Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook based on improving free cash flow and expected dividend increases [5][8]. Core Views - The company is a state-owned water utility in Tianjin, with over 20 years of industry experience, primarily engaged in wastewater treatment, recycled water supply, and tap water supply. The wastewater treatment segment is expected to contribute nearly 80% of revenue and gross profit in 2024 [7][16]. - The company has shown stable profitability with a net profit margin around 17% and a return on equity (ROE) between 8% and 10% from 2019 to 2024. The gross margin has been steadily increasing [19][21]. - Free cash flow turned positive in 2024, with expectations for continued improvement due to reduced capital expenditures and enhanced collection of receivables [10][21]. - The company has a significant potential for dividend increases, with a current dividend payout ratio around 30%, which is lower than industry peers [10][11]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of August 1, 2025, the closing price is 5.92 CNY, with a total market capitalization of approximately 9,296.88 million CNY [3]. Financial Forecasts and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 48.64 billion CNY, 49.04 billion CNY, and 50.35 billion CNY, with year-on-year growth rates of 0.8%, 0.8%, and 2.7% respectively. Net profit estimates are 9.58 billion CNY, 9.95 billion CNY, and 10.27 billion CNY, with growth rates of 18.65%, 3.89%, and 3.19% respectively [6][40]. - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected at 10, 9, and 9 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, which is significantly lower than the industry average P/E of 17 [8][40]. Investment Logic - The company has a strong market position in wastewater treatment, with a stable revenue stream and improving margins. The wastewater treatment price has increased from 1.7 CNY/ton to 1.92 CNY/ton from 2021 to 2024, reflecting a consistent upward trend [10][33]. - The company is expected to benefit from the cessation of goodwill impairment losses starting in 2025, which could positively impact net profit by approximately 1.5 billion CNY [11][38]. Key Assumptions - The report assumes new wastewater treatment capacity additions of 9, 5.5, and 6 thousand tons per day for 2025-2027, with a consistent treatment price of 1.92 CNY/ton [9][41].