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在“反脆弱”的铠甲下寻找弹性,一位“周期猎手”的非共识狩猎
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 05:23
Core Insights - Zhang Teng, a fund manager at Yinhua Fund, has achieved impressive returns in traditional sectors like non-ferrous metals and chemicals, contrasting with the market's focus on AI and semiconductors [1][3] - His fund, Yinhua Ruihe Flexible Allocation Mixed Fund, reported a year-to-date net value growth rate of 29.69% and a one-year growth rate of 45.77%, significantly outperforming its benchmark [1] Investment Philosophy - Zhang Teng's investment approach evolved from being a "track-type" investor to a "systematic" investor, emphasizing the importance of adaptability in changing market conditions [3][7] - He developed a framework based on "slow variables" and "anti-fragility," allowing him to navigate market cycles and avoid the pitfalls of extreme concentration in investments [6][7] Market Trends and Opportunities - The "carbon neutrality" trend provided a testing ground for Zhang's new investment system, where he identified the value of traditional energy sources like coal as scarce assets during the energy transition [8][9] - Currently, Zhang is focusing on the "anti-involution" trend, which he believes will reshape certain industry ecosystems in China, seeking opportunities in sectors with inherent anti-involution demands [11][12] Sector Focus - Zhang's analysis of the chemical and non-ferrous sectors reveals a strategic approach to identifying investment opportunities based on industry profit distribution and market dynamics [12][13] - He emphasizes a diversified portfolio within the non-ferrous sector to capture various market drivers while adhering to his principles of "slow variables" and "anti-fragility" [13]
在“反脆弱”的铠甲下寻找弹性,一位“周期猎手”的非共识狩猎
券商中国· 2025-08-27 03:47
外界试图用"周期猎手"这样的标签来定义他,但这远不足以概括他投资世界的核心。 要真正理解张腾,我们需要回到故事的起点,探寻他投资操作系统的迭代之路——那是一段从极致锐度走向"反脆弱"的突围,一个曾经的赛道选手在市场的熔炉中 重构自我的故事。 当喧嚣点燃盛夏的A股舞池,聚光灯之外,总有一些人选择跳自己的舞步。 银华基金的张腾,就是这样一个"另类舞者"。当市场的目光都聚焦于AI、半导体、创新药的星辰大海时,他却在有色、化工这些看似传统的领域,踩出了令人惊叹 的节拍。 银河证券数据显示,截至2025年8月15日,张腾管理的银华瑞和灵活配置混合基金(005544)年内净值增长率29.69%(业绩比较基准3.96%),过去一年净值增长率 45.77%(业绩比较基准15.23%),在415只同类型基金中排名84。 (业绩数据来源:经托管行复核;排名数据来源:银河证券,过去一年指2024.8.16-2025.8.15;同 类型指灵活配置型基金A类) 进化:从赛道选手到反脆弱投资 学生时期,张腾是一个不折不扣的学霸,他曾在高中时期摘得全国物理竞赛一等奖,并因此保送清华大学热能工程系,同时还拿下了巴黎高科国际能源专业的管理 学 ...