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沪银走势大幅上扬 美政府停摆即将告一段落
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-11-10 04:06
Group 1 - Silver futures are currently trading above 11539, with a recent price of 11603, reflecting an increase of 1.83% [1] - The highest price reached was 11697, while the lowest was 11367, indicating a short-term volatile trading pattern [1] - The market sentiment for silver futures appears to be leaning towards a bullish trend, with potential upward movement towards 12000 if a strong trend is established [3] Group 2 - The U.S. Senate has reached a bipartisan agreement to fund the government until January 30, indicating a potential end to the government shutdown [2] - President Trump has proposed a new healthcare reform plan that would allocate subsidies directly to citizens' health savings accounts instead of insurance companies [2] - A vote on the funding agreement is expected to take place between 8:30 PM and 9:00 PM Eastern Time [2]
美政府“停摆”即将破纪录
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-11-04 11:21
Group 1 - The U.S. federal government shutdown has entered its 35th day, approaching a record set in late 2018 to early 2019 [1] - The Senate has voted 14 times on a temporary funding bill, but it has not passed due to a stalemate between Democrats and Republicans over healthcare subsidies [1] - Democrats demand negotiations on extending subsidies for the Affordable Care Act, while Republicans insist on a vote to end the shutdown first [1] Group 2 - Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer claims Americans are facing an unprecedented healthcare crisis due to the shutdown [2] - Senate Republican leader John Thune hopes the public will feel the pressure of the shutdown, prompting interest in resolving the issue [2] Group 3 - The shutdown's destructive impact is spreading to critical sectors such as aviation, food, and healthcare, with the Congressional Budget Office estimating a potential GDP growth rate decline of 1-2 percentage points in Q4 [3] - If the shutdown lasts four weeks, the economic loss could reach $7 billion; six weeks could lead to $11 billion, and eight weeks could result in $14 billion [3] - The shutdown has depleted funds for the federal food assistance program, affecting approximately 42 million people, with delays in aid distribution reported in several states [3] Group 4 - Vice President Vance warned that if the shutdown continues into late November, the aviation sector could face a disaster during the holiday travel season [4] - Approximately 13,000 air traffic controllers and 50,000 airport security personnel are working without pay, leading to staffing shortages and increased flight delays [4] - As Thanksgiving approaches, the lack of pay for federal employees is expected to create public pressure on both parties to resolve the shutdown [4]
一边政府“停摆”正破纪录,一边美国人民感叹“最好时代已过去”
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-11-04 08:36
Core Points - The U.S. federal government shutdown has reached its 35th day, tying the record for the longest shutdown in U.S. history [1] - The shutdown is causing significant disruptions in various sectors, including aviation, food assistance, and healthcare, leading to increased pressure on both the economy and public welfare [2] Group 1: Reasons for the Shutdown - The shutdown occurred due to the failure of budget-related bills to pass in both the House and Senate, as required by U.S. law [3] - A continuing resolution (CR) passed by the House was blocked in the Senate after 13 votes, primarily due to disagreements over the Affordable Care Act subsidies [4] - The Senate requires at least 60 votes for budget and funding bills to pass, but the Republican Party holds only 53 seats, complicating negotiations [4] Group 2: Impact of the Shutdown - Millions of low-income Americans may lose access to the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) benefits, and early education centers may face closures [7] - Federal employee salary payments could be affected, and the shutdown is expected to disproportionately impact low- and middle-income individuals [8] - The government is attempting to mitigate the damage, but measures taken are insufficient to cover the expected $9 billion in SNAP benefits for November [8] Group 3: Political Dynamics - The shutdown coincides with critical local elections, making both parties reluctant to compromise [5] - House Speaker Johnson blames Democrats for the prolonged shutdown, while Democrats deny political motivations and accuse Republicans of intransigence [5] - Ongoing mutual blame between party leaders suggests that reaching an agreement to end the shutdown is unlikely in the near term [10]
美政府“停摆”持续 联邦雇员停薪留职 民生领域面临难题
Core Points - The U.S. federal government shutdown has entered its 17th day, causing significant challenges in various sectors, particularly affecting federal employees who are working without pay, and raising concerns about healthcare subsidies and food assistance programs for low-income individuals [1][5][10] Group 1: Impact on Federal Employees - Salt Lake City International Airport has established a food distribution station to assist federal employees who are on unpaid leave due to the government shutdown, providing free food, daily necessities, and household items [2][4] - The executive director of the Salt Lake City International Airport highlighted that this is the second government shutdown he has experienced, emphasizing the need for support for employees who continue to work without receiving their salaries [4] Group 2: Healthcare Concerns - The ongoing stalemate between Democrats and Republicans over a temporary funding bill is primarily centered around the Affordable Care Act, leaving the future of healthcare subsidies uncertain [5] - A couple relying on the Affordable Care Act is anxious about potential gaps in their healthcare coverage, which could lead to skyrocketing medical expenses, particularly for necessary surgeries [7][9] Group 3: Food Assistance Programs - The prolonged government shutdown threatens the funding of nutrition assistance programs, with the Women, Infants, and Children (WIC) program potentially running out of funds by the end of the month, affecting 7 million low-income individuals who depend on it for food assistance [10][12] - The public policy director of the WIC program association stressed the urgency of finding a long-term funding solution to prevent the suspension of food benefits, urging bipartisan negotiations to secure full funding for the program [12]
