a more defensive strategy in 2026 due to high valuations in the A-share market, while the Hong Kong market remains relatively reasonable [17][18] - The company aims to reduce its overall position to around 60% if the market continues to rise, focusing on undervalued sectors with potential [21] - Key sectors for 2026 include Hong Kong technology, defense industry, and innovative pharmaceuticals, which together represent 50% of the overall portfolio [26][27]

Group 1 - The issuance of bond funds has significantly decreased this year, while equity funds have taken the spotlight, with new equity fund issuance exceeding 400 billion units, surpassing the historical record set in 2021 [1][6] - As of December 22, 2023, a total of 1,469 new funds have been established this year, marking the highest number of new fund issuances in nearly four years, with a total issuance of 11,358.88 billion units [2][3] - Among the newly established funds, 808 are equity funds with an issuance of 4,086.66 billion units, while mixed funds and bond funds have 280 and 262 new funds with issuances of 1,551.03 billion units and 4,680.71 billion units, respectively [3][4] Group 2 - The focus of fund companies this year has shifted towards equity funds, particularly passive index products, with 604 of the 808 new equity funds being passive index funds [5] - The market dynamics are changing, with the share of bond fund issuance dropping from 71.27% in 2022 to 41.21% in 2023, while the share of equity fund issuance has risen from 12.24% in 2021 to 35.98% in 2023 [5][6] - The largest newly issued fund this year is the Dongfanghong Yingfeng Stable Allocation 6-Month Holding A, with an issuance of 65.73 billion units, while the largest newly issued equity fund is the Huaxia Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board Comprehensive ETF Link A, with an issuance of 48.92 billion units [4]