【环球财经】美政府“停摆”危机逼近 两党“极限拉扯”恐遭政治反噬
Xin Hua She· 2025-09-29 14:32
Core Points - The U.S. federal government funding is set to run out at midnight on September 30, prompting President Trump to meet with congressional leaders to discuss a temporary funding bill to avert a shutdown [1][2] - The House of Representatives passed a temporary funding bill drafted by Republicans, aiming to keep the government operational until late November, but the Senate failed to pass it, leading to a deadlock between the two parties [1][2] - Democrats criticized the Republican bill for neglecting healthcare priorities and proposed their own plan to extend funding until October 31, which includes key policies such as extending subsidies under the Affordable Care Act and reversing cuts to Medicaid [1][2] - The Republican bill provides additional security funding for various government departments but lacks other policy priorities, with Republicans arguing it allows time for further negotiations [1][2] - If Congress fails to pass a temporary funding bill, the federal government will shut down at midnight on October 1, affecting hundreds of thousands of federal employees who may be forced to take unpaid leave [2][3] Economic Impact - A government shutdown could lead to billions of dollars in economic losses and threaten economic growth, further frustrating voters who expect improvements in living costs and quality of life [3] - The political ramifications of a shutdown are uncertain, with analysts suggesting that both parties may face backlash for their inability to keep the government running [3]
新财年临近,美政府“停摆”风险加剧,白宫指示联邦机构准备裁员计划
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-09-28 22:45
Core Points - The White House has instructed federal agencies to prepare layoff plans due to a budget impasse between the U.S. government and Congressional Democrats, indicating that the upcoming government shutdown could be unprecedented [1][2] - The Office of Management and Budget (OMB) has requested agencies to identify projects that will face funding interruptions if Congress fails to reach an agreement by September 30, with a focus on projects lacking alternative funding sources [1] - The current political divide centers around the Affordable Care Act, with Democrats wanting to maintain enhanced subsidies for low-income groups, while Republicans view these as welfare expansion [2][3] Group 1 - The OMB has not provided emergency plans for agencies, which is a departure from past practices where some federal employees were deemed "essential" and continued working during shutdowns [1] - Federal employees are experiencing widespread panic and uncertainty regarding their employment status during the potential shutdown, with many expressing feelings of fear and confusion [2] - A large-scale layoff of federal employees could have broader economic implications, potentially delaying the release of key economic data and complicating monetary policy decisions [2] Group 2 - The risk of a government shutdown is considered more severe at the current economic juncture than during periods of full economic operation [3] - As of now, Congress has not reached any consensus on fiscal appropriations for the upcoming 2026 fiscal year, which begins on October 1 [3]
特朗普的美国梦系列5:财政蓝图:重估大美丽法案
Changjiang Securities· 2025-08-08 01:45
Summary of the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" (OBBBA) - The OBBBA is a comprehensive policy initiative from Trump, focusing on tax reform, spending adjustments, and raising the debt ceiling, with a projected increase in deficit of $3.9 trillion over ten years[5]. - Tax cuts are the core of the OBBBA, extending and expanding the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), while tax increases are minimal, expected to reduce the deficit by only $0.7 trillion[5][21]. - Spending cuts primarily target healthcare, education, food assistance, and energy, with healthcare reforms expected to save approximately $1.1 trillion over ten years[5][24]. - The act increases military and immigration spending, adding approximately $0.17 trillion and $0.18 trillion to the deficit, respectively[5][29]. - The debt ceiling is raised from $36.1 trillion to $41.1 trillion, preventing technical default risks on U.S. debt[5][32]. Economic Impact - The OBBBA is projected to have a limited long-term impact on GDP, with estimates suggesting a change between -0.1% and 1.3% over ten years, translating to an average annual GDP growth boost of less than 0.2%[6][36]. - The act's short-term economic stimulus is significant, particularly during Trump's term, with a notable GDP increase expected in 2026[6][48]. - The structure of the act creates a "front-loaded" deficit increase during Trump's presidency, potentially leading to fiscal tightening for the next administration if no new expansionary measures are implemented[6][57]. Social Implications - While the act provides short-term tax relief for families, it also reduces welfare benefits, which may exacerbate income inequality in the long run[5][8]. - The combination of tax cuts and welfare reductions could lead to a widening wealth gap, particularly affecting low-income households[5][8][27